توقعات بيتكوين الأسبوعية: هيكل موجة إليوت يشير إلى أن تصحيحًا كبيرًا متعدد الأشهر جارٍ
لقد سجل ارتفاع بيتكوين الانفجاري إلى مستوى قياسي جديد عند 126,000 دولار لحظة تاريخية - ولكن من منظور تقني، قد يمثل أيضًا اكتمال دورة دافعة كاملة من خمس موجات على الإطارات الزمنية الأعلى. تظهر المخططات الشهرية والأسبوعية كلاسيكيات علامات الإرهاق في قمة الموجة 5: تلاشي الزخم، والانحراف الهبوطي، وعكس حاد أولي.
إذا كان عدد هذه الموجة صحيحًا، فإن بيتكوين يدخل الآن مرحلة تصحيحية متعددة الأشهر قبل أن تبدأ الموجة الكبرى التالية.
Sharp Drop in Price Bitcoin has plunged sharply from its October peak (around $126K) to the low $80K range.This marks a ~30% decline in a short time.The drop has erased almost all of Bitcoin’s gains for 2025.Massive Liquidations & Leverage UnwindingThere was a huge wave of long-position liquidations.On November 3 alone, more than $400 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated, impacting over 162,000 traders.Over $1.9 billion of long positions were reportedly wiped out during a very rapid sell-off.ETFs OutflowsBTC Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have seen significant outflows, removing a lot of institutional buying pressure.For example, over $1.15 billion was withdrawn in a recent week.Macro Risks — Interest Rates & Economic DataStronger-than-expected U.S. economic data (especially labor/services) has reduced confidence that the Fed will cut interest rates aggressively, making rate-sensitive assets less risky compared to crypto.Higher rates and uncertainty are pushing investors out of speculative assets.Liquidity CrunchBecause of thin liquidity, when forced selling began, algos and leveraged trades accelerated the downward spiral — creating a feedback loop. The Economic TimesIn other words: once the first wave of liquidations started, it became self-reinforcing. The Economic Time.Profit-Taking & Whale SellingLarge holders (“whales”) and long-term holders have started to take profits, which sends a psychological signal to the market. NewsBlock+2Cryptohopper+2According to some data, long-term holders moved a very large amount of BTC — indicating they may not be as confident about further near-term gains. CryptohopperTechnical BreakdownBitcoin has broken through some key technical support levels, including its 200-day moving average. Wedbush InvestorThe price has also dropped below the 2025 realized average cost basis (~$103,200), meaning many 2025 buyers are now at a loss. CoinDeskSentiment WeaknessInvestor sentiment has soured, with risk-off mood across broader markets. ReutersSome see the sell-off as not just a temporary correction but a mechanical deleveraging process. Reddit Big Picture Take This decline seems driven not just by a fundamental crash, but by a forced unwind of leveraged bets + profit-taking + ETF outflows + macro risks. The move is painful, especially for leveraged traders, but some analysts consider it a healthy correction — a “system cleanse” rather than full collapse. Key near-term risk levels to watch: $75K–$80K (if selling continues) per some commentators.
ETH Price Forecast: Can ETH Break Past $7,500 by 2025?
Ethereum (ETH) has been one of the most closely watched cryptocurrencies in recent years, thanks to its role as the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and smart contracts. As we move toward 2025 and beyond, traders and investors are keenly watching whether ETH can sustain its momentum—or even break into new highs. Short to Medium-Term Outlook (Now to 2025) In the coming months, Ethereum’s price is expected to fluctuate within a fairly wide range. Some technical models and exchange forecasts suggest ETH could trade between $4,200 and $5,800 through late 2024 and into 2025. Bearish case: If market sentiment weakens, ETH could dip toward the $3,300–$4,000 range. Base case: Analysts see a trading band of $4,000–$5,800, assuming steady adoption and stable market conditions. Bullish case: Major institutions like Standard Chartered are more optimistic, predicting ETH could climb as high as $7,500 by the end of 2025, driven by factors like ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and growing demand for Ethereum’s network. Long-Term Outlook (2026–2030+) Looking