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挣说疯芸

顺势而为(数据)永远好过自我判断(经验)因为经验往往都是过去的、、、
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Reasons for BERA's leadership on Binance Now I've had some time to dig around. Essentially, it's the combined effect of project progress, market sentiment, and some technical factors. 1. Lifting the pressure of the 'refund clause' and the rebound after unlocking. To put it simply, BERA's price on Binance has been climbing up this morning, mainly due to a significant event passing — the $25 million 'refund clause' of the Brevan Howard Digital fund expired on February 6, 2026. If the project had not met standards, they could withdraw their investment, but nothing happened, and everyone breathed a sigh of relief, feeling that large institutions are more reliable; the project's funding is stable, and while everyone was panicking before, now they feel at ease.

Reasons for BERA's leadership on Binance

Now I've had some time to dig around. Essentially, it's the combined effect of project progress, market sentiment, and some technical factors.
1. Lifting the pressure of the 'refund clause' and the rebound after unlocking. To put it simply, BERA's price on Binance has been climbing up this morning, mainly due to a significant event passing — the $25 million 'refund clause' of the Brevan Howard Digital fund expired on February 6, 2026. If the project had not met standards, they could withdraw their investment, but nothing happened, and everyone breathed a sigh of relief, feeling that large institutions are more reliable; the project's funding is stable, and while everyone was panicking before, now they feel at ease.
Waiting for good news😁
Waiting for good news😁
挣说疯芸
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#美国零售数据逊预期 #美国科技基金净流

It means that Americans are spending less money!!

This indicates that the economy is cooling down, and the market is betting that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates, which is favorable for cryptocurrencies, but there will be fluctuations in the short term.

 1. This data is not great, let's discuss it a bit: Retail data = total amount that Americans spend while shopping, online shopping, dining, etc. This time it was worse than expected, indicating that people are reluctant to spend money, don't want to spend money, or don't have money to spend.
In simple terms: The US economy is not that hot anymore, and inflation pressure will decrease.

 2. The most critical impact on cryptocurrencies: Expectations of interest rate cuts! The Federal Reserve only looks at two things: 1. Is inflation high? 2. Is the economy hot?

Now:
Economic cooling → Inflation is easier to suppress → The Federal Reserve is more likely to cut interest rates sooner. What does cutting interest rates mean?

1. More dollars.
2. Keeping money in the bank is not profitable.
3. Funds will flow into risk assets like stocks, cryptocurrencies, and gold.

So this is favorable for $BTC/ETH!! That's all, please imagine the rest yourself!!

 

 

 
#美国零售数据逊预期 #美国科技基金净流 It means that Americans are spending less money!! This indicates that the economy is cooling down, and the market is betting that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates, which is favorable for cryptocurrencies, but there will be fluctuations in the short term.  1. This data is not great, let's discuss it a bit: Retail data = total amount that Americans spend while shopping, online shopping, dining, etc. This time it was worse than expected, indicating that people are reluctant to spend money, don't want to spend money, or don't have money to spend. In simple terms: The US economy is not that hot anymore, and inflation pressure will decrease.  2. The most critical impact on cryptocurrencies: Expectations of interest rate cuts! The Federal Reserve only looks at two things: 1. Is inflation high? 2. Is the economy hot? Now: Economic cooling → Inflation is easier to suppress → The Federal Reserve is more likely to cut interest rates sooner. What does cutting interest rates mean? 1. More dollars. 2. Keeping money in the bank is not profitable. 3. Funds will flow into risk assets like stocks, cryptocurrencies, and gold. So this is favorable for $BTC/ETH!! That's all, please imagine the rest yourself!!      
#美国零售数据逊预期 #美国科技基金净流

It means that Americans are spending less money!!

This indicates that the economy is cooling down, and the market is betting that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates, which is favorable for cryptocurrencies, but there will be fluctuations in the short term.

 1. This data is not great, let's discuss it a bit: Retail data = total amount that Americans spend while shopping, online shopping, dining, etc. This time it was worse than expected, indicating that people are reluctant to spend money, don't want to spend money, or don't have money to spend.
In simple terms: The US economy is not that hot anymore, and inflation pressure will decrease.

 2. The most critical impact on cryptocurrencies: Expectations of interest rate cuts! The Federal Reserve only looks at two things: 1. Is inflation high? 2. Is the economy hot?

