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The whole internet is in chaos! Brother Maji is shorting ETH with a backhand, is the reverse indicator about to fail?

Everyone is stunned! The crypto circle's recognized 'reverse beacon' Brother Maji directly placed a short order in the ETH 2100–2200 USD range, igniting a frenzy in the contract circle. This legendary player, who has been liquidated 280 times and lost over 26 million USD, has turned reverse trading into an art: when he goes long, the market panics; when he goes short, no one dares to follow suit, and this operation has left countless people dumbfounded.

But peeling back the underlying logic reveals that this is not merely a simple battle of bulls and bears, but a top-tier traffic show.

What he loses is never money, but the effect of a top-tier show. The tens of millions of USD in losses are real, but behind him is a three-tier capital perpetual motion machine: funds exiting traditional industries, early crypto principal, and liquidity from continually monetizing NFTs. When ordinary people get liquidated, they exit; when he gets liquidated, it's just a plot twist, always having bullets to continue the show.

This shorting is most likely just a hedging performance. It's likely he is closing long positions while opening short positions for protection, similar to his previous high-leverage eye-catching plays, with the core being to exchange extreme risk for traffic across the internet.

Brother Maji has long become an amplifier of market sentiment; the stronger the 'reverse consensus,' the more his actions will trigger collective reverse trading, directly intensifying short-term volatility.

To sum it up in one sentence: don't follow his direction guessing; he plays capital performance art, using losses to exchange for IP popularity. He has a perpetual motion machine backing him, while you only have real money to bear the risks; copying his homework will only get you harvested.

Do you think Brother Maji's short order is a genuine bearish move or just a performance? Let's discuss in the comments!
$ETH

$BERA
$DYM
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#易理华割肉清仓
#U.S. House Terminates Trump's Canada Tariff

Breaking! Europe officially starts the 'de-dollarization' process, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape.

Big news! A significant announcement has come from Brussels, as Martin Köhler, a member of the European Central Bank's monetary policy committee, strongly states that Europe has officially begun the de-dollarization process, with the global financial system facing a major reshuffle, instantly affecting the cryptocurrency and global markets.

Köhler clearly pointed out that the continuous devaluation of the dollar is the core signal of this shift. Europe must take proactive measures to strengthen its financial system, fully enhance the euro's global share, and break the imbalance caused by the dollar's dominance. The instability in settlements and the risk of asset depreciation brought about by dollar hegemony have provided Europe with a window of opportunity for a breakthrough.

Europe will focus on three areas: improving policy coordination within the Eurozone, unifying financial regulation, and integrating the internal market; increasing the euro's share in trade settlements and reserves; strengthening cross-border financial cooperation, expanding the use cases for the euro, and simultaneously promoting the digital euro layout to reduce reliance on the dollar and US payment systems.

Although the long-term hegemony of the dollar is difficult to shake quickly, challenges such as economic imbalances and difficulties in coordination within Europe still exist. However, Europe's proactive layout signifies that de-dollarization has entered a substantive advancement stage.

Global currency diversification has become a major trend, and this move by Europe directly impacts the existing financial order. Can the euro challenge the dollar's position? What new opportunities will de-dollarization bring to the cryptocurrency market? What do you think about this global financial upheaval?
$ZRO
$NIL
$ALLO
#美国科技基金净流
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Brother Ma Ji is shorting ETH at $2100-2200, not simply bearish, but a combination operation of flow + hedging + emotional gaming, the core reasons are as follows 👇

1. Flow IP First: Creating Topics with Reverse Operations

- He is recognized in the crypto circle as the 'reverse beacon', having been liquidated 280 times, losing over $26 million, with a zero win rate becoming metaphysical.

- Publicly shorting = brings its own traffic code: when going long everyone runs, when shorting no one dares to short, each operation can ignite discussions in the contract circle, maintaining the popularity of top IPs.

- Losses are 'program effects', backed by three layers of capital perpetual motion (traditional funds + early crypto principal + NFT liquidity) to cushion, liquidation is just a plot, there is always funding for continuation.

2. Position Hedging: Reducing Leverage + Controlling Risk

- The high probability is closing longs + opening shorts for hedging, rather than completely turning bearish.

