VAV Crypto Research and Analytics
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✅ DON'T TRADE AT SUCH MARKET!
The top trader on the centralized exchange Aguila Trades, who made $77 million this year, left for another decentralized platform - and immediately lost $12.47 million on his first Bitcoin long trade
Now he's reopened the trade: he opened a 1,894 BTC long with 20x leverage - for $200 million.
Then he has opened long on BTC again, and result - another loss of $17 million.
This is the third losing long position in two weeks - a total loss of $32.7 million dollars.
Today he opened a short on $BTC - and quickly fixed in a profit.
The top trader on the centralized exchange Aguila Trades, who made $77 million this year, left for another decentralized platform - and immediately lost $12.47 million on his first Bitcoin long trade
Now he's reopened the trade: he opened a 1,894 BTC long with 20x leverage - for $200 million.
Then he has opened long on BTC again, and result - another loss of $17 million.
This is the third losing long position in two weeks - a total loss of $32.7 million dollars.
Today he opened a short on $BTC - and quickly fixed in a profit.
عرض الترجمة
✅ JUST LOOK AT THIS CHART AND UNDERSTAND!
This is the only chart you need if you want to know where Bitcoin is heading.
Ignore the short-term noise - BTC goes up in the long run. Even more and more institutions and already more than 130+ big companies are buying $BTC every day.
THIS MODEL SHOW US - the average price for Bitcoin sits at $170K between late August and early September 2025. Not financial advice. DYOR
This is the only chart you need if you want to know where Bitcoin is heading.
Ignore the short-term noise - BTC goes up in the long run. Even more and more institutions and already more than 130+ big companies are buying $BTC every day.
THIS MODEL SHOW US - the average price for Bitcoin sits at $170K between late August and early September 2025. Not financial advice. DYOR
✅ تعلم هذا! تعلم من أخطائي!
كانت هذه واحدة من أسوأ الصفقات التي قمت بها منذ فترة.
خطأي هو أنني استسلمت لمشاعري هذه المرة أكثر بكثير مما كنت أتخيل.
استسلمت مبكرًا جدًا وحققت ربحًا ضئيلًا. وبعد ذلك، اخترق السعر سلسلة من مستويات الدعم خلال الساعات القليلة التالية، مما دفع سعر الإيثيريوم إلى 2360 دولارًا. حددتُ صفر ربح (مقارنةً بهدفي) عند 2512 دولارًا.
لو أنني اتبعت استراتيجيتي، ورغم الانخفاض والانفعالات، انتظرتُ بعد الأهداف الأولية - لكنتُ ربحتُ أضعافًا مضاعفة على الأقل.
حسنًا. إنه سوق صاعد. يشهد اللاعبون الكبار تراكمًا كبيرًا للأصل. لم يُسمح للإيثيريوم بالهبوط إلى ما دون 2500 دولار لفترة طويلة، ودافع المضاربون على الارتفاع بقوة عن دعم هذا المستوى. لكن عندما بدأ السعر بالارتفاع إلى ما يقارب ٢٦٠٠ دولار، بالكاد استطعت تحمّل التصفية، وأردت الخروج من السوق قريبًا من الصفر أسرع (إنها عواطف، إنها مشكلة كبيرة إذا كنت تريد أن تكون متداولًا).
نتيجةً لذلك، خرجتُ مبكرًا جدًا، ظنًا مني أن السعر لن يسمح له بالوصول إلى ٢٥٠٠ دولار مجددًا. لكنه اخترق جميع مستويات الدعم وانطلق بسرعة إلى حيث رأينا. خسرتُ الكثير من الأرباح.
هذا يُؤثر سلبًا على نفسيتي ومشاعري.
أخطائي: الشعور بالخوف من تفويت الفرصة + الاستسلام وعدم الالتزام بخطة التداول. هذا غير مقبول بتاتًا. قد يُضرّ بي هذا الربح الضئيل في المستقبل. أنا أُقوّض خطتي وأهدافي.
لا تفعل الشيء نفسه.
سأُصحّح خطأي.
٠٦١٥١٠٨٦٧٣٢
كانت هذه واحدة من أسوأ الصفقات التي قمت بها منذ فترة.
