Mihawk_WSS

اليوم الإثنين هنا، و$BTC لا يزال يتقلب حول $89k. لكن لا تدع الملل يخدعك. هذه هي الهدوء قبل عاصفة العطلة.
إليك ما تحتاج لمشاهدته هذا الأسبوع:
الثلاثاء (غدًا): بيانات ثقة المستهلك الأمريكي
مع التعديل الجديد #TrumpTariffs ، إذا انخفضت الثقة، فإن DXY (الدولار) ينخفض. وهذا يرفع BTC.
الخميس (عيد الميلاد): تقلبات حجم منخفضة
الأسواق الأمريكية مغلقة. سيولة منخفضة = سهولة في التلاعب. توقع "Fakeouts" (خدع الشموع) لتصفية المتداولين ذوي الرافعة المالية العالية.

الجمعة: بيانات التضخم PCE

The dust has settled on the latest #USNonFarmPayrollReport, and the market reaction has been... confusing. Bitcoin is chopping, Altcoins are bleeding, and the "Recession" whispers are getting louder.
But if you look closely at the data, a different story is playing out. Here is the breakdown of the #USJobsData and what it means for your portfolio heading into 2026.
1. The "Bad News is Good News" Paradigm is Broken
For most of 2024 and 2025, crypto traders cheered for weak jobs data. Why? Because weak jobs meant the Fed would cut rates and print money.
The Reality: We got the weak numbers (missing expectations significantly).
The Reaction: The market dumped.
Why? Because with the new #TrumpTariffs looming, the market isn't fearing a lack of liquidity—it’s fearing Stagflation (High Inflation + Low Growth). This is the worst-case scenario for risk assets like Crypto.
2. The Revisions Tell the Real Story
It wasn't just the headline number that missed. The quiet downward revisions of the previous two months show that the US labor market is cooling much faster than the Fed admits.
Bull Case: The Fed must cut rates aggressively in Q1 2026 to save the labor market, ignoring the tariff-induced inflation. This brings the "money printer" back online.
Bear Case: The Fed stays hawkish to fight inflation, crashing the economy (and Bitcoin) further.
3. What Should You Do?
Watch the DXY (US Dollar Index).
The NFP report caused the Dollar to wobble. If DXY breaks down below 103, Bitcoin creates a local bottom here at $87k. If DXY rallies on safe-haven demand, we test lower support.
My Verdict:
This chop is a "bear trap." The jobs market is weak enough that liquidity injection is inevitable. It might take a month or two of pain, but the liquidity is coming.
Are you positioning for a recession or a soft landing? Let's debate in the comments! 👇
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #USJobsData #Fed #MacroEconomics #BinanceSquareFamily
$BTC

The hype from #BinanceBlockchainWeek has settled, but the alpha dropped there is more relevant now than ever.
While everyone was focused on the headline speakers, three key narratives are quietly building strength in this "Extreme Fear" market:
RWA (Real World Assets) are merging with TradeFi: The discussions around tokenized treasury bills are the only reason stablecoin market cap is at an ATH right now.
The "Consumer App" Pivot: The biggest VCs at the event weren't looking for infrastructure; they were funding consumer apps that use crypto in the background. (Watch the gaming sector closely in Q1 2026).
Institutional Custody: The solutions showcased for institutional entry are ready. They are just waiting for the #TrumpTariffs volatility to settle before deploying capital.
My Take:
Events like these tell us where the money will go in 6 months. If you are panic selling now, you are ignoring the roadmap laid out in Dubai.
Which narrative from the event are you most bullish on?
#BinanceBlockchainWeek #RWA #CryptoTrends #InvestSmart

We are closing 2025 in a unique economic storm. Bitcoin is hovering at $88k, trapped between two massive opposing forces: The new Tariff policies and a cooling labor market.
1. The #TrumpTariffs Effect
President Trump’s 20% universal tariff policy has officially kicked in, and we are seeing the ripple effects. While aimed at boosting domestic production, the immediate result has been "Sticky Inflation." This is why #CPIWatch is trending again—the market fears that inflation will bounce back to 4% in Q1 2026, forcing the Fed to keep rates high.
2. The Jobs Data Disconnect
The latest #USNonFarmPayrollReport (NFP) from earlier this month showed cracks in the armor.
Expectation: +180k jobs
Reality: +110k jobs (with downward revisions)
Usually, bad news is "good news" for crypto (because it means money printer go brrr). But right now, #USJobsData suggests a recession risk, while tariffs suggest inflation (Stagflation). This uncertainty is why BTC is chopping below $90k.
The Strategy:
Don't fight the macro. The market is waiting for the January Fed meeting. If the Fed acknowledges the slowing jobs data over the tariff inflation, we get a rate cut. That is the signal for the next Bull Run leg.
Do you think the Fed cuts rates in January? 👇
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #USJobsData #CPIWatch #TrumpTariffs #MacroEconomics $BTC

مؤشر الخوف والطمع في العملات الرقمية بلغ 20 (خوف شديد) اليوم. يتم تداول البيتكوين حوالي 88 ألف دولار، والمتداولون في السوق يشعرون بالذعر بشأن زيادة أسعار الفائدة من بنك اليابان.
إذا كنت تشعر برغبة في البيع، توقف لثانية. تحتاج إلى النظر إلى ما تفعله "الأموال الذكية"، وليس ما تصرخ به الحشود.
الانحراف الكبير لعام 2025
بينما تشعر مشاعر المتداولين في السوق بالانخفاض الشديد، انظر إلى البيانات الفعلية. أكدت الإدارة التنفيذية لشركة Bitwise للتو حدثًا ضخماً: تدفقات البيتكوين ETP تجاوزت رسميًا تدفقات الذهب في عام 2025.

تشير نفسية التداول إلى العوامل العاطفية والعقلية التي تؤثر على عملية اتخاذ القرار لدى المتداول. تلعب دورًا حاسمًا في تحقيق النجاح المتسق في التداول، حيث يمكن أن تؤدي المشاعر مثل الخوف والطمع والثقة المفرطة إلى قرارات سيئة. إليك تحليل للجوانب الرئيسية:

1. التحديات العاطفية الشائعة
الخوف: يمكن أن يؤدي الخوف من الخسارة إلى التردد، والخروج من الصفقات مبكرًا، أو تجنب الصفقات تمامًا.

الطمع: الرغبة في تحقيق أرباح أعلى يمكن أن تؤدي إلى الإفراط في التداول، وتجاهل إدارة المخاطر، أو الاحتفاظ بالمراكز لفترة طويلة جدًا.