Now:
Economic cooling → Inflation is easier to suppress → The Federal Reserve is more likely to cut interest rates sooner. What does cutting interest rates mean?

1. More dollars.
2. Keeping money in the bank is not profitable.
3. Funds will flow into risk assets like stocks, cryptocurrencies, and gold.

So this is favorable for $BTC/ETH!! That's all, please imagine the rest yourself!!

 

 

 
When the brain gets heated, it's easy to act impulsively; once impulsive, it's hard to control the order, and the result is definitely a loss, ... it has been tried and tested many times!! #易理华割肉清仓
When the brain gets heated, it's easy to act impulsively; once impulsive, it's hard to control the order, and the result is definitely a loss, ... it has been tried and tested many times!! #易理华割肉清仓
#黄金白银反弹 Because everyone thinks: Money is losing value, the world is unstable, and gold and silver are the safest. So capital is rushing in, and prices are skyrocketing. 1. The US dollar is going to be "monetized" Previously, the Federal Reserve kept raising interest rates, and money in the bank earned interest. Who would buy gold? Now everyone concludes: The US economy is failing → Interest rates will soon be lowered → Money will increase → Money will lose value. When money loses value, the first reaction is: buy gold to preserve value! 2. The world is unstable everywhere Middle East chaos, geopolitical tensions, various conflicts…… Ordinary people may not understand, but big capital does: In times of turmoil, buying gold is always right. When capital seeks safety, gold rises. 3. Central banks around the world are buying gold like crazy China, Russia, and many countries are: Selling dollars, buying gold. It's like a super big customer constantly purchasing, It's hard for prices to drop. Why is silver rising even more fiercely? Silver is crazier than gold, and the reason is simpler: It fell too much before, and now with a rebound, the extent is naturally larger. Silver is not just a precious metal, but also an industrial raw material. Photovoltaics, electronics, and new energy all require silver, High demand, low production, and supply can't meet demand. The market is small, easy to manipulate, and gold leads the way. Overall, it is: Safe-haven + Devaluation expectation + Bottom-fishing capital, three forces charging together, and the price exploded. That's it!! 😂😂#美国伊朗对峙
#黄金白银反弹 Because everyone thinks:
Money is losing value, the world is unstable, and gold and silver are the safest.
So capital is rushing in, and prices are skyrocketing.

1. The US dollar is going to be "monetized"
Previously, the Federal Reserve kept raising interest rates, and money in the bank earned interest. Who would buy gold?
Now everyone concludes:
The US economy is failing → Interest rates will soon be lowered → Money will increase → Money will lose value. When money loses value, the first reaction is: buy gold to preserve value!

2. The world is unstable everywhere
Middle East chaos, geopolitical tensions, various conflicts……
Ordinary people may not understand, but big capital does:
In times of turmoil, buying gold is always right.
When capital seeks safety, gold rises.

3. Central banks around the world are buying gold like crazy
China, Russia, and many countries are:
Selling dollars, buying gold.
It's like a super big customer constantly purchasing,
It's hard for prices to drop.

Why is silver rising even more fiercely?
Silver is crazier than gold, and the reason is simpler:
It fell too much before, and now with a rebound, the extent is naturally larger.
Silver is not just a precious metal, but also an industrial raw material.
Photovoltaics, electronics, and new energy all require silver,
High demand, low production, and supply can't meet demand.
The market is small, easy to manipulate, and gold leads the way.

Overall, it is:
Safe-haven + Devaluation expectation + Bottom-fishing capital, three forces charging together, and the price exploded. That's it!! 😂😂#美国伊朗对峙
The financial backer behind Yi Lihua divided the money into three parts for "experts" in the market to manage: one part was given to Li, one part to Garret Jin, and one part to a certain fund institution. Thinking that spreading the eggs across three baskets should be relatively stable, the result is that this week is basically nearing liquidation, forcing a complete sell-off! Currently, regarding which institution fell for it, Polymarket already has a market open, waiting to enjoy the big 🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉#何时抄底?
The financial backer behind Yi Lihua divided the money into three parts for "experts" in the market to manage: one part was given to Li, one part to Garret Jin, and one part to a certain fund institution. Thinking that spreading the eggs across three baskets should be relatively stable, the result is that this week is basically nearing liquidation, forcing a complete sell-off!