خطأي هو أنني استسلمت لمشاعري هذه المرة أكثر بكثير مما كنت أتخيل.
استسلمت مبكرًا جدًا وحققت ربحًا ضئيلًا. وبعد ذلك، اخترق السعر سلسلة من مستويات الدعم خلال الساعات القليلة التالية، مما دفع سعر الإيثيريوم إلى 2360 دولارًا. حددتُ صفر ربح (مقارنةً بهدفي) عند 2512 دولارًا.
لو أنني اتبعت استراتيجيتي، ورغم الانخفاض والانفعالات، انتظرتُ بعد الأهداف الأولية - لكنتُ ربحتُ أضعافًا مضاعفة على الأقل.
حسنًا. إنه سوق صاعد. يشهد اللاعبون الكبار تراكمًا كبيرًا للأصل. لم يُسمح للإيثيريوم بالهبوط إلى ما دون 2500 دولار لفترة طويلة، ودافع المضاربون على الارتفاع بقوة عن دعم هذا المستوى. لكن عندما بدأ السعر بالارتفاع إلى ما يقارب ٢٦٠٠ دولار، بالكاد استطعت تحمّل التصفية، وأردت الخروج من السوق قريبًا من الصفر أسرع (إنها عواطف، إنها مشكلة كبيرة إذا كنت تريد أن تكون متداولًا).
نتيجةً لذلك، خرجتُ مبكرًا جدًا، ظنًا مني أن السعر لن يسمح له بالوصول إلى ٢٥٠٠ دولار مجددًا. لكنه اخترق جميع مستويات الدعم وانطلق بسرعة إلى حيث رأينا. خسرتُ الكثير من الأرباح.
هذا يُؤثر سلبًا على نفسيتي ومشاعري.
أخطائي: الشعور بالخوف من تفويت الفرصة + الاستسلام وعدم الالتزام بخطة التداول. هذا غير مقبول بتاتًا. قد يُضرّ بي هذا الربح الضئيل في المستقبل. أنا أُقوّض خطتي وأهدافي.
لا تفعل الشيء نفسه.
سأُصحّح خطأي.
٠٦١٥١٠٨٦٧٣٢
ب
ETHUSDT
دائم
مغلق
الأرباح والخسائر
+106.41USDT
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🇺🇸📈🚨US national debt surpassed $37 trillion dollars - spending like there is no tomorrow
The Donald Trump administration added $800 billion dollars debt during the five months being in office.
Federal spending is $7.172 trillion, federal income $5.164.
Always Remember: there is no debt reduction in the parasitic and Ponzi known as the fiat money system.
Thats why cryptocurrencies were created and promoted to us - to reset their debt. Fiat financial system and other tradefi systems - are all scam.
#USNationalDebt
The Donald Trump administration added $800 billion dollars debt during the five months being in office.
Federal spending is $7.172 trillion, federal income $5.164.
Always Remember: there is no debt reduction in the parasitic and Ponzi known as the fiat money system.
Thats why cryptocurrencies were created and promoted to us - to reset their debt. Fiat financial system and other tradefi systems - are all scam.
#USNationalDebt
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📊 Bitcoin's elite vs. mortal wallets are moving in two different directions as its market value sits just north of $104.3K.
🐳 Wallets with 10+ BTC: +231 Wallets in 10 Days (+0.15%)
🦐 Wallets with 0.001 to 10 BTC: -37,465 Wallets in 10 Days (+0.15%)
When large wallets accumulate as retail loses confidence, this is historically the right combination for bullish momentum to inevitably return to crypto markets
$BTC
🐳 Wallets with 10+ BTC: +231 Wallets in 10 Days (+0.15%)
🦐 Wallets with 0.001 to 10 BTC: -37,465 Wallets in 10 Days (+0.15%)
When large wallets accumulate as retail loses confidence, this is historically the right combination for bullish momentum to inevitably return to crypto markets
$BTC
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🚨 BREAKING! X the everything app, as envisioned by Elon Musk himself.
