entering weekly RSI below 30 has historically marked the start of major accumulation phases
Bitcoin entering the weekly RSI zone below 30 is a rare and historical signal in the cryptocurrency market ,This technical indicator, measures the strength of price momentum over 14 periods (weekly here), and a reading below 30 is considered severe oversold, meaning selling has exceeded natural limits, potentially opening the door to a reversal or the beginning of a strong accumulation phase
Historically, this situation has occurred very few times in Bitcoin's life, and it has often coincided with the ends of major bear cycles and the start of major accumulation phases that preceded massive rallies
For example: In 2015, the weekly RSI dropped below 30 during the depths of the decline after the 2013-2014 bubble
The price was around very low levels (roughly below $300–400), followed by a long-term accumulation by large investors, leading to the start of the major bull cycle toward $20,000 in 2017
Those who bought on a weekly close with this signal and held for one year achieved returns exceeding +112% in some documented cases
In 2018-2019 (especially late 2018 and early 2019), similar signals appeared near the bottom around ~$3,200
That period was filled with despair and capitulation, but it represented a golden window for accumulation
The result? A massive rally in 2019-2021, delivering +136% within one year from that point in some analyses. In 2022 (particularly June and November), the weekly RSI reached levels below 30 near the FTX collapse and the bottom around ~$15,600–18,000
Although some periods saw temporary further downside, they signaled the end of the bear cycle and the beginning of accumulation that took the price to new highs in 2024-2025
The one-year return from those signals was +26% in documented cases—lower but still positive despite volatility
Now, in February 2026, the weekly BTC/USD chart shows the RSI entering below 30 once again (possibly the fourth or fifth time in history according to sources), with the price hovering around $67,910 after a sharp correction from previous peaks above $120,000
The chart highlights similar past accumulation zones (such as 2015, 2019, 2022) circled in orange, reinforcing the idea that these zones are often the start of long-term absorption phases
Why is this signal considered the beginning of a major accumulation?
Because it reflects peak fear and capitulation from short-term speculators, while long-term investors (the “whales”) begin gradually buying
On-chain data often shows increased accumulation during these periods, as has happened recently with large whale purchases
Of course, no signal is 100% guaranteed—downside can sometimes continue before reversal (as in 2022)
But history shows that a weekly RSI below 30 rarely appears except at major turning points
For strategic investors, this may be a moment to consider gradual accumulation rather than panic selling
In the end, the digital market runs on cycles, and accumulation follows capitulation
If the historical pattern repeats, we may witness a transition from fear to an accumulation phase that paves the way for a new bull cycle
If your house drops in value but you believe real estate goes up long-term, do you sell at a loss? No, You only sell if you have to (forced liquidation, mortgage default) ↩️
Long-term Bitcoin believers are the same. If they are sitting in losses, they aren't selling unless they are forced to
This is why the LTH Realized Price is such a strong floor
Supply simply vanishes below this level because nobody wants to realize the loss
One of the greatest investors of all time, Peter Lynch, sums it up perfectly 🧐⬇️
- "Just the fact is 3 dollars down from $100, doesnt mean you buy it"
- "Short sellers who really make money, they are not short Walmart or Home Depot, they are not short the great companies, they short companies that are down from $80 dollars to 7"
- "They'd of like to short higher but they figure out at $7 this stock is going to zero"
"They continue to short at $6, at 5, at 4, at 3, at 2 at $1"
"and in order to sell something short ..you need a buyer, someone has to buy they damn thing, and you wonder who's buying the thing"
$TRUMP
"and its people saying its $3 how much lower can it go"
The dumb-money buyers are those saying, “Look how much it has dropped. It can't go any lower.”
$BTC Michael Saylor 🗣 “If Bitcoin falls 90% for the next four years, we'll refinance the debt. We'll just roll it forward.” 🚨
When pressed on BTC dropping to ~$8,000: “You're at $68,000 right now. It literally has to fall to $8,000, and then we’ll just refinance the debt.”🚨
This is delusional! 🧐
Strategy holds ~714K BTC - Current Cost basis $54B, avg $76K/BTC. - If it dropped to $8K/BTC, holdings would collapse to $5.7B value
Debt: $8.2B in convertibles plus $8B preferred equity (high dividends)
Cash buffer covers 2.5 years of payments NOW - in a crash, it evaporates with no new raises!
LTV explodes past 140% (debt > asset value). Software biz revenue (~$500M/year) can't service anything meaningful
No bank/lender refinances a company whose primary asset has cratered 88%+, with worthless conversion options, junk credit outlook, and never sell policy making BTC illiquid collateral
Yields would spike to 15-20%+ (if anyone bites), or issuance fails entirely 🧐
$BTC 🚨 Binance and Franklin Templeton launch tokenized asset collateral market! 🚨
Official announcement on February 11, 2026:
- Franklin Templeton's tokenized US government money fund (FBOXX) can be used as collateral for trading on Binance
- Secure custody outside the exchange with Ceffu and 24/7 settlement
- First product collaboration between Franklin Templeton and Binance, with $1.5 trillion in assets under management
- Current tokenized asset size approximately $720-766 million
This partnership highlights the growing integration of traditional finance and digital asset markets, with Binance providing access and liquidity, while Franklin Templeton brings regulatory compliance and financial expertise
the technical and derivatives structure shows the possibility of forming a short squeeze potential, although the overall trend remains clearly bearish
This scenario is entirely conditional and not a confirmed expectation, as it depends on a sudden bullish push that surprises the accumulated short positions
The price is currently trading around 67,000–68,000 dollars (according to February 12, 2026 data), after a collapse from peaks above 126,000 dollars in 2025, making volatility high and risks elevated
⬆️ The first chart from CryptoQuant displays funding rates in perpetual futures contracts across major platforms. Funding has turned sharply negative (reaching -0.0087% or more at some points, with consistently negative values from late January to February)
This reflects significant dominance of short positions, where shorts pay longs to maintain their positions
In such an environment, if a strong upward move occurs (from solid spot demand, positive news, or initial liquidations), the probability of cascading short liquidations increases, generating short-term short squeeze pressure that rapidly pushes the price higher. However, the severely negative funding comes in the context of a clear bear market (per CryptoQuant, on-chain indicators "extremely bearish," with negative ETF flows and weak demand), so the downtrend may continue if sufficient support does not arrive, and short positions remain profitable
⬆️ The second chart shows the Bitcoin CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) chart, featuring a prominent CME gap around 84,000 dollars
These weekend-close gaps historically tend to act as a "price magnet" in futures markets
In the current context, after the sharp decline, 84,000 dollars is viewed as a potential attraction level. If a strong short squeeze is triggered, it could drive the price toward filling the gap at 84,000 dollars, and possibly extend to 90,000 dollars in an optimistic scenario, supported by cascading liquidations and transient institutional demand
Volatility is expected to rise noticeably toward the end of February 2026 due to the expiration of large options contracts (options expiry), where millions of dollars in open interest accumulate
These periods often cause sharp moves: pinning toward max pain levels, sudden spikes, further drops, or sideways oscillation.In short, this is a potential bullish scenario based on: sharply negative funding rates + accumulated shorts + attractive CME gap at 84k
However, it is conditional; failure of the upward push (due to macro pressures, continued negative ETF flows, or weak demand) could lead to continuation of the downtrend toward lower supports (such as 60,000–65,000 dollars per CryptoQuant warnings)
Therefore, position sizing, use of stop-losses, and avoidance of high leverage are critical in this environment. The market remains open to both directions, but this structure makes the short squeeze probability particularly noteworthy, especially with the end of the month approaching
Richard Teng: “The world's largest institutions are now buying Bitcoin from the depths!”
In an interview broadcast by CNBC on February 11, 2026, during the Consensus Hong Kong 2026 events, Richard Teng, CEO of Binance, delivered reassuring yet striking statements amid the sharp collapse in Bitcoin and crypto prices
Teng said: "The world's largest institutions are now buying Bitcoin from the depths!" He stressed that institutional buying remains extremely active despite widespread volatility and FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt)
Teng affirmed that "market resilience is very real," citing clear data: institutional holdings remain stable at around 1.3 million Bitcoin, with approximately 43,000 BTC added in January 2026 alone
This indicates that major players are not panic-selling but capitalizing on the dip to accumulate. He added: "Institutions are actively buying—do not trust the FUD," warning against following short-term media noise
Teng urged the community to "HODL" (hold strongly), stating: "Please HODL, institutional support is strong"
He sees support coming from multiple directions: explosive growth in stablecoin usage (tripled over the past year), a roughly 50% rise in total market capitalization, expanding crypto payments, and accelerating tokenization of real-world assets (RWA)
He also noted that most major financial institutions he meets are exploring moving trading to blockchain for 24/7 access, while traditional exchanges like NYSE and Nasdaq push toward longer trading hours—an approach converging with the crypto model
These reports of "institutional stability at low levels" raise a major question: Is this truly a strong bullish signal? Yes, according to Teng and many analysts. Historically, when institutions accumulate during crashes, major recoveries often follow, as they provide a "structural bid" beneath the price
Although some selling may come from early non-institutional whales or short-term traders, institutional accumulation reduces available supply and builds a stronger base
Ultimately, Richard Teng's message is clear: volatility is temporary, and the future belongs to digital assets
With ongoing institutional adoption, positive regulation in Asia (such as Hong Kong's new initiatives for virtual assets), and the steadfastness of large holdings, this "deep dip" appears to be a historic buying opportunity before the bulls return with force
For long-term investors, now is the time for conviction and accumulation—not panic
Michael Seller: “The collapse is temporary... Bitcoin will reach a new high soon”🚨
Michael Saylor, former CEO and current Executive Chairman of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), appeared on Fox Business to deliver a strong and unwavering message amid Bitcoin's sharp price collapse
Saylor stated: "The crash is temporary... Bitcoin will reach a new high soon"
He emphasized that this drop—which pushed Bitcoin below $70,000 after peaking above $126,000 in October 2025—is merely temporary "noise" and a classic "shakeout of weak hands."Saylor explained that Bitcoin has experienced 15 drawdowns over its 15-year history, and every single time, a new all-time high (ATH) followed
"This time is no different; it was only temporary," he added, noting that volatility is inherent to the asset but ultimately benefits the strong hands
He views the current crash as a prime buying opportunity rather than a reason to sell, stressing that extreme fear often precedes the formation of new peaks
At the same time, Strategy announced an additional purchase of 1,142 Bitcoin worth approximately $90 million (at an average price of $78,815 per BTC) between February 2 and 8, 2026. This increased its total holdings to 714,644 Bitcoin, acquired at a cumulative cost exceeding $54.35 billion
Despite massive unrealized losses (estimated in the billions due to the decline), Saylor remains firmly committed to his unchanging strategy: "buy every quarter forever." This policy has become a model for institutional companies, treating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset that outperforms gold and cash over the long term
Saylor insists that Bitcoin is not just a cryptocurrency but "digital capital" that surpasses traditional assets due to its scarcity (only 21 million units ever), inflation resistance, and exponential growth potential
Despite global economic pressures and temporary losses on Strategy's balance sheet, he believes institutional and governmental adoption (such as national reserve strategies) will continue driving prices to higher levels in 2026 and beyond
Saylor's message is clear and uncompromising: do not sell in panic—buy in fear
History proves that Bitcoin cycles always end with new highs, and those who hold and accumulate emerge victorious
Amid this "mini-crash," Saylor remains a symbol of absolute conviction, transforming Strategy into the world's largest institutional Bitcoin holder and inspiring millions to see volatility as opportunity rather than threat
French media: “The currency is completely losing its value ,The future is Bitcoin ”
On February 11, 2026, a French broadcaster or guest on BFM Crypto Le Club on the BFM Business channel sparked widespread debate with a bold statement: "Currencies are completely losing their value... the future is Bitcoin
" She added: "So, it's a good idea to accumulate as much Bitcoin as possible right now." This comment came during an episode discussing Bitcoin's drop below $70,000, but it quickly spread across social media, especially after being shared by crypto-focused accounts
The key speaker in this context is Grégory Raymond (Grégory Raymond), co-founder of The Big Whale, one of France's leading crypto journalists
Tom Lee: “The lowest price of Ethereum is $1,890 ”🚨
At the Consensus Hong Kong 2026 conference, Tom Lee, Chairman of BitMine Immersion and Head of Research at Fundstrat, delivered powerful statements about Ethereum (ETH) that sparked significant optimism amid the sharp price decline
Lee stated that Ethereum's price around $1,890 represents a critical juncture, pointing to the famous Tom DeMark timing indicator: "If ETH touches the $1,890 level again, the bottom will be fully perfected"
This level is considered the final touch that confirms the end of the downtrend and initiates the recovery phase.Lee was clear: "Don't sell here, take a position." He views the current market not as the end of the cycle, but as a strong buying opportunity
His analysis is based on a recurring historical pattern: since 2018, Ethereum has experienced eight drawdowns exceeding 50%, each followed by a rapid and powerful V-shaped recovery, as seen in 2018, 2022, and 2025
Lee expects this pattern to repeat in 2026, with the price rebounding quickly once the bottom is confirmed
Lee focuses on the fundamental drivers that will propel Ethereum higher: Wall Street's preference for public chains over private ones, the growth of AI agents, the boom in stablecoins, and the expansion of the creator economy
All these elements are converging toward Ethereum as the primary platform. He describes Ethereum as set to become the foundational settlement layer for the new financial system, with major institutions flowing in heavily to settle transactions, tokenize real-world assets (tokenization), and leverage DeFi and Layer 2 solutions
Despite massive unrealized losses (reportedly over $6–8 billion in some estimates), BitMine—the company Lee leads—continues aggressive buying and staking, reflecting deep institutional conviction. Lee sees the market going through a temporary "mini-winter," but fundamentals (network usage, staking, institutional adoption) are improving, making the current dip "the best investment opportunity" in crypto
In the end, Tom Lee's message is clear: Ethereum is not in danger; it stands on the brink of a major transformation
The $1,890 level is not an end, but a beginning
With technical bottom confirmation, accelerating institutional adoption, and the historical V-shape pattern, many anticipate a strong rebound that will push Ethereum to new all-time highs in 2026
For long-term investors, this moment could prove historic
Ethereum is currently experiencing one of the strongest accumulation phases in its history, despite the downward pressure that has pushed the price below the $2,000 level
Since last Friday alone, approximately 1.3 million ETH has flowed into dedicated accumulation addresses (Accumulation Addresses), with a total value approaching $2.6 billion based on current market prices
These addresses are characterized by having no historical withdrawals and continue to receive inflows only, reflecting a clear strategy from whales: buy and hold long-term.Whales now view prices below $2,000 as an extremely attractive opportunity and are noticeably accelerating their accumulation pace
This process did not start suddenly; the full-scale acquisition officially began in June 2025, but the intensity has surged dramatically in recent weeks—even as the price remains below the initial average cost basis of these addresses. This behavior demonstrates deep confidence in Ethereum’s future value, independent of short-term market volatility
As a result of this intense activity, total holdings in accumulation addresses have reached an all-time historical high of 27 million ETH, equivalent to roughly 23% of the circulating supply
This shift signifies a gradual transfer of supply away from centralized exchanges and day traders toward strategic long-term holders betting on network growth through staking, DeFi, Layer 2 solutions, and future institutional applications
Although a large percentage (more than 58%) of Ethereum addresses are currently in unrealized loss territory, strong inflows into accumulation addresses have frequently served as a leading indicator for major recovery cycles, as seen in previous cycles (2019–2021)
The current price—approaching or dipping below the Realized Price of accumulation addresses—is considered a strong psychological and fundamental support zone, where whales tend to “buy the dip” rather than panic-sell
On a broader scale, this accumulation is supported by positive on-chain developments: declining exchange inflows, growing staking participation, and improved network efficiency following upcoming upgrades. All these factors reduce available sell-side supply and increase potential upward pressure once demand returns
Ultimately, the message from this large-scale accumulation is crystal clear: the big players are not selling—they are aggressively collecting
History shows that phases like this often precede major bullish explosions
For investors, this period may represent a rare opportunity to join before the trend reverses dramatically
Yes, the question burning right now is: Is the "Digital Gold" narrative dead? ⬇️
⬆️ Over the past 12 months, "Boomer Gold" has massively outperformed "Digital Gold," beating it by roughly 115% in relative terms
The scoreboard tells the story clearly: Gold: Trading near $5,000 (all-time highs, with peaks above $5,600 in January 2026) Crypto: Total market cap hovering around $2.3–2.4 trillion (stuck, down significantly from earlier highs)From February 2025 to February 2026: Gold: +93.9% Total Crypto Market Cap: -22.3%
This gap isn’t random
Gold rode powerful traditional tailwinds: record central-bank buying, persistent inflation fears, periods of dollar weakness, and ongoing geopolitical & macroeconomic uncertainty
These factors cemented gold’s role as the ultimate safe-haven asset, pushing it to one record high after another
Meanwhile, crypto endured a classic post-rally cooldown: sharp corrections, fading meme-coin mania, and macro headwinds such as tighter liquidity or slower-than-expected institutional onboarding.But markets aren’t won by staring in the rearview mirror
Gold has already had its “moon” moment—its price has nearly doubled in just a few years, and it now looks ripe for either a healthy correction or a multi-year consolidation phase after such a parabolic run ,Crypto, on the other hand, is still rebuilding its launchpad. Despite the current pain, structurally important developments have quietly taken root: Bitcoin ETFs attracted tens of billions in inflows Real-world asset (RWA) tokenization is scaling fast (with serious projections pointing toward multi-trillion-dollar potential by 2030) Regulatory clarity is improving in major jurisdictions
These steps are laying the foundation for much wider institutional adoption
So who wins the second half of 2026?