Currently, regarding which institution fell for it, Polymarket already has a market open, waiting to enjoy the big 🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉🍉#何时抄底?
😱😱😱Major news: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission expands stablecoin regulations, allowing national trust banks to issue tokens pegged to the U.S. dollar under the GENIUS Act framework. #BTC何时反弹? #沃什美联储政策前瞻
😱😱😱Major news:
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission expands stablecoin regulations, allowing national trust banks to issue tokens pegged to the U.S. dollar under the GENIUS Act framework. #BTC何时反弹? #沃什美联储政策前瞻
#BTC何时反弹? $BTC 😂😂Does this count as good news...?? At least it proves again that it won't keep diving, what do you think??
#BTC何时反弹? $BTC 😂😂Does this count as good news...??
At least it proves again that it won't keep diving, what do you think??
Sure, this indicates that the chassis is quite solid...😂$SOL
Sure, this indicates that the chassis is quite solid...😂$SOL
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Bullish
The Possible Consequences of the U.S.-Iran Standoff: #美国伊朗对峙 #全球科技股抛售冲击风险资产 1. Oil prices will soar directly, Iran holds the Strait of Hormuz—almost 1/3 of the world's maritime oil passes through here. If it blocks the strait or halts oil exports, oil prices will skyrocket immediately. A single-day increase of 10% would be no surprise; our costs for driving, gasoline, logistics, and purchasing groceries, online shopping, and deliveries will all rise, leading to inflation. Even more severely: if oil prices spike to $100-150 per barrel, countries in Europe and Asia that rely on imported oil will face direct energy shortages, factories will reduce production, prices will soar, and the global economy will be dragged down. 2. The Middle East will descend into chaos, and the flames of war may spread 1. Proxy battles: Iranian-backed Houthi forces, Hezbollah, and Iraqi militias will aggressively attack U.S., Israeli, and Saudi allies. Attacks on Red Sea merchant ships, crossfire at the Lebanon-Israel border, and bombings of U.S. military bases in the Middle East will become routine. 2. Israel will inevitably be drawn in: Iran has long warned that if the U.S. takes action, it will strike Tel Aviv in Israel. Israel's territory is small and cannot withstand a saturation attack, leading to complete chaos in the Middle East. 3. The refugee tide will overwhelm neighboring countries: Turkey, Iraq, and Lebanon are already chaotic, and the arrival of a million Iranian refugees will collapse social order, security, and the economy, leading to a severe humanitarian crisis. 3. If the U.S. goes to war, it will likely face great difficulties Relevant agencies have calculated that before a full-scale war with Iran, $2.8 billion will be needed within 30 days, and prolonged conflict would be an endless pit that the U.S. Treasury cannot sustain. The risk of U.S. military casualties: Thousands of Iranian missiles and drone swarms could conduct saturation attacks on U.S. military bases in the Middle East, resulting in thousands of U.S. military casualties. Anti-war sentiments at home would explode, leading politicians to lose votes. Allies' thoughts: Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and other Gulf countries have openly stated they do not allow their territory to be used to strike Iran, not wanting to be dragged into the conflict, causing the U.S.-Middle East alliance to weaken. In the end, there is only one possibility: negotiating while fighting, engaging in a long-term stalemate. The U.S. fears getting bogged down in war, while Iran fears a complete economic collapse. The most likely scenario is a normalization of gray confrontation: mutual drone strikes, maritime standoffs, cyberattacks, and mutual sanctions, with occasional talks, and if they can’t reach an agreement, they will escalate again!
The Possible Consequences of the U.S.-Iran Standoff: #美国伊朗对峙 #全球科技股抛售冲击风险资产

1. Oil prices will soar directly,

Iran holds the Strait of Hormuz—almost 1/3 of the world's maritime oil passes through here. If it blocks the strait or halts oil exports, oil prices will skyrocket immediately. A single-day increase of 10% would be no surprise; our costs for driving, gasoline, logistics, and purchasing groceries, online shopping, and deliveries will all rise, leading to inflation.

Even more severely: if oil prices spike to $100-150 per barrel, countries in Europe and Asia that rely on imported oil will face direct energy shortages, factories will reduce production, prices will soar, and the global economy will be dragged down.

2. The Middle East will descend into chaos, and the flames of war may spread

1. Proxy battles: Iranian-backed Houthi forces, Hezbollah, and Iraqi militias will aggressively attack U.S., Israeli, and Saudi allies. Attacks on Red Sea merchant ships, crossfire at the Lebanon-Israel border, and bombings of U.S. military bases in the Middle East will become routine.

