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【Beginner's Contract Class 05】Stop flipping coins to guess the ups and downs! Learn to understand the 'red-green code' of candlesticks; the intentions of the market makers are all within.
In the last few classes, we learned how to open a position and how to preserve our capital.
Starting from this class, we will enter the realm of technical analysis and address the core question: when exactly should we buy? When should we sell?
Many beginners look at the market like it's a foreign language: 'Why does it go red one moment and green the next? Why does this line have a 'tail'?'
In fact, candlestick charts are the language of the market. Each candlestick represents the battlefield record left by the bulls (buyers) and bears (sellers) fighting.
Today, we'll analyze two real trading charts of $ETH to teach you how to understand this 'battlefield code'.
Starting from this class, we will enter the realm of technical analysis and address the core question: when exactly should we buy? When should we sell?
Many beginners look at the market like it's a foreign language: 'Why does it go red one moment and green the next? Why does this line have a 'tail'?'
In fact, candlestick charts are the language of the market. Each candlestick represents the battlefield record left by the bulls (buyers) and bears (sellers) fighting.
Today, we'll analyze two real trading charts of $ETH to teach you how to understand this 'battlefield code'.
Silicon Valley Whistleblower Reveals: The AI 'Stagnation' is an Illusion, an Exponential Explosion is Happening in the Laboratory! How Can Ordinary People Capture This Wave of Cryptocurrency Benefits?
Brothers, many people have recently complained to me: "Xunshui, it feels like the AI track has cooled off? ChatGPT seems just okay, nothing new."
If you also feel this way, congratulations, you are being blinded by the 'cognitive gap.' And this is exactly the state that major funds prefer.
Recently, HyperWrite CEO Matt Shumer published an article titled (Something Big Is Happening), which has caused a significant stir within Silicon Valley.
After studying the original text overnight, I discovered an astonishing wealth code that combines our cryptocurrency market logic. Today, I won't talk about candlestick charts, but rather this underlying logic that may determine the scale of your assets over the next 3 years.
If you also feel this way, congratulations, you are being blinded by the 'cognitive gap.' And this is exactly the state that major funds prefer.
Recently, HyperWrite CEO Matt Shumer published an article titled (Something Big Is Happening), which has caused a significant stir within Silicon Valley.
After studying the original text overnight, I discovered an astonishing wealth code that combines our cryptocurrency market logic. Today, I won't talk about candlestick charts, but rather this underlying logic that may determine the scale of your assets over the next 3 years.
【Beginner Futures Class 04】Why do you always lose everything in one trade? Unveiling the expert's 'Immortal Secret': Position Management
In the first three classes, we learned how to open positions and set take-profit and stop-loss.
But I dare bet that 90% of beginners are still making a fatal mistake:
“I am sure that $BTC or $ETH will rise, so I go straight in with 50x leverage, fully invested (100%)!”
Bro, this is not trading; this is handing over your head.
As long as the market fluctuates against you by 1%, your principal is gone.
Today, I won't speak hypothetically; with two practical operation images, I will teach you a set of **“Survival Position Formula”**.
1. A suicide attack with only one bullet 🔫
Many beginners have this posture when opening positions: they pick a coin and directly pull the lever to the max.
But I dare bet that 90% of beginners are still making a fatal mistake:
“I am sure that $BTC or $ETH will rise, so I go straight in with 50x leverage, fully invested (100%)!”
Bro, this is not trading; this is handing over your head.
As long as the market fluctuates against you by 1%, your principal is gone.
Today, I won't speak hypothetically; with two practical operation images, I will teach you a set of **“Survival Position Formula”**.
1. A suicide attack with only one bullet 🔫
Many beginners have this posture when opening positions: they pick a coin and directly pull the lever to the max.
Hardcore! Binance responds to data doubts: Don't believe it? Feel free to withdraw and test at any time! Is this the confidence of the universe?💪
Recently, third-party data (Coinglass/DefiLlama) has shown abnormal data from exchanges, causing panic among people.
Just now, Binance officially tweeted a response!
But what shocked me the most about this announcement wasn't the explanation of the data, but the last two sentences of **“riding face output”**:
Confronting doubts: The so-called data inconsistency is just an issue with third-party scraping, and it takes time to recover.
Super confident: The official directly suggests - “We believe that regularly conducting withdrawal tests on all trading platforms is a positive and healthy practice.”
Industry initiative: “All platforms should establish an annual ‘Withdrawal Day’!”
🤯 Seeking water interpretation:
Brothers, savor the value of this statement.
The neighboring competitor is “not only pulling the plug but also freezing your account, afraid you might run away.”
Binance is “welcome to withdraw, to verify the authenticity of our assets.”
This is the confidence of a top exchange.
In the crypto world, Proof of Reserves is not just talk; it is proven by the ability to “withdraw at any time.”