- Previously held long positions with 25x high leverage, with the liquidation line approaching the market price, shorting is to reduce leveraged exposure, protect existing positions, and avoid one-sided declines leading to liquidation.

- Essentially it is still 'extreme risk for extreme attention', consistent with the previous logic of high-leverage eye-catching.

3. Emotional Gaming: Utilizing Reverse Consensus for Harvesting

- 'Ma Ji's Reverse Indicator' has become a market consensus; his shorting will trigger retail investors to reflexively go long, temporarily driving up ETH volatility.

- He can take advantage of emotional fluctuations for short-term trades: publicly 'performing catastrophic losses' in one account while profitably operating in a hidden account, using smokescreens to harvest followers.

4. Short-term Market Judgment: Oscillation Gaming Rather than Bearish

- $2100-2200 is a key oscillation range for ETH; shorting is a short-term game, not a long-term bearish outlook.

- His core still holds a long-term bullish view on ETH; shorting is merely a short-term risk control + traffic strategy in a volatile market.

Summary

His shorting of ETH is not a trading judgment, but a form of capital performance art: using public losses to exchange for IP popularity, controlling risk through hedging, and playing emotional gaming through reverse consensus. Retail investors should not copy his homework—he has a perpetual motion machine to cushion, while you only have real money to bear risks.
$ETH
$ALLO
$OG
#以太坊ETF
#ETH走势分析
#易理华割肉清仓
#何时抄底？

Breaking! Federal Reserve officials have spoken: interest rates will remain unchanged for a long time, bringing a stable macro environment to the cryptocurrency market.

A key signal has suddenly emerged in the global market! On February 10 local time, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, who has voting rights in the 2025 FOMC, made it clear that the current monetary policy of the Federal Reserve is in a good position, and interest rates may remain unchanged for a considerable period. This dovish statement directly impacts the direction of the global financial and cryptocurrency markets.

Mester pointed out that the Fed has maintained interest rates in the range of 3.5% to 3.75% since January, and the current policy is close to neutral, with no urgent need for adjustment. She emphasized that inflation in the U.S. remains relatively high, likely staying around 3% this year, far exceeding the long-term target of 2%. Tariffs, electricity, and healthcare costs continue to drive up prices, and cost pressures have not yet peaked. Decisive evidence of a sustained decline in inflation will be needed before considering policy adjustments.

In terms of employment, the U.S. unemployment rate is 4.4%, and the labor market is stabilizing, with initial jobless claims remaining low. With interest rate cuts and fiscal support, economic growth is expected to accelerate within the year. Mester also emphasized the independence of the central bank, stating that countries with weaker central bank independence usually experience higher inflation levels, and reiterated the importance of a stable banking system for the transmission of economic and monetary policy.

The Fed's long-term inaction means that the global liquidity environment is tending toward stability, significantly reducing the risk of major policy disruptions and creating a stable macro recovery window for the cryptocurrency market.
Do you think the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged will benefit mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin? Feel free to discuss in the comments!
$GHST
$ATM
$DF
#美国零售数据逊预期
#美国科技基金净流
#币安比特币SAFU基金

Non-farm countdown! Gold experiences drastic fluctuations, global markets face a critical test

On the eve of the significant non-farm report, the market is experiencing wild swings! Spot gold surged by $91.82 overnight, an increase of 1.85%, reported at $5057.89, and the European market slightly retreated to hover around $5051; silver skyrocketed over 7% in a single day, with precious metals showing signs of agitation across the board.

The three major U.S. stock indices collectively closed higher, with the Dow Jones reaching a new historical high; the Nikkei index soared by 2.77%, breaking through 57926 points to set a new record, as 'high market trading' continues to gain momentum, aiming for the 60000 point mark. Federal Reserve officials have been vocal, stating that tariffs have limited impact on the economy, with CME data showing a mere 17.7% probability of a rate cut in March, while the probability has risen to 50.4% in June. The White House is taking preemptive measures for the non-farm report, suggesting that a slowdown in employment should not cause panic, indirectly endorsing expectations for a rate cut.

