[Critical truth warning] A former institutional vulture trader's crypto survival rules
🚨I am Lao K, a user of naked K technology for 7 years, and I have witnessed how institutions cut leeks for 3 years. Now I will use the on-chain microscope to help you see through the dealer's cards: ⚠Do you remember the Filecoin battle royale of the century? I warned miners of a death spiral 153 days in advance, but the project team dumped the market and 98% of the mining industry was wiped out - the people who scolded me at that time now have two-meter-high grass on their graves!
💎Last November, when everyone was laughing at AI Coin as a bubble, my on-chain scanner captured unusual movements in the a16z wallet, leading subscribers to take advantage of 30 times the market value of AI16Z and other targets - many Twitter KOLs directly copied my analysis framework!
I am waiting for $3,500 for gold! $45 for silver! Bitcoin is hard to rebound significantly. Will Walsh be elected and explore again? Why is silver so fragile?
Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin: A Reversal Opportunity After the Bubble Clears
In the current complex and volatile global macro environment, various assets are undergoing intense fluctuations. By integrating fundamental analysis, geopolitical news, and technical analysis, we find that the market is showing obvious 'de-bubbling' characteristics. Below is an in-depth analysis of the market for gold, silver, and bitcoin.
1. Gold: High Slope Rise Accumulates Bubble, Waiting for the 'Best Reversal' at $3,700
After reaching a historical high of $5,600 per ounce, gold is currently in a correction phase. Although it has gained some support on the hourly uptrend line and attempts to rise gradually, it has not broken the adjustment pattern, and the bullish momentum has not fully reversed.
BTC is expected to test again, the Dow Jones Industrial Average hits a historic high, which is very dangerous for BTC! #Ethereum #Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis On the evening of February 11, it is recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #何时抄底?
Gold, I wait for 3500 dollars! Silver waits for 45 dollars! Bitcoin is difficult to rebound significantly. Will Walsh be elected and have another probe? Why is silver so fragile? #Bitcoin #Ethereum On the morning of February 12, it is recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #黄金白银反弹
BTC Double Test as Expected, Dow Jones Industrial Average Hits Record High, Dangerous for BTC!
1. Current situation: 'Double test' market under bearish trend Currently, Bitcoin has entered the 'double test' phase as expected. From the daily chart, yesterday's market closed with a spinning top candlestick with a long shadow, and today's market continues to decline. As previously analyzed, the current major trend is still under the dominance of bears, and both the weekly and daily levels indicate that shorting on rallies is the mainstream strategy. In terms of specific entry points, the range of $72,000 to $73,000 is the ideal area for short positions. As for long positions, although a very short-term rebound can be attempted if quickly recovered near $67,000 to $68,000, this is considered a typical counter-trend operation with extremely high risk. Currently, the one-hour level has broken below the key trendline, suggesting the possibility of further downward exploration.
BTC is expected to test again, the Dow Jones Industrial Average hits a historic high, which is very dangerous for BTC! #Ethereum #Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis On the evening of February 11, it is recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #何时抄底?