2. Israel will inevitably be drawn in: Iran has long warned that if the U.S. takes action, it will strike Tel Aviv in Israel. Israel's territory is small and cannot withstand a saturation attack, leading to complete chaos in the Middle East.

3. The refugee tide will overwhelm neighboring countries: Turkey, Iraq, and Lebanon are already chaotic, and the arrival of a million Iranian refugees will collapse social order, security, and the economy, leading to a severe humanitarian crisis.

3. If the U.S. goes to war, it will likely face great difficulties

Relevant agencies have calculated that before a full-scale war with Iran, $2.8 billion will be needed within 30 days, and prolonged conflict would be an endless pit that the U.S. Treasury cannot sustain.
The risk of U.S. military casualties: Thousands of Iranian missiles and drone swarms could conduct saturation attacks on U.S. military bases in the Middle East, resulting in thousands of U.S. military casualties. Anti-war sentiments at home would explode, leading politicians to lose votes.

Allies' thoughts: Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and other Gulf countries have openly stated they do not allow their territory to be used to strike Iran, not wanting to be dragged into the conflict, causing the U.S.-Middle East alliance to weaken.

In the end, there is only one possibility: negotiating while fighting, engaging in a long-term stalemate. The U.S. fears getting bogged down in war, while Iran fears a complete economic collapse. The most likely scenario is a normalization of gray confrontation: mutual drone strikes, maritime standoffs, cyberattacks, and mutual sanctions, with occasional talks, and if they can’t reach an agreement, they will escalate again!
#Bitcoin谷歌搜索量暴升 Bitcoin has dropped sharply again, and the rise is also incredibly fast, leaving everyone in the network confused, panicking, and curious, leading to a frenzy of searches on Google for "Bitcoin, why is it dropping, can I buy the dip?" Why did the search volume suddenly surge? Mainly because there aren't any clear negative news outside, and those looking to buy the dip, those fearing being trapped, and those just watching the excitement all started searching. What does this represent? A surge in search volume = retail investor sentiment has exploded, either in a state of panic at its peak or FOMO at its peak. So what does this mean for retail investors trading cryptocurrencies? It's neither a bull market signal nor a market crash signal; market sentiment is extreme, and volatility may increase, but new and old funds are now entering the market. The uncertainties in the future are also significant, right? The best approach is to observe the situation calmly!! $BTC #加密市场反弹
#Bitcoin谷歌搜索量暴升
Bitcoin has dropped sharply again, and the rise is also incredibly fast, leaving everyone in the network confused, panicking, and curious, leading to a frenzy of searches on Google for "Bitcoin, why is it dropping, can I buy the dip?" Why did the search volume suddenly surge?

Mainly because there aren't any clear negative news outside, and those looking to buy the dip, those fearing being trapped, and those just watching the excitement all started searching. What does this represent? A surge in search volume = retail investor sentiment has exploded, either in a state of panic at its peak or FOMO at its peak.

So what does this mean for retail investors trading cryptocurrencies?
It's neither a bull market signal nor a market crash signal; market sentiment is extreme, and volatility may increase, but new and old funds are now entering the market.
The uncertainties in the future are also significant, right? The best approach is to observe the situation calmly!! $BTC #加密市场反弹
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Bullish
#加密市场反弹 Binance completed the purchase of 3,600 Bitcoin for the SAFU fund, worth $250 million, increasing its SAFU fund BTC holdings to 6,230. At the same time, multiple exchanges and institutions have cumulatively bought over $4.2 billion in Bitcoin within 24 hours! 👿 Binance bought 28,668.36 BTC! 👿 Coinbase bought 14,001.36 BTC! 👻 Kraken bought 8,591.71 BTC! 👻 Wintermute bought 7,456.58 BTC! In addition, Andrew Tate purchased $2 million worth of Bitcoin at a price of $67,000!!🤖🤖🤖🤖$BTC
#加密市场反弹 Binance completed the purchase of 3,600 Bitcoin for the SAFU fund, worth $250 million, increasing its SAFU fund BTC holdings to 6,230.

At the same time, multiple exchanges and institutions have cumulatively bought over $4.2 billion in Bitcoin within 24 hours!