On the way to make a clone of China’s WeChat, getting ready for the control grid and social credit system. All is underway and going according to plan.
Believe them when they tell you what they want and what they’re going to do.
This reminds me of Klaus Schwab’s predictions of a little while ago… economic crisis, limited wars, hacking events, powergrid issues, etc.
It is coming? No, it's here a long time while we were sleep.
#XSuperApp
On the way to make a clone of China’s WeChat, getting ready for the control grid and social credit system. All is underway and going according to plan.
Believe them when they tell you what they want and what they’re going to do.
This reminds me of Klaus Schwab’s predictions of a little while ago… economic crisis, limited wars, hacking events, powergrid issues, etc.
It is coming? No, it's here a long time while we were sleep.
#XSuperApp
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Most people aren't aware of how genius the "genius act" really is
bookmark this tweet because CRCL is a $1,000+ stock.
It positions CIRCLE as THE infrastructure layer for tokenized dollars
$USDC adoption = default rails for stablecoin settlement.
US Treasury 📈
Borrowing 📉
Tokenized RWAs > speculative tokens
DeFi shifts to USDC-native -> Altcoins lose base layer utility
bookmark this tweet because CRCL is a $1,000+ stock.
It positions CIRCLE as THE infrastructure layer for tokenized dollars
$USDC adoption = default rails for stablecoin settlement.
US Treasury 📈
Borrowing 📉
Tokenized RWAs > speculative tokens
DeFi shifts to USDC-native -> Altcoins lose base layer utility
عرض الترجمة
As if altcoins weren't suffering enough...
Just look at how crypto-related stocks have performed over the last couple of days.
COIN and CRCL outperformed by far the major altcoins, highlighting a shift in terms of mindshare.
While crypto community debates the next 100x coin, TradFi-listed giants are laying serious groundwork.
Regulatory clarity, stablecoin rails, and real revenue > short-term hype.
Want exposure to the next phase of crypto without touching tonnes of tokens?
These 3 stocks are the quiet giants worth watching: Coinbase, Circle and Robinhood.
#CryptoStocks
Just look at how crypto-related stocks have performed over the last couple of days.
COIN and CRCL outperformed by far the major altcoins, highlighting a shift in terms of mindshare.
While crypto community debates the next 100x coin, TradFi-listed giants are laying serious groundwork.
Regulatory clarity, stablecoin rails, and real revenue > short-term hype.
Want exposure to the next phase of crypto without touching tonnes of tokens?
These 3 stocks are the quiet giants worth watching: Coinbase, Circle and Robinhood.
#CryptoStocks
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"HE IS A REAL DUMMY! HE IS WORST!"
US President Donald Trump has again criticised Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, saying the man he put in the role during his last term had done a poor job. Trump’s remarks on June 18, 2025, came just before the US central bank announced its decision to hold interest rates steady for a fourth consecutive time. Powell said that despite elevated uncertainty, the country’s economy was “in a solid position”. While criticising Powell for not cutting rates, Trump mused about appointing himself to lead the Fed, claiming that he would do a “much better job than these people”.
#PowellRemarks
US President Donald Trump has again criticised Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, saying the man he put in the role during his last term had done a poor job. Trump’s remarks on June 18, 2025, came just before the US central bank announced its decision to hold interest rates steady for a fourth consecutive time. Powell said that despite elevated uncertainty, the country’s economy was “in a solid position”. While criticising Powell for not cutting rates, Trump mused about appointing himself to lead the Fed, claiming that he would do a “much better job than these people”.
#PowellRemarks
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F@&* Powell go to hell!
📝✅ What are the key points from FOMC - and what does it mean for asset markets?
This week's FOMC was a "steady as she goes" meeting.
Rates unchanged.
Fed chair Jerome Powell believes:
Financial conditions are meaningfully restrictive - labor market is weakening and inflation is falling.
But further progress must be seen on weakness in the labor market and/or inflation to see continued rate cuts - Fed not in a hurry to cut rates.
And, we finally got a question on Quantitative Tightening.
Powell said:
"The most recent data do suggest that reserves are still abundant. We do plan to reduce our balance sheet... We are closely monitoring a range of indicators to access conditions."
So, no change - QT continues.
So what does all of this mean for asset markets?
In my view, this meeting wasn't explicitly "bullish" or "bearish" for asset markets.
It was essentially "as you were".
And "as you were" is: inflation slightly elevated but not likely to move massively higher in the medium-term, growth humming along nicely, business cycle improving.
Asset markets initially sold off upon the release of the FOMC statement - which seemed to have a hawkish tilt due to a change in wording around inflation...
...but then recovered during the press conference when Powell confirmed the change of wording was a "clean-up" of the statement and not an indication of a change in the Fed's views on inflation.
I don't think there is anything to be fearful of here in relation to the Fed.
Rate hikes are seemingly not in the picture, the Fed is still "in a cutting cycle", but pausing.
To push higher, asset markets don't need the Fed to be continually cutting, they just need the Fed to be continually tilted towards further cutting.
In fact, the slower the cuts, the better - generally - because it indicates no panic.
Gold has already made a new all-time high today.
Risk assets have generally been trading in a range for months, but recently, on the whole, have been consolidating at the top of that range (bullish).
Everybody decided to panic about Chinese AI for ten minutes on Monday.
This actually created what looks like quite bullish price action.
Both the S&P 500 and bitcoin retested the Point of Control of the range (🟡) and bounced strongly back out of the range Value Area (sign of strength).
And in the current climate, a pause in rate cuts might mean the Treasury market stops freaking out, as it has done in recent months.
10-year Treasury yields have been falling since January 14, and have continued to decline following FOMC.
The Treasury yield indicator below (overlaid with S&P 500) flipped green on January 17.
This indicator aims to capture (in red) when yields are in the area that has historically negatively affected risk assets.
That "area" is when yields (US10Y) move to the 80th percentile of their rolling 1 quarter (63 day) range
#FOMCMeeting #FOMC_Decision
This week's FOMC was a "steady as she goes" meeting.
Rates unchanged.
Fed chair Jerome Powell believes:
Financial conditions are meaningfully restrictive - labor market is weakening and inflation is falling.
But further progress must be seen on weakness in the labor market and/or inflation to see continued rate cuts - Fed not in a hurry to cut rates.
And, we finally got a question on Quantitative Tightening.
Powell said:
"The most recent data do suggest that reserves are still abundant. We do plan to reduce our balance sheet... We are closely monitoring a range of indicators to access conditions."
So, no change - QT continues.
So what does all of this mean for asset markets?
In my view, this meeting wasn't explicitly "bullish" or "bearish" for asset markets.
It was essentially "as you were".
And "as you were" is: inflation slightly elevated but not likely to move massively higher in the medium-term, growth humming along nicely, business cycle improving.
Asset markets initially sold off upon the release of the FOMC statement - which seemed to have a hawkish tilt due to a change in wording around inflation...
...but then recovered during the press conference when Powell confirmed the change of wording was a "clean-up" of the statement and not an indication of a change in the Fed's views on inflation.
I don't think there is anything to be fearful of here in relation to the Fed.
Rate hikes are seemingly not in the picture, the Fed is still "in a cutting cycle", but pausing.
To push higher, asset markets don't need the Fed to be continually cutting, they just need the Fed to be continually tilted towards further cutting.
In fact, the slower the cuts, the better - generally - because it indicates no panic.
Gold has already made a new all-time high today.
Risk assets have generally been trading in a range for months, but recently, on the whole, have been consolidating at the top of that range (bullish).
Everybody decided to panic about Chinese AI for ten minutes on Monday.
This actually created what looks like quite bullish price action.
Both the S&P 500 and bitcoin retested the Point of Control of the range (🟡) and bounced strongly back out of the range Value Area (sign of strength).
And in the current climate, a pause in rate cuts might mean the Treasury market stops freaking out, as it has done in recent months.
10-year Treasury yields have been falling since January 14, and have continued to decline following FOMC.
The Treasury yield indicator below (overlaid with S&P 500) flipped green on January 17.
This indicator aims to capture (in red) when yields are in the area that has historically negatively affected risk assets.