Regarding the recent hot topics, let's make a comment. Recently, He Yi has been acting out again, liking AI parody videos and playing the tired meme of 'attacking the bright top,' actively tagging relevant parties to appear nonchalant. She has long mastered this art of dodging heavy topics. 1 Back in the day, her friend relied on her connections to cut in line for coin listings, engaged in insider trading and reaped profits while a large number of users lost everything. She only held a 6-hour AMA, choked up while selling her tragic story and shifted the blame with malicious smear tactics, ultimately providing neither compensation nor rectification, and the matter was left unresolved. 2 The platform has frequently crashed, employees have been involved in corruption and bribery, and chaos in coin listings has become rampant. Junk coins and air coins have been launched in bulk, yet she never publicly addresses the details, relying instead on memes and irony to divert attention, treating users' losses as a joke. 3 Binance has faced regulatory investigations in multiple countries and was fined $4.3 billion for money laundering and illegal operations, yet she remains silent on compliance issues, instead using AI parody videos to downplay the matter, adopting a nonchalant attitude while the core problems remain unaddressed. On the other hand, Zhao Changpeng has been repeatedly mentioning his past of working odd jobs and selling his house to buy coins during recent live streams, portraying himself as a weathered entrepreneur, but in reality, he is cut from the same cloth as He Yi. 4 He has previously pleaded guilty and resigned, been fined heavily, and apologized for misappropriating user funds. After being pardoned by Trump, he quietly resumed his role related to Binance, holding controlling shares but avoiding discussions about the user complaints and financial risks left by the platform. 5 The two of them play off each other; He Yi is responsible for being tough and shifting blame, using entertainment to cover their dark history, while Zhao Changpeng sells a persona and downplays his own guilt. From the friend coin, employee corruption to regulatory fines and user liquidations, all issues are covered up by their performances, and no real solutions have ever been provided. Ultimately, both of them are irresponsible opportunists, only caring about their own interests and reputation. The survival of users and the compliance of the platform are worthless in their eyes; being nonchalant and selling a tragic story is merely a cover for evading responsibility.
Currently, the gold and silver trends are more stable than Bitcoin, and the overall structure remains a bullish trend. However, it is not the best time to buy spot directly in the medium to long term. For short-term strategies, you can refer to what I mentioned in my previous video: if gold pulls back to **$4700**, and can hold, it is possible to go long with a stop loss on contracts, or to take short-term long positions in spot.
The truly suitable nodes for medium-term layout should be observed after Trump is elected, the formal implementation of tapering, and strong dollar policies. Historically, the strong dollar cycle of former Federal Reserve Chairman **Volcker** in the 1980s had a significant impact on gold; this time, it is not ruled out that the dollar may experience a pullback, creating an opportunity to "pick up people in reverse." However, unlike back then, central banks around the world are continuously increasing their gold holdings, so the magnitude of this gold pullback is unlikely to be as extreme as in the 1980s, and the long-term outlook for gold remains positive.
On the silver side: Previously, many people missed the rise from 70 to 130, and now it has fallen back to over 60, with many fearing to miss the next wave. But everyone should be clear: silver is currently around **$80**, which is more about speculation and bubbles, and not supported by real industrial demand. The so-called demand from new energy and AI cannot support such high silver prices; high prices will instead severely suppress industrial use.
Historically, silver has dropped by 60%–70% as a routine operation, and if gold pulls back with strong dollar expectations, silver's decline will only be more severe than gold's. In the future, we cannot rule out the situation of bubble bursts and intentional price suppression by funds. The real suitable range for large-scale bottom-fishing in silver is **$40–50**. If you really want to layout in advance, you can do dollar-cost averaging: below **$70**, you can gradually build positions. $PAXG $XAG
Gold, silver, and Bitcoin are about to change trend! #Ethereum #Bitcoin #Gold #Silver On the morning of February 10th, it is recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #黄金白银反弹
The biggest reason for the BTC crash may be due to BlackRock's forced liquidation! Does deleveraging mean the bottom is in? Is now the time to buy the dip? How long will it take for the bear market to bottom out? On February 9, it is recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #何时抄底?
Has BTC bottomed out and is it returning? High probability of a bull trap! Has gold bottomed out?
1. Market Overview: A phase stop decline does not equal a market reversal. Currently, Bitcoin's market is experiencing severe fluctuations, and there is a significant divide in the market regarding 'whether the bottom has been reached'. Through a comprehensive interpretation of technical analysis, news, and market funding, we find that although a bullish candlestick with increased volume has appeared on the daily chart, it has not fully engulfed the previous bearish candlestick's body. It is worth noting that the bearish candlestick with increased volume from the day before yesterday, combined with yesterday's bullish candlestick with increased volume, forms a typical signal of a 'phase extreme market'. Although a V-shaped rebound has occurred on the hourly level, from the daily chart perspective, the price has not yet recovered the key resistance level. Currently, it can only be determined as a phase stop decline, rather than a major reversal of the market. Unless the price can strongly engulf the key resistance line above, we cannot assert that a reversal has occurred.