For us retail investors, the criteria for choosing an exchange have become simpler: Are you willing to support an “Annual Withdrawal Day”? Those who dare are true brothers, and those who don’t... understand what I mean.😏
#bnb #币安 #储备金证明 #行业风向 #内容挖矿
Recently, third-party data (Coinglass/DefiLlama) has shown abnormal data from exchanges, causing panic among people.
Just now, Binance officially tweeted a response!
But what shocked me the most about this announcement wasn't the explanation of the data, but the last two sentences of **“riding face output”**:
Confronting doubts: The so-called data inconsistency is just an issue with third-party scraping, and it takes time to recover.
Super confident: The official directly suggests - “We believe that regularly conducting withdrawal tests on all trading platforms is a positive and healthy practice.”
Industry initiative: “All platforms should establish an annual ‘Withdrawal Day’!”
🤯 Seeking water interpretation:
Brothers, savor the value of this statement.
The neighboring competitor is “not only pulling the plug but also freezing your account, afraid you might run away.”
Binance is “welcome to withdraw, to verify the authenticity of our assets.”
This is the confidence of a top exchange.
In the crypto world, Proof of Reserves is not just talk; it is proven by the ability to “withdraw at any time.”
For us retail investors, the criteria for choosing an exchange have become simpler: Are you willing to support an “Annual Withdrawal Day”? Those who dare are true brothers, and those who don’t... understand what I mean.😏
#bnb #币安 #储备金证明 #行业风向 #内容挖矿
【Non-Farm Depth】Does bad news turn into good news? Don’t just focus on interest rate cuts; this is the underlying logic behind the Bitcoin rally!🤔
After the recent non-farm data was released, the market fell and then rose, leaving many people confused.
"Why didn't it fall even though the data exceeded expectations (bad news for interest rate cuts)?"
In fact, if you only focus on the two words 'interest rate cut', your perspective is too narrow.
Based on the latest published data, let’s take a different angle and see what **'smart money'** is trading.
1. Economic 'soft landing' is more important than 'interest rate cuts' 🛡️
Take a look at the core data:
Unemployment rate: decreased from 4.4% to 4.3%.
Employment numbers: 130,000, significantly exceeding previous values and expectations.
Interpretation:
What does this indicate? It indicates that the U.S. economy is improving and is very resilient!
For the current risk market (U.S. stocks, cryptocurrency), the weight of 'economic stability without a crash' is actually higher than 'interest rate cuts'.
As long as the economy does not go into recession, corporate profits will be stable, and asset prices will have support.
2. Wage increases = Consumer engine not stalled ⛽
Wage data: Average hourly wage annual rate (3.7%) and monthly rate (0.4%) are both rising.
Interpretation:
This is the strongest signal of economic resilience. Workers have money in their pockets, indicating consumption capacity.
Although this might make inflation a bit stubborn, compared to deflation and recession, this is definitely good news.
This data gives a shot of confidence to the U.S. economy, eliminating market fears of a 'hard landing'.
3. The logic of interest rate cuts has changed: Look at Trump, not the data 👑
Many brothers are still trading cryptocurrencies according to textbooks, thinking that good data must lead to a drop.
But don’t forget whose era it is now — Trump’s.
Interpretation:
The significance of the data in recent months is actually diminishing marginally.
The future pace of interest rate cuts has shifted the market's focus from 'cold data' to 'people'.
Interest rate cuts are Trump’s job, and also the task of the Federal Reserve chair he appointed. As long as there is political will, the overall direction of monetary easing will not change.
📝 Summary
Today’s market tells us:
Bad news not falling is good news.
The market is digesting the dividends brought by 'strong economy' instead of getting tangled up in the bad news of 'cutting rates once less'.
Brothers, look beyond the data to see the essence; don’t get carried away by emotions.
#BTC #非农就业数据 #宏观分析 #内容挖矿
After the recent non-farm data was released, the market fell and then rose, leaving many people confused.
"Why didn't it fall even though the data exceeded expectations (bad news for interest rate cuts)?"
In fact, if you only focus on the two words 'interest rate cut', your perspective is too narrow.
Based on the latest published data, let’s take a different angle and see what **'smart money'** is trading.
1. Economic 'soft landing' is more important than 'interest rate cuts' 🛡️
Take a look at the core data:
Unemployment rate: decreased from 4.4% to 4.3%.
Employment numbers: 130,000, significantly exceeding previous values and expectations.
Interpretation:
What does this indicate? It indicates that the U.S. economy is improving and is very resilient!
For the current risk market (U.S. stocks, cryptocurrency), the weight of 'economic stability without a crash' is actually higher than 'interest rate cuts'.
As long as the economy does not go into recession, corporate profits will be stable, and asset prices will have support.
2. Wage increases = Consumer engine not stalled ⛽
Wage data: Average hourly wage annual rate (3.7%) and monthly rate (0.4%) are both rising.
Interpretation:
This is the strongest signal of economic resilience. Workers have money in their pockets, indicating consumption capacity.
Although this might make inflation a bit stubborn, compared to deflation and recession, this is definitely good news.
