🚨 CPI data week is here! The Fed, the dollar, and risk appetite are all waiting for it to speak, can BTC not hold back this time?💥
This week's market structure can be summarized in a simple sentence: More important than prices is whether the macro 'signal set' has been confirmed. The most core part is — the US CPI (Consumer Price Index) report. It directly influences market expectations more than almost all technical indicators.
First, let's talk about the most critical background: This CPI is the first complete inflation data released since the government shutdown. In the current data vacuum, it has almost become the only important inflation measure before the Fed's next interest rate decision. The state of inflation determines expectations for the cost of funds: weak inflation → higher expectations for interest rate cuts → risk assets like BTC/ETH have breathing space; conversely, it means continued hard pressure on liquidity.
Looking forward to the unexpected arrival of my big cousin, will there be many memes dropping from the sky? Can we catch one this time to make some money for the new year? Last time, many people made a big profit from the water army.😄😄#CZ币安广场AMA
🚨 2026 Interest rate cut plan postponed? Citigroup says: wait until April to discuss💥
A significant market signal just emerged: Citigroup has pushed its Federal Reserve interest rate cut forecast from March to April — this is not a small adjustment, but rather a real-time judgment based on January's employment data being much stronger than expected. Strong employment means that interest rates are likely to remain high in the short term, and the window for rate cuts has clearly been pushed back.
What does this core mean? January non-farm payrolls added about 130,000 jobs, far exceeding the expected ~66,000, and the unemployment rate dropped from 4.4% to 4.3%. Citigroup analysts believe that strong employment indicates a more robust labor market than previously thought, reducing the rationale for mid-term interest rate cuts. This also significantly diminishes the probability of a rate cut in March, and we will have to wait until April data is clearer before making further comments.
What does this mean for the cryptocurrency market? Delayed rate cut expectations = Lack of liquidity support for risk assets in the short term BTC/ETH, without support from rate cut expectations, can only rely on macro sentiment to find direction; The higher the uncertainty in funding, the more volatile the market will be.
Why is employment data so important? Because the Federal Reserve has always emphasized waiting for "sufficient data support" before taking action. When data strengthens:
The probability of not cutting rates increases
Easing expectations are suppressed
Risk appetite is weakened
This is not simply a matter of "will the coin rise or fall," but rather the macro rhythm determining the liquidity space of risk assets.
A saying from veteran players
Rate cuts are not achieved by shouting, They are substantiated by data. Strong employment data means that funds will have to wait longer.
The market's struggle this week is not without reason, Funds are waiting for a more genuine turning signal. March has not yet arrived, and before April, there will be a slew of data continuously coming in to enrich policy discussions; only then may the market truly start to explode in a certain direction.
Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations have been postponed = short-term liquidity will be slower, and the rhythm of risk assets will also slow down a bit. #非农意外强劲 #加密市场观察 #美联储何时降息?
🔥 CZ sells house to bet on Bitcoin? This is the starting point of 'true faith.'
Recently, Binance founder Zhao Changpeng (CZ) reminisced in an interview about how he became one of the industry's top billionaires—not through trends or luck, but by personally investing in the market. This experience is worth every person in the crypto space taking a moment to reflect on.
He first came across Bitcoin in mid-2013, at a time when there were no exchange rankings or crypto forums; people didn't even know if this thing was a toy. A friend told him at a small gathering, 'You have to check out this thing called Bitcoin.' Later, another friend—Bobby Lee, who was about to start BTC China—directly told him:
🚀 Denmark's largest bank makes a 180° turn! After 8 years of prohibition, users can now buy BTC/ETH directly 🔥
Today's news is quite impactful — Denmark's largest traditional bank, Danske Bank, has completely ended its 8-year resistance to crypto assets and officially opened up investment channels for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs to its clients. This means a bank that previously avoided crypto is now allowing users to buy BTC and ETH through its online banking/mobile app.
Here are a few key points: End of 8 years of resistance Since 2018, this bank has maintained a cautious or even evasive stance towards crypto, even stating that the cryptocurrency space is too unstable for most people. This position has now been completely rewritten. Access to BTC/ETH through ETPs without holding the assets directly Clients can invest in products that track Bitcoin/Ethereum without the need to manage wallets or private keys themselves, which serves as a real bridge for traditional users. The background is a surge in client demand + clearer regulatory direction This isn't the bank suddenly becoming enlightened, but rather the clear regulations from frameworks such as MiCA providing a foundational basis for traditional institutions to breathe, allowing them to make such a "turnaround." However, the bank still does not recommend long-term holding They emphasize that this is a "high-risk opportunity investment," not an asset allocation recommendation, which is a conservative stance from old-school finance.
Looking at the implications behind this event is quite thought-provoking This bank is not fundamentally looking bullish on the cryptocurrency space, but rather responding to the long-standing demand for fluctuations from users. Eight years ago, they deemed it too risky; eight years later, they feel comfortable giving you a ticket but not taking responsibility. This aligns quite well with the feelings of retail investors — We often say: market maturity isn't about price, but about the system allowing more people to participate legally.