👿 Binance bought 28,668.36 BTC!
👿 Coinbase bought 14,001.36 BTC!
👻 Kraken bought 8,591.71 BTC!
👻 Wintermute bought 7,456.58 BTC!

In addition, Andrew Tate purchased $2 million worth of Bitcoin at a price of $67,000!!🤖🤖🤖🤖$BTC
Be cautious about this rebound amidst the bloodbath#加密市场反弹 The cryptocurrency market has made a strong rebound from the bloodbath of the previous day, with Bitcoin soaring back above 70k from a low that nearly broke 59k, adding 150 billion dollars to the entire market cap, feeling like a roller coaster flip. To briefly summarize the current situation of yesterday's rebound, on February 5th, the market crashed, with Bitcoin plummeting below 60k, causing the entire cryptocurrency market value to evaporate over 2 trillion dollars, but yesterday Bitcoin rose by 11%, closing at 70k+; Ethereum rebounded by 6-8% to 1920-2070 dollars; XRP surged even more, skyrocketing by 24% to 1.47 dollars; Solana also climbed back to 81-88 dollars. The total market cap has rebounded from its low to 2.4-2.5 trillion dollars, and the fear index has eased slightly from extreme fear. This is not an isolated event; the stock market has also rebounded simultaneously: the Dow broke the 50k new high, and gold and silver have followed suit. The core reason behind this rebound is that it did not come out of nowhere, but is the result of multiple factors overlapping.

Be cautious about this rebound amidst the bloodbath

#加密市场反弹
The cryptocurrency market has made a strong rebound from the bloodbath of the previous day, with Bitcoin soaring back above 70k from a low that nearly broke 59k, adding 150 billion dollars to the entire market cap, feeling like a roller coaster flip. To briefly summarize the current situation of yesterday's rebound, on February 5th, the market crashed, with Bitcoin plummeting below 60k, causing the entire cryptocurrency market value to evaporate over 2 trillion dollars, but yesterday Bitcoin rose by 11%, closing at 70k+; Ethereum rebounded by 6-8% to 1920-2070 dollars; XRP surged even more, skyrocketing by 24% to 1.47 dollars; Solana also climbed back to 81-88 dollars.
The total market cap has rebounded from its low to 2.4-2.5 trillion dollars, and the fear index has eased slightly from extreme fear. This is not an isolated event; the stock market has also rebounded simultaneously: the Dow broke the 50k new high, and gold and silver have followed suit. The core reason behind this rebound is that it did not come out of nowhere, but is the result of multiple factors overlapping.
This means that even if the Bitcoin price in USD remains stable, the price in Japanese Yen can break through psychological barriers. This may stem from the Bank of Japan's loose monetary policy, global inflation pressures, or geopolitical factors, leading to fluctuations in the Yen exchange rate. The price of Bitcoin is primarily driven by the USD! When the Yen weakens against the USD, Bitcoin priced in Yen is more likely to reach higher values, brothers! Do you think there is hope for a rise??#加密市场回调 #何时抄底?
This means that even if the Bitcoin price in USD remains stable, the price in Japanese Yen can break through psychological barriers.

This may stem from the Bank of Japan's loose monetary policy, global inflation pressures, or geopolitical factors, leading to fluctuations in the Yen exchange rate.
The price of Bitcoin is primarily driven by the USD! When the Yen weakens against the USD, Bitcoin priced in Yen is more likely to reach higher values, brothers! Do you think there is hope for a rise??#加密市场回调 #何时抄底?
#加密市场回调 Our village clearly states: • China prohibits the issuance of unapproved offshore RMB-pegged stablecoins • Domestic RWA tokenization has been banned • Overseas risk-weighted asset activities now require approval from regulatory authorities Blockchain innovation ≠ currency control. How should we handle this withdrawal? 🙄🙄🙄🙄, any tips from brothers? Private message me!!
#加密市场回调
Our village clearly states:

• China prohibits the issuance of unapproved offshore RMB-pegged stablecoins
• Domestic RWA tokenization has been banned
• Overseas risk-weighted asset activities now require approval from regulatory authorities
Blockchain innovation ≠ currency control.
How should we handle this withdrawal? 🙄🙄🙄🙄, any tips from brothers? Private message me!!
What is the recipient thinking in their heart?? 😂😂😂$BTC
What is the recipient thinking in their heart?? 😂😂😂$BTC
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