This data gives a shot of confidence to the U.S. economy, eliminating market fears of a 'hard landing'.
3. The logic of interest rate cuts has changed: Look at Trump, not the data 👑
Many brothers are still trading cryptocurrencies according to textbooks, thinking that good data must lead to a drop.
But don’t forget whose era it is now — Trump’s.
Interpretation:
The significance of the data in recent months is actually diminishing marginally.
The future pace of interest rate cuts has shifted the market's focus from 'cold data' to 'people'.
Interest rate cuts are Trump’s job, and also the task of the Federal Reserve chair he appointed. As long as there is political will, the overall direction of monetary easing will not change.
📝 Summary
Today’s market tells us:
Bad news not falling is good news.
The market is digesting the dividends brought by 'strong economy' instead of getting tangled up in the bad news of 'cutting rates once less'.
Brothers, look beyond the data to see the essence; don’t get carried away by emotions.
#BTC #非农就业数据 #宏观分析 #内容挖矿
Everyone in the square is talking about the "517 BTC" gossip from the neighboring competitor, but after looking around, no one has clearly explained the core logic. This is not just gossip; it's a "life-saving lesson" for all contract players! 🚫
【What Happened】
In simple terms, this is a bloody battle of **"Whales vs Platform Risk Control"**.
The parties involved revealed: Back then, due to excessive positions, they were judged by the platform as "malicious market manipulation" and "abnormal trading".
The result was: the account was directly frozen, and even trying to stop losses was impossible, watching the market drop until liquidation, and finally, the 517 large cakes in the account were also "confiscated".
【Core Controversy: Who Sets the Rules?】
@TingHu raised several chilling questions for all traders:
"Early Liquidation": Being liquidated before reaching the forced liquidation line, is this protection or harvesting?
"Frozen Account": Since they perceive risk, why not allow users to close positions and stop losses themselves? Directly pulling the network cable to freeze, isn’t that artificially creating a liquidation?
"Final Interpretation Authority": Take a look at the terms in the announcement — "The platform reserves the right to restrict trading and forcibly liquidate when deemed necessary..." This sentence is terrifying upon deeper thought.
【Seeking Water Interpretation: How Can Retail Investors Protect Themselves?】
Although this is an old story from 2018 about "liquidation sharing" (now major exchanges have risk reserves), the logic still applies:
The platform is greater than everything: In centralized exchanges, your opponent may sometimes not only be the market but also the rule makers. Do not attempt to challenge the platform's risk control bottom line (for example, positions that threaten the platform's liquidity).
Don’t put all your eggs in one basket: Placing 500 large cakes in any single account is a huge risk.
Choose top-tier exchanges: Why has Seeking Water always emphasized liquidity and risk reserves?
When small exchanges encounter such "whale liquidations", in order not to go bankrupt, they can only pull the network cable and implement sharing, making users pay the price.
Only top-tier exchanges with sufficient depth and robust risk funds (those who understand, understand) can withstand such severe fluctuations without needing to "pull" users' network cables.
While we gossip, brothers, take a look at your own accounts; choosing the right platform is really important. 🙏
#BTC #风控 #内容挖矿
【What Happened】
In simple terms, this is a bloody battle of **"Whales vs Platform Risk Control"**.
The parties involved revealed: Back then, due to excessive positions, they were judged by the platform as "malicious market manipulation" and "abnormal trading".
The result was: the account was directly frozen, and even trying to stop losses was impossible, watching the market drop until liquidation, and finally, the 517 large cakes in the account were also "confiscated".
【Core Controversy: Who Sets the Rules?】
@TingHu raised several chilling questions for all traders:
"Early Liquidation": Being liquidated before reaching the forced liquidation line, is this protection or harvesting?
"Frozen Account": Since they perceive risk, why not allow users to close positions and stop losses themselves? Directly pulling the network cable to freeze, isn’t that artificially creating a liquidation?
"Final Interpretation Authority": Take a look at the terms in the announcement — "The platform reserves the right to restrict trading and forcibly liquidate when deemed necessary..." This sentence is terrifying upon deeper thought.
【Seeking Water Interpretation: How Can Retail Investors Protect Themselves?】
Although this is an old story from 2018 about "liquidation sharing" (now major exchanges have risk reserves), the logic still applies:
The platform is greater than everything: In centralized exchanges, your opponent may sometimes not only be the market but also the rule makers. Do not attempt to challenge the platform's risk control bottom line (for example, positions that threaten the platform's liquidity).
Don’t put all your eggs in one basket: Placing 500 large cakes in any single account is a huge risk.
Choose top-tier exchanges: Why has Seeking Water always emphasized liquidity and risk reserves?
When small exchanges encounter such "whale liquidations", in order not to go bankrupt, they can only pull the network cable and implement sharing, making users pay the price.
Only top-tier exchanges with sufficient depth and robust risk funds (those who understand, understand) can withstand such severe fluctuations without needing to "pull" users' network cables.
