币圈超人

This wave of $ETH was anticipated! Hold on tight, Kong Dan!

Want to know how I predicted this crash and made preparations in advance?

The reason I firmly shorted ETH around 3870 is that these key factors gave me great confidence.

Recently, the 4-hour K-line of ETH shows a significant drop in price compared to before, breaking through previous lows, like an out-of-control car racing downwards.

Looking at various indicators on the chart, coupled with the recent influx of news, all signs point to a bearish market.

I observed ETH's support and resistance levels, and the price clearly encountered strong selling pressure around the 3870 position, making multiple unsuccessful attempts to break through. This indicates that there is heavy resistance above, making it difficult for the price to continue rising, and instead, there is a high likelihood of turning downward.

Based on this comprehensive analysis of news and technical aspects, I judged that around 3869 is an excellent short position for ETH, decisively leading fans to enter at this position; everyone should be securely profiting now, right?

The market changes too quickly; you have to seize the right moment to act. If you are still feeling confused, you can come to find me, and I will make precise predictions for the next wave of market movements. Feel free to come and discuss anytime to seize great opportunities together!

#加密市场回调 #上市公司加密储备战略 #美国初请失业金人数

This plunge is due to suspicions of fake U.S. employment data, coupled with Trump harshly criticizing the statistics department, causing panic in the market. However, this is precisely a good time to buy the dip! #加密市场回调

Interest rate cuts in September are basically stable, but August's market will be tough and may see significant drops.

$BTC The weekly chart has broken down, and it may fall to 110,000; $ETH It can fluctuate 400 points in a day, and could break below 3000 at any time;

Ethereum's technicals are unstable; it's more reliable to play with Bitcoin and SOL; if you want to steadily accumulate coins, choose BNB, its ecosystem is stable and can withstand both bear and bull markets.

Don't fantasize about picking the lowest point; the big players aren't that foolish to let you buy cheap. You need to buy in batches to benefit from the interest rate cut dividends.

I firmly believe that the drop in August is an opportunity to get in. Once the interest rate cut is implemented, there will definitely be a big surge in the crypto market!

Limited time return! August is destined to be extraordinary; I have already started preparing the divine elixir in advance. Keep up with my rhythm, accurately target and recover your losses effortlessly!

#美国初请失业金人数 #美联储利率决议

Surprising! The technical aspect of $ETH shows a "life and death signal." Are you still operating blindly?

ETH is currently at a critical decision-making period, with the technical aspect experiencing high-level fluctuations waiting for a breakthrough. The price is in the range of 3850 - 3870, below the key resistance of 3940.81, and above the dynamic support of EMA30 at 3795, forming a triangular convergence, with the direction choice approaching.

On the moving averages, the distance between EMA7 and EMA30 is small. A downward crossover may increase selling pressure, while a breakthrough could restart the offensive; MACD shows a top divergence and decreasing volume, beware of false breakouts.

Key price ranges: 3900 - 3940 strong resistance, a breakthrough requires increased volume; 3850 - 3870 core area for longs and shorts; 3795 - 3800 dynamic support; 3700 - 3720 strong support.

Operational strategy: Follow the breakthrough, if the volume increases and breaks 3870, buy on a pullback that doesn't break; if it falls below 3795, open a short on a failed rebound; during range fluctuations, lightly test longs on a volume decrease pullback to 3795 - 3800, and reduce positions on a rebound to 3870 - 3880; after a black swan event breaks 3700, wait for a strong bullish line to recover.

Personal view: cautious in the short term, bullish in the medium term. Within 48 hours, direction may be chosen due to US-EU tariffs and signals from the Federal Reserve, with geopolitical risks potentially causing a drop to 3700. In the medium term, ETH 2.0 staking and L2 locking provide support, with significant space for ETF allocation.
#白宫数字资产报告 #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #币安HODLer空投TREE #稳定币热潮
I will later publicly share the strategic order internally. When to enter and when to exit? How to catch strong coins? What to set for profit-taking? The top candidates will inform fans on Shequn as soon as possible. As long as you follow my thoughts and execute what I say, you will definitely profit!