The situation in the Middle East remains tense, as the U.S. warns commercial ships to stay away from Iranian territorial waters, with U.S. military intercepting oil tankers, and foreign ministers from eight countries jointly condemning Israel, leading to a rise in risk aversion sentiment.

From a technical perspective, gold is in a state of indecision on the 4-hour timeframe, with a soft trend and strong momentum fading away. Focus is on whether the critical support level of $5000 can be maintained. This week's non-farm report and CPI will set the tone for Federal Reserve policy, directly impacting the dollar, gold, and the overall cryptocurrency market.

The non-farm report is about to ignite the market, can gold maintain the $5000 threshold? Do you think this data will be bullish or bearish? Let's discuss in the comments!
$NKN

$GHST

#美国科技基金净流
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$XRP

Federal Reserve's sudden change! Treasury Secretary urgently extinguishes fire, a trillion-dollar asset reshuffle is coming!

Wall Street is in turmoil! The Federal Reserve's policy expectations have suddenly turned, and U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent swiftly steps in to calm the market, officially kicking off a global trillion-dollar asset reshuffle.

Market panic is directly aimed at Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, Waller. This hawkish official has long criticized quantitative easing and advocates for reshaping the relationship between the Federal Reserve and the Treasury. Once the aggressive reduction in the balance sheet touches an asset portfolio exceeding $6 trillion, the $30 trillion U.S. Treasury market may face severe turmoil, and the independence of the Federal Reserve will also be subjected to serious scrutiny.

At this critical moment, Bessent made a significant statement to "extinguish the fire": even if Waller takes the helm of the Federal Reserve, there will never be a rapid reduction in the balance sheet; adjusting the balance sheet will require a year of assessment. Under the "ample reserves" system, the Federal Reserve has no motivation for an aggressive reduction in the balance sheet to stabilize the interest rate system.

Goldman Sachs and other institutions directly stated that the market has seriously misread Waller's position. He opposes long-term QE, but will not push for large-scale balance sheet reduction. In the next 5-7 years, the Federal Reserve's assets will undergo a structural shift: holdings will shift significantly from medium- and long-term securities to short-term Treasury bills within 12 months, with the proportion of Treasury bills possibly soaring from less than 5% to 55%. The Federal Reserve will continue to participate in market debt purchases.

Trump's demand to lower mortgage rates further locks in aggressive balance sheet reduction space. Reducing the balance sheet will raise interest rates, contrary to government objectives; Bessent may have a "soft veto" over tightening plans.

The $30 trillion U.S. Treasury market cannot afford a fundamental structural change; slight adjustments are bearable, but drastic changes will inevitably trigger global financial turmoil. The Federal Reserve's major shift in assets has become a foregone conclusion. How will this impact the cryptocurrency space and global assets? Share your thoughts in the comments!
$NKN
$GHST
$ATM
#黄金白银反弹
#易理华割肉清仓
#Bitcoin谷歌搜索量暴升

Non-farm payrolls will make a heavy debut tomorrow! The White House preemptively 'cools down': no need to panic about slowing employment

On February 11th at 21:30 Beijing time, the January non-farm employment report, delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown, is about to be released! This core data that influences the Federal Reserve's policy has already been preemptively 'prepared' by the White House before its announcement, and the global financial market is holding its breath, with the crypto market also expecting a key volatility window.

The Director of the White House National Economic Council, Hassett, publicly stated that due to the slowdown in labor force growth and the increase in productivity, U.S. employment growth is likely to decline. This is a special pattern where a contraction in labor supply coexists with high-efficient economic growth, and it is not a signal of economic recession, so the market need not panic. This rhetoric is consistent with comments made earlier by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, highlighting the uniqueness of the current employment market's 'dual decline' in supply and demand, which greatly increases the difficulty of data interpretation.

The causes of the employment slowdown directly determine the Federal Reserve's actions: if it stems from a tightening of immigration policies leading to a shortage of labor supply, it may push wages and inflation up, making interest rate cuts more cautious; if it comes from weak demand, it provides a basis for interest rate cuts. Currently, the market expects 70,000 new jobs in the January non-farm data and a stable unemployment rate of 4.4%; according to CME FedWatch, the probability of a rate cut in March is only 17.7%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is as high as 82.3%.