This major bank's opening up of cryptocurrency purchases signifies two things: Traditional finance's recognition of the "market demand" for digital assets is becoming increasingly solid Enhanced regulatory clarity boosts participation confidence rather than just boastful "bullishness"
When traditional banks start allowing users to buy BTC/ETH through formal channels, what truly happens is not that prices have "risen," but that the "systemic barrier has been opened." Can this become a new entry point for capital inflows? At least, logically, it’s much more reliable than mere hype.
This week is too critical! NFP + CPI + White House Crypto Summit all happening at once, BTC not moving doesn’t mean there’s no hope, but rather the market is being held down!
This week can be described as a dense rhythm pattern; it’s not just about waiting for prices but about waiting for major events to occur simultaneously - the entire market has both macro signals and political games, and they all seem to fall within the same time frame.
The most significant highlights Non-farm payroll data (NFP) and the CPI inflation report are being released consecutively - these data are the core basis for the Fed's policy, directly influencing interest rate cut expectations, the direction of the dollar, and market risk appetite. Currently, there are many differing opinions on January's NFP, with mixed interpretations of both weak and better-than-expected forecasts, leading to a more cautious attitude among funds.
#ALPHA🔥 #tge The cost of participating in the new offering today is quite high! A deduction of 0.275 BNB was made, and the current price is also at a cost of 170. Currently, the market expectation is not high. A few dozen dollars would be sufficient $BNB
⚠️Goldman Sachs issues another warning: Is Bitcoin likely to drop to 60K? This is not an alarmist statement but a solid risk signal!
Recently, the market feels a bit like a nostalgic bear market hybrid—prices are not only grinding down, but institutional opinions are also starting to take the path of 'speaking the truth.' The latest news is that Goldman Sachs analysts have issued a rather unfriendly risk alert: they believe that the US stock market may experience a massive sell-off (in the hundreds of billions of dollars), which would have negative feedback for BTC and all risky assets. If this trend truly erupts, the possibility of Bitcoin's price being pressured down to around 60,000 dollars cannot be ruled out.
It sounds quite hardcore, but essentially it boils down to one sentence: when the stock market is pointed out as facing greater risks, high beta assets like Bitcoin are the first to be taken down.
There is a logic here that is not easy to notice: if the US stocks are massively sold off by CTAs (Commodity Trading Advisors), the pricing of all risky assets will be adjusted downward; BTC has been more correlated with stocks since the approval of ETFs; this means that when stocks are pressured, cryptocurrencies are hurt as well; this correlation is not a short-term bet on sentiment but rather a change in capital allocation at the institutional level.
In other words, this time it is not the rumored 'decoupling of BTC and US stocks,' but rather it proves a reality: when interest rate expectations are unclear + macro risks are rising, Bitcoin will not remain volatile-free.
These kinds of signals sound like 'predictions,' but they will indeed be realized in the market. Because a price drop is not due to some analyst saying it will drop to a certain point, but rather who is willing to hold on and who is running first determines the direction.
To be honest, for seasoned players: it’s nothing surprising for the price to drop to 60K. What we can pay attention to is: whether capital is willing to stay around that area, when the overall risk appetite will bottom out, and which types of players start to come back and go long.
Because if the next important support is really tested, market sentiment may truly shift from 'waiting for news' to 'starting to position.'
Goldman Sachs's 'big institutions have toughened their tone' indicates that short-term risk appetite is indeed converging, and BTC, as the most sensitive risk asset, will be the first to be repriced. #BTC何时反弹? #加密市场观察 #沃什美联储政策前瞻
This week's rhythm is too tight! Macro + crypto events converge, will Bitcoin be supported or confused?
This week is absolutely an explosive week for market rhythm; don't just stare at the charts and prices, the underlying momentum is what really decides the direction.
📌 The most critical things: This week, there will be a confirmation of the Federal Reserve Chairman candidate, who may directly rewrite the future rate path and liquidity structure. On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will inject $8.3 billion into the market, an operation that is often not a small matter. In the coming days, there will also be federal budget balancing, weekly economic surveys, and macro data releases including global GDP, Japan's GDP, and China's M2.
The Air Force made a fortune, many troops are crying, this market follows the trend of the big pancake. Continuing to hold cash and observe… #加密市场回调 #BTC何时反弹? #BTC市场影响分析
📉 Epic Pullback! The crypto market has evaporated over $1.7T, BTC has already fallen from the sky💧
The recent market conditions have truly made people feel like their mindset is going in circles: from the carnival at historical highs to this silent large-scale pullback. According to the latest data, since peaking in October 2025, the entire crypto market has lost over $1.7 trillion in value, and Bitcoin has also significantly fallen about 40% from its peak, once nearing a 15-month low.
In other words, this is not a one or two-day correction logic, Rather, it is the process of structural adjustment from the peak of the bull market to the bear market.
The entire market has shown several significant characteristics during this wave of decline
BTC leads the decline, dragging the entire market down
If it continues to drop like this, BNB might really reach 500 BNB. Today, a friend even said it might be a big coin starting with 2 or 3, haha, if it really goes like this, BNB would definitely go to 200! 😂😂😂#BTC何时反弹? #美国伊朗对峙 #bnb
It's hard to break even on BNB, I can only treat it as a regular investment, buying a little when it drops. Otherwise, I don't know when I'll break even from this position I bought at...#美国伊朗对峙 #bnb #加密市场观察
Geopolitical risks are fermenting, Bitcoin has dropped to 72K: this decline is not coincidental!