While we gossip, brothers, take a look at your own accounts; choosing the right platform is really important. 🙏
#BTC #风控 #内容挖矿
⚠️ War risk + Non-Farm Payroll night! Tonight is bound to be sleepless, how is your position?
Brothers, last night was just an appetizer, the real "super storm" starts tonight.
On one side is Trump's "aircraft carrier pressure", on the other side is the non-farm employment data to be released tonight.
Geopolitical crisis + macroeconomic nuclear bomb = epic volatility.
🚨 Breaking black swan: Geopolitical situation escalates
News: According to AXIOS, Trump will hold the second round of US-Iran talks next week and has dispatched a second aircraft carrier strike group as a "hardline measure."
Interpretation: This signal of "putting a gun on the negotiation table" has caused the market's risk aversion sentiment to surge. Once the negotiations change, the trends of gold and Bitcoin will completely detach from the technical aspect.
📅 Upcoming life and death moments (UTC+8):
1️⃣ Tonight (Wednesday) 21:30 — Decisive battle of non-farm 💣
Data: US January unemployment rate + non-farm payroll (NFP).
Interpretation: This is the "final judgment" for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut.
Data explosion (employment too good) ➡️ No hope for rate cuts ➡️ Bearish.
Data cold snap (employment bad) ➡️ Recession expectations ➡️ May drop first and then rise (betting on rate cuts).
2️⃣ Friday 21:30 — Inflation major test 💣
Data: CPI inflation data.
Interpretation: The final BOSS of this week, determining the tone for next week's market.
🛡️ Seeking water strategy:
All old news (Tuesday data) has passed, the current market is a bet on "tonight".
Empty position for risk aversion: Unless you are a gambler, it is recommended to stay out of the market 15 minutes before the data release tonight.
Pay attention to gold/$BTC correlation: If geopolitical crisis leads to a surge in gold, $BTC may follow to serve as a "safe haven"; but if the economic data is bearish, $BTC will fall along with the US stock market.
Stay tuned for insights, tonight at 21:30, I will interpret the data in real-time at the square.👀
#非农 #地缘政治 #宏观分析 #内容挖矿
Brothers, last night was just an appetizer, the real "super storm" starts tonight.
On one side is Trump's "aircraft carrier pressure", on the other side is the non-farm employment data to be released tonight.
Geopolitical crisis + macroeconomic nuclear bomb = epic volatility.
🚨 Breaking black swan: Geopolitical situation escalates
News: According to AXIOS, Trump will hold the second round of US-Iran talks next week and has dispatched a second aircraft carrier strike group as a "hardline measure."
Interpretation: This signal of "putting a gun on the negotiation table" has caused the market's risk aversion sentiment to surge. Once the negotiations change, the trends of gold and Bitcoin will completely detach from the technical aspect.
📅 Upcoming life and death moments (UTC+8):
1️⃣ Tonight (Wednesday) 21:30 — Decisive battle of non-farm 💣
Data: US January unemployment rate + non-farm payroll (NFP).
Interpretation: This is the "final judgment" for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut.
Data explosion (employment too good) ➡️ No hope for rate cuts ➡️ Bearish.
Data cold snap (employment bad) ➡️ Recession expectations ➡️ May drop first and then rise (betting on rate cuts).
2️⃣ Friday 21:30 — Inflation major test 💣
Data: CPI inflation data.
Interpretation: The final BOSS of this week, determining the tone for next week's market.
🛡️ Seeking water strategy:
All old news (Tuesday data) has passed, the current market is a bet on "tonight".
Empty position for risk aversion: Unless you are a gambler, it is recommended to stay out of the market 15 minutes before the data release tonight.
Pay attention to gold/$BTC correlation: If geopolitical crisis leads to a surge in gold, $BTC may follow to serve as a "safe haven"; but if the economic data is bearish, $BTC will fall along with the US stock market.
Stay tuned for insights, tonight at 21:30, I will interpret the data in real-time at the square.👀
#非农 #地缘政治 #宏观分析 #内容挖矿
[Beginner's Contract Class 03] Not knowing about stop loss will lead to zero! A hands-on guide to distinguish between the two types of "brakes," don't wait until liquidation to regret.
Main text:
In the first two classes, we learned how to open an order. Today, let's talk about the most important life-saving skills in contract trading: Take Profit and Stop Loss (TP/SL).
Many beginners have had this experience:
"Clearly set a stop loss, why didn't it trigger?"
"Clearly the order was closed, why is the stop loss still there, and then it reversed into another order?"
This is usually because you confused "position take profit and stop loss" with "order take profit and stop loss."
Today, we will help you fasten this "seatbelt" properly.
1. Why set take profit and stop loss?
Stop Loss (SL): It is your brake pad. It prevents small losses from turning into large losses and prevents an order from going to zero. The only outcome of not setting a stop loss is: liquidation.
In the first two classes, we learned how to open an order. Today, let's talk about the most important life-saving skills in contract trading: Take Profit and Stop Loss (TP/SL).