Non-farm data will directly influence the movements of the dollar, U.S. stocks, and the crypto market. The White House's advance notice, is it paving the way for data that may fall short of expectations? Do you think this non-farm report will be bullish or bearish for the crypto market?
$NKN
$GHST
$ATM
#全球科技股抛售冲击风险资产
#币安比特币SAFU基金
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$NKN
Don't get caught up in whether Waller is a hawk or dove! The market is the ultimate judge of the Federal Reserve.

The market is buzzing about whether the Federal Reserve Chair nominee Waller is a hawk or a dove, but in fact, the stance is not important; it is the funds and trends that hold the final say. Once central bank officials misjudge, market fluctuations will force policy corrections, and Lagarde's emergency reversal back then is the best example.

Waller was originally a staunch hawk, closely watching inflation and opposing easing, but now he is calling for interest rate cuts while advocating for balance sheet reduction, creating a contradictory situation of "pouring water on one side and drawing water on the other," which will impact the financing market and the real estate market, making it hard to gain FOMC support. He wants to use AI to boost productivity as a defense for interest rate cuts, but the logic is equally untenable.

Once he assumes the chair, Waller will likely return to traditional paths, determining policy based on economic and inflation data rather than personal aggressive stances. Institutions will shape leaders, and the dual mission of the Federal Reserve will make his personal inclinations yield to the realities of the rules.

For investors, Waller's nomination has not changed the core risk landscape, and there is no need to hastily adjust positions. Focus should be on the 5-year/5-year CPI swap and other inflation expectation indicators, while being vigilant about the independence of the central bank. In the long term, allocations should still include commodities, inflation-protected bonds, real estate, and other physical assets to guard against high-frequency inflation shocks.

Whether it is hawkish statements or dovish actions, ultimately it must submit to the market. Do you really think Waller will cut interest rates once he takes office? Let's discuss your judgment in the comments!
$ZKP
$ATM
#美国科技基金净流
#易理华割肉清仓
#BTC何时反弹？
#Bitcoin谷歌搜索量暴升

Major Non-Farm Payrolls Eve! The White House urgently signals that employment data may fall significantly below expectations, and the cryptocurrency market faces a crucial test.

The important Non-Farm Payroll report is about to be revealed, and the White House is preemptively engaging in "expectation management," giving the global market an early "preventive shot"! On February 9th, Eastern Time, White House National Economic Council Director Hassett publicly hinted that U.S. job growth will significantly weaken in the coming months, yet insists this is not a decline in economic momentum, but rather a structural shift in the labor market.

Hassett attributes the slowdown in employment to a deceleration in population growth and a surge in productivity, also mentioning that a reduction in illegal immigration has led to a contraction in the labor force, emphasizing that low job growth can coexist with high GDP growth, and urging the market to "not panic," paving the way for weak data with the phrase "the decline in the required job growth for stable unemployment rate."

The market has already sensed the cooling signals: a Reuters survey shows that January's Non-Farm Payrolls are expected to increase by only 70,000, continuing the sluggish trend; ADP private sector employment increased by only 22,000, and job vacancies have fallen to their lowest level since 2020, with the U.S. labor market entering a "low hiring, low firing" mode. This report will also include historical data revisions, likely leading to significant downward adjustments of past employment data, which may further intensify market concerns about the economic outlook.

Non-Farm data directly influences the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut pace, causing significant fluctuations in the dollar, U.S. stocks, and the cryptocurrency market. Is the White House's advance signaling a way to stabilize expectations or to mask economic concerns? Will this crucial Non-Farm report become the ignition point for a new round of trends in the cryptocurrency market?
$ZKP
$GPS
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#易理华割肉清仓
#比特币挖矿难度下降
#Bitcoin Google search volume skyrockets

Breaking! March interest rate cut cools down! The Federal Reserve adopts a cautious stance, the dollar fluctuates at high levels, and the crypto market is under pressure.

The expectations for a March interest rate cut have completely cooled! Multiple officials from the Federal Reserve have intensively released cautious hawkish signals. CME's 'Fed Watch' shows that the probability of maintaining the interest rate in March is as high as 80.1%, with easing expectations significantly adjusted. The dollar index remains fluctuating at high levels, and global risk assets face a critical test.

