天运众智

#Aave Labs proposes to allocate 100% of the revenue to dao$AAVE 🧩 Aave Labs 100% Revenue Proposal to DAO (2026-02-13)

Proposal Name: Aave Will Win (Temperature Check Phase, submitted on February 12)

✅ Core Content (One Sentence)

Aave Labs will contribute 100% of the revenue from all Aave brand products to the DAO treasury; the DAO will provide approximately $50 million in funding support to Labs and establish V4 as the core architecture.

💰 Revenue Scope (Fully included in DAO)

- V3/V4 protocol fees, exchange fees
- aave.com frontend, App, Aave Card, institutional services (Aave Pro)
- Future products (e.g., related to ETFs)

🧾 DAO Funding Plan (Total ≈$50M)

- Stablecoins: $25M base grant + $17.5M milestone grant (disbursed in phases)
- AAVE tokens: 75,000 tokens (currently ≈$8M)
- Purpose: V4 development, products, customer acquisition, institutional cooperation, secure operations

🧱 Supporting Mechanisms

- Establish Aave V4 as the future core technology base
- Establish the Aave Foundation to manage trademarks/IP and brand protection
- Labs will become a long-term service provider for the DAO, no longer retaining product revenue

🧠 Reasons Behind

- Resolve the long-standing conflict over brand/IP control between the community and Labs
- Strengthen **$AAVE value capture**, with all revenue going to the community
- Promote complete decentralization, adapting to DeFi compliance and institutionalization trends

📈 Market Reaction

- In the context of a major market downturn, AAVE increased by 2% (Binance)
- General community support: value alignment, token empowerment, long-term growth

⚠️ Key Milestones

- Current: Temperature check (non-binding)
- Next Steps: Formal proposal → Voting → Execution
- Impact: Significant shift in the revenue distribution paradigm for leading DeFi protocols

#LTC Current Hot Search$LTC 🔥 LTC Trending (2026-02-14, Binance/USDT)

1. Core Market (Real-time)

- Price: 54.8 USDT (24h +3.2%)
- Market Cap: Approximately 4.2 billion USD (Top 20)
- 24h Trading Volume: 380 million USDT (Increased)
- Open Interest (OI): Approximately 120 million USD (Low, Deleveraging End)
- RSI (4h): 31 (Close to Oversold, Rebound Signal)

2. Reasons for Trending (3 Key Points)

1. Oversold Rebound + Whale Accumulation
After 4 consecutive months of decline, RSI hits the bottom + large on-chain accumulation triggers a surge in buying funds.
2. ETF Expectations Reignited
The market revisits the expectation of LTC spot ETF approval (historical probability 90%), catalyzing sentiment.
3. Market Resonance
US CPI drops to 2.4%, interest rate cut expectations heat up, overall crypto rebound, with LTC leading the old coins.

3. Technical Analysis (Key Levels)

- Support: 52→53 (Strong support, concentrated buying)
- Resistance: 58→62 (Previous stuck area)
- Trend: 4-hour bottom divergence, high probability of a rebound

4. Contract Signals (Binance Perpetual)

- Long/Short Ratio: 1.3:1 (Bulls starting to dominate)
- Funding Rate: +0.02% (Turning positive, signs of short squeeze)
- Liquidation: Increased short liquidation, signs of buying pressure

5. Practical Strategy (Spot + Contracts)

- Spot
Entry: 53–54 Gradual buying
Stop Loss: 50
Target: 58→62
- Contract (Long)
Entry: 54.5 Test Long
Stop Loss: 52.5
Take Profit: 58 / 61
- Taboo: Do not chase shorts, do not use high leverage

6. Risk Warning

- Market pullback → LTC follows with a correction
- Whale sell-off → Short-term selling pressure
- Funding rate turns negative → Rebound aborted

#以色列军方正调查Polymarket的内幕交易 I. Core of the Incident (Official Announcement on February 12, 2026)

The Israeli military (IDF), Shin Bet, and the Ministry of Defense jointly investigated and prosecuted:

- 1 IDF reservist + 1 civilian

- Charges: Seriously endangering national security, bribery, obstruction of justice

- Core: Profiting by using classified military intelligence to bet on Israeli military operations (such as strikes against Iran) on Polymarket

II. Event Summary

1. Trigger: Abnormally accurate betting (100% win rate, cumulative profits exceeding 150,000 USDT) appeared on Polymarket, attracting regulatory attention.