Many beginners have had this experience:
"Clearly set a stop loss, why didn't it trigger?"
"Clearly the order was closed, why is the stop loss still there, and then it reversed into another order?"
This is usually because you confused "position take profit and stop loss" with "order take profit and stop loss."
Today, we will help you fasten this "seatbelt" properly.
1. Why set take profit and stop loss?
Stop Loss (SL): It is your brake pad. It prevents small losses from turning into large losses and prevents an order from going to zero. The only outcome of not setting a stop loss is: liquidation.
Sister Yi says, "Who you follow determines your future." Do you lack a clear-headed person in your "digital circle of friends"?
I just saw a tweet from Sister Yi He, and I suggest everyone read this sentence three times.
She quoted Jim Rohn's "Five Friends Theory":
"A person's wealth, wisdom, and achievements are basically the average of the 5 closest friends they interact with most often."
In the world of Web3, this theory is even harsher:
The accounts you see daily in the square and follow on Twitter are your "digital friends."
If the 5 people you follow are all gamblers shouting "Charge! Charge! Charge!" every day, you are likely to die on the road to zero.
If the people you follow are discussing logic, risk control, and tools, then it will be hard for you to lose a lot of money in this market.
That’s why I hope you can pay attention to "Seeking Water."
I can't be the "teacher who leads you to overnight wealth," nor do I want to be the "sickle" that sells anxiety.
I want to be the most boring but most reliable one among your 5 "digital friends":
Teaching common sense: Updating the [Beginner Contract Course] every morning and evening, teaching you to understand tools step by step, avoiding silly mistakes.
Speaking plainly: Translating complex macro data and on-chain changes into "plain language" you can understand.
Pouring cold water: Reminding you to "take off the leverage" when the whole internet is in FOMO.
In this noisy market, opinions are also assets.
If you don’t mind, give me a follow and let me become your **"risk control buddy"** on your trading journey.
We don’t seek speed, only longevity.🛡️
#YiHe #交易认知 #长期主义 #内容挖矿 #吃瓜
I just saw a tweet from Sister Yi He, and I suggest everyone read this sentence three times.
She quoted Jim Rohn's "Five Friends Theory":
"A person's wealth, wisdom, and achievements are basically the average of the 5 closest friends they interact with most often."
In the world of Web3, this theory is even harsher:
The accounts you see daily in the square and follow on Twitter are your "digital friends."
If the 5 people you follow are all gamblers shouting "Charge! Charge! Charge!" every day, you are likely to die on the road to zero.
If the people you follow are discussing logic, risk control, and tools, then it will be hard for you to lose a lot of money in this market.
That’s why I hope you can pay attention to "Seeking Water."
I can't be the "teacher who leads you to overnight wealth," nor do I want to be the "sickle" that sells anxiety.
I want to be the most boring but most reliable one among your 5 "digital friends":
Teaching common sense: Updating the [Beginner Contract Course] every morning and evening, teaching you to understand tools step by step, avoiding silly mistakes.
Speaking plainly: Translating complex macro data and on-chain changes into "plain language" you can understand.
Pouring cold water: Reminding you to "take off the leverage" when the whole internet is in FOMO.
In this noisy market, opinions are also assets.
If you don’t mind, give me a follow and let me become your **"risk control buddy"** on your trading journey.
We don’t seek speed, only longevity.🛡️
#YiHe #交易认知 #长期主义 #内容挖矿 #吃瓜
【Beginner's Contract Course 02】Always Unable to Get Orders? High Costs for Market Orders? Understand the Difference between Limit and Market Orders in One Article
This morning we familiarized ourselves with the contract interface, and today we will talk about the most basic operations in trading: order types.
Many beginners encounter two common confusions when trading:
"I wanted to buy at this price, but the market moved and I missed the opportunity." (Missing out)
"I clearly saw the price was 100, but the execution price was 100.5 when I clicked buy?" (Slippage)
This is usually because of the confusion between the functionalities of limit orders and market orders.
Today, let's objectively break down these two tools from the perspective of the execution mechanism.
1. Limit Order: Price Priority
Many beginners encounter two common confusions when trading:
"I wanted to buy at this price, but the market moved and I missed the opportunity." (Missing out)
"I clearly saw the price was 100, but the execution price was 100.5 when I clicked buy?" (Slippage)
This is usually because of the confusion between the functionalities of limit orders and market orders.
Today, let's objectively break down these two tools from the perspective of the execution mechanism.
1. Limit Order: Price Priority
The divine fish kills with a vengeance! Who sold at the bottom of $ETH 1800? And who picked it up?🩸
I just came across this tweet from the divine fish, which really explains the **'food chain'** of this market clearly.
【What happened】
The divine fish bluntly states: the biggest advantage of retail investors is not capital, but **'not having to explain to anyone'**.
Institutions have LP pressure and a stop-loss threshold. When the price breaks down, even if they know it's the bottom, they have to sell, which is called 'risk control'.
