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CryptoQuant said Bitcoin has not yet shown a “full capitulation” bottom, with several key onchain indicators still in a “bear phase” rather than the “extreme bear phase” typically seen at historic cycle lows. CryptoQuant noted that while Bitcoin’s Feb. 5 sell-off saw about $5.4 billion in realized losses in a single day, monthly cumulative realized losses remain well below levels observed at prior bear-market bottoms. It added that its “ultimate bear-market bottom” is currently around $55,000, and that bottoms usually take months to form.
MVRV Z-Score - an indicator calculated as the ratio of the difference between the market value (MV) and the realized value (RV) to the standard deviation of MV. It helps to determine: ⏺ Market overbought (Z-Score > 7) ⏺ Market oversold (Z-Score < 0) ⏺ Neutral zone (between 0 and 7)
BTC is in the capitulation zone, close to the accumulation phase, but the conditions for a confident bottom have not yet been established.
🚨 NEW: Russia plans to link the digital ruble with other BRICS CBDCs for trade, bypassing the US dollar, says Timur Aitov (Russian Chamber of Commerce).
He adds that India’s RBI wants BRICS nations to connect their CBDCs using shared infrastructure and common rules.
Reuters earlier reported that the proposal may be discussed at the 2026 BRICS summit hosted by India
MARKET UPDATE: $XAU ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ $XAU closed the week holding above the rising 4H trendline and reclaimed the 5,040–5,080 zone into the weekly close.
After the sharp sell-off to ~4,900 earlier in the week, buyers stepped in aggressively and produced consecutive higher closes. The weekly finish near 5,080 shows demand absorbing dips. As long as gold holds above 4,980–5,000, pressure remains toward 5,100+. A loss of that intraday trendline would shift momentum back toward 4,900. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
MARKET UPDATE: $AAVE ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ $AAVE just broke above its descending resistance on the 4H timeframe after trading inside a tightening structure. The compression has resolved to the upside, confirming a short-term bullish shift.
As long as the $112–114 zone holds as support, continuation toward $122 and potentially $125 becomes the next logical move. Losing that level would put price back inside the prior range, but for now, momentum favors further upside. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
MARKET UPDATE: $TON ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ $TON is finally breaking above its descending trendline on the 4H timeframe after printing consistent lower highs for weeks. This is the first structural shift suggesting bearish pressure is weakening.
As long as the $1.38–1.40 area holds as support, continuation toward $1.48 and potentially $1.52 becomes likely. Losing that reclaim would invalidate the breakout and put TON back into range, but for now, momentum is favoring a short-term bullish continuation. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
February 13, 2026 ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ MARKET ANALYSIS: Market Cap.: $3.30 T 24h Volume: $189.74 B $BTC Dominance: 61.6 % $ETH Dominance: 12.4 % ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ TOP GAINERS (BINANCE FUTURES) BNB/USDT: +10% Binance Coin leads large-cap performance with strong derivatives participation. LINK/USDT: +9% Chainlink extends gains supported by steady futures positioning. AVAX/USDT: +8% Avalanche continues controlled upside following consolidation.
HIGHEST VOLUME (FUTURES) BTC/USDT: $17.05 B Bitcoin futures remain the primary liquidity and hedging instrument. ETH/USDT: $9.31 B Ethereum volume stays solid but secondary to BTC flows.
DAILY OUTLOOK The cryptocurrency market on February 13, 2026 posts a total capitalization of $3.30 T with rising 24h volume, reflecting sustained participation across major assets. Bitcoin dominance at 61.6 % reinforces continued capital concentration in BTC, while Ethereum’s share increases slightly to 12.4 %. Futures activity highlights selective strength among established large-cap assets, suggesting rotation within a constructive but controlled market structure. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
تحديث السوق: $ASTER ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ $ASTER تم تأكيد اختراق من القناة الهابطة قبل يومين، مما أدى إلى تغيير الهيكل قصير الأجل بعد أسابيع من الضغط. السعر يتداول الآن حول 0.71 بعد حركة اندفاع قوية من منطقة 0.47–0.50.
طالما أن 0.68–0.70 تحتفظ بالدعم، فإن الاستمرار نحو 0.75–0.80 يبقى السيناريو الصاعد. إن انهيار السعر مرة أخرى تحت تلك المنطقة سيبطل الاختراق ويفتح الباب للعودة داخل الهيكل الهابط السابق. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