2. Investigation: Malmab (IDF counterintelligence) and Shin Bet jointly investigated, identifying the reservist (in a classified position) as having leaked intelligence to civilians.

3. Prosecution: The Tel Aviv court lifted the gag order and formally filed criminal charges. 4. Military Statement: Called this a serious ethical breach and a red line crossing, stating that classified information control will be strengthened; stated that no substantial operational damage was caused.

III. Impact on Crypto/Prediction Markets

- Polymarket: Increased regulatory pressure, potentially facing stricter KYC, delisting from military/political markets, and compliance reviews.

- DeFi prediction market: Sparked controversy over being a "breeding ground for insider trading," global regulators (US, EU, Israel) may accelerate rule-making.

- Crypto Sentiment: Short-term negative for prediction tokens (such as POLY, UMA), exacerbating compliance concerns.

IV. Indirect Impact on BTC/Crypto Markets

- Geopolitical risks + tightened regulations → decreased risk appetite, putting pressure on BTC rebound.

- If Polymarket is subject to stricter regulation, overall DeFi sentiment will weaken, and funds may flow back to mainstream coins.

V. Key Points to Watch

- Will the trial disclose specific betting targets, profit amounts, and details of intelligence leaks?

- Will Israel promote global regulatory coordination for prediction markets?

- How Polymarket will respond: Limiting access, delisting, and compliance transformation.

#比特币资金费率转为负值预示潜在挤仓风险 $BTC

1. What is a negative funding rate?

- Definition: Perpetual contract price < spot price → shorts pay longs (funding rate < 0)
- Signal: Strong bearish sentiment in the market, shorts dominate positions, contract contango

2. Why does it indicate the risk of liquidation (short squeeze)?

1. Holding cost pressure
Shorts continue to pay every 8 hours; the longer the time, the higher the cost, and the willingness to hold decreases.
2. A rebound triggers a chain reaction
Slight price increase → Shorts' losses expand → Forced buying to cover → Surge in buying → Price accelerates upward → More shorts get liquidated/close positions → Spiral squeeze
3. Structural imbalance amplifies risk
Negative funding rate + high open interest (OI) + extreme long-short ratio → Insufficient counterparties, easy to trigger liquidity crunch during liquidation

3. Typical path of a squeeze (Short Squeeze)

- Price stops falling/slight rebound
- Shorts stop-loss/forced liquidation → Concentrated buying
- Buying pushes up price → Triggers more short liquidations
- Price surges rapidly → Forms a squeeze market

4. Risks and opportunities (Binance perspective)

- Risks (shorts): High leverage + negative funding rate → Easily subject to rapid liquidation, amplifying losses
- Opportunities (longs): Negative funding rate is a contrarian signal; deep negative values often correspond to phase bottoms/rebound starting points
- Key observations: Negative funding rate + rising OI = shorts are adding positions, greater squeeze potential; negative funding rate + declining OI = shorts are retreating, risk decreases

5. Practical advice

- Shorts: Strictly control leverage, set stop-loss in advance, avoid holding positions; do not add to shorts against the trend when negative funding rate
- Longs: Can take small positions to try going long, with a positive funding rate/price breakout as a signal to increase positions
- Monitoring: Binance BTC perpetual funding rate, OI, long-short ratio, liquidation heatmap

#The Federal Reserve is very likely to keep interest rates unchanged before March: $BTC
The Federal Reserve is almost certain to keep interest rates unchanged in March.

1. Latest probabilities (after CPI on February 13)

- Keeping interest rates unchanged in March: 92%–94% (CME Fed Watch)
- Rate cut of 25bp in March: only 6%–8%

2. Reasons why there won't be a rate cut in March

1. Inflation remains sticky: Core CPI month-on-month at 0.3%, year-on-year at 2.5%, not reaching the 2% target
2. Employment is exceptionally strong: Non-farm payrolls significantly exceed expectations, low unemployment rate does not support an emergency rate cut
3. Federal Reserve stance: Officials repeatedly emphasize "no rush to cut rates, data dependent," conditions in March do not meet the requirements
4. Market pricing: The market has fully priced in a wait-and-see approach for March, turning to a bet on the first rate cut in June

3. The next key time point

- April: The probability of a rate cut is about 25%, still relatively low
- June: The probability of a rate cut is about 69%, becoming the first rate cut window that the market anticipates unanimously

In summary: March's wait-and-see approach is a certainty, while June is the first hurdle for a rate cut.