Richmond Fed President Barkin clearly stated that policy must remain cautious until inflation returns to target; Vice Chair Jefferson is cautiously optimistic about the economy, believing that the current policy is sufficient to cope with changes; Governor Cook emphasizes that the risk of inflation rising still exists, and stabilizing inflation and protecting the credibility of the central bank takes precedence over easing.

On the data front, the probability of maintaining the interest rate in April is still at 65.2%, with the timeline for rate cuts significantly delayed. The dollar index has recently fluctuated repeatedly, closing up 0.21% to 97.824 on February 5th, then retreating 0.2% to 97.633 on the 6th, showing strong resilience at high levels, forming a phase of pressure on the crypto market.

The Federal Reserve is unlikely to ease policy in the short term, and the strong dollar's fluctuations have become the main line of the current market. When do you think the Federal Reserve will cut rates at the earliest? Will the strong dollar continue to suppress the crypto trend?
$NKN

$GPS

$AXS

#比特币挖矿难度下降
#沃什美联储政策前瞻
#When will BTC rebound?

$GPS
Breaking! The Federal Reserve's dovish stance shocks the market! Another 1-2 rate cuts confirmed? The crypto market welcomes a liquidity turning point

A sudden big news of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve! Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Fed, clearly stated: To respond to the ongoing weakness in the U.S. labor market, the Federal Reserve is highly likely to cut rates another 1-2 times, completely igniting global easing expectations!

Daly bluntly said that U.S. wages are eroded by high inflation, new job additions are scarce, and the actual pressure in the labor market is far greater than the surface data. Although she supports pausing rate cuts, there are sufficient conditions for further easing. The core premise of rate cuts is the fading impact of tariffs and steady decline in inflation. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson simultaneously warned of the risk of sudden weakening in employment, completely aligning with Waller's proposal to cut rates by 25 basis points during the January meeting.

U.S. job vacancies in December hit a five-year low, with significant downward revisions in data, confirming a cooling job market. Traders quickly brought forward the expectation of the first rate cut to June-July, and U.S. Treasury yields have fluctuated lower. This week, key data such as non-farm payrolls, CPI, and employment cost index will be released intensively, with the non-farm data on February 11 being a key watershed for the rate cut timetable, directly determining the Federal Reserve's policy pace.

For the crypto market, the Federal Reserve's rate cut signals the end of the global liquidity tightening cycle, a weaker dollar, and a rebound in risk appetite, which may lead to a valuation recovery for mainstream crypto assets, with expectations of institutional funds returning continuing to heat up.

The non-farm payroll data will be revealed this week. Do you think the Federal Reserve will cut rates in advance? Will this easing cycle trigger a new round of market movement in the crypto market?
$AXS
$NKN
#沃什美联储政策前瞻
#比特币挖矿难度下降
#易理华割肉清仓

Important! Bessent's Specific Guidance: The Fed is not in a hurry to reduce its balance sheet, and the adjustment of the balance sheet is progressing steadily.

Global markets welcome a key policy signal! U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent has made significant comments, directly setting the tone for the Fed's balance sheet adjustments: Even with the hawkish chair nominee Walsh taking office, the Fed will never rush to reduce the balance sheet. The overall adjustment will proceed steadily and orderly, significantly alleviating the market's tense liquidity anxiety.

Bessent publicly stated that it may take up to a year for the Fed to finalize its plan, and the balance sheet adjustment will be decided autonomously by the central bank. Under the "ample reserves mechanism," the Fed needs to maintain a sizable balance sheet and cannot hastily shrink it aggressively. He emphasized that although Walsh has long criticized the Fed for expanding its balance sheet and advocated for significant cuts to the asset size, he will uphold the independence of the central bank and will not blindly implement aggressive policies.

Data shows that the Fed's balance sheet reached a peak of $9 trillion in 2022, and after years of quantitative tightening, it is expected to drop to $6.6 trillion by the end of 2025. In December 2024, the Fed will restart technical purchases of short-term Treasury bills to replenish liquidity in the financial system and stabilize the interest rate range. Additionally, the Trump administration hopes to lower mortgage rates, and a hasty balance sheet reduction would raise long-term rates, contradicting policy objectives and making it difficult to achieve while maintaining financial stability.