Has BTC bottomed out and is the bull returning? High probability of a false rally! Has gold bottomed out? #Bitcoin #比特幣 #Ethereum Watch at 1.5x speed on February 7. #加密市场反弹
Welcome to the bear market! CZ has really hurt the retail investors! Is it over? Will it drop below 50,000 next? What is the reason for the crash? Will there be a rebound? On February 6, it is recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #全球科技股抛售冲击风险资产
Is there an opportunity for the market to reverse? Three possibilities for Bitcoin's V-shaped reversal!
The current market sentiment overwhelmingly believes that Bitcoin is doomed, and Old K also thinks it is highly likely to break below $70,000. Of course, if any of the following three situations occur, Bitcoin may have a V-shaped reversal, so remember to go short in time, as the fundamentals have not changed in the short term. 1. One reversal script: Extremely crowded 'short covering' (Short Squeeze) Logic: Everyone in the world knows that the Fed is going to taper, and they all know Bitcoin is going to fall. Retail investors are panic selling, and speculators are crazily opening short positions. When everyone is on one side of the boat, it not only risks capsizing but also tilting violently to the other side.
Is Bitcoin entering a bear market or bottoming out? Did the gold crash happen because it was defeated by the dollar? Has the market fully reacted to Waller's hawkish interest rate cuts? Bitcoin is very likely to drop below 70,000! Ultimately, gold will triumph over dollar assets! On February 2, it's recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #沃什成美联储主席最大热门
BTC falls below $86,000, next step $80,000? Just recorded the show and immediately crashed! It is highly likely that $80,000 has strong support!
1. Sudden market change: The signal significance of Bitcoin falling below $86,000 At the beginning of this analysis, the Bitcoin price had already fallen below $86,000. Initially, there was still some uncertainty about whether it would further dip to $80,000, so I deliberately kept the question when creating related content. However, the market experienced a significant flash crash within just a few minutes, directly confirming the previous judgment direction. This rapid decline has basically covered and realized the core conclusion of this analysis. From the market performance, this is not an ordinary correction, but an accelerated decline where both sentiment and structure are changing simultaneously.
BTC fell below 86,000, is the next step 80,000? Just recorded the program and it immediately plummeted! There is a high probability that 80,000 has strong support! #Bitcoin #Ethereum January 30, recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #美国伊朗对峙
Once gone, gold does not return? Is the Bitcoin rebound coming to an end? There is a high probability of a government shutdown on the 30th; what impact will it have on gold and Bitcoin respectively? Major global risks trigger a gold frenzy! On January 29, it is recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #美联储维持利率不变
Gold and silver continue to rise depending on important news on the 30th! Bitcoin continues to rebound as expected, where to? Will the hype continue to soar? What is ETH's status? On the morning of January 28th, it is recommended to watch at 1.5x speed. #美联储利率决议
Silver and Gold Severely Overbought! Bitcoin is Due for a Bounce. Rate cuts and tariffs are already priced in by the market. Shorts, definitely aim for high shorts!
1. Current Market Sentiment: Dislocation of Safe-Haven and Risk Assets
Recent market sentiment is clearly split. On one hand, geopolitical uncertainties are rising, and governments around the world are increasingly willing to allocate to physical gold; on the other hand, Bitcoin, as the narrative of 'digital gold,' is facing a trust test in the short term, resembling a risk asset highly correlated with U.S. stocks, especially the Nasdaq.
In this context, gold and silver have previously seen significant capital inflow, but from a technical perspective, precious metals have entered a seriously overbought zone, making it difficult to maintain this strong state for the long term, whether on a weekly or daily basis. In contrast, after a series of pullbacks, Bitcoin now has the foundational conditions for a technical rebound in the short term.