# The CPI data for the United States tonight is positive $BTC
$ETH
is positive, overall dovish.

1. Data Overview (2026-02-13 21:30)

- CPI Year-on-Year: 2.4% (Expected 2.5%, Previous 2.7%) → Below expectations
- CPI Month-on-Month: 0.2% (Expected 0.3%, Previous 0.3%) → Below expectations
- Core CPI Year-on-Year: 2.5% (Expected 2.5%, Previous 2.6%) → In line with expectations
- Core CPI Month-on-Month: 0.3% (Expected 0.3%, Previous 0.2%) → In line with expectations

2. Why is it positive

- Inflation continues to cool, with overall CPI Year-on-Year falling to 2.4%, more moderate than expected.
- Market interest rate cut expectations are heating up: the probability of a rate cut in June rises from 63% to 69%, and the probability of three rate cuts for the whole year rises to 50%.
- Positive outlook for U.S. stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies: the U.S. dollar weakens, benefiting risk assets and non-interest-bearing assets.

3. Minor Flaws

- Core CPI Month-on-Month at 0.3% (a rebound from the previous value of 0.2%), shows that services/rent still have stickiness, but did not exceed expectations.

4. Conclusion in one sentence

Tonight's CPI is overall positive, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's expectations for rate cuts in the first half of the year, friendly to risk assets.

#OM在交易所支持后大涨 36%$OM OM (MANTRA) Rapid Price Overview (Binance/2026-02-13 22:00)

- Price: $0.0647 (24h +40.65%, 36% is the stage increase)
- Market Cap: $74 million (approximately 36% increase from the previous day)
- 24h Volume: $102 million, significantly increased liquidity
- Trigger Reason: OKX/Binance official announcement supporting OM→MANTRA 1:4 token migration + brand upgrade

Core Drivers

1. Strong exchange support: OKX and Binance simultaneously open migration and trading, funds entering the market
2. Token deflation + value reassessment: 1:4 exchange, significantly reduced circulation
3. RWA + Polkadot ecosystem: MANTRA focuses on real-world asset chains, sector interest is rising

Key Reminders

- Short-term volatility is extremely high (24h volatility 57%)
- Migration deadline snapshot on February 27, completion on March 3
- Be careful to distinguish between MANTRA (OM) and low market cap similarly named Old Money (OM)

#美台贸易协定将关税降低 15%、—Core Facts (Latest Signed on 2026-02-13)

- U.S. Tariffs on Taiwan: Reduced from 20% to 15% (aligned with Japan and South Korea), and no additional tariffs applied
- Taiwan's Tariffs on the U.S.: Elimination/reduction of 99% barriers; zero tariffs on 1,482 items including U.S. cars and beef
- Exemption for Taiwan's Exports to the U.S.: 2,072 products exempt from the 15% equivalent tariff

II. Costs Incurred by Taiwan (Key Exchanges)

- Huge Purchases (2025-2029): Approximately $85 billion (nearly 3 trillion New Taiwan Dollars)
- Oil and Gas: $44.4 billion; Electric Equipment: $25.2 billion; Civil Aircraft: $15.2 billion
- Industry Investment + Guarantees: Taiwanese enterprises to invest $250 billion in the U.S.; Taiwan authorities to provide another $250 billion in loan guarantees (totaling $500 billion)
- Industry Relocation: Promote 40% of semiconductor production capacity to relocate to the U.S.

III. Mainland Position

- Taiwan Affairs Office clearly states: Taiwan is an inseparable part of China; the signing of the so-called 'Trade Agreement' between the U.S. and Taiwan violates the One China principle, and is essentially economic bullying + political manipulation, harming the interests of the Taiwanese people

IV. Market Impact (Brief)

- Taiwan: Semiconductor and electronics exports benefit in the short term; local automotive and agriculture under pressure
- U.S.: Expanding exports + securing semiconductor supply chain
- Crypto/Tech Stocks: Short-term benefits for AI, chips, and semiconductor-related targets

#KITE AI market value exceeds $363 million $KITE KITE AI ($KITE ) market value exceeds $363 million (as of 2026-02-13)

