CryptoTradeSmart

🔸 السيناريو 2 – سحب السيولة ورفض (قصير تقني)
الشروط المطلوبة:
السعر ي sweep 1.79–1.80
يبدو: ارتفاع في الحجم، لكن إغلاق الشمعة ضعيف / رفض
OI: يرتفع أسرع من السعر، أو يبقى مرتفعًا على الرغم من توقف السعر
المنطق:
الطويل المتأخر عالق

البيع ليس انعكاسًا للاتجاه، بل هو تراجع قصير ضمن الاتجاه الصاعد
فكرة التداول:
الدخول: بعد شمعة الرفض 1 ساعة
وقف الخسارة: فوق أعلى شمعة الرفض
جني الأرباح:
جني الأرباح 1: 1.712
جني الأرباح 2: 1.652
NEARUSDT.P - 1 ساعة
🔹 هيكل السوق
الهيكل الأساسي:
الاتجاه العام والإطار الزمني 1 ساعة يبقى هيكل صاعد

🔹 Scenario A – Pullback LONG (Primary Bias, Trend-Following)
Context
H1 market structure remains bullish (BOS intact). Price is trading in premium, so chasing breakouts is not optimal. The focus is on buying pullbacks into value.
Entry (LONG)
Primary entry: 1.70 – 1.72 (POC zone, need clear price reaction)
Confirmation
LTF (5m–15m) holds higher lowsPullback volume decreases (no sell climax)OI stays flat or slightly decreases during the pullback

Invalidation: H1 strongly close below 1.67
Stop Loss: 1.67 (below H1 demand H1)
Targets (TP)
TP1: 1.798 (recent high / liquidity)TP2: 1.818 (buy-side liquidity sweep)

🔹 Market Structure
NEAR remains in a clear H1 uptrend, with multiple BOS confirmations from the 1.50 base.Price has now pushed into the 1.77–1.80 zone, printing another weak high.
No H1 CHoCH is present yet, so the higher-timeframe structure is still bullish, but price is clearly trading in premium.
🔹 Volume & Volume Profile
The latest push above highs came with a volume spike, but candles failed to hold above the breakout level. This is a classic effort vs result signal.Volume Profile shows price trading above the main POC, inside a low-volume area, which increases the probability of rotation back toward value rather than immediate continuation.
🔹 OI & Funding Rate
OI is flat to slightly declining while price is making new highs → no aggressive long build-up.Funding is deeply negative, meaning shorts are paying longs even near highs. This confirms that the breakout is not driven by FOMO longs, and positioning remains fragile.
🔹 Key Price Zones
Buy-side liquidity: ~1.80 – 1.82 (recent highs, weak structure)POC - Acceptance zone: ~1.70 - 1.72Key demand: ~1.62 – 1.65 (H1 demand + HVN)Strong structural low: ~1.50
🔹 Trade Scenarios
🔸 Scenario A – Pullback LONG (Primary Bias, Trend-Following)
Context
H1 market structure remains bullish (BOS intact). Price is trading in premium, so chasing breakouts is not optimal. The focus is on buying pullbacks into value.
Entry (LONG)
Primary entry: 1.70 – 1.72 (POC zone, need clear price reaction)Aggressive entry: Rejection near 1.74 (LTF only, higher risk)
Confirmation
LTF (5m–15m) holds higher lowsPullback volume decreases (no sell climax)OI stays flat or slightly decreases during the pullback

Invalidation: H1 strongly close below 1.67
Stop Loss: 1.67 (below H1 demand H1)
Targets (TP)
TP1: 1.798 (recent high / liquidity)TP2: 1.818 (buy-side liquidity sweep)
🔸 Scenario B – Rejection SHORT at Highs (Counter-trend, Tactical)
Context
Price is deep in premium with a weak high structure. Funding remains deeply negative while OI fails to expand meaningfully with price — conditions favor a failed breakout or distribution.
Entry
Primary entry: 1.78 – 1.80 (liquidity sweep followed by rejection)
Mandatory Confirmation
Clear rejection candle (long upper wick / weak close)Volume spike with limited price expansion (effort > result)OI remains elevated or rises slightly, but price does not continue higher→ Indicates short build-up and potential trapped longs
Invalidation
H1 close and acceptance above 1.80→ Valid breakout, short thesis invalid
Stop Loss: 1.83 (above liquidity sweep, avoiding stop hunts)
Targets (TP)
TP1: 1.72 (POC / first rotation zone)TP2: 1.62 – 1.65 (H1 demand + HVN)
Note: This is a rejection / pullback short, not a momentum short.
Bottom Line
Trend is still up, but price is extended. This is late-stage price discovery, where patience matters more than aggression. I prefer to wait for pullback confirmation rather than trade emotional breakouts.
#trading #TradingSignal #futures
✍️ Written by @CryptoTradeSmart Crypto Insights | Trading Perspectives
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
NOT financial advice. Perpetuals trading is high risk - you can lose your entire capital. This is my personal setup for educational purposes only. Always DYOR, use strict risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Trade safe! 🎯

🔵 السيناريو A – استمرار صعودي (التحيز الأساسي)
الشروط
السعر يبقى فوق 1.62 – 1.65 (POC/HVN)
لا إغلاق 1H تحت 1.47
فكرة التنفيذ
يفضل:
تصحيح إلى 1.62 – 1.65