Gold will likely remain the steady guardian of value—reliable, but constrained by its fixed supply growth and relatively slow evolution
Crypto’s edge lies in explosive innovation potential: decentralized finance, AI integration, Layer-2 scaling, real-economy bridging, and programmable money
If institutional flows accelerate again, if regulation continues to trend positive (especially under favorable political shifts), and if the next narrative wave (AI + crypto, tokenized assets, etc.) catches fire, we could see a powerful rebound that flips the script once more
Bottom line: The "Digital Gold" story isn’t dead—it’s in intensive care
Traditional gold won round one decisively, but crypto still has time, technology, and asymmetric upside on its side.Smart positioning today means diversification, not
capitulation: don’t ignore gold’s proven strength, and don’t give up on crypto’s unfinished revolution
The future belongs to whoever successfully builds the bridges between both worlds
BTC bottomed shortly after 9 consecutive red monthly MACD candles in the previous cycle 🚨
In the previous Bitcoin cycle (the cycle that reached its peak in 2021), the MACD indicator on the monthly timeframe recorded an exceptional series of 9 consecutive red candles on the histogram (meaning 9 consecutive months of negative readings below the zero line)
This phenomenon was not just a passing technical signal, but one of the strongest signs that preceded the historic bottom of the bear market.During the 2017–2021 cycle, Bitcoin reached an all-time high near $69,000 in November 2021. After that, a violent correction phase began that gradually turned into a full bear market
The monthly MACD histogram (which reflects momentum and the difference between the 12- and 26-month exponential moving averages with a 9-month signal line) began shifting negative at an accelerating pace
This negative trend continued for 9 consecutive months, with the histogram remaining below the zero line without any noteworthy positive signal
This long series of red candles on the monthly MACD reflects prolonged weakness in bullish momentum and is often associated with large price declines accompanied by accumulating selling pressure
During that period, Bitcoin’s price fell more than 75% from the peak, reaching a bottom around $15,500–$16,000 in November/December 2022
Notably, the bottom formed shortly after completing that sequence of nine consecutive monthly red candles on MACD.In previous cycles as well, we find similar patterns but to varying degrees
For example, in the 2018–2019 bear market, the negative histogram persisted for several consecutive months before beginning to converge toward zero and then crossing positive, signaling a trend reversal
As for the current cycle (2025–2026), some analysts are watching for the reappearance of similar signals, where continued negative histogram readings for extended periods (whether 5, 7, or 9 months) is considered an indicator of approaching the final capitulation phase, which often precedes major bottoms
Why is this pattern considered powerful? Because the monthly MACD is a relatively slow indicator that captures major trends rather than daily fluctuations
When it continues producing negative readings for 9 consecutive months, it means the structural weakness in the market has reached its peak, and most potential buyers have either exhausted or withdrawn, opening the door for a strong rebound once momentum begins to return.In the end, the previous cycle demonstrated that Bitcoin often bottoms shortly after ending a long series of red candles on the monthly MACD (such as the 9 consecutive ones)
This pattern is used as a tool to identify long-term accumulation zones, where many seasoned investors see such periods as historic buying opportunities before the next bullish cycle begins Of course, there is no absolute guarantee in markets, but history shows a noticeable repetition of this behavior across previous Bitcoin cycles #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection
$BTC Saylor just gave the credit markets a masterclass in how not to manage corporate debt 🚨
"We'll refinance" isn't a strategy. It's a prayer to the credit gods that liquidity stays cheap forever
MicroStrategy has $2.6 billion in convertible debt coming due through 2028. Every refinancing cycle depends on Bitcoin staying elevated and credit spreads staying tight
The company is now a walking correlation trade. Bitcoin up, refinancing gets easier. Bitcoin down, and suddenly those investment grade ratings start looking shaky
Here's the kicker: Saylor acts like he's playing 4D chess, but he's actually painted himself into the most obvious corner in corporate finance
The debt-to-Bitcoin feedback loop is already in motion. Lower Bitcoin prices mean tighter refinancing terms. Tighter terms mean less flexibility to buy more Bitcoin. Less buying means less upward pressure on Bitcoin
This isn't revolutionary corporate treasury management. This is leverage amplifying volatility with a software company stuck in the middle
The credit analysts pricing MSTR debt aren't betting on Bitcoin. They're betting on Saylor's ability to keep this refinancing carousel spinning
When refinancing becomes your core competency, you've already lost the plot