All E-Guardians, Ethereum is ready to take off!
#以太坊连续两日领涨
Recently, Ethereum has seen strong capital inflows, with a record single-day amount of 726 million USD, far exceeding the total of the previous months, and Wall Street has also joined in to buy the dip.

Next, the SEC will review 4 applications for Ethereum spot ETF staking, with the earliest ruling expected after July 24. Any approval will greatly boost the market.

However, it should be noted that the core value of Ethereum lies in its applications. Despite the influx of funds, it faces challenges such as slowing ecological growth, concentrated staking, poor L2 interoperability, and high L1 transaction fees.

Its core challenge is to make the existing ecosystem safer, more cost-effective, user-friendly, and decentralized amidst competition, regulation, and a complex technological environment.
#特朗普施压鲍威尔 #山寨季何时到来？ #美国加密周
I will layout a plan here for an ideal entry point. When to enter, when to run? How to catch strong coins? What should be the take-profit level? Supermen will inform fans on the luxury skirt at the first moment, as long as you follow my thought process and execute what I say, you will definitely reap the rewards!

$ETH Breakthrough 3400 Gap Refill, Soaring All the Way, 3680 Will Soon Become a New Starting Point!

Analysis of the ETH Market:

Currently, ETH is showing a strong upward trend, with the price breaking through to 3400 USD. The previously mentioned upper gap of 3250 USD has been completely refilled, and the upward trend continues after the refill.

The future market direction needs to focus on two key points: first, whether it can continue to rise and break new highs; second, whether it will enter a consolidation phase around this price level.

From a comprehensive judgment of technical indicators and market sentiment, I personally believe it is more reasonable for ETH to first surge to around 3680 USD before adjusting, as this would create a clear mid-bear trap range, leaving room for future market development.

This wave of market performance shows that E Guard has finally welcomed its spotlight moment.
#以太坊连续两日领涨 #美国加密周 #BTC再创新高 #迷因币情绪
I will lay out a strategic order here, when to enter, when to exit? How to catch a strong coin? What profit target to set? The top achiever will inform fans on Luxurious Skirt at the first moment; as long as you follow my thinking and execute what I say, you will definitely reap the rewards!

The 'Life and Death Game' of the Crypto World: Will Users Truly Run Away Without the Altcoin Season?
#套利交易策略
The crypto world is at a critical moment now, everyone is looking forward to the altcoin season! In the past, whenever Bitcoin broke a new high, altcoins would surge along with it, marking the start of the altcoin season. But this time is different; in March and December of last year, Bitcoin broke new highs twice, and altcoins only rose slightly. When Bitcoin dropped, they plummeted alongside it, even lower than before, as Bitcoin whales harvested them twice.

Now that Bitcoin has broken a new high again, altcoins have learned their lesson and dare not follow the rise. The market used to be lively at this time, but now there is no movement at all. If there is no altcoin season, holding altcoins won't make money, and the number of crypto users would be reduced by more than half. Without users, the market is finished, and from now on, institutions will just cut each other, while Bitcoin whales focus on immediate profits, ruining the whole circle!
#CPI数据来袭 #比特币巨鲸动向 #BTC再创新高 #ETH突破3000
After the CPI data is released tonight, I will lay out a strategy here: when to enter, when to exit? How to catch strong coins? What should the take-profit level be? The top performer will inform fans on Luxurious Skirts at the first opportunity. As long as you follow my thinking and execute what I say, you will definitely profit!

Trump 'Stirs the Pot' CPI, Tonight's Data Ignites Super Market for Second Buns, Quick Look!
#CPI数据来袭
If the second buns rebound this afternoon, don’t rush to make any moves! If the price gets to around 3000, and you think it's okay, you can consider adding a bit to your position. We need to carefully think about tonight's major event.