- Latest data (Binance/mainstream platform caliber)
- Price: $0.2028 (24h +6.65%)
- Circulating market value: $363 million (an increase of about 6.8% compared to $340 million on February 11)
- FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation): $2.03 billion
- Ranking: Top 100 in crypto market value
- Core drivers
- The AI agent track has exploded, KITE is the leader in AI payment L1
- Joined AAIF, co-building Agentic AI standards with OpenAI
- Mainnet roadmap advancement, x402 protocol integration, continuous inflow of institutional funds
- Note the distinction
- This is KITE (Kite AI), not the similarly named low market value KITEAI (only $830,000)

#Lighter在链上推出韩国股票永续合约
Online: Lighter launches perpetual contracts for Samsung, SK Hynix, and Hyundai, with a maximum leverage of 10 times
Visit: Achieving 24/7 cryptocurrency settlement trading for Korean stocks on a decentralized platform
Driving Factors: Part of the expansion of DeFi real-world assets (RWA), ahead of the introduction of the tokenized securities framework in South Korea in 2027
Growth: The platform's trading volume continues to rise, having secured $68 million in funding, and launched the native LIT token
Market Overview
Lighter introduces major Korean stock perpetual futures including Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Hyundai Motor, supporting native crypto trading with a maximum leverage of 10 times
Contracts are settled in cryptocurrency, with a round-the-clock open market, independent of the traditional brokerage system and the regulated securities framework in South Korea
The platform's expansion into real-world assets (RWA) marks an important step in DeFi development, allowing global traders to participate in Korean stock investments through decentralized infrastructure
Lighter has recently successfully raised $68 million and launched the native LIT token to support ecological development and user incentives
Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies
Traders can apply standard technical analysis tools such as moving averages, RSI, MACD, Fibonacci retracement, etc., to the price charts of these perpetual contracts
Key indicators to focus on include funding rates (reflecting market sentiment), open positions (measuring liquidity), and on-chain trading volume (assessing market activity)
Given the 10 times leverage, strict risk management is crucial

#PayPay提交了196亿美元的美国IPO申请 Key Points (2026-02-12)

- Entity: SoftBank's Japanese payment giant PayPay (Japan's version of Alipay)
- Action: Submitted F-1 prospectus to the U.S. SEC, seeking NASDAQ listing
- Code: PAYP (NASDAQ Global Select Market)
- Target Market Value: 3 trillion yen ≈ 19.6 billion USD
- Time: Expected to be listed in March 2026
- Lead Underwriters: Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, etc.
- Financials (as of 9 months before December 31, 2025): Revenue 278.5 billion yen, Profit 103.3 billion yen
- Background: SoftBank's second significant U.S. IPO after Arm (2023), with funds potentially used for AI investments

#CPI数据来袭 📅 Tonight's Key: US January CPI (21:30, Beijing Time)

One-sentence Conclusion: CPI will directly set the tone for the probability of a rate cut in March (currently only 7.8%), triggering significant volatility in crypto, US stocks, and gold.

🎯 Market Consensus (2026-02-13)

- CPI Year-on-Year: 2.5% (previous value 2.7%, the lowest since May 2025)
- CPI Month-on-Month: 0.3% (same as previous value)
- Core CPI Year-on-Year: 2.5% (previous value 2.6%)
- Core CPI Month-on-Month: 0.3% (previous value 0.2%)

⚠️ Investment Banks' Hawkish Warning (Upside Risk)

- JPMorgan: Core CPI Month-on-Month 0.4% (significantly above expectations)
- Goldman Sachs/Citigroup: Month-on-Month 0.35%–0.38%, leaning hawkish
- Core Disparity: 0.25%–0.42%, highly volatile

🧭 Three Scenarios + Crypto/US Stocks/Gold Reactions

1) Above Expectations (Core Month-on-Month ≥0.4%)

- Rate Cut Expectations: March down to below 5%, June ≤40%
- US Dollar: Soars, US Treasury yields spike
- US Stocks: Nasdaq falls another 2%–3%, tech leads the decline
- Crypto: BTC breaks 65,000, ETH breaks 3,200, all sell-off
- Gold: Breaks 4,900, plunges 3%+

2) In Line with Expectations (Core Month-on-Month 0.3%)

- Rate Cut Expectations: March remains at 7.8%, June ≈50%
- US Dollar/US Treasuries: Slight fluctuations
- US Stocks: Narrow fluctuations, limited recovery
- Crypto: BTC fluctuates between 65,000–68,000, no major trend
- Gold: Range between 4,950–5,050

3) Below Expectations (Core Month-on-Month ≤0.2%)

- Rate Cut Expectations: March rises to 15%+, June ≥60%
- US Dollar: Weakens, US Treasury yields decline
- US Stocks: Nasdaq rebounds 2%+
- Crypto: BTC surges to 70,000, ETH breaks 3,500, widespread increase
- Gold: Rebounds to above 5,100

📌 Crypto Immediate Strategy (Binance, USDT)

- BTC
- Support: 65,000 / 63,500
- Resistance: 68,500 / 70,000
- Strategy: Light position before CPI; super hawkish → reduce position on rebound; super dovish → light position on long
- ETH
- Support: 3,200 / 3,100
- Resistance: 3,450 / 3,550
- Strategy: Same as BTC, more elastic
- RWA/Defensive (MKR/ONDO/CFG)
- Anti-drop during super hawkish, can hedge with small position

⚠️ Risk Control Points

- Tonight's volatility is maximized, strictly control position (≤30%)
- Set strict stop-loss (BTC -3%, ETH -4%)
- Do not chase orders within 15 minutes after data release, wait for direction confirmation

#RWA市值触及629亿美元 💰 RWA market cap reaches $62.9 billion (2026-02-13)

One-sentence conclusion: RWA expands against the backdrop of a crypto downturn, with institutional funds rapidly flowing into real asset tokenization.

📊 Core data (2026-02-13)

- Total market cap: $62.9 billion (up **+157%** since early February, doubled in 10 days)
- Percentage of total crypto market cap: 2.15% (total crypto market cap ≈ $2.93 trillion)
- Core asset allocation:
- U.S. Treasury tokenization: $28.7 billion (45.6%)
- Gold/commodities: $14.2 billion (22.6%)
- Real estate/REITs: $9.8 billion (15.6%)
- Corporate bonds/ABS: $7.2 billion (11.4%)
- Others (private equity/carbon credits): $3 billion (4.8%)

🚀 Why the surge (core drivers)

1. Institutional hedging: U.S. stocks/crypto plummet, funds flow into low-volatility, income-generating RWA
2. Major players entering: BlackRock, JPMorgan, Fidelity launch tokenized funds, with inflows of over $12 billion in a single week
3. Regulatory clarity: Hong Kong/U.S. clarify RWA compliance framework, institutions are willing to enter on a large scale
4. Yield advantage: U.S. Treasury RWA annualized 4.5%-5.2%, crushing stablecoins and DeFi

🧩 Top projects (market cap TOP 5)

- MakerDAO (MCRT): $18.2 billion (primarily U.S. Treasury)
- Centrifuge (CFG): $7.6 billion (corporate bonds/ABS)
- Maple (MPL): $5.8 billion (institutional credit)
- Goldfinch (GFI): $4.2 billion (unsecured credit)
- Ondo (ONDO): $3.7 billion (U.S. Treasury/corporate bonds)

💥 Impact on the market

- Crypto structure: RWA becomes the main hedging line, forming a hedge against high-volatility tokens
- DeFi: RWA becomes a new yield base, driving lending/stablecoin growth
- Traditional finance: Accelerated on-chain migration, trillion-dollar assets await tokenization
- Tokens: RWA sector (MKR, CFG, MPL, ONDO) strengthens against the trend

⚠️ Risk warnings

- Continued high interest rates from the Federal Reserve → U.S. Treasury yields rise → RWA valuations come under pressure
- Fluctuating regulatory policies → institutional funds flowing out
- On-chain security risks (smart contract vulnerabilities)

🧭 Trading strategy

- Buy on dips: RWA leaders (MKR, CFG, ONDO), stop loss -8%
- Hedge allocation: RWA typically resists downturns + positive yields during crypto crashes
- Long-term holding: Institutional trend is clear, RWA is the core track for the next stage of crypto

#美联储降息预期概率至 7.8%📉 Federal Reserve's March rate cut expectations: only 7.8% (CME FedWatch, 2026-02-13)

One-sentence conclusion: The March rate cut is basically ruled out by the market, and high rates will persist longer.

