AlterReyx

Pasar kripto sedang mengalami lonjakan tajam jangka pendek saat AS mendekati penutupan pemerintah parsial, dipadukan dengan data inflasi dan ketenagakerjaan baru yang mempengaruhi sentimen trader. Berikut adalah apa yang sedang terjadi dan mengapa itu penting.
🧨 Penggerak Pasar Utama
1️⃣ Penutupan Pemerintah AS
AS menghadapi penutupan pemerintah parsial, menambah ketidakpastian di pasar.
Secara historis, peristiwa semacam itu sering memicu short squeezes, karena trader yang memegang posisi pendek terburu-buru menutupnya sebelum peristiwa tersebut.

The Fear and Greed Index has just hit a record extreme, something we haven’t seen since the Terra collapse in 2022. 😳
This means:
The market psychology is at peak panic — most participants are extremely cautious or have already sold.
Extreme fear often precedes potential rebounds, as savvy buyers step in when the majority has exited.
While this looks similar to Terra’s crash, the current fear level is even more extreme, making this moment rare and significant.
⚠️ Key point: extreme fear doesn’t guarantee an immediate rally, but historically, these levels create opportunities for long-term entries, especially in top cryptos like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
Hashtags:
#BTC #ETH #SOL #XRP #Crypto #CryptoNews #CryptoMarket #FearAndGreed #Investing #Altcoins

Sebuah tragedi berskala alam semesta telah melanda dunia kripto. Jutaan — bahkan miliaran — dolar lenyap dari dompet saat pasar jatuh.
Tangan lemah menjual Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, dan XRP mereka, setelah membaca prediksi bearish apokaliptik, mengunci kerugian.
Secara pribadi, saya menerima banyak pesan penuh keluhan yang menyebut Bitcoin sebagai penipuan, bersama dengan janji serius untuk tidak pernah menyentuh kripto lagi. Sementara itu, para ahli yang mengaku, PhD, dan profesor mengklaim Bitcoin — dan secara luas Ethereum, Solana, dan XRP — adalah beberapa rencana rahasia.

Laporan pasar tenaga kerja AS (Nonfarm Payrolls, NFP) mengukur perubahan bersih dalam jumlah orang yang dipekerjakan di seluruh ekonomi, termasuk sektor swasta dan publik. Ini berarti juga mencakup pegawai pemerintah, bahkan mereka yang sebelumnya dipecat selama penutupan pemerintah dan kemudian dipekerjakan kembali.
Namun, laporan ini dapat menyesatkan atau dibesar-besarkan dari sudut pandang analitis. NFP menghitung semua perubahan bersih dalam pekerjaan, bukan hanya pekerjaan baru yang benar-benar diciptakan oleh pertumbuhan ekonomi. Sebagai contoh, jika pekerja pemerintah dipecat selama penutupan dan kemudian dipekerjakan kembali, mereka dihitung lagi sebagai “pekerjaan baru” dalam statistik bulanan.

The US labor market report (Nonfarm Payrolls, NFP) measures the net change in the number of employed people across the economy, including the private and public sectors. This means it also includes government employees, even those who were previously laid off during a government shutdown and later rehired.
However, this report can be misleading or inflated from an analytical perspective. The NFP counts all net changes in employment, not only genuinely new jobs created by economic growth. For example, if government workers were fired during a shutdown and then hired back, they are counted again as “new jobs” in the monthly statistics.
In other words, the report does not distinguish between:
real new job creation driven by economic expansion,
temporary layoffs and rehires,
job rotations, seasonal hiring, or contract work.
Because of this methodology, the headline number can appear stronger than the underlying economic reality. The labor market report often reflects statistical adjustments and employment normalization, rather than pure organic job growth.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. The analysis reflects personal opinions and interpretations of publicly available data and may not be accurate or complete. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Pasar kripto sedang berdarah keras hari ini. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, dan altcoin besar lainnya berada di bawah tekanan setelah gelombang likuidasi terleverage yang besar.
🔹 Situasi Saat Ini
Bitcoin (BTC) jatuh di bawah ~$80.000 — tingkat terendah sejak akhir 2025.
Ethereum (ETH) dan Solana (SOL) turun tajam, dengan banyak altcoin beta tinggi jatuh bahkan lebih cepat.
Leverage sangat tinggi: rasio long/short secara konsisten di atas 1, dan dalam beberapa kasus bahkan di atas 2–3, menciptakan ribuan posisi yang rentan terhadap likuidasi paksa.