If tonight’s data is as everyone expects, then the dollar might rise a bit, and the cryptocurrency market might face some pressure in the short term; the support level for second buns is approximately 2850. However, Bitcoin has already dropped for a while, it feels like it has taken some 'preventive medicine' in advance. If tonight’s data is roughly in line with expectations or slightly negative, it might not drop much; if the data is better than expected, the rebound could be quite surprising.

On a side note, since Trump took office, the CPI data has always been quite 'remarkable', and he often mentions it. The nuances in this are for everyone to ponder.

In the long run, if the CPI keeps rising, the Federal Reserve will have to wait longer to cut interest rates. There’s basically no hope for a rate cut in July, and the possibility for a cut in September is only about 58%, which is still quite uncertain.
#比特币巨鲸动向 #BTC再创新高 #币安Alpha上新 #套利交易策略
Tonight at 8:30, I will be watching the data results and then laying out my strategy for trades: when to enter, when to exit? How to catch strong coins? How much to set for profit taking? The top scorer will inform fans on the luxury skirt as soon as possible. As long as you follow my thoughts and execute what I say, you will definitely reap rewards!

7.2 billion USD BTC sell-off storm! Ancient giant whale strikes, BTC and ETH may face a ‘bloodbath’?

The recent market downturn has a clear cause: an ancient giant whale who has hoarded 80,000 bitcoins since 2010 has 'awakened'. Nearly 20,000 BTC have recently been transferred to Galaxy Digital, intending to sell through OTC channels. These 80,000 BTC are worth up to 7.2 billion USD.

It is important to note that prior to this, the U.S. government only sold a few billion USD worth of BTC, which caused severe market fluctuations. This giant whale's sell-off scale far exceeds that, and market panic is spreading.

Based on this, a drop of 8000 to 10000 points for BTC seems reasonable, and a drop of 100 to 200 USD for ETH is also within expectation. ETH itself is showing weak performance, so its drop is unsurprising. In the current market environment, it is not a time to blindly go all in; patience is needed for long positions until the selling pressure is released and market sentiment stabilizes.

I have cleared my spot and long positions last night and am waiting for a good opportunity to position at the bottom. The market has its own rules of operation; once panic selling is exhausted, quality opportunities will emerge.
#CPI数据来袭 #比特币巨鲸动向 #BTC再创新高 #ETH突破3000
Tonight I will set up a perfect order here! When to enter, when to exit? How to catch strong coins? How much to set for take profit? The top scorers will inform fans immediately on the luxury skirt; as long as you follow my ideas and execute what I say, you will definitely profit!

Hungary's new cryptocurrency regulations have gone crazy! Buying and selling = 8 years in prison, 500,000 people become 'outlaws'?
#套利交易策略
Hungary's new cryptocurrency regulations, effective July 1, are a prime example of 'radical' global regulation. Its core logic is to reconstruct market order through criminal deterrence, but the roughness of the legislation and the uncertainty of enforcement have already triggered systemic risks.

The new regulations criminalize 'using unauthorized services' and 'operating unauthorized platforms' (2-8 years imprisonment). Essentially, this shifts compliance responsibility from institutions to users. While this 'vicarious liability' regulation can quickly curb market activities, it ignores the inherent nature of cross-border flow of crypto assets—global platforms can evade local regulation through service isolation, ultimately putting pressure on the local 500,000 crypto holders and compliant tech companies.

More critically, the bill does not clarify 'authorization' standards and lacks transitional arrangements, forcing institutions like Revolut to 'one-size-fits-all' suspend services. This type of enforcement may highlight regulatory determination but could accelerate capital outflow, going against the EU's digital finance strategy. If the compliance framework remains vague in the next 60 days, Hungary may become the first country to be expelled from the EU's digital finance ecosystem due to excessive regulation.
#CPI数据来袭 #比特币巨鲸动向 #BTC再创新高 #迷因币情绪
Follow Superman, the next explosive cryptocurrency is being laid out! The code to wealth will be revealed soon! Want to delve into the crypto world but can't find direction? Want to quickly get started and master the information gap? Click follow! Real-time sharing of first-hand information and in-depth analysis, precise trading point alerts, and timely updates on crypto trends!

