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$BTC First, the conclusion: The mainstream institutions predict the price range of BTC in 2026 to be between $140,000 and $180,000, with an optimistic scenario looking at $200,000 to $250,000+, and a conservative view at $80,000 to $100,000.
1. Mainstream institutions' target prices for 2026 (as of 2026-02-13)
• Standard Chartered/Bernstein: $150,000 (mainstream consensus expectation)
• Citibank: $143,000 (12-month target)
• Ripple CEO: $180,000
• JPMorgan/Arthur Hayes: $170,000–$200,000
• Optimistic scenario (institutional + sovereign allocation): $200,000–$250,000+
• Conservative/neutral model: around $80,000–$90,000 by the end of the year
2. Current price (2026-02-13)
• Current price: $67,000–$68,000 (≈¥470,000)
• Mainstream predictions compared to current price: +20% to +120%
3. Key influencing variables (determining whether we can reach the high point)
• ✅ ETF capital inflow: Continuous inflow makes it easier to break $150,000+
• ✅ Federal Reserve interest rate cuts: Liquidity easing → favorable
• ✅ Halving cycle residual heat: May 2024 halving, still in an upward cycle in 2026
• ❌ Regulatory tightening/black swan: May suppress below $80,000
4. One-sentence summary
• High probability range: $140,000–$180,000 (end of 2026)
• Optimistic upper limit: $200,000–$250,000+
• Conservative lower limit: $80,000–$100,000
⚠️ The above is only institutional predictions and does not constitute investment advice.
Do you need me to provide a concise list of key price points and corresponding trigger conditions for BTC in 2026 based on the three scenarios of 'conservative/neutral/optimistic'?
1. Mainstream institutions' target prices for 2026 (as of 2026-02-13)
• Standard Chartered/Bernstein: $150,000 (mainstream consensus expectation)
• Citibank: $143,000 (12-month target)
• Ripple CEO: $180,000
• JPMorgan/Arthur Hayes: $170,000–$200,000
• Optimistic scenario (institutional + sovereign allocation): $200,000–$250,000+
• Conservative/neutral model: around $80,000–$90,000 by the end of the year
2. Current price (2026-02-13)
• Current price: $67,000–$68,000 (≈¥470,000)
• Mainstream predictions compared to current price: +20% to +120%
3. Key influencing variables (determining whether we can reach the high point)
• ✅ ETF capital inflow: Continuous inflow makes it easier to break $150,000+
• ✅ Federal Reserve interest rate cuts: Liquidity easing → favorable
• ✅ Halving cycle residual heat: May 2024 halving, still in an upward cycle in 2026
• ❌ Regulatory tightening/black swan: May suppress below $80,000
4. One-sentence summary
• High probability range: $140,000–$180,000 (end of 2026)
• Optimistic upper limit: $200,000–$250,000+
• Conservative lower limit: $80,000–$100,000
⚠️ The above is only institutional predictions and does not constitute investment advice.
Do you need me to provide a concise list of key price points and corresponding trigger conditions for BTC in 2026 based on the three scenarios of 'conservative/neutral/optimistic'?
$BTC 2026 Year BTC Overall Judgment: Initially suppressed then stabilized, oscillation repair; the first half continues to pull back in search of a bottom, while the second half may gradually stabilize and rise along with liquidity and regulatory progress.
1. Core Drivers and Current Situation
• Halving Cycle: The fourth halving in May 2024, with the period from 2025 to 2026 being the mid-term of the post-halving rising cycle, reaching a historical high of $126,000 in October 2025, and dropping to a minimum of $59,900 in early February 2026, with a maximum retracement exceeding 52%.
• Macroeconomics and Liquidity: The Federal Reserve's policy is key. The nomination of a hawkish candidate in January 2026 triggered a sharp decline, and the high interest rate environment suppresses risk assets, amplifying volatility through the clearing of leverage.
• Institutions and Compliance: In early 2026, net inflows into US spot ETFs reached $1.2 billion, but there was a cumulative outflow of over $12 billion from November 2025 to January 2026, indicating a clear tug-of-war. The implementation of EU MiCA and Japanese regulations may bring incremental funds.
• Technology and Sentiment: Key support at $60,000; if it breaks, it may test $55,000 to $58,000; the fear and greed index is in the extreme fear range, and deleveraging continues.