That "area" is when yields (US10Y) move to the 80th percentile of their rolling 1 quarter (63 day) range
#FOMCMeeting #FOMC_Decision
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✅ #FOMC 18 June 2025 Key Takeaways from Fed Chair Powell’s Remarks:
- Rate cuts are still on the table, but not just yet. The Fed expects the right conditions to emerge down the line.
- Holding off for a few more months will allow the Fed to make more informed, deliberate policy choices.
- Inflation is expected to remain elevated for the near future, and that pressure is not going away overnight.
- The job market is holding steady. Unemployment levels remain within an acceptable range.
- The full impact of inflationary pressures, especially from tariffs, will take time to become clear.
- The Fed revised its 2025 inflation outlook upward, largely due to the expected effects of new tariffs.
This meeting signals a clear pause, with the Fed staying patient and data-dependent
- Rate cuts are still on the table, but not just yet. The Fed expects the right conditions to emerge down the line.
- Holding off for a few more months will allow the Fed to make more informed, deliberate policy choices.
- Inflation is expected to remain elevated for the near future, and that pressure is not going away overnight.
- The job market is holding steady. Unemployment levels remain within an acceptable range.
- The full impact of inflationary pressures, especially from tariffs, will take time to become clear.
- The Fed revised its 2025 inflation outlook upward, largely due to the expected effects of new tariffs.
This meeting signals a clear pause, with the Fed staying patient and data-dependent
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🚨ALERT: OVERVIEW OF FEDERAL RESERVE DECISION
- Fed keeps rates unchanged for the fourth meeting in a row
- The Fed notes that while uncertainty has decreased, it remains at a significant level.
- 2025 growth outlook cut to 1.4%, inflation now seen at 3%
- The median Federal Reserve outlook anticipates a total of 50 basis points in rate reductions for 2025.
- Markets increasingly betting on a first cut coming in September
- Median forecast sees rates at 3.6% by 2026 and 3.4% by 2027
The Fed holds its ground, even as Trump ramps up pressure with calls for 100 bps in cuts
#PowellSpeech
- Fed keeps rates unchanged for the fourth meeting in a row
- The Fed notes that while uncertainty has decreased, it remains at a significant level.
- 2025 growth outlook cut to 1.4%, inflation now seen at 3%
- The median Federal Reserve outlook anticipates a total of 50 basis points in rate reductions for 2025.
- Markets increasingly betting on a first cut coming in September
- Median forecast sees rates at 3.6% by 2026 and 3.4% by 2027
The Fed holds its ground, even as Trump ramps up pressure with calls for 100 bps in cuts
#PowellSpeech
✅ عاجل! النقاط الرئيسية من اجتماع #FOMC اليوم:
1. الاقتصاد في وضع قوي
2. خلال الصيف سنرى البيانات التي توضح مدى تأثير التعريفات على التضخم وبناءً على ذلك سنحدد مجموعة إجراءاتنا القادمة
3. سوق العمل ومعدلات البطالة جيدة حتى الآن ولكن نتوقع بعض الضعف خلال الصيف
4. يبقى الاحتياطي الفيدرالي على مسار إجراءاته، فهم يتطلعون إلى الأمام ولا يرغبون في اتخاذ خطوات فورية لتغيير السياسة حتى يروا أن هدفهم من التضخم وبيانات سوق العمل قد تحقق
5. يقومون بشراء الخزائن لإظهار أنهم رجال جيدون - الترجمة هي الانتظار لبعض عمليات الشراء الأخرى للخزائن خلال الصيف
ما أفكر فيه (ليس نصيحة مالية):
1. خلال الصيف لا تغييرات في سياسة الاحتياطي الفيدرالي ولن تنتهي سياسة التخفيف الكمي بالكامل حتى سبتمبر على الأقل
2. ستشهد أسعار العملات المشفرة ارتفاعًا حتى بدون تخفيضات في أسعار الفائدة من الاحتياطي الفيدرالي
3. باول في وضع جيد والشخص يقوم بعمله للتأكد من أن الاقتصاد في حالة طبيعية
4. نحن نقترب من المرحلة النهائية من الارتفاع السعري، لذا كن مستعدًا
#FedRateDecisions
1. الاقتصاد في وضع قوي
2. خلال الصيف سنرى البيانات التي توضح مدى تأثير التعريفات على التضخم وبناءً على ذلك سنحدد مجموعة إجراءاتنا القادمة
3. سوق العمل ومعدلات البطالة جيدة حتى الآن ولكن نتوقع بعض الضعف خلال الصيف
4. يبقى الاحتياطي الفيدرالي على مسار إجراءاته، فهم يتطلعون إلى الأمام ولا يرغبون في اتخاذ خطوات فورية لتغيير السياسة حتى يروا أن هدفهم من التضخم وبيانات سوق العمل قد تحقق
5. يقومون بشراء الخزائن لإظهار أنهم رجال جيدون - الترجمة هي الانتظار لبعض عمليات الشراء الأخرى للخزائن خلال الصيف
ما أفكر فيه (ليس نصيحة مالية):
1. خلال الصيف لا تغييرات في سياسة الاحتياطي الفيدرالي ولن تنتهي سياسة التخفيف الكمي بالكامل حتى سبتمبر على الأقل
2. ستشهد أسعار العملات المشفرة ارتفاعًا حتى بدون تخفيضات في أسعار الفائدة من الاحتياطي الفيدرالي
3. باول في وضع جيد والشخص يقوم بعمله للتأكد من أن الاقتصاد في حالة طبيعية
4. نحن نقترب من المرحلة النهائية من الارتفاع السعري، لذا كن مستعدًا
#FedRateDecisions
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#FOMC in 1h 30 minutes from now
I don’t expect a rate cut at all, so the markets with clear 99% vote that no rate cut will happen today. Again and what’s more interesting will be the speech of Jerome Powell. This will definitely bring volatility and I recommend the traders among you to watch the speech live and learn how the chart moves on certain statements. This will help you a lot
$BTC
I don’t expect a rate cut at all, so the markets with clear 99% vote that no rate cut will happen today. Again and what’s more interesting will be the speech of Jerome Powell. This will definitely bring volatility and I recommend the traders among you to watch the speech live and learn how the chart moves on certain statements. This will help you a lot
$BTC
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The last time BTC printed 12 red 1H candles was back in 2019 6 years ago. What was next do you remember?
Todays PA has been something we have not seen in half a decade. More than 5 years.
My trading style is simple - when I see s**t like this especially in a FED rate/FOMC day, I'm quitting. I prefer to wait in stablecoins. Who knows this old man Powell. Who knows this games between US/Israel/Iran/Pakistan and others. Who knows what about this rare 13 red candle behaviour.
Stay away from market today, guys. Not financial advice. DYOR
#MyTradingStyle
Todays PA has been something we have not seen in half a decade. More than 5 years.
My trading style is simple - when I see s**t like this especially in a FED rate/FOMC day, I'm quitting. I prefer to wait in stablecoins. Who knows this old man Powell. Who knows this games between US/Israel/Iran/Pakistan and others. Who knows what about this rare 13 red candle behaviour.
Stay away from market today, guys. Not financial advice. DYOR
#MyTradingStyle
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BIG ALERT: I just found the Fidelity Stablecoin Smart Contract on-chain 👀🧠
They’re gearing up for launch - waiting on the GENIUS Act to pass 💥🇺🇸
Once it does…
💸 TRILLIONS in stablecoins are coming to Ethereum
The floodgates are about to open 🌊🧱
ETH is the foundation. Don’t fade it.
Many big politicians share the ame predictions. For example senator Cynthia Lummis says:
“THE GENIUS ACT WILL PASS, THEN WE ARE HEADING STRAIGHT INTO MARKET STRUCTURE!“ 🇺🇸
RLUSD IS READY & WILL DO TO XRP WHAT USDT DID TO BTC! 📈
I think market cap will increase minimum x3-x10 times very soon. Not financial advice. DYOR
#GENIUSActPass
They’re gearing up for launch - waiting on the GENIUS Act to pass 💥🇺🇸
Once it does…
💸 TRILLIONS in stablecoins are coming to Ethereum
The floodgates are about to open 🌊🧱
ETH is the foundation. Don’t fade it.
Many big politicians share the ame predictions. For example senator Cynthia Lummis says:
“THE GENIUS ACT WILL PASS, THEN WE ARE HEADING STRAIGHT INTO MARKET STRUCTURE!“ 🇺🇸
RLUSD IS READY & WILL DO TO XRP WHAT USDT DID TO BTC! 📈
I think market cap will increase minimum x3-x10 times very soon. Not financial advice. DYOR
#GENIUSActPass
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🤔US STABLECOIN MONOPOLY?!
The U.S. just passed a major crypto bill and barely anyone is talking about it.
It’s called the GENIUS Act, and it’s the first proper federal law focused on stablecoins.
This could change how stablecoins like USDC and USDT operate in the U.S. completely.
Under this new law, only licensed banks or fintechs will be allowed to issue payment stablecoins. And they’ll need to hold 100% reserves in cash or short-term Treasuries.
They’ll also need to publish monthly audits, follow AML/KYC rules, and give users priority in bankruptcy.
This gives a huge edge to USDC, Circle, and any U.S.-based player willing to play by the rules.
At the same time, this could pressure offshore options like USDT, which has always operated in a grey zone.
The GENIUS Act also opens the door for big banks and even tech giants to issue their own stablecoins. Think JPMorgan or Apple-backed digital dollars.
From a data standpoint, stablecoins are now too big to ignore. Over $150 Billion is circulating. USDT alone sees more volume than Visa on some days.
With this law, stablecoins become more trustworthy, and the path to institutional adoption becomes clearer.
But it’s not all bullish.
Smaller crypto-native projects might get locked out. DeFi protocols could struggle to comply. And power could shift back toward traditional finance.
Still, this is a big step toward integrating stablecoins into the U.S. financial system.
The real impact will be felt in the next 6 to 12 months once implementation starts.
If you're holding stables or building in crypto, this law changes the game.
$USDC
The U.S. just passed a major crypto bill and barely anyone is talking about it.
It’s called the GENIUS Act, and it’s the first proper federal law focused on stablecoins.
This could change how stablecoins like USDC and USDT operate in the U.S. completely.
Under this new law, only licensed banks or fintechs will be allowed to issue payment stablecoins. And they’ll need to hold 100% reserves in cash or short-term Treasuries.
They’ll also need to publish monthly audits, follow AML/KYC rules, and give users priority in bankruptcy.
This gives a huge edge to USDC, Circle, and any U.S.-based player willing to play by the rules.
At the same time, this could pressure offshore options like USDT, which has always operated in a grey zone.
The GENIUS Act also opens the door for big banks and even tech giants to issue their own stablecoins. Think JPMorgan or Apple-backed digital dollars.
From a data standpoint, stablecoins are now too big to ignore. Over $150 Billion is circulating. USDT alone sees more volume than Visa on some days.
With this law, stablecoins become more trustworthy, and the path to institutional adoption becomes clearer.
But it’s not all bullish.
Smaller crypto-native projects might get locked out. DeFi protocols could struggle to comply. And power could shift back toward traditional finance.
Still, this is a big step toward integrating stablecoins into the U.S. financial system.
The real impact will be felt in the next 6 to 12 months once implementation starts.
If you're holding stables or building in crypto, this law changes the game.
$USDC
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✅ STOP TRADING BTC BEFORE THIS IMPORTANT REMINDER!
FIRSTLY, BTC is clearly forming a bearish pattern on 1H timeframe
Due to terrible news from political conflicts between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin could not hold the important $106,000 level
The last time we saw a "crash" like this, we got an V-shape recovery
This time we are not able to build up enough positive momentum
If we manage to break out throug the upper side ($106,000), a recovery seems likely
If we break out bearish, it seems like going back to $100,000 area
Of course any situation coud change directly due to new news
No matter what, $BTC is showing strength.
Only a few months ago, news like this caused crashes up to 20% and spread big sell of events
Now BTC is still trading above 100k levels in such a dificult time
It seems like BTC is oficially the new digital gold and "safe heaven" for investors
🙏🏼🤦🏻♂️ 17-18 june. FED rate. We'll see...