Today, when looking at BTC, it has directly approached $72,000, hitting a recent low, and the market looks a bit grim. According to the latest updates, this drop is directly related to the breakdown of US-Iran negotiations leading to rising tensions—heightened geopolitical risks are disrupting the market's risk-averse logic.
Let's start with the most straightforward data: Bitcoin once dropped to around $72,000, which is the lowest level in 15 months. The liquidation amount for a single day reached 740 million USD, and leveraged long positions were ruthlessly wiped out. BTC has retraced over 40% from its historical high, and even large holders' positions have fallen into the water.
Will 2026 be the hardest year for cryptocurrency? Even safe-haven assets have fallen together...
Recently, this market trend cannot simply be described as oscillation. Bitcoin, ETH, and mainstream altcoins are all grinding downwards; the entire market feels like it has been pulled into a "risk flight mode" by some force. In just a few days, several hundred billion in total market capitalization has been wiped out, squeezed by Federal Reserve expectations, geopolitical tensions, and various unclear macro variables that have affected risk appetite.
Price drops are normally the norm in the market, but this time it feels a bit different:
BTC once fell below around $73K, setting a new low since 2025. ETH, SOL, and almost all mainstream altcoins are under pressure. Even so-called "safe-haven assets" like gold and silver haven't stepped up to support the scene.
This synchronized downward rhythm is not a simple correction, but rather resembles a macro risk reassessment + redistribution of capital structure.
To put it bluntly: The market is not asking "where will the coins rise to" right now, but rather "where is money willing to stop now". When even safe-haven assets are shaking, short-term sentiment has been completely shattered.
Worse yet, the market atmosphere has been driven into an "extreme fear" zone. The Fear & Greed index is so low that it’s refreshing extreme data like an old account in a bear market.
During this phase, the easiest mistake to make is: Focusing on prices to find the bottom Focusing on short-term arbitrage trading Focusing on who can best "call the rebound"
But the real market is teaching us one thing: A drop is not a risk, but uncertainty is dominating the price.
Sometimes the price drops first because expectations are killed first; Emotions collapse first because there’s no clear direction; Even gold and silver not waking up indicates that capital prefers to hide in cash rather than choose any risk channel.
The experience of seasoned traders is: This kind of phase is not about "waiting for the market to rebound", but rather waiting for the market to find a position where capital can settle.
And this often occurs only after institutional expectations are clear and macro rhythms are well-defined. Before that, it feels more like: A psychological endurance test for traders.
This round of decline in 2026 is not just a simple downturn, but the market is re-pricing the entire framework of risk assets. In this phase, focusing on sentiment is more meaningful than focusing on prices.
Rich or poor Come out to play for a few days first Waiting for the market to warm up Just like the temperature in Panzhihua Warm and with warmth Sooner or later the market will come #特朗普称坚定支持加密货币 #BTC何时反弹? #贵金属巨震
🚀 Are institutions really starting to take BNB seriously? Grayscale has included BNB in its large-cap ETF, sparking a new round of thinking!
Today, there's an interesting piece of news that many people have overlooked—Grayscale has included $BNB in its multi-asset ETF (CoinDesk Crypto 5 ETF / GDLC) during its routine adjustments. This is not just a technical reallocation; it's a recognition signal from large institutions regarding changes in market structure.
The GDLC fund is not simple: it covers mainstream coins like BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP, serving as a “broad-based channel” for traditional institutions participating in the crypto market. It itself represents the logic that assets beyond Bitcoin are also worth being included in long-term allocations.
Now that BNB has been added, it signifies two noteworthy points:
1. Institutions are beginning to systematically view exchange ecosystem assets positively. 2. BNB is no longer just a minor utility token for trading fee sharing; it has become part of a large-cap index allocation. In a time of low market sentiment, this move is more tangible than simply saying, “I’m bullish on BNB.”
Market structure is quietly changing. Previously, international institutions focused more on BTC/ETH; now they want to see the performance of a basket of assets rather than betting on a single item. This “component stock-style allocation” approach is crucial for the evolution of market understanding.
Many people are fixated on spot prices, shouting “the market is bad, there’s no liquidity,” but the real direction often comes from which assets are included in institutionalized products, because real money won't scatter around due to short-term emotions; it only cares about whether there are institutionalized channels to amplify allocations.
This GDLC adjustment places BNB alongside these large-cap assets, undoubtedly sending a subtle message to the Binance ecosystem:
“We are willing to let it into the mainstream diversified investment basket.”
Of course, this doesn’t mean BNB will explode tomorrow; but in a market as cold as a refrigerator that’s been sitting for two days, institutions are not just making statements; they are gradually placing their bets into structured products.
To clarify today’s signal simply: When institutions start treating ecosystem assets like BNB as part of the ‘large market’ for allocation, it indicates that the market structure is re-filtering out new dominant logic.