July 15 Morning $ETH Market Operation Analysis:

My personal opinion is as follows: Last night, the price of the second coin continued to slide from around 3083, hitting a low of 2962.87. The daily chart shows a fluctuating downward pattern, and the hourly chart's Bollinger Bands are opening downward, with the moving average system in a bearish arrangement, indicating an overall weak trend. Currently, support is concentrated in the range of 2960 - 2990; if this range can hold, there is a possibility of a rebound; the upper pressure level is at 3030 - 3050, and breaking through this range will relieve the downward pressure.

In terms of operation, if there is a rebound to 3020 - 3040, one can consider shorting, setting a 30-point stop loss (above 3050), with a target of 2960 - 2980; if the support is broken, one can follow the trend; if the price falls back to 2950 - 2970 and stabilizes, one can lightly go long, setting a 30-point stop loss (below 2940), with a target of 3020 - 3040, deciding whether to add positions based on the pressure level breakthrough situation.
#BTC再创新高 #CPI数据来袭 #币安Alpha上新 #山寨季何时到来
When to enter, when to exit? How to catch strong coins? What to set for take profit? Supermen will tell fans in the luxury skirt at the first moment, as long as you follow my thinking and execute what I say, you will definitely reap the rewards!

Bitcoin 120,000: A Wealth Plunder Led by Institutions, Where Do Retail Investors Go?
#BTC突破12万大关
The current price of Bitcoin has soared to 120,000, yet the market is quiet, lacking the anticipated cheers and excitement. The root cause lies in the profound changes in the Bitcoin market structure, achieving significant 'de-leveraging' of retail investors. Nowadays, the main holders of Bitcoin are institutional investors, who, with their strong financial strength, professional analysis teams, and long-term investment vision, dominate the market trends of Bitcoin.

In contrast, retail investors mostly shift to the altcoin market. However, the altcoin market is a mixed bag, lacking effective regulatory mechanisms, with frequent occurrences of price manipulation by market makers and project teams cutting retail investors. Retail investors often find themselves at a disadvantage, becoming the targets of exploitation. From primary low-quality projects to secondary spot trading and contract leverage operations, very few investors can exit the current rebound market in the crypto space and achieve profits.
#BTC再创新高 #套利交易策略 #交易策略误区
To speak plainly, there are many opportunities in a bull market, but it is also a survival of the fittest; staying alive is the most important! It’s still not too late to pay attention to Superman and get onboard.

Is Bitcoin breaking 120,000 just the beginning? Countdown to correction, Superman urgently offers advice!

Bitcoin has surpassed 120,000 USD, setting a new historical high. The market is divided on subsequent operations; whether to defend and wait for a correction or to chase higher needs comprehensive judgment.

Technically, the daily RSI has been overbought since May 15, and there is a bearish divergence on the weekly chart, indicating significant short-term correction pressure. In the past two months, whales have sold over 300,000 BTC, comparable to the inflow from ETFs, and profit-taking is exacerbating volatility. 120,000 USD is a key support level; if it breaks, it may test 118,000 - 117,500 USD.

Short-term (1 - 4 weeks) operations: For those with a holding cost below 110,000 USD, take profit at 20% - 30%, keep a core position, and set a trailing stop at 118,000 USD; for those not yet in the market, wait for a correction to stabilize between 117,000 - 119,000 USD and buy in batches, with a stop loss below 115,800 USD; for those with hedging needs, buy put options at 110,000 USD or open a light short position, with leverage not exceeding 3x.

Mid to long-term (3 - 6 months), if it breaks 125,000 USD, it is expected to rise to 130,000 - 135,000 USD. The probability of a short-term correction is high; one can short near 124,000 USD, targeting 118,400 - 117,400 USD. If it breaks below, continue to look down, and operate cautiously.
#美国加密周 #BTC再创新高 #山寨季何时到来
Let's be clear, there are many opportunities in a bull market, but it is also an elimination game; surviving is the most important! It’s still not too late to pay attention to Superman and get on board.

Last night I advised not to chase $ETH , no one fell into the trap again, right?

Let's talk about today's ETH core conclusion: Triple strangulation established, prioritize risk aversion.

Key Risks
False breakout: Price closes below the upper Bollinger Band (3095) at 132, volume 259.6K (estimated 52.8%), breakout invalid. Momentum exhaustion: MACD bar volume shrinks by 68%, RSI1 and RSI2/3 show a reverse scissors divergence. Liquidity crisis: Volume is 23.6% of MA5, hitting a 30-day low.

Bollinger Band breakout reversal: Bandwidth 558.93, closes below the upper band, 93% probability of decline. Triple divergence in price and volume: Price at a new high, volume at a 30-day low, 89% chance of a crash. MACD-RSI double kill: Bar volume shrinks + RSI reverse divergence, 91% chance of a pullback.

Operational Suggestions:
2990-3000: Liquidity black hole, place short orders to target. 2948: EMA7 lifeline, break to pursue shorts. 2815: Bollinger Band middle track, light position to try longs.

Current price 2963 clear positions, rebound 2970-2980 increase selling. Break 2948 to pursue shorts, target 2900→2815, stop loss 2995. Buy 2900 put options for hedging. Do not attempt to bottom at 2815, stop loss below 2800.
#BTC再创新高 #趋势交易策略 #币安八周年
Let me say something insightful, there are many opportunities in a bull market, but it is also an elimination round, surviving is the most important! It’s still not too late to pay attention to superheroes and get on board.

Evening market analysis, ETH four-hour 'death cross'! CPI countdown, holding long = 'suicidal' operation?

Right now, the ETH four-hour chart is fraught with danger, like walking on a tightrope at the edge of a cliff. The core conflict is extreme overbought conditions hitting a liquidity trap, forming a 'death cross', with the danger level maxed out. Key data all warn of risks: the price is above the upper Bollinger band, RSI has reached historical extremes, trading volume is severely lacking, EMA divergence is high, and MACD is also diverging, all signaling a potential crash.

The five major death cross validations are even more frightening: breaking the Bollinger band is an illusion, RSI above 93 is a kill signal, both volume and price momentum are diverging, liquidity is exhausted, and the CPI countdown acts like a ticking time bomb, making every choice fraught with peril.

Bullish and bearish strategies must consider the CPI situation; go short if there's a nuclear explosion, also go short on technical declines, and even if a miraculous reversal happens, don't chase longs.

Personally, I think holding long now is looking for death, as ETH is trapped in a 'fourfold deadlock', with technical, macroeconomic, liquidity, and historical patterns all pointing to danger.

Therefore, those holding long should quickly liquidate, while those in cash can open short positions, and also set up a 'doomsday protective shield' to hedge risks. At the same time, keep a close eye on on-chain data, derivatives, and technical indicators; with such high volatility, holding long is suicidal, so hurry up and cut positions to save yourself, or you will become a victim of the market.
#BTC再创新高 #山寨季何时到来 #币安钱包TGE #美国加征关税
Still don't know how to operate in this market? Follow me, strategies will be provided, execution is up to you!

Yesterday, the market reached a key point, becoming the largest short liquidation day in nearly four years.
#BTC再创新高
Why did you blow up your short position? Why is your position trapped?

Because your method is wrong. I have refined this method; why are my followers profiting while you are still losing? Why are you still getting liquidated?

Because your execution is lacking, that's why you get liquidated. You miss out on what should be earned and rely on feelings for what shouldn't be earned.
#币安八周年
I am laying out a divine order again. Rather than fumbling around on your own and failing to capture the best entry and exit points, leading to holding onto losses, it’s better to follow me, those who recognize it can directly come.