2. Price Fluctuation Rhythm and Key Levels
• First Half (January to June): Oscillation to find a bottom, core range between $55,000 to $65,000; $60,000 is the lifeline, and if it is lost, further downside may occur; the Federal Reserve's March FOMC meeting, ETF fund flows, and the status of mining machine shutdowns are key triggers.
• Second Half (July to December): If liquidity improves, regulations are implemented, and institutions return, it may stabilize and rise to $70,000 to $90,000; resistance levels at $65,000 to $68,000, $75,000, and $85,000.
3. Bullish and Bearish Factors
• Bullish: Supply contraction post-halving, long-term allocation demand for ETFs, expansion of compliance, reinvestment by institutions, and healthy on-chain fundamentals.
• Bearish: Liquidity tightening, regulatory uncertainty, unliquidated leverage risks, low sentiment, and deterioration of the macro economy.
4. Operational Suggestions
• Primarily observe in the short term; phased layout requires waiting for $60,000 to stabilize, for ETF fund inflows, and for signals indicating completion of deleveraging.
• For the medium to long term, accumulate at low prices, control positions, and pay attention to turning points in regulation and liquidity.
Do you need me to provide a three-tier risk preference 2026 BTC dollar-cost averaging/phased investment plan based on the above analysis (each tier includes entry range, additional buying conditions, stop-loss levels, and target levels)?
1. Core Drivers and Current Situation
• Halving Cycle: The fourth halving in May 2024, with the period from 2025 to 2026 being the mid-term of the post-halving rising cycle, reaching a historical high of $126,000 in October 2025, and dropping to a minimum of $59,900 in early February 2026, with a maximum retracement exceeding 52%.
• Macroeconomics and Liquidity: The Federal Reserve's policy is key. The nomination of a hawkish candidate in January 2026 triggered a sharp decline, and the high interest rate environment suppresses risk assets, amplifying volatility through the clearing of leverage.
• Institutions and Compliance: In early 2026, net inflows into US spot ETFs reached $1.2 billion, but there was a cumulative outflow of over $12 billion from November 2025 to January 2026, indicating a clear tug-of-war. The implementation of EU MiCA and Japanese regulations may bring incremental funds.
• Technology and Sentiment: Key support at $60,000; if it breaks, it may test $55,000 to $58,000; the fear and greed index is in the extreme fear range, and deleveraging continues.
2. Price Fluctuation Rhythm and Key Levels
• First Half (January to June): Oscillation to find a bottom, core range between $55,000 to $65,000; $60,000 is the lifeline, and if it is lost, further downside may occur; the Federal Reserve's March FOMC meeting, ETF fund flows, and the status of mining machine shutdowns are key triggers.
• Second Half (July to December): If liquidity improves, regulations are implemented, and institutions return, it may stabilize and rise to $70,000 to $90,000; resistance levels at $65,000 to $68,000, $75,000, and $85,000.
3. Bullish and Bearish Factors
• Bullish: Supply contraction post-halving, long-term allocation demand for ETFs, expansion of compliance, reinvestment by institutions, and healthy on-chain fundamentals.
• Bearish: Liquidity tightening, regulatory uncertainty, unliquidated leverage risks, low sentiment, and deterioration of the macro economy.
4. Operational Suggestions
• Primarily observe in the short term; phased layout requires waiting for $60,000 to stabilize, for ETF fund inflows, and for signals indicating completion of deleveraging.
• For the medium to long term, accumulate at low prices, control positions, and pay attention to turning points in regulation and liquidity.
Do you need me to provide a three-tier risk preference 2026 BTC dollar-cost averaging/phased investment plan based on the above analysis (each tier includes entry range, additional buying conditions, stop-loss levels, and target levels)?
$BTC
2026 BTC Overall Judgment: Initially suppressed, then stable, with fluctuations for correction; the first half of the year will continue to seek a bottom with adjustments, while the second half may gradually stabilize and rise along with liquidity and regulatory progress.
1. Core Drivers and Current Situation
• Halving Cycle: The fourth halving in May 2024, and from 2025 to 2026, will be in the mid-term of the rising cycle post-halving, with a historical high of $126,000 in October 2025, dropping to a low of $59,900 in early February 2026, with a maximum drawdown exceeding 52%.
• Macro and Liquidity: Federal Reserve policy is key. The nomination of a hawkish candidate in January 2026 triggered a significant drop, and the high-interest rate environment suppresses risk assets, amplifying volatility through deleveraging.