However, as long as retail investors don't leverage too much, no one can force you to give up your chips.
【Water Interpretation】
This is why Yi Lihua had to sell at a loss when $ETH was at 1800.
It's not that he doesn't understand; it's because, as a fund manager, he was **'forced'** to cut losses at that position.
And what was the result?
Bloodied chips were devoured clean by bigger whales like the divine fish, who are **'not bound by rules'**.
This is the harsh truth of the financial market:
The institutions' 'compliance risk control' often turns into a super discount gift package they offer to retail investors (and stronger retail investors).
Brothers, don’t lose your 'time advantage'. In this market, if you can hold on, you’ve beaten 90% of the institutions.💎
#神鱼 #ETH #交易心理 #聪明钱 #内容挖矿
I just came across this tweet from the divine fish, which really explains the **'food chain'** of this market clearly.
【What happened】
The divine fish bluntly states: the biggest advantage of retail investors is not capital, but **'not having to explain to anyone'**.
Institutions have LP pressure and a stop-loss threshold. When the price breaks down, even if they know it's the bottom, they have to sell, which is called 'risk control'.
However, as long as retail investors don't leverage too much, no one can force you to give up your chips.
【Water Interpretation】
This is why Yi Lihua had to sell at a loss when $ETH was at 1800.
It's not that he doesn't understand; it's because, as a fund manager, he was **'forced'** to cut losses at that position.
And what was the result?
Bloodied chips were devoured clean by bigger whales like the divine fish, who are **'not bound by rules'**.
This is the harsh truth of the financial market:
The institutions' 'compliance risk control' often turns into a super discount gift package they offer to retail investors (and stronger retail investors).
Brothers, don’t lose your 'time advantage'. In this market, if you can hold on, you’ve beaten 90% of the institutions.💎
#神鱼 #ETH #交易心理 #聪明钱 #内容挖矿
【Beginner Contract Course 01】Don't click randomly! A step-by-step guide to understanding the trading interface, these three buttons determine whether you lose or make money.
Many newcomers are confused as soon as they enter the contract interface:
"What is full position? What is isolated position? What is that countdown rate?"
Don't worry, today we are starting a new series - 【Learning Contracts from Scratch】.
In this first lesson, I won't talk about abstract theories. Let's look at the computer screen and recognize these buttons that determine your life or death.
This is not just a tool, but also your weapon and shield on the battlefield.
1. Full position (Cross) vs Isolated position (Isolated): your "lifesaving mode"
Look at the first image, which is in the upper right corner of the trading interface, the pop-up for margin mode.
"What is full position? What is isolated position? What is that countdown rate?"
Don't worry, today we are starting a new series - 【Learning Contracts from Scratch】.
In this first lesson, I won't talk about abstract theories. Let's look at the computer screen and recognize these buttons that determine your life or death.
This is not just a tool, but also your weapon and shield on the battlefield.
1. Full position (Cross) vs Isolated position (Isolated): your "lifesaving mode"
Look at the first image, which is in the upper right corner of the trading interface, the pop-up for margin mode.
The US stock market has gone crazy, and your $BTC is still playing dead?🐂
The most "abstract" illusion in this market is the belief that the crypto world is independent.
Look at the report card from the neighboring US stock market:
Short-selling institutions have surrendered, Applovin ($APP) surged violently by 13.19%, and Oracle rose by nearly 10%.
Even Nvidia has stabilized at a high position.
What does this mean?
It means that the faucet of global liquidity is not only still open but is also spraying wildly towards the tech growth track.💸
And on the liquidity transmission chain, $BTC is often the "leveraged version" of NASDAQ.
Now the US stock market has digested the panic sentiment; the V-shaped reversal has emerged.
For those still watching the K-line trembling in the crypto space, isn't it time to wake up?
The big brother has already taken the lead; how far can the second brother's follow-up rise be?
Hold onto your chips, don't fall before dawn.🌅
#美股联动 #BTC #AppLovin #行情分析📈
The most "abstract" illusion in this market is the belief that the crypto world is independent.
Look at the report card from the neighboring US stock market:
Short-selling institutions have surrendered, Applovin ($APP) surged violently by 13.19%, and Oracle rose by nearly 10%.
Even Nvidia has stabilized at a high position.
What does this mean?
It means that the faucet of global liquidity is not only still open but is also spraying wildly towards the tech growth track.💸
And on the liquidity transmission chain, $BTC is often the "leveraged version" of NASDAQ.
Now the US stock market has digested the panic sentiment; the V-shaped reversal has emerged.
For those still watching the K-line trembling in the crypto space, isn't it time to wake up?
The big brother has already taken the lead; how far can the second brother's follow-up rise be?
Hold onto your chips, don't fall before dawn.🌅
#美股联动 #BTC #AppLovin #行情分析📈
[Deep Dive] You could have slowly become rich - why I beg you to take off that damn leverage?
Recently, I've seen a lot of real-world evidence about how to improve trading stability, and I just want to shout one thing: take off your leverage!
Many people think that reducing leverage from 30x to 10x is 'stable'? Don't joke. It's like practicing parkour on the 30th floor versus the 10th floor; the result of falling is the same.
📊 Let's look at a set of brutal data backtests (from 2022 to present):
We tested four strategies with exactly the same entry and exit rules, with the only difference being the leverage ratio:
🔴 10x leverage (Xiao Hong): Went bankrupt in the first year due to a drop, permanently out.
Many people think that reducing leverage from 30x to 10x is 'stable'? Don't joke. It's like practicing parkour on the 30th floor versus the 10th floor; the result of falling is the same.
📊 Let's look at a set of brutal data backtests (from 2022 to present):
We tested four strategies with exactly the same entry and exit rules, with the only difference being the leverage ratio:
🔴 10x leverage (Xiao Hong): Went bankrupt in the first year due to a drop, permanently out.
We need to strive to have half of the people pay individual income tax. Land sale revenue has dropped by 14%, where do you think the finance will go to "make up"? 📉
According to the Economic Observer, the land transfer revenue in 2025 decreased by 14.7%, but individual income tax increased against the trend by 11.5%.
The subtext of this data is too obvious:
The old pool (land sales) is dry, we must draw from the new pool (overseas income/individual income tax).
Especially for our circle, everyone used to think "decentralization = invisibility".
But with the CRS 2.0 information exchange, and the urgent need for finance to "find money", the window period of "anyway, they can't find me" is gradually closing through the traces of OTC withdrawals.
Data doesn't lie, this year is very likely to shift from "self-declaration" to "systematic inspection".
As long as you are involved in fiat currency inflow and outflow, in the face of penetrating regulation, everyone is exposed.
In this era of liquidity exhaustion, **"compliance costs"** may be the biggest zero-risk in the future. Cherish what you earn!
According to the Economic Observer, the land transfer revenue in 2025 decreased by 14.7%, but individual income tax increased against the trend by 11.5%.
The subtext of this data is too obvious:
The old pool (land sales) is dry, we must draw from the new pool (overseas income/individual income tax).
Especially for our circle, everyone used to think "decentralization = invisibility".
But with the CRS 2.0 information exchange, and the urgent need for finance to "find money", the window period of "anyway, they can't find me" is gradually closing through the traces of OTC withdrawals.
Data doesn't lie, this year is very likely to shift from "self-declaration" to "systematic inspection".
As long as you are involved in fiat currency inflow and outflow, in the face of penetrating regulation, everyone is exposed.
In this era of liquidity exhaustion, **"compliance costs"** may be the biggest zero-risk in the future. Cherish what you earn!
Stop asking 'Is it going up or down?': Why real traders never predict the future?
After being in this circle for a long time, I discovered an interesting phenomenon:
Newbies often like to ask, 'Big guy, how much will this coin rise tomorrow?' But the true old OGs often only give you a vague answer: 'It depends, the probability is fifty-fifty.'
At this point, newbies often feel that the big guy is just showing off or has no real skills.
But the reality is quite the opposite.
Admitting 'I don't know' is actually the highest wisdom in this market.
Today, I want to talk to everyone about something deeper: Why the end of technical analysis is actually Bayesian Thinking? And why, in this noisy market, you need to be a 'non-partisan' fence sitter.
Newbies often like to ask, 'Big guy, how much will this coin rise tomorrow?' But the true old OGs often only give you a vague answer: 'It depends, the probability is fifty-fifty.'
At this point, newbies often feel that the big guy is just showing off or has no real skills.
But the reality is quite the opposite.
Admitting 'I don't know' is actually the highest wisdom in this market.
Today, I want to talk to everyone about something deeper: Why the end of technical analysis is actually Bayesian Thinking? And why, in this noisy market, you need to be a 'non-partisan' fence sitter.
In the dead of night, is this "Ruyi Jingu Bang" trying to send people away?😱
Just as I was about to turn off my computer and go to sleep, I was startled awake by $PIPPIN
this K-line.
In just 5 minutes, it plunged directly from 0.295 to 0.228, a drop of nearly 25%.
This trend is too "abstract":
One second it was a "rocket to financial freedom," the next second it's "Newton's gravity experiment."📉
This up-and-down "door painting" art is probably a little "shock" from the big players for those who stay up late watching the market.
At this point of liquidity exhaustion, playing contracts is like licking blood on a knife's edge.
Still the same saying: cherish life, stay away from knockoffs.
Brothers who went long tonight, are you still there?
Just as I was about to turn off my computer and go to sleep, I was startled awake by $PIPPIN
this K-line.
In just 5 minutes, it plunged directly from 0.295 to 0.228, a drop of nearly 25%.
This trend is too "abstract":
One second it was a "rocket to financial freedom," the next second it's "Newton's gravity experiment."📉
This up-and-down "door painting" art is probably a little "shock" from the big players for those who stay up late watching the market.
