Zony Crypto

Solana (SOL), Solana (SOL) Explode: Linha de Tendência Descendente Quebrada – A Reversão Bullish Está em Andamento?** uma das principais blockchains de camada 1 conhecidas por suas transações de alta velocidade e ecossistema vibrante, tem navegado por uma tendência de baixa desafiadora durante grande parte do início de 2026. Após atingir picos próximos a máximas históricas acima de $290 em ciclos anteriores, o SOL enfrentou pressão significativa, caindo acentuadamente e negociando na faixa baixa dos $80 a partir de meados de fevereiro de 2026. No entanto, um desenvolvimento técnico chave está emergindo que pode sinalizar uma mudança de momento: o SOL acabou de quebrar sua linha de tendência descendente.

(limite de sua recente **faixa baixa** de vários meses. Esta zona historicamente atuou como um trampolim para recuperações notáveis, chamando a atenção dos traders e gerando discussões sobre se outro salto é iminente.

A partir de meados de fevereiro de 2026, o ETH está sendo negociado em torno de **$1.970–$1.980**, após flutuar em uma faixa comprimida aproximadamente entre **$1.800** (ou ligeiramente abaixo em quedas recentes) e resistência de **$2.000–$2.400**. O preço está sob pressão, com uma queda significativa no mês até agora (cerca de -38% em alguns relatórios) e refletindo a fraqueza mais ampla do mercado, com tentativas de recuperação malsucedidas perto de $2.000–$2.120 nas últimas semanas.

In the volatile world of cryptocurrency markets, prediction platforms like **Polymarket** have become a real-time barometer of trader sentiment. A recent update circulating on social media highlights that Polymarket odds now reflect a **31% probability** that **Bitcoin (BTC)** will slide to **$55,000** or lower before the end of February 2026. This figure has captured attention amid ongoing price turbulence in early February.

Current Market Context

As of February 7, 2026, Bitcoin is trading in the **$70,000–$71,000** range after a volatile period. Recent sessions saw BTC dip as low as the low $60,000s before staging a partial recovery. The cryptocurrency remains well above the $55,000 threshold mentioned in the market, but the distance isn't as comfortable as it was just weeks ago.

Polymarket's February-specific markets under the "What price will Bitcoin hit in February?" category track whether BTC will reach various price points before March 1, 2026 (based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle highs/lows). While the exact "dip to $55,000 in February" contract has shown probabilities fluctuating in the **17–22%** range in recent data snapshots (with trading volume exceeding $1.7 million on some related bins), broader sentiment and secondary reporting have pointed to around **31%** for a near-term slide to that level before month-end.

This 31% figure likely aggregates trader positioning across short-dated downside bets or reflects a momentary spike in bearish conviction.

Why Traders Are Betting on Further Downside

Several factors appear to be fueling this bearish tilt on prediction markets:

- **Recent Correction Momentum** — Bitcoin has experienced a meaningful pullback from higher levels earlier in the cycle, erasing portions of previous gains and shaking out weaker hands.
- **Broader 2026 Outlook** — Longer-dated Polymarket contracts for the full year show significantly higher probabilities for lower levels, with some reports indicating **70%+** odds of BTC touching below $65,000 at some point in 2026, and downside bets toward $55,000 and even $50,000 carrying substantial volume.
- **Macro and Sentiment Shifts** — After an euphoric run in late 2025, narratives around institutional adoption, ETF flows, and macroeconomic support have cooled. Prediction traders often lead or amplify shifts in retail and institutional psychology.

Despite the bearish short-term bets, it's worth noting that probabilities remain below 50% — meaning the majority of capital on Polymarket still prices in a scenario where Bitcoin avoids $55,000 this month.

### What This Means for Bitcoin in the Short Term

Prediction markets like Polymarket are not crystal balls, but they do aggregate real money bets from informed participants. A **31%** implied probability suggests meaningful downside risk is on the table, yet it also indicates that most traders still see the $55,000 level as an **outlier** rather than the base case for February.

Key levels to watch in the coming days and weeks:

- **Support zones** around $65,000–$68,000 — a break here could accelerate bearish momentum.
- **Resistance** near $72,000–$75,000 — a convincing reclaim would likely crush short-term downside bets.
- **Volatility** — February has already proven choppy, and remaining weeks could see sharp swings in either direction.

### Final Thoughts

The 31% Polymarket odds serve as a warning shot: while Bitcoin has rebounded somewhat in early February, the path of least resistance isn't clearly upward. Traders are increasingly willing to put capital behind the idea of one more meaningful leg lower before the month closes.

Whether this turns into a self-fulfilling prophecy or simply noise in a broader consolidation phase remains to be seen. As always in crypto, real-time price action — not just prediction odds — will have the final say.

Stay tuned to on-chain data, ETF flows, and broader macro developments for the next clues in Bitcoin's February story.