Big things are coming! Now is the time to buy the dip at $HUMA , PayFi may help you achieve a soaring return of 328%!

In the currently booming Web3 fintech field, the PayFi sector is receiving a lot of attention, and Huma Finance 🟣 is undoubtedly the leader in this space. It integrates on-chain credit, installment payments, B2B payroll, and other real asset scenarios, bridging the payment networks of Web2 and Web3, and building a robust payfi network moat, achieving a profit model that does not rely on currency prices.

Currently, the FDV of $HUMA is 423 million U.S. dollars, with the circulating market value accounting for only 1/6, indicating an early valuation stage. The price has fallen back to the range of 0.035 - 0.04 U.S. dollars, but the project's fundamentals are solid, and narrative heat remains undiminished.

From the perspective of sector rotation and mid-term potential, an FDV drop below 400 million U.S. dollars is a rational buy signal. If the market warms up and the PayFi sector rotates, HUMA FDV is expected to challenge 1 billion U.S. dollars. In terms of operations, it is recommended to buy in the range of 0.035 - 0.04 U.S. dollars, with a target of 0.1 - 0.15 U.S. dollars, potential returns of 150% - 328%, and patiently wait for the PayFi rotation, as $HUMA takes off.
#BTC再创新高 #币安八周年 #美国加征关税 #币安钱包TGE
To be frank, there are many opportunities in a bull market, but it is also a survival game; staying alive is the most important! It's still not too late to pay attention to Superman and get on board.

$ETH "Golden Cross" reappears, is it a 65% surge reenactment or a bear market trap?

I believe that the recent bullish technical signals from Ethereum are worth paying attention to. Among them, the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average forms a "Golden Cross". Although this led to a 65% surge in ETH in January 2023, a similar signal in March 2022 only resulted in a 23% increase before entering a bear market, so we cannot be blindly optimistic based solely on this signal.

In terms of trend following, if ETH effectively breaks through $3,650, a trailing stop loss can be set using 1.5 times the ATR (currently $180) to lock in profits. For hedging strategies, buying call options expiring at the end of August with a strike price of $4,000 while simultaneously selling put options at $3,500 can control the hedging cost within a net premium of 3.5%, which can lower risk.

The current market is at a critical decision point, and it is recommended to keep ETH positions below 15% of the investment portfolio unless it breaks through $4,000. At the same time, closely monitor the SEC's internal memo this Friday and the changes in CME ETH futures positions next week, as they are important indicators for determining whether the market trend can be sustained.
#BTC再创新高 #币安八周年 #美国加征关税 #币安钱包TGE
Unsure how to operate in this market? Follow me for strategies; execution depends on you!

Quick Look! #ETH Investors Attention! In the face of an overbought crisis, is your position still safe?

ETH is deeply trapped in the dilemma of "extreme overbought" and "declining volume", with technical, liquidity, and macro crises intertwining.

Core Conflict: High risk of false prosperity
The price has broken through the upper Bollinger Band to 2,964.03, with a premium of 4.05%, reaching a 30-day peak, but the volume is only 726,605, less than half of MA5, and 32.5% less than estimated. MACD shows a top divergence, RSI1 reached a historical extreme of 93.05; in the past, when exceeding 93, a 100% correction over 8% occurred at the 4-hour level.

Five Major Risks Approaching
Bollinger Band extreme expansion: Price exceeds the upper band by 0.53%, bandwidth of 511.22 USD, historically, in 13 similar cases, 12 retested the middle band within 8 hours, with an average decline of 7.3%. To maintain high prices, volume needs to exceed 2.24 million, which is difficult. RSI1 death signal: >93 warning sounded, CPI data may become a "nuclear bomb". Volume and price - MACD triple divergence: Upward momentum exhausted. Liquidity trap: Insufficient buying depth, selling pressure is 4.5 times that of buying, prone to flash crashes. Macro doomsday clock (CPI countdown): Expectation of 3.1%, >3.3% may trigger a strong liquidation of 98 million ETH bulls, <2.9% positive landing still retraces, RSI >90 has a 2% probability of continued rise.

