Zain Saeen

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📉 Market Summary & Key Events

Sharp Correction / Liquidation Event

Over the past weekend, the crypto market saw a historic liquidation event exceeding $19 billion, spurred by macro & geopolitical catalysts.

Bitcoin dipped below $105,000 at its low, and Ethereum also dropped significantly (by double digits) during the crash.

Following the crash, the market attempted a rebound. Bitcoin recovered toward ~$114,000.

Drivers Behind the Move

The sell-off was triggered in part by the U.S. ramping up trade tensions: President Trump announced 100% tariffs on Chinese exports and threatened export controls on critical software, rattling global risk assets.

Liquidity dried up in derivative markets. Market makers pulled back, and forced liquidations (e.g. via margin calls) exacerbated the downward spiral.

Technical & Sentiment Indicators

Bitcoin’s rally in early October pushed it to a new all-time high near ~$126,000 before the correction.

After the crash, technical charts show resistance zones around $123,000–$126,000, and support near the 200-day moving average (≈ $107,000) is being tested.

The recent volatility has driven up implied volatility in options markets; many traders are hedging with put options.


Institutional & Market Structure Trends

Q3 2025 saw record volumes and open interest in crypto futures and options, indicating growing institutional involvement.

Ethereum derivatives (futures & options) set new records, outpacing growth in the Bitcoin derivatives markets.

Traditional investors are increasing allocations: crypto ETFs achieved strong inflows — ~$5.95 billion globally in the week ending 4 October 2025.

CME (and other regulated venues) are expanding their crypto derivatives offerings, including newly introduced options on Solana (SOL) and XRP.

🔍 Outlook & Risks

Potential upside / tailwinds:

The recent correction may have purged excessive leverage, potentially paving the way for a healthier recovery.

If trade tensions ease, risk appetite may return, helping crypto rebound.

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