Initial jobless claims data is in, gold and silver bulls gain momentum!\n \nOn February 12 at 21:30 Beijing time, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending February 7 was announced: 227,000, higher than the expected 222,000 and lower than the previous value of 232,000.\n \nThe employment market's growth rate is slowing, reinforcing expectations for a Fed rate cut, which provides clear support for gold and silver.\n \nOperational reference: \n \nGold: Build long positions based on support, focus on breaking through upper resistance.\nSilver: Follow the rhythm of gold, the rebound elasticity is worth looking forward to.\n \nData guides direction, risk control ensures returns.\n \n #非农意外强劲 #黄金白银反弹
The 1-hour chart shows a trend of rising and then falling back, with a certain amount of volume released during the price decline. The 1-hour chart has not yet shown a clear stabilization signal, and further downward risks should be monitored.
Operation Suggestions
Duo: Enter in the 5035-5045 range for stabilization, with a stop loss below 5025, Target at 5070, and after breaking through, look at 5200.
Kong: Enter in the 5065-5075 range where resistance is encountered, with a stop loss above 5085, Target at 5030, and after breaking through, look at 4900.
(Personal suggestions are for reference only; all is subject to actual trading.) #黄金白银反弹 #非农意外强劲
From the 1-hour chart, gold is showing a volatile upward pattern, with strong support above $5000. After several recent pullbacks, it has rebounded quickly, with the overall focus steadily moving upward. The price is running above the moving averages, and the moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, indicating a strong short-term trend.
Operational Suggestions
Long: Enter in the range of 5060-5070 with a stop loss below 5050, Target at 5100, and if broken, look for 5200.
Short: Enter in the range of 5090-5100 where there is resistance, with a stop loss above 5110, Target at 5060, and if broken, look for 4900.
(Personal suggestions are for reference only; everything is subject to real market conditions) #黄金白银反弹
The fluctuations of gold always have their rules; the key to winning is not a secret. It's just that some people see the essence clearly. The market never rewards those who blindly follow but only favors those who respect the trend and understand when to advance and retreat.
If you are also willing to move forward steadily, I will share my knowledge without reservation. If we are on different paths for now, I wish you all the best. On the path of operation, only with shared goals and mutual effort can we grow together and achieve our own results! #黄金白银反弹
February 11, 2026, US Non-Farm Payroll Data Preview: Market Focuses on Employment and Inflation Signals!
Tonight at 21:30, the United States will announce key employment data for January, including the unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, year-on-year and month-on-month average hourly earnings. This is an important window for assessing the resilience of the US economy and the Federal Reserve's policy path.
Core Data Expectations
- Unemployment Rate: Previous value 4.40%, expected 4.40%, the market expects the job market to maintain moderate resilience without significant deterioration. - Non-Farm Payrolls: Previous value 50,000, expected 70,000, employment growth may slightly recover but remains at recent lows, reflecting a gradual cooling of the labor market. - Year-on-Year Average Hourly Earnings: Previous value 3.80%, expected 3.6%, salary growth is expected to slow, which may ease inflationary pressures. - Month-on-Month Average Hourly Earnings: Previous value 0.30%, expected 0.30%, short-term wage growth remains stable.
Market Impact Logic
1. If non-farm employment exceeds expectations (>70,000) and the unemployment rate is below expectations: This will reinforce expectations of a “soft landing” for the US economy, and the market's bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut in March may cool, the US dollar index may strengthen, while gold and US stocks may face short-term pressure. 2. If non-farm employment falls short of expectations (<50,000) and wage growth exceeds expectations: This will raise concerns about “stagflation,” increasing the urgency for the market regarding the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, gold and US bonds may be sought after, and US stock volatility may increase. 3. If the overall data meets expectations: The market will maintain pricing for multiple rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, and risk assets may continue to fluctuate.
Operational Suggestions
- Gold: Before the data release, light positions can be taken to observe; if non-farm data exceeds expectations, watch for support at $2000; if it falls short of expectations, watch for pressure at $2050. - US Dollar Index: Data exceeding expectations may push the dollar to test the 105 mark, while disappointing data may lead to a drop below 103. - US Stocks: Focus on the performance of technology and financial stocks, wage growth exceeding expectations may suppress growth stock valuations.
Tonight's non-farm data will directly impact market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and investors should closely monitor the data details, especially the marginal changes in employment structure and wage growth, to seize trading opportunities amid market fluctuations.
From the current 1-hour candlestick chart, the gold market is experiencing intense bullish and bearish battles, with alternating red and green candles indicating an unclear short-term direction. We need to wait for a breakout signal to confirm the trend. If it effectively breaks below 4988, it may trigger further corrections; if it stabilizes above 5050, it is expected to restart the upward trend.
Trading Suggestions
Bull: Enter when it stabilizes in the range of 5010-5020, with a stop loss below 5000, aiming for 5040, and looking for 5200 after a breakout.
Bear: Enter when it encounters resistance in the range of 5030-5040, with a stop loss above 5050, aiming for 5000, and looking for 4800 after a breakout.
(Personal advice for reference only, everything is subject to actual trading)#黄金白银反弹
The fluctuations of gold always follow a pattern, and the key to winning is not a secret; it's just that some people see the essence clearly. The market never rewards those who follow blindly, but favors those who respect the trend and understand when to advance or retreat.
If you are also willing to move forward steadily, I will share what I know without reservation. If our paths diverge for now, I wish you all the best. On the path of operation, only with shared goals and mutual effort can we grow together and achieve our own successes!#黄金白银反弹
Tonight at 21:30, three major U.S. data releases are coming! Gold and the U.S. dollar are about to move! 🔥
At 21:30 tonight, the U.S. will release three key data points that will directly affect the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations. Gold, the U.S. dollar, and crude oil may experience significant volatility:
1️⃣ December Retail Sales Month-on-Month Previous value: 0.60%, Expected: 0.4% 👉 Strong data → U.S. dollar rises, gold is under pressure; Weak data → Interest rate cut expectations increase, bullish for gold
2️⃣ Q4 Labor Cost Index Quarter-on-Quarter Previous value: 0.80%, Expected: 0.80% 👉 Exceeding expectations → Concerns about persistent inflation, delaying interest rate cuts; Below expectations → Positive for risk assets
3️⃣ December Import Price Index Month-on-Month Expected: 0.1% 👉 Above expectations → Inflation pressure; Below expectations → Cooling inflation
💡 Trading Tips:
- Gold/Silver: If data is weaker than expected, consider buying on dips; if stronger than expected, be cautious of corrections. - Crude Oil: Strong retail data boosts demand expectations, conversely weakens them. - U.S. Dollar: Exceeding expectations provides support, conversely leads to corrections.
⚠️ Volatility increases after data release; strictly control positions and manage risk! #黄金白银反弹