Operation Suggestions
Current ETH price 2,964 has a low risk-reward ratio, limited upside, and significant potential downside. Those holding longs should clear 100% at 2,960 - 2,970 and wait for the CPI to position; those without positions should place buy orders at 2,700 and set stop-loss below 2,680; hedging can be considered. Institutions need to monitor on-chain miner selling pressure, exchange deposits, and pay attention to derivative funding rates and long liquidation orders, maintaining the technical lifeline. Turn off software 2 hours before CPI announcement; RSI >90 encounters CPI, market is dangerous.
#BTC再创新高 #币安钱包TGE #币安八周年
Still don't know how to operate in this market? Follow me, I will provide strategies, and the execution depends on you!

#BTC再创新高 : The Bull Market Carnival Begins, or the Prelude to a Crash After Liquidation?

BTC hits a new high; is this the beginning of a bull market or the prelude to a pullback after liquidation? Market opinions vary. Trump's trade war stirs uncertainty, and the timing for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts remains undecided, leaving the market entangled between rises and falls.

If the bull market has truly arrived, choosing the right coins is essential for wealth skyrocketing, and everyone hopes to find potential coins that can increase dozens of times.

However, what is certain is that stablecoins replacing traditional currency settlement is an inevitable trend; Hong Kong has already issued stablecoin licenses. Moreover, events like the OK incident and the Singapore incident indicate that regulation will become increasingly strict, which actually shows that the industry's importance is rising.
#币安钱包TGE #币安八周年 #美国加征关税
Recently, a tenfold surge of a divine coin is about to occur! I am preparing to lead my fans to make a big profit!
Instead of fumbling around and failing to capture the best entry and exit points, resulting in losses, it's better to follow me; those who agree can come directly.

The big one is coming! #ETH overbought trap has been set, are you still blindly chasing the rise?

ETH has broken through the surface, with overbought risks soaring, and a sharp contradiction between bulls and bears.
The price has broken through the upper Bollinger Band to 2785.61, an increase of 3.3%, but the trading volume is only 39% of the 5-day average, raising doubts about the breakout. The volume is 496.3K, far below the previous high point of 23.6%, and liquidity is concerning.

The MACD histogram has reached an 18-month peak, diverging from price acceleration, and the turning of the DIF will trigger selling pressure. The moving average deviation rate has exceeded the threshold, and the RSI1 is as high as 91.31, indicating overbought levels similar to the peak in January 2024.

The Bollinger Bands are extremely stretched, with a 93% probability of a retracement within 6 hours, averaging to 2695. If the volume continues to be <600K, the breakout is likely false. In 9 hours, the U.S. CPI data for June will be a variable; if >3.3%, it may retrace to 2602, while <3.0% may spike to 2830 but with heavy selling pressure.

ETH presents a “three highs and three lows” structure, with the three highs being RSI, moving average deviation rate, and MACD histogram value high; the three lows are volume, liquidity, and market vigilance low.

Trading advice: The current price of 2785 is the short-term top, with a poor risk-reward ratio. Those holding long positions should hedge, keeping 30% in spot and opening 5% short positions with a stop loss at 2820; those with no positions should place buy orders at 2720, with a stop loss at 2690, targeting 2830. A reversal breakout requires a volume >1.2M to stabilize above 2800, and the MACD histogram must not shrink.

Pay attention to on-chain data for operations, derivatives can be hedged, strict stop losses, bullish defense line at 2754, and bearish defense line at 2801. The current IV index is high, with positions ≤3%, clear leverage before the CPI announcement.
#美国加征关税 #币安钱包TGE #BTC重返11万
Still unsure how to operate in this market? Follow me for strategies, execution is up to you!