This statement clarifies the Fed's core path of "stabilizing liquidity and slowing balance sheet reduction." Short-term global liquidity shocks are controllable, benefiting U.S. stocks, U.S. bonds, and the cryptocurrency market, avoiding sharp market fluctuations caused by abrupt policy shifts.

The pace of the Fed's balance sheet reduction directly affects global liquidity and the trends in the cryptocurrency market. Do you think the Fed will continue a moderate pace in 2026, or will it turn to tightening? What impact will this have on cryptocurrency assets? Feel free to share your views in the comments!

$ETH
$BTC
$BNB
#比特币挖矿难度下降
#币安比特币SAFU基金
#何时抄底？

The Federal Reserve's internal war has heated up! The hawks firmly defend their credibility, while the White House strongly pressures for interest rate cuts, and the direction of the dollar is uncertain!

The division within the Federal Reserve has been completely placed on the table! Governor Lisa Cook has taken a hardline stance, stating that inflation has exceeded the target for nearly five years, and it is essential to stabilize policies and curb inflation to defend the credibility of the Fed, clearly opposing hasty interest rate cuts, which temporarily injects rebound momentum into the dollar, causing the dollar index to rise slightly.

On the other hand, the White House is applying pressure without hesitation; Trump has already set the tone: If Waller does not support the interest rate cuts, he will directly lose the chance to become the Fed Chair. The confrontation between political intervention and central bank independence is sharply escalating, and the current hawkish statements seem more like short-term market noise, with the medium- to long-term policy likely leaning towards the White House's demand for interest rate cuts.

The pattern of the dollar's movement is clear: short-term support from hawkish remarks leads to fluctuations and rebounds, but in the long term, it faces dual pressure from politically-driven easing and rising inflation expectations, resulting in a strong short-term and weak long-term trend, with oscillations leading to weakness becoming the main theme, and global assets will also experience severe fluctuations accordingly.

In this game of credibility and politics, do you think the dollar will begin a mid-term decline? Will the Federal Reserve yield to pressure and cut rates early? Let's discuss in the comments!
$DUSK
$ZIL
$AXS

#加密市场反弹
#何时抄底？
#Waller's Fed Policy Outlook

Dovish signals! Daly's heavy statement: U.S. employment in crisis, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates 1-2 more times, the cryptocurrency market welcomes liquidity benefits

The Federal Reserve's dovish signal is fully on! San Francisco Federal Reserve President Daly recently stated that the vulnerability of the U.S. labor market is becoming more prominent, clearly supporting another 1-2 interest rate cuts within the year, and accelerating the pace of the easing cycle!

Last month, the Federal Reserve held steady, maintaining interest rates in the range of 3.50%-3.75%, but internal disagreements on rate cuts have widened, with two board members directly voting in favor. Daly acknowledged that the current employment risks far exceed inflation: December unemployment rate 4.4%, January non-farm payroll expectations only 60,000-80,000, annual employment data may face a downward revision of one million, youth employment under pressure, and increased risk of corporate layoffs becoming the core driver for rate cuts.

She emphasized that inflation is still above the 2% target, but the impact of tariffs is fading, and inflation is expected to ease. Compared to price stability, the deterioration of the labor market needs more vigilance. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson also issued a simultaneous warning that there is a possibility of a sudden weakening of employment, and the consensus on easing continues to solidify.

As expectations for rate cuts rise, the U.S. dollar is under pressure, and global liquidity easing expectations are elevated. The cryptocurrency market, as a high-risk asset, welcomes a key policy window, and fund preferences are expected to continue to warm. Next week's non-farm payrolls will be a key verification point, with the strength or weakness of the data directly determining the pace of rate cuts and market trends.

Do you think the Federal Reserve will cut rates once or twice first? Will this easing cycle ignite the cryptocurrency market?
$DUSK
$BANANAS31
$ASTER
#何时抄底？
#沃什美联储政策前瞻
#BTC何时反弹？

Don't be misled! Kevin Walsh is by no means a hawk; Trump has long locked in the path to interest rate cuts 马斯克概念小奶狗pu p p ies可以关注下

There are rumors that Kevin Walsh will raise interest rates and reduce the balance sheet upon taking office? It's all a misinterpretation! Trump's hiring principles and core demands have long determined that this new Federal Reserve chairman is a false hawk and a true dove, with interest rate cuts as the core direction.