• Institutions and Compliance: U.S. spot ETF funds had a net inflow of $1.2 billion in early 2026, but cumulative outflows exceeded $12 billion from November 2025 to January 2026, showing clear tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The EU MiCA and Japanese regulations may bring incremental funds.
• Technology and Sentiment: Key support at $60,000; if breached, it may test $55,000-$58,000; the Fear and Greed Index is in the extreme fear range, with deleveraging continuing.
2. Fluctuation Rhythm and Key Levels
• First Half of the Year (January to June): Fluctuating to find a bottom, core range between $55,000 and $65,000; $60,000 is the lifeline; if breached, further declines are possible; the Federal Reserve's March FOMC meeting, ETF fund flows, and mining machine shutdowns are key triggers.
• Second Half of the Year (July to December): If liquidity improves, regulations are implemented, and institutions return, it may stabilize and rise to $70,000-$90,000; resistance levels at $65,000-$68,000, $75,000, and $85,000.
3. Bullish and Bearish Factors
• Bullish: Supply contraction post-halving, long-term allocation demand for ETFs, compliance expansion, institutional reinvestment, and healthy on-chain fundamentals.
• Bearish: Tightening liquidity, regulatory uncertainty, unresolved leverage risks, low sentiment, and deteriorating macroeconomic conditions.
4. Operational Suggestions
• Mainly observe in the short term, phased layout requires waiting for $60,000 to stabilize, ETF fund inflows, and completion of deleveraging signals.
• For the medium to long term, allocate at lows, control positions, and pay attention to regulatory and liquidity inflection points.
Based on the above analysis, I need to provide a three-tiered risk preference plan for BTC dollar-cost averaging/batch building for 2026 (each tier includes entry range, additional purchase conditions, stop-loss level, and target level).
2026 BTC Overall Judgment: Initially suppressed, then stable, with fluctuations for correction; the first half of the year will continue to seek a bottom with adjustments, while the second half may gradually stabilize and rise along with liquidity and regulatory progress.
1. Core Drivers and Current Situation
• Halving Cycle: The fourth halving in May 2024, and from 2025 to 2026, will be in the mid-term of the rising cycle post-halving, with a historical high of $126,000 in October 2025, dropping to a low of $59,900 in early February 2026, with a maximum drawdown exceeding 52%.
• Macro and Liquidity: Federal Reserve policy is key. The nomination of a hawkish candidate in January 2026 triggered a significant drop, and the high-interest rate environment suppresses risk assets, amplifying volatility through deleveraging.
• Institutions and Compliance: U.S. spot ETF funds had a net inflow of $1.2 billion in early 2026, but cumulative outflows exceeded $12 billion from November 2025 to January 2026, showing clear tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The EU MiCA and Japanese regulations may bring incremental funds.
• Technology and Sentiment: Key support at $60,000; if breached, it may test $55,000-$58,000; the Fear and Greed Index is in the extreme fear range, with deleveraging continuing.
2. Fluctuation Rhythm and Key Levels
• First Half of the Year (January to June): Fluctuating to find a bottom, core range between $55,000 and $65,000; $60,000 is the lifeline; if breached, further declines are possible; the Federal Reserve's March FOMC meeting, ETF fund flows, and mining machine shutdowns are key triggers.
• Second Half of the Year (July to December): If liquidity improves, regulations are implemented, and institutions return, it may stabilize and rise to $70,000-$90,000; resistance levels at $65,000-$68,000, $75,000, and $85,000.
3. Bullish and Bearish Factors
• Bullish: Supply contraction post-halving, long-term allocation demand for ETFs, compliance expansion, institutional reinvestment, and healthy on-chain fundamentals.
• Bearish: Tightening liquidity, regulatory uncertainty, unresolved leverage risks, low sentiment, and deteriorating macroeconomic conditions.
4. Operational Suggestions
• Mainly observe in the short term, phased layout requires waiting for $60,000 to stabilize, ETF fund inflows, and completion of deleveraging signals.
• For the medium to long term, allocate at lows, control positions, and pay attention to regulatory and liquidity inflection points.
Based on the above analysis, I need to provide a three-tiered risk preference plan for BTC dollar-cost averaging/batch building for 2026 (each tier includes entry range, additional purchase conditions, stop-loss level, and target level).
$Sight 24-hour trading volume is 11k. It'll hit zero soon. If it falls below 50-100k, Binance will delist the coin within a week or two
S
Sight
Price
0.0034
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