The weekend was very successful. We caught some really strong moves in the market, and as long as the market keeps giving opportunities we keep taking them.
I’m still open to working with you. Don’t wait while others are already making moves. I’m glad to see every one of you and I’ll be happy to help grow your balance.
In a bear market, the key is to take your time. Unlike bull markets, where reversals happen quickly, bearish phases last for months and don't end abruptly.
Looking at the bigger picture, rather than just daily fluctuations, the picture remains weak. Despite some positive ETF days, the cumulative net flow over the last 10 trading days remains negative (around -18,000 BTC). This means there's no sustainable demand yet.
A reversal doesn't start with a single strong day, but with a systematic return of capital to the market. Until that happens, upward movements look more like noise within a bear market.
BTC has been in its current drawdown for over four months, having lost more than 50% from its October peak. This isn't unique by BTC standards. But when a drawdown exceeds 100 days, history shows that recovery usually takes months, and sometimes years, not weeks.
Many influencers feel the same but are very scared to post this. I think crypto market finally deserves some fresh air to breath.
- Indicators and oscillators are oversold - Sales are gradually decreasing, while purchases are increasing (spot) - Meanwhile, the crowd started opening shorts - Huge profile volumes are spotted near $64,000 - $65,000 support - Stocks are dumping, while crypto is staying strong - Fear&Greed Index is 5 (meme argument but still)
As the result, I expect to see some local growth towards $72,000 resistance and probably even $76,000 (if the previous one is broken up) and then dump continuation.
🙅♂️ SETUP INVALIDATION: Breakdown of the $64,000 support level. In this case we will go straight short down to $52,000 zone.
Itulah sebabnya saya tidak memasuki posisi BTC pada lonjakan yang dilihat semua orang. Bagi saya, penting untuk melihat pengujian ulang level 74.500, diikuti dengan konfirmasi dan konsolidasi — hanya kemudian saya akan mempertimbangkan untuk membangun posisi, jika kita mempertahankan level itu.
Pasar sangat manipulatif saat ini, jadi kita perlu mencari pengaturan yang lebih percaya diri.
Amati level 74.500 dengan cermat untuk konfirmasi. Jika Anda memutuskan untuk masuk dari sana, jaga stop-loss Anda dalam 1%.
Manajemen risiko yang ketat sangat penting saat ini.$BTC #BTCcrash"
Bitcoin telah mencapai titik 32,6 pada RSI. Ini hanya terjadi 5 kali dalam sejarah modern:
- Nov 2018: $BTC dumped ke $3,100, kemudian dipompa ke $13,000 - Mar 2020: dumped ke $3,800, kemudian dipompa ke $63,000 - Juni 2022: dumped ke $17,500, kemudian dipompa ke $25,000 - Agu 2022: dumped ke $17,500, kemudian dipompa ke $23,000 - Nov 2022: dumped ke $15,000, kemudian dipompa ke $125,000
Dan.. sekarang — Februari 2026. Kesimpulan apa yang bisa kita tarik dari ini? Pasar crypto sudah sangat terjual, dengan mempertimbangkan Bitcoin hanya turun 40% dari ATH. Sebelumnya, dibutuhkan setidaknya 70% penurunan dari puncak. Pasar sedang matang.
🍋 Pantulan akan datang, tidak yakin apakah itu akan terjadi dari titik saat ini. Kita mungkin akan menyelam lebih dalam pada awalnya, tetapi bisa juga langsung naik dari sini. Jadi, membuka posisi pendek di sini adalah ide yang buruk — tunggu pemicu. Tren keseluruhan tetap bearish.$BTC