The crypto market is bleeding, and it’s not just bad news or panic selling — this is a calculated reset of leveraged positions.
Over the past months, the long/short ratio on all major coins was consistently above 1, and in some cases even above 2 or 3, meaning there were far more longs than shorts, and leverage was extremely high. Traders piled in on upward bets using leverage, believing that BTC, ETH, and high-beta altcoins could only go up. There were literally thousands of positions stacked up, waiting to be liquidated.
Now the market is moving exactly to liquidate these positions and collect liquidity.
1️⃣ The mechanics of the bloodbath
Excessive leverage = vulnerability
When most traders are long and leverage is high, the market is fragile.
Any price dip triggers cascading liquidations.
Long positions are automatically closed, pushing prices down further.
Long/short ratio >1 (sometimes >2–3)
This ratio indicates the imbalance of bets.
On BTC, ETH, SOL, and other major altcoins, longs far outweighed shorts.
Result: the market has a natural path to squeeze longs first, triggering a waterfall of selling.
Market liquidity is finite
Large long clusters mean there is liquidity lying in wait for exits.
Market makers and smart money guide the price to the levels where these positions are concentrated, then collect the nailing liquidity.
2️⃣ Real-time effects
BTC: testing support zones around 77–78k — if breaks 72–70k, expect cascading long liquidations.
ETH: slipping through 2,300, already triggering multiple margin calls on high leverage accounts.
SOL & altcoins: most vulnerable due to high beta and clustered longs — bleeding faster than BTC or ETH.
💥 The market isn’t falling randomly. It’s executing a mechanical sweep of all over-leveraged positions.
3️⃣ Why this matters
Traders with 30–50x leverage are being wiped out instantly.
The cascading effect spreads from major coins to altcoins, amplifying volatility.
This is not panic selling; it’s a liquidity grab, where smart money collects the trapped capital of retail longs.
The current correction is essentially the market saying:
“You bet too much on the wrong side. Time to pay the price.”
4️⃣ Key takeaways for traders
Check the long/short ratios before entering.
Avoid catching falling knives — the market is targeting liquidity clusters, not fundamentals.
Watch liquidation levels on exchanges like Binance, Bybit, FTX-style platforms.
High-beta altcoins are traps — SOL, ARB, OP, and similar assets bleed first.
The first wave of destruction is in the books, but more sweeps may come if BTC drops further.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for educational and trader analysis purposes only. It is not financial advice. Crypto markets are extremely volatile, leverage can wipe your account 100%, and all trading carries risk. Do your own research and use proper risk management.

Pemerintah AS kembali dalam keadaan sebagian shutdown setelah undang-undang pendanaan sementara berakhir. Sementara Washington berdebat tentang anggaran, pasar kripto mengalami kerugian besar, dan trader yang menggunakan leverage tinggi merasakan sakitnya.
Bitcoin$BTC , Ethereum$ETH , Solana$SOL , dan sebagian besar altcoin beta tinggi sedang menembus level dukungan dengan likuidasi berantai. Grafiknya berteriak: risiko jauh, dan kepanikan nyata.
Mengapa ini sangat brutal bagi trader kripto
1️⃣ Ketidakpastian politik memicu penghindaran risiko
Shutdown tidak merusak blockchain, tetapi membuat modal institusi ketakutan.

Pemerintah federal AS telah memasuki penutupan sebagian setelah berakhirnya undang-undang pendanaan sementara. Meskipun penutupan bukanlah hal baru dalam sistem politik AS, pasar bereaksi tajam — dan crypto sedang terkena dampaknya.
Bitcoin$BTC , Ethereum$ETH , Solana $SOL , $XRP dan altcoin utama lainnya sedang melanggar level dukungan kunci. Solana dan aset beta tinggi lainnya berkinerja buruk, sementara leverage sedang dihapus di seluruh papan.
Ini menimbulkan pertanyaan kritis bagi para investor:
Apakah ini kesempatan langka untuk membeli — atau tahap awal dari reset pasar yang lebih dalam?