أو تصحيح أعمق إلى 1.53 – 1.55
دخول:
انتظر تأكيد صعودي على إطار زمني أقل (15 دقيقة CHoCH / امتصاص)
الأهداف:
1.72
1.78
إبطال
إغلاق 1H تحت 1.47
NEARUSDT.P - 1H
1. هيكل السوق (SMC)
NEAR لا يزال يتداول في هيكل سوق صعودي واضح على 1H.
الملاحظات الرئيسية:
قوي BOS فوق النطاق السابق (~1.60)

🟢 Scenario A: Trend-Following Long (Primary Bias)
Rationale
Bullish market structurePrice above valueNo confirmed distribution signals
Execution
Wait for a pullback into 1.55 – 1.52On lower timeframes (5m–15m):Higher Low formationBOS or strong impulsive reclaimVolume expansion on the bounce
Targets
1.651.70
Invalidation
1H close below 1.48

1. Market Structure
From a pure structural perspective:
Price has rallied from ~1.47 to ~1.65Pullback has formed a Higher LowThe latest high at 1.65–1.66 has not been structurally violated
Key observations:
No bearish CHoCH on the 1H timeframeNo breakdown below the most recent Higher LowThe prior bearish leg (1.60 → 1.50) has been fully reclaimed
Structure conclusion:
→ The market is currently BULLISH, not ranging and not in distribution.
2. Key Price Zones
🟢 Demand / Buy-side Zones
1.53 – 1.55Pullback zone after a confirmed BOSClear price reaction in this area1.50 – 1.47Structural lowStrong demand zone
🔴 Supply / Sell-side Zones
1.65 – 1.67Newly formed highWeak High (no protected structure yet)1.70 – 1.72Higher timeframe supply
⚠️ Important note:
The 1.65 area is not an automatic reversal zone.It is a zone where liquidity interaction and reactions are expected — not a confirmed short.
3. Volume & Volume Profile
Volume (Time-Based)
The move from ~1.52 → ~1.65 was supported by increasing volumeNo aggressive sell volume at the highsNo clear climax selling signal
→ This reduces the probability of immediate distribution.
Volume Profile
POC is located around 1.52 – 1.55Price is currently trading above valueNo acceptance back below POC yet
Interpretation:
→ As long as price holds above value, the bias remains to the upside.
4. Open Interest & Funding Rate
Open Interest
Previous OI decline flushed weak positionsRecent price expansion shows gradual OI rebuildingNo abnormal OI spikes
→ This is not a short squeeze, and longs are not overcrowded yet.
Funding Rate
Funding around +0.01%Slight long bias, but still neutralNo extreme sentiment
Positioning conclusion:
→ Market positioning remains healthy and balanced.
5. Trade Scenarios
🟢 Scenario A: Trend-Following Long (Primary Bias)
Rationale
Bullish market structurePrice above valueNo confirmed distribution signals
Execution
Wait for a pullback into 1.55 – 1.52On lower timeframes (5m–15m):Higher Low formationBOS or strong impulsive reclaimVolume expansion on the bounce
Targets
1.651.70
Invalidation
1H close below 1.48
🟡 Scenario B: Consolidation at Highs
Rationale
Market pauses instead of pulling backPosition building near the highs
Characteristics
Range between 1.62 – 1.66Declining volumeFlat OI
→ No swing trades here. Only scalping or patience.
🔴 Scenario C: Short (Confirmation Required)
Important:
There is no valid short setup at the moment.
Shorts only become relevant if:
Liquidity is swept above 1.67Price fails to hold above the highs15m confirms:Bearish CHoCHStrong sell volumeOI spike (late longs trapped)
Targets
1.561.52
Summary
Structure: BullishPrice location: Above valueVolume: Supports continuationOI & Funding: Healthy, not extremeBias: Buy pullbacks, avoid premature shorts
Trade what the market confirms — not what you assume.
#trading #TradingSignal #futures
✍️ Written by @CryptoTradeSmart Crypto Insights | Trading Perspectives
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
NOT financial advice. Perpetuals trading is high risk - you can lose your entire capital. This is my personal setup for educational purposes only. Always DYOR, use strict risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Trade safe! 🎯

🔴 Scenario 1: SHORT (Primary Bias)
Rationale
HTF bearish structureWeak pullbacksVolume + OI + Funding all align with downside continuation
Invalidation
Strong acceptance and close above 1.56
Entry Zone: 1.529 – 1.561
Execution:
Limit sell at supplyOr market entry after bearish rejection / 15m displacement
Stop Loss: 1.567
Targets
TP1: 1.503TP2: 1.473TP3: 1.433 (HTF demand)

1. Market Structure (SMC)
The higher-timeframe structure on 1H remains bearish.After a prior bullish CHoCH, price failed to hold bullish BOS and was strongly rejected from the upper supply.Recent price action shows:Lower High formationA confirmed bearish BOS near the 1.50 areaThe current consolidation is a bearish pullback, not a trend reversal.
SMC Bias:
➡️ Bearish continuation after distribution.
2. Key Price Zones
Supply / Resistance Zones
1.53 – 1.56Clear 1H supplyConfluence with EQH~1.58 – 1.61 (Weak High)Only relevant if a short squeeze occurs (no signal yet)
Mid-Range / Value Area
~1.50 – 1.53POC + high interaction zoneActs as short-term balