• Up 80% in the last 24 hours • +190% from the $0.34 ATL to ~$1.50
What’s driving it? Berachain just revealed the “Bera Builds Businesses” initiative — a plan to build, acquire, and partner with real ventures that funnel value back into the $BERA ecosystem.
That said, after a near-vertical move, chasing longs here is risky. Late entries often get punished fast.
U.S. stock futures jumped after job data beat expectations.$XAU
🔹 The U.S. economy added 130,000 jobs in January, well above the 66,000 estimate 🔹 Unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, beating expectations of 4.4% ➡️ Clear signs of a stronger labor market
Market reaction after the data: • U.S. futures moved higher 📈 • Gold pulled back 📉 • $BTC surged nearly $2,400 from today’s low, now trading near $68,000
The market is starting to price in lower recession risk as economic data improves.
8:30 AM → US NONFARM PAYROLLS DATA 8:30 AM → US UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 10:15 AM → VICE CHAIR BOWMAN SPEAKS 2:00 PM → FEDERAL BUDGET BALANCE 6:50 PM → JAPAN FOREIGN BOND BUYING 6:50 PM → JAPAN PPI DATA
Price at a critical zone: BTC is currently trading around $67K, sitting right on the 200-week Moving Average (~$58K–$60K area). Historically, this MA has acted as strong long-term support.
Macro structure: After topping near $126K, BTC has been in a clear weekly downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. The recent sell-off looks impulsive, suggesting capitulation pressure may be building.
Support & risk:
As long as BTC holds above the 200W MA, the long-term bull market structure remains intact.
A weekly close below the 200W MA could open the door for deeper downside and extended consolidation.
Volume insight: Rising sell volume into support often signals panic selling, which historically precedes major bottoms or strong relief bounces.
Bullish scenario: Holding this level could trigger a mean reversion move, with upside targets back toward $75K–$85K initially.
Bearish scenario: Loss of this support could send BTC into a lower accumulation range before any sustainable recovery.
Summary: BTC is at a make-or-break level on the weekly timeframe. This zone has historically been a high-risk, high-reward area for long-term positioning. Volatility is expected — patience is key. 🔥
$ETH still has a minor liquidity pocket around $1,500–$1,700, which could get swept in the short term.
However, the bigger liquidity cluster lies above, between $2,200–$4,000 — making the upside a much higher-probability target from a liquidity perspective.
👉 If ETH starts moving toward these higher levels, we could see capital rotation from $BTC & $ETH into Altcoins.
📈 That scenario often marks the early phase of strong Altcoin performance.
Volume: Cooling after expansion (good for continuation if breakout holds)
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🎯 Trade Setup (LONG)
Entry Zone:
Aggressive: 5,040 – 5,055 (EMA retest / current consolidation)
Conservative: Break & hold above 5,070 with volume confirmation
Stop Loss:
Primary SL: 4,995
Invalidation: Clean 1H close below 4,990 (break of structure)
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🧭 Targets (Scale Out)
TP1: 5,095 (range high retest)
TP2: 5,140 (measured move / liquidity)
TP3: 5,200+ (trend extension if momentum expands)
👉 After TP1, consider moving SL to BE (Break Even).
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📊 Risk Management
Risk per trade: Max 1–2%
RR Estimate: ~1:2.5 to 1:3 (depending on entry)
Avoid over-leverage; gold can spike on news.
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⚠️ Invalidation & Caution
1H close below 4,990 → bullish bias invalid
Watch USD strength, US yields, macro news (Gold reacts fast)
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🧠 Trade Thesis
Gold remains strong structurally. As long as price holds above the EMA cluster and prior higher low, dips are buy-the-dip opportunities. A breakout above 5,095 opens the door for a momentum push toward 5,140–5,200.
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📌 Not Financial Advice. Trade with discipline & proper risk management.