At this point of liquidity exhaustion, playing contracts is like licking blood on a knife's edge.
Still the same saying: cherish life, stay away from knockoffs.
Brothers who went long tonight, are you still there?
Boss Yi just "fled", and a mysterious whale stepped in right after. I'm baffled by this script...
A sound of "thud" for 40 million dollars, is this the so-called "cash ability" protecting the market? 🤐
While we are still entangled over a few U's in transaction fees, a big player directly gambled on 20,000 Ethereum.
Taking a look at the operational details is quite interesting: first, a test transfer of 0.01 ETH, followed immediately by the big move of 20,000, executed smoothly without any hesitation.
Average price $2098, is this the so-called "iron bottom" in the eyes of the whale? 🧐
In this noisy market, KOLs are responsible for creating anxiety, while Smart Money quietly scoops up assets.
This kind of "taking what others discard" performance art is really hard for an average person to learn.
Let me just ask: are the chips in your hand scared away again? 🤡
#ETH
A sound of "thud" for 40 million dollars, is this the so-called "cash ability" protecting the market? 🤐
While we are still entangled over a few U's in transaction fees, a big player directly gambled on 20,000 Ethereum.
Taking a look at the operational details is quite interesting: first, a test transfer of 0.01 ETH, followed immediately by the big move of 20,000, executed smoothly without any hesitation.
Average price $2098, is this the so-called "iron bottom" in the eyes of the whale? 🧐
In this noisy market, KOLs are responsible for creating anxiety, while Smart Money quietly scoops up assets.
This kind of "taking what others discard" performance art is really hard for an average person to learn.
Let me just ask: are the chips in your hand scared away again? 🤡
#ETH
In the cryptocurrency world, it takes only half a month to create a deity, but it only takes a single bearish line to destroy one...
Human nature is the biggest source of volatility in this market...
Does everyone still remember that real account that made 50 million USD in profit half a month ago, the "Cat Teacher" (0xPickleCati)? At that time, the whole internet was shouting "Goddess, please lead us," even surprised by her gender.
As a result, in the past few days, the market reversed, and just by looking at the data panel, on February 7th, there was a single-day drawdown of 17.1 million USD (about 120 million RMB), and the curve went straight down 📉.
Interestingly, the tone in the comments section changed abruptly:
When making money, she is a goddess; when in floating loss, she is labeled as "a shill for the exchange" or "a smoke bomb for gaining traffic."
In fact, the fate of traders is that gains and losses are intertwined; one must endure the same amount of drawdown as the profit one can withstand.
Everyone should be a bit gentler with their words, after all, in the face of a 20 million USD drawdown, whose mentality wouldn't collapse?
#实盘 #吃瓜 #人性
Human nature is the biggest source of volatility in this market...
Does everyone still remember that real account that made 50 million USD in profit half a month ago, the "Cat Teacher" (0xPickleCati)? At that time, the whole internet was shouting "Goddess, please lead us," even surprised by her gender.
As a result, in the past few days, the market reversed, and just by looking at the data panel, on February 7th, there was a single-day drawdown of 17.1 million USD (about 120 million RMB), and the curve went straight down 📉.
Interestingly, the tone in the comments section changed abruptly:
When making money, she is a goddess; when in floating loss, she is labeled as "a shill for the exchange" or "a smoke bomb for gaining traffic."
In fact, the fate of traders is that gains and losses are intertwined; one must endure the same amount of drawdown as the profit one can withstand.
Everyone should be a bit gentler with their words, after all, in the face of a 20 million USD drawdown, whose mentality wouldn't collapse?
#实盘 #吃瓜 #人性
Is it "Coin Circle Wealth Distribution Day" these days? Bithumb just finished giving away, and Bybit's market maker is sending next... 😂
I really can't understand this world anymore.
Yesterday, a Bithumb employee mistakenly sent 620,000 Bitcoins;
Today, a market maker on Bybit wrote code that crashed, losing 100-200 million dollars in a few minutes.
Look at this data: Bybit's trading volume instantly reached 19 billion, with a spike deeper than others by 5%.
This is not a market maker; this is clearly a **philanthropist**!
Although Bybit's official stance is not to take the blame (this is a third-party market maker issue), today's series of incidents tells us:
Even in 2026, this so-called "high-tech financial field" is still a huge mess.
As long as your order position is flashy enough, money will really fall from the sky. 🥧
I really can't understand this world anymore.
Yesterday, a Bithumb employee mistakenly sent 620,000 Bitcoins;
Today, a market maker on Bybit wrote code that crashed, losing 100-200 million dollars in a few minutes.
Look at this data: Bybit's trading volume instantly reached 19 billion, with a spike deeper than others by 5%.
This is not a market maker; this is clearly a **philanthropist**!
Although Bybit's official stance is not to take the blame (this is a third-party market maker issue), today's series of incidents tells us:
Even in 2026, this so-called "high-tech financial field" is still a huge mess.
As long as your order position is flashy enough, money will really fall from the sky. 🥧
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