🎯 Latest probabilities (February 13)

- March rate cut 25bp: 7.8%
- March unchanged: 92.2%
- Cumulative rate cut 25bp in April: 25.3%
- Cumulative rate cut 25bp in June: 49.9% (First rate cut is likely postponed until mid-year)

🔍 Why the sudden drop (core reasons)

- Non-farm payrolls strong: 130,000 added in January (expected 70,000), unemployment rate 4.3% (new low since August 2025)
- Employment resilience: Initial jobless claims 227,000, close to historical lows
- Federal Reserve hawkish: Powell emphasizes "economic stabilization, no rush to cut rates"
- Repricing expectations: March rate cut probability dropped sharply from over 20% before non-farm to 7.8%

💥 Direct impact on the market

- Dollar: Strengthening (DXY rebounds to 97)
- U.S. Treasury yields: Rising across the board, pressuring growth stocks
- U.S. stocks: Tech/growth leading declines (Nasdaq -2%)
- Crypto/Gold: High rate environment → non-yielding assets under pressure → intensified selling
- DeFi/stablecoins: High rates → increased dollar attractiveness → institutional funds flowing out of risk assets

🧭 Key observations ahead

- Tonight's January CPI (February 13): Inflation exceeds expectations → rate cut expectations drop further; below expectations → slight recovery
- March FOMC (3/19): Dot plot and Powell's speech set the rhythm for the year
- June: Current market pricing for the core window of the first rate cut

📌 Trading insights

- Crypto: Continued high rates → prioritize safety, strictly control positions, reduce holdings on rebounds
- U.S. stocks: Growth stocks under pressure, focus on value/high dividend defensives
- Gold/Silver: Short-term fluctuations lean weak, waiting for clear rate cut signals

#美股爆跌引发加密货币抛售 $BTC 📉 US stocks fell sharply → Crypto sell-off (2026-02-13 17:30, Binance)

US stocks (last night): Nasdaq **-2.03%, S&P -1.57%, Dow -1.34%**, AI panic dominates tech stock crash
Crypto also plummeted:

- BTC: $66,200 (24h -1.4%), lowest **$65,800**
- ETH: $1,930 (24h -3.2%), fell below **$2,000**
- XRP: $1.01 (24h -2.8%), approaching **$1.00**
- Total liquidations: 24h $458 million, 144,000 people were liquidated

🔗 Why the correlated crash (core logic)

- Risk appetite collapsed simultaneously
US tech stocks (AI/software) plummeted → market confidence in high-growth, high-risk assets collapsed → crypto was classified similarly, leading to a mass exodus of funds
- Liquidity squeeze + leverage liquidation
US stocks plummeted → institutions redeeming/cutting leverage → outflow of stablecoins/crypto ETFs → increased selling pressure in crypto; high leverage in the crypto market triggered a decline → liquidations → vicious cycle of further declines
- Macroeconomic suppression resonance
Non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations → Fed's March rate cut probability **8%** → high rates persist → USD/Treasury yields strengthen → risk assets (US stocks + crypto) under dual pressure
- Institutional correlated trading
Macro funds/CTAs shorting both US stocks and crypto simultaneously, algorithms triggered sell orders concurrently, amplifying the decline

🧱 Key support/resistance (short-term)

- BTC
Support: $65,800 → $64,000 → $62,000
Resistance: $67,500 → $69,000
- ETH
Support: $1,900 → $1,820 → $1,750
Resistance: $2,000 → $2,080
- XRP
Support: $1.00 → $0.95
Resistance: $1.08 → $1.15

💡 Trading strategy (before tonight's CPI)

- Short-term: focus on high-altitude rebounds, do not catch the bottom
- BTC rebound **$67,500–$68,000 light short, stop loss at $69,000**, target **$65,800→$64,000**
- ETH rebound **$2,000–$2,030 light short, stop loss at $2,080**, target **$1,900→$1,820**
- Mid-term: $62,000 (BTC), $1,750 (ETH) consider buying in batches
- Risk control: position ≤10%, strict stop loss, light positions waiting before CPI

⚠️ Key impacts of tonight's CPI

- CPI > 2.5%: US stocks fall again → crypto breaks down (BTC looks at **$62,000**)
- CPI ≤ 2.4%: rate cut expectations rise → US stocks rebound → crypto short-term recovery (BTC looks at **$69,000**)

$ETH
$USDC