Trump has clear rules: if you don't support interest rate cuts, you will not be nominated as Federal Reserve chairman. Although Walsh held a hawkish position during the subprime crisis years ago, he has recently publicly shifted to support interest rate cuts and criticized the Fed's lagging policies, completely aligning with Trump's agenda. More importantly, he is the son-in-law of the Estée Lauder family, with a father-in-law who is a longtime friend of Trump and a core Republican donor, making him an absolute "insider," not the independent hawk imagined by the market.

Trump favors professionals with strong expertise who can completely change their stance for core positions; Bensent, Musk, and Vance are all precedents, and Walsh has already severed his past positions, leaving him no choice. Together with Bensent and others, they form a financial triangle that excels in short-selling and risk management, and U.S. stocks may face a significant correction rather than being forcibly driven up.

On the asset front: the dollar is short-term strong but weak in the medium term; U.S. stock volatility is increasing, and there may be a 20% pullback within the year; gold is expected to strengthen in the second half of the year, while silver is extremely volatile and should be approached with caution.

Do you think the Fed will quickly start cutting interest rates after Walsh takes office? Will U.S. stocks face a deep correction? Let's discuss your judgment in the comments!
$LA

$API3

#何时抄底？
#沃什美联储政策前瞻
#Cryptocurrency market rebound

Explosive incident in the cryptocurrency world! Epic slip-up by a South Korean exchange mistakenly issues 620,000 BTC!

A shocking blunder occurred in the cryptocurrency world! A leading South Korean exchange mistakenly entered the reward unit as 'BTC' instead of 'Korean Won' during a promotional event, resulting in approximately 620,000 Bitcoins being erroneously sent to 249 users, averaging 2,490 coins per person, with a total value reaching up to $166 million! This massive 'airdrop' triggered concentrated selling, causing the BTC price on the platform to plummet sharply, shaking the market instantly.

In response, the platform quickly froze the involved accounts, suspended trading and withdrawals, and initiated recovery within 35 minutes. So far, 618,212 coins have been retrieved, with 93% of the 1,788 coins sold by users recovered, leaving only 125 BTC still unaccounted for. The South Korean Financial Supervisory Service has intervened to investigate, focusing on the platform's risk control mechanisms and asset security capabilities.

In comparison, leading exchanges like Binance have already established multi-layer operation checks, large transfer interceptions, unit error prevention systems, and 24/7 risk control monitoring to eliminate such basic errors from the source. Asset security in the cryptocurrency world is no small matter; a single operational flaw can trigger a chain reaction of risks. Compliance operations and robust technological safeguards are essential core competencies for exchanges.

This epic blunder is outrageous. Do you think the 125 BTC can ultimately be recovered? How should exchanges improve risk control to avoid making mistakes again?
$LA
$API3
$LPT
#加密市场反弹
#何时抄底？
#BTC何时反弹？
#摩根大通看好BTC

Odds of 30% turning around! Waller wins Fed nomination, the truth behind the plunge in precious metals explained 关注马斯克概念小奶狗p up pie s

From a cold upset with only 30% odds to ultimately winning the Fed Chair nomination, Waller pulled off a stunning reversal! The moment the news was officially announced, the dollar surged strongly, and precious metals plummeted in response, shaking global markets. What allowed this 55-year-old "dark horse" to surpass popular candidates like Haskett and Waller to become Trump's final choice? Three core backgrounds reveal the underlying logic behind the market turbulence.

Firstly, top-notch connections: Waller's father-in-law is Ronald Lauder, heir to Estée Lauder, who has known Trump for 60 years and is a core donor of the Republican Party; this relationship has become his strongest political asset. Secondly, an impressive resume: Stanford bachelor’s and Harvard law doctorate, he became the youngest governor in Fed history at 35, with cross-sector experience in politics, business, and academia; he was favored by Trump as early as 2017. Thirdly, precise policy balance: he champions a practical monetary policy of "balance sheet reduction + interest rate cuts," responding to Trump’s call for rate cuts to alleviate the pressure of national debt interest while controlling inflation through balance sheet reduction, maintaining the Fed's independence and avoiding the market controversies surrounding Haskett's aggressive easing, perfectly aligning with both the White House and Wall Street.