FIRSTLY, BTC is clearly forming a bearish pattern on 1H timeframe
Due to terrible news from political conflicts between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin could not hold the important $106,000 level
The last time we saw a "crash" like this, we got an V-shape recovery
This time we are not able to build up enough positive momentum
If we manage to break out throug the upper side ($106,000), a recovery seems likely
If we break out bearish, it seems like going back to $100,000 area
Of course any situation coud change directly due to new news
No matter what, $BTC is showing strength.
Only a few months ago, news like this caused crashes up to 20% and spread big sell of events
Now BTC is still trading above 100k levels in such a dificult time
It seems like BTC is oficially the new digital gold and "safe heaven" for investors
🙏🏼🤦🏻♂️ 17-18 june. FED rate. We'll see...
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June FOMC Meeting: Powell Expected to Be Closed – Focus on Dot Plot and Geopolitical Risks
The June FOMC meeting is scheduled for tomorrow, June 18, 2025. I still expect no change in interest rates and expect Powell to adopt a more hawkish tone again. Powell has already appeared cautious in recent meetings due to the tariff discussions triggered by Trump. Now he is likely to act even more cautiously as the situation in the Middle East continues to escalate
An escalation there could cause oil prices to rise significantly, which in turn could further drive up the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and thus inflation
Above all, potential tariff inflation remains a risk factor that should not be underestimated
The dot plot will also be published; while I don't expect any drastic changes, I do expect a more hawkish adjustment compared to the March dot plot. At that time, the median key interest rate was still at 3.75% (375 bps) for the end of 2025
However, market expectations have since shifted significantly and currently predict fewer interest rate cuts. Therefore, an increase in the median forecast to a higher level is quite conceivable
Reminder: What is the Dot Plot?
The Dot Plot shows the interest rate expectations of the individual members of the Federal Reserve Board (FOMC). Each member anonymously marks where they see the key interest rate in the coming years. The higher the dots, the more interest rate hikes the members expect – and vice versa. The Dot Plot is published only four times a year and is an important indicator for the markets
A good example was the Dot Plot Update in December 2024: At that time, significantly fewer interest rate cuts were signaled than expected, to which the markets promptly reacted with a sell-off in risk assets.
In addition to the dot plot, the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) also provides new projections for:
- GDP Growth
- Unemployment Rate
- PCE Inflation & Core PCE Inflation
The current situation in the Middle East could prompt the Fed to adjust its inflation expectations.
#FOMCMeeting
The June FOMC meeting is scheduled for tomorrow, June 18, 2025. I still expect no change in interest rates and expect Powell to adopt a more hawkish tone again. Powell has already appeared cautious in recent meetings due to the tariff discussions triggered by Trump. Now he is likely to act even more cautiously as the situation in the Middle East continues to escalate
An escalation there could cause oil prices to rise significantly, which in turn could further drive up the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and thus inflation
Above all, potential tariff inflation remains a risk factor that should not be underestimated
The dot plot will also be published; while I don't expect any drastic changes, I do expect a more hawkish adjustment compared to the March dot plot. At that time, the median key interest rate was still at 3.75% (375 bps) for the end of 2025
However, market expectations have since shifted significantly and currently predict fewer interest rate cuts. Therefore, an increase in the median forecast to a higher level is quite conceivable
Reminder: What is the Dot Plot?
The Dot Plot shows the interest rate expectations of the individual members of the Federal Reserve Board (FOMC). Each member anonymously marks where they see the key interest rate in the coming years. The higher the dots, the more interest rate hikes the members expect – and vice versa. The Dot Plot is published only four times a year and is an important indicator for the markets
A good example was the Dot Plot Update in December 2024: At that time, significantly fewer interest rate cuts were signaled than expected, to which the markets promptly reacted with a sell-off in risk assets.
In addition to the dot plot, the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) also provides new projections for:
- GDP Growth
- Unemployment Rate
- PCE Inflation & Core PCE Inflation
The current situation in the Middle East could prompt the Fed to adjust its inflation expectations.
#FOMCMeeting
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