further ahead, long-term forecasts remain highly speculative but promising: By 2026–2027, ETH could potentially reach the $8,000–$10,000+ range. By 2028 and beyond, some projections even suggest Ethereum could scale into the $15,000–$25,000 territory if adoption continues to accelerate. It’s worth noting that these bold predictions depend heavily on macroeconomic conditions, crypto market cycles, and Ethereum’s ability to maintain its dominance in the blockchain space. Key Factors That Could Shape Ethereum’s Future 1. Network Upgrades & Adoption Ethereum’s roadmap includes improvements like sharding, data availability, and stronger Layer-2 solutions. These upgrades aim to increase scalability, reduce costs, and boost utility—key drivers for long-term growth. 2. Institutional Inflows & ETFs If Ethereum-based ETFs gain traction, institutional capital could flood in, creating significant supply-demand pressure and lifting prices. 3. Macro & Regulatory Climate Global regulations, monetary policies, and broader economic sentiment could either act as tailwinds or barriers. For example, favorable U.S. regulatory clarity could boost ETH, while stricter rules might slow growth. 4. Market Sentiment & Technical Trends Short-term price swings often follow momentum indicators like RSI and MACD, as well as Bitcoin’s broader cycle. A strong Bitcoin rally, for instance, usually spills over into Ethereum. Ethereum’s price path remains uncertain, but the outlook shows both opportunities and risks. In the short to medium term, ETH could swing between $3,300 and $7,500 depending on market conditions. Long term, if adoption, upgrades, and institutional flows align, Ethereum could enter five-figure territory. For investors, the message is clear: Ethereum has the potential to grow significantly, but patience, risk management, and awareness of volatility will remain crucial. $ETH $BTC $XRP #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #HEMIBinanceTGE #BNBATH880 #CryptoRally #PowellWatch
Canada to remove retaliatory tariffs on many US products Reports Canada Will Apply Tariff Exemption On Many US Products Under USMCA - To Remove Retaliatory Tariffs On Many US Goods $BTC $ETH $SOL
مسؤولو الاحتياطي الفيدرالي ببرود تجاه خفض أسعار الفائدة في سبتمبر بينما تنتظر الأسواق خطاب باول
ظهر ثلاثة من مسؤولي الاحتياطي الفيدرالي ببرود يوم الخميس تجاه فكرة خفض أسعار الفائدة الشهر المقبل، حيث كان المستثمرون يستعدون لخطاب رئيس البنك المركزي الأمريكي جيروم باول في مؤتمر جاكسون هول السنوي في وايومنغ. "أدخل كل اجتماع بعقل مفتوح،" قالت رئيسة الاحتياطي الفيدرالي في كليفلاند، بيث هاماك، في مقابلة مع ياهو فاينانس على هامش الندوة التي تستمر ثلاثة أيام، والتي تستضيفها الاحتياطي الفيدرالي في كانساس سيتي. "لكن مع البيانات التي لدي الآن ومع المعلومات التي أملكها، إذا كان الاجتماع غدًا، فلن أرى حالة لتخفيض أسعار الفائدة،" قالت هاماك.
Hey crypto fam, Ethereum's hovering around $4,200 right now, and it's got everyone on edge. Is this the launchpad for a fresh rally, or the edge of a cliff? Let's dive into the drama without the jargon overload. Why $4,200 Is the Hot Zone Everyone's Obsessed With This $4,150–$4,200 range has been like a safety net lately, catching dips and sparking rebounds. Hold here, and we could see $ETH flex its muscles upward. But if it cracks below $4,150? Oof—expect a slide to $4,000 or even $3,950. No panic buys just yet; this is decision time. The Tech Scoop: What's the Chart Saying? Overall Trend: Still upward in the big picture, but the short-term vibe? Kinda meh after failing to stick above $4,500. RSI Alert: Dropping from "overheated" levels—buyers are catching their breath. MACD Vibes: Bullish for now, but the energy's fading fast. Volume Check: Bounces aren't packing much punch, meaning buyers aren't all-in. Hot Scenarios to Watch Bull Bounce: Stays above $4,200 and pushes past $4,300? Hello, rally to $4,450–$4,500! Bear Trap: Slips under $4,150? Buckle up for a drop to $4,000, then $3,950. Choppy Waters: Stuck in $4,150–$4,300 limbo? Expect boring sideways action. Red Flags Popping Up - ETF sellers are cashing out after those recent peaks. - Whales are shuffling ETH to exchanges—classic "sell incoming" signal. - Futures markets? Bullish bets are dialing back.
When Will Solana Hit $1,000? (A Serious-but-Not-Too-Serious Look)
Imagine this: you’re sitting on a sunny beach, sipping a drink with a little umbrella in it. Suddenly, your phone pings: $SOL hits $1,000. Do you dance? Do you faint? Or do you order a truckload of pineapples just because you can? Let’s explore this fantasy with some math, a pinch of logic, and a dash of humor. Where We’re Starting Right now, Solana $SOL trades at about $180–$182 with a market cap near $98 billion. That’s based on roughly 538 million SOL coins in circulation. The Cold Math At $1,000 per $SOL , with today’s supply, the market cap would be about $538.7 billion. That’s not chump change — it’s in the same league as mega tech companies and would be around 20–25% of Bitcoin’s current $2.3–$2.4 trillion market cap. So yes, mathematically possible — but it would take a massive leap in Solana’s share of the crypto pie. How It Could Happen 1. The Institutional + Macro Route (slow burn) Crypto ETFs, massive institutional adoption, and a booming global economy could gradually push SOL toward $1,000. Think of this as the “steady climb” scenario — no hype, just years of building. 2. The “Internet’s Money” Route (tech dream) If Solana becomes the go-to chain for payments, gaming, and DeFi — with billions in total value locked and real daily users — demand could surge. But it would need top-tier reliability (no more outages, please). 3. The Meme + Momentum Route (chaotic rocket) Retail FOMO, viral memes, and a speculative mania could send SOL flying to $1,000 overnight. The problem? It could crash just as fast. Great for short-term thrill seekers, dangerous for long-term planners. 4. The Ridiculous Route (pure fiction) Elon Musk tweets “SOL to the moon” and announces he’s marrying Bitcoin. Markets explode. Reality takes a coffee break. What Needs to Change in Reality Market Cap Growth: From ~$98B to ~$539B (a 5–6× jump). Sustained Adoption: Real apps, real users, and actual demand for SOL as a utility token. Favorable Macro Conditions: Institutions like stability — regulatory clarity is key. Why It Might Not Happen Competition from other blockchains. Token inflation or big unlocks could dilute the price. Global recessions or harsh regulations could freeze momentum. Could Solana hit $1,000? Yes — on paper, it’s possible. But it would require huge adoption, years of growth, and a multi-hundred-billion-dollar valuation boost. It’s an ambitious target — maybe audacious — but also a fun dream for SOL holders. So, by all means, keep that $1,000 price target in your heart… but keep your financial plans anchored in reality. And maybe… just maybe… start researching pineapple futures. 🥥📈
بومان، عضو مجلس الاحتياطي الفيدرالي: أحدث بيانات الوظائف تعزز الدعم لخفض أسعار الفائدة ثلاث مرات في عام 2025
قالت نائبة رئيس مجلس الاحتياطي الفيدرالي لشؤون الإشراف ميشيل بومان يوم السبت إن بيانات الوظائف الضعيفة الأخيرة تؤكد مخاوفها بشأن هشاشة سوق العمل وتعزز ثقتها في توقعاتها الخاصة بأن خفض أسعار الفائدة ثلاث مرات سيكون مناسبا هذا العام. كان بومان أحد محافظيْن في مجلس الاحتياطي الفيدرالي عارضا الشهر الماضي قرار البنك المركزي الأمريكي إبقاء تكاليف الاقتراض قصيرة الأجل عند نطاق 4.25%-4.50%، وهو النطاق الذي استقرت عليه منذ ديسمبر. وكان معظم مسؤولي الاحتياطي الفيدرالي أكثر حذرًا بشأن خفض أسعار الفائدة، نظرًا لاحتمالية أن تُعيق رسوم إدارة ترامب التقدم في خفض التضخم إلى هدف الاحتياطي الفيدرالي البالغ 2%. ومع ذلك، في الأيام الأخيرة، بدا أن العديد من صانعي السياسات في الاحتياطي الفيدرالي قد اقتربوا من دعم التخفيضات.
من غير المحتمل أن تؤثر إجراءات ترامب على استقلال الاحتياطي الفيدرالي
تتصدر العديد من أعمال الرئيس ترامب الأخيرة عناوين الأخبار، لكن هناك أيضًا تدفق مستمر من القصص حول شيء لم يفعله: إقالة جيروم باول من رئاسة الاحتياطي الفيدرالي.
لقد حذر رئيسا الاحتياطي الفيدرالي السابقان، بن برنانكي وجانيت يلين، من أن مثل هذه الخطوة ستزعزع الأسواق المالية وتضر بالاقتصاد من خلال تحويل السياسة النقدية إلى نزوات سياسية. وفي الوقت نفسه، يقوم مؤيدو ترامب بالضغط عليه.
Ethereum (ETH) has been holding strong above the $4,000 mark recently,$$$ and analysts from major exchanges and research outlets are weighing in on what could come next. Here’s a breakdown of where $ETH might be headed in the short, mid, and long term — in plain language. Short-Term Outlook (Today to a Few Weeks) Right now, $ETH is trading between $4,000 and $4,200. Binance expects a small bump of around 5%, which could send the price toward $4,201 over the next month. Bitget says that as long as ETH stays above $4,000 — a key psychological level — it could climb into the $4,150 to $4,250 range. FXStreet notes that $ETH is testing resistance at $4,100; if it breaks through, we might see $4,500. However, if it falls below $3,470, the price could drop closer to $3,000. CoinDCX is a bit more cautious, seeing $3,800 to $3,900 as a likely range in the near term, with a possible move back to $4,000. Mid-Term Forecast (Next Few Months) Looking ahead a few months, analysts like Jack Yi from LD Capital believe ETH could reach $5,000, driven by strong technical patterns and macro factors like possible interest rate cuts. Cointelegraph and FXStreet highlight big drivers such as institutional investment from players like BlackRock, the growth of stablecoins, and ETF inflows — all of which could push ETH back toward its all-time high of $4,868. Bullish Scenario for Late 2025 Some are far more optimistic. IndiaTimes predicts that ETH could rally to $7,000 by the last quarter of 2025, though they caution that it’s a high-risk, high-reward outlook. In a strong bull market, ETH could trade between $6,000 and $7,000 or higher. Long-Term and Speculative Outlook (2025–2030) Longer-term predictions vary widely. Kraken’s conservative view sees ETH growing around 5% annually, which would place it at roughly $5,300 by 2030. On the other hand, VanEck paints a much more aggressive picture, suggesting ETH could hit nearly $11,800 if it captures a dominant share of the smart contract market and blockchain adoption keeps accelerating. Community sentiment on Reddit falls somewhere in between, with predictions ranging from $6,000 to $10,000, depending on market cycles. Bottom Line Ethereum is in a consolidation phase, stuck between $4,000 and $4,200, and struggling to break past $4,100. A strong breakout could open the door to $4,500–$5,000 in the coming months, and even higher if bullish momentum continues into 2025. Still, ETH is a volatile asset — while the upside potential is big, so are the risks. Smart investors will balance optimism with caution. $ETH
بينما يشهد سوق العملات المشفرة انتعاشًا في معظمه، لا تزال عملة $XRP تعاني - والسبب أوضح مما يظنه الكثيرون. لا تزال ريبل تحتفظ بنحو 40 مليار $XRP توكن في حساب الضمان، والتي تُطرح للتداول تدريجيًا. ومن المتوقع أن تستمر عملية التحرير هذه لمدة 6 إلى 10 سنوات أخرى، مما يزيد العرض بشكل مطرد. تُشير أساسيات الاقتصاد إلى أنه عندما يستمر العرض في الازدياد دون طلب قوي مماثل، تواجه الأسعار ضغطًا هبوطيًا. ومع ذلك، تُنفق شركة Ripple Labs بكثافة على التسويق والشراكات للحفاظ على تفاعل مجتمعها وتفاؤله. يتمسك العديد من المستثمرين بأحلام الوصول إلى 10 دولارات أو أكثر في المستقبل القريب، لكن هذه التوقعات تتجاهل تأثير الإصدارات المستمرة للرموز.
بالنظر إلى الرسم البياني اليومي لزوج BTC/USD الذي شاركته، فإن السعر حالياً حوالي 116,518، ويتماسك فوق المتوسط المتحرك لمدة 50 يوماً (الخط الأرجواني) بعد ارتداد حديث من الدعم بالقرب من 113,000. تظهر الشموع أجساماً أصغر بالقرب من المستوى الحالي، مما يشير إلى عدم اليقين. توقفت الاتجاه الصاعد السابق تحت 117,000–118,000، وهو منطقة مقاومة تم اختبارها عدة مرات دون اختراق.
تعطي المتوسطات المتحركة إشارات مختلطة - المتوسط المتحرك قصير الأجل يتجه للأعلى، مما يشير إلى انتعاش، لكن الاتجاه طويل الأجل لا يزال مسطحاً نسبياً. تسلسل القمم المنخفضة قبل الارتداد الأخير يعني أن BTC لم يؤكد بعد هيكل صعودي جديد.
لكي تحقق BTC قمة جديدة أعلى، تحتاج إلى كسر وإغلاق حاسم فوق 118,900–120,000 مع حجم تداول قوي. عدم القيام بذلك قد يؤدي إلى الرفض وإعادة اختبار منطقة الدعم 113,000–111,000.
نظراً لترتيب الرسم البياني الحالي، فإن BTC في مرحلة محايدة إلى صعودية قليلاً ولكنها لا تزال معرضة لتحرك هبوطي إذا استمرت المقاومة. باختصار، بدون دفعة قوية فوق 120K، فإن الاحتمالية تميل نحو تراجع آخر بدلاً من قمة أعلى مباشرة.
يمكنني أيضاً تحديد مناطق الشراء/البيع المحتملة على هذا الرسم البياني للوضوح إذا كنت ترغب في ذلك.