In contrast, Powell has faced repeated criticism from Trump for being cautious about rate cuts and even faced investigations, which has intensified policy divergences. With Waller's nomination solidified, the market quickly priced in his policy path, strengthening the dollar and putting pressure on precious metals.

If Waller takes office smoothly, will balance sheet reduction + interest rate cuts proceed as expected? Are precious metals experiencing a short-term correction or a trend weakening? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
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Waller takes over the Federal Reserve: Trump's bet, the market's dilemma

A hawkish stance yet calls for interest rate cuts, backed by Trump yet needing to maintain the Fed's independence, Waller's nomination immediately shook global markets, causing a plunge in US stocks and a sharp drop in gold. This change in leadership at the Federal Reserve has never been a simple personnel change, but rather a power struggle between the White House and the central bank, and a gamble on the future of global capital!

Trump's choice of Waller is the best of a reluctant four-choice solution: Hassett is a 'puppet' lacking credibility, Reed has a Wall Street background that raises doubts, Waller's hawkish stance is too rigid, only Waller can achieve a triple balance—simultaneously shrinking the balance sheet and cutting interest rates to meet policy demands, family ties binding political loyalty, and establishment credentials easing market anxiety, he understands better how to 'package political demands with rules,' making him the perfect candidate in Trump's eyes.

However, the lessons from Powell's tenure are still fresh, and the institutional constraints of the Fed will never change due to individual actions. Under the FOMC's voting mechanism of 12 votes, Waller only has one vote. In a structure where hawkish members dominate, a significant interest rate cut is merely a fantasy; the Fed's tradition of independence makes it even more difficult for him to become the White House's 'puppet.' With no hard landing risk for the US economy in 2026, persistent inflation, even if Waller takes office, the limited four interest rate meetings before the midterm elections provide insufficient time to push for a loose policy. Trump's expectations for interest rate cuts are likely just wishful thinking.

The essence of this leadership change is merely Trump playing political cards for the midterm elections, using Powell as the scapegoat for economic issues and harvesting votes with Waller's nomination. As for Waller's future, he will either become a political appendage that destroys the Fed's credibility or steadfastly maintain independence and break with the White House; Powell's today may well be his tomorrow.

Can the independence of the Federal Reserve truly survive under political coercion? Will Waller ultimately side with the White House or uphold the market? Share your thoughts in the comments!
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The Epstein case reveals the truth! The Jewish influence's control over America has been thoroughly exposed.

Epstein and his Lolita Island are not merely a scandal among the elite but a grand scheme by Jewish forces to control America's elite! The core of this scheme is to imitate the Qing Dynasty's "officials' narratives," using the blackmail on the island as a badge of loyalty to bind top American politicians, while Jewish financial groups pave the way with resources in exchange for their allegiance, turning politicians into puppets, weaving a vast web of power, attempting to make the entire America a plaything.

However, this model has had a fatal flaw from the very beginning: blackmail can only manipulate a few top-tier leaders and cannot penetrate the Anglo-Saxon base, let alone lock down 300 prominent families. Once exposed, the entire layout would collapse and trigger an extreme backlash of populism. The bizarre "suicide" of Epstein in prison and the global exposure of over 3 million pages of classified documents precisely prove that this web has long been riddled with holes, and the Jewish forces' plan has completely shattered.

Trump's actions further expose the truth: during the campaign, he sought populist votes by publicizing the case documents, but after taking office, he compromised with the Jewish groups, and only under pressure from the rednecks did he publicly release some information. Populism has become a tool of political maneuvering in America. All of this confirms that Jewish capital is not omnipotent, and its control over America is far from 100%; there is always a counterforce, and the power struggle has never ceased.

Do you think the Jewish capital's chess game in America has completely failed? Will populism be the key to breaking the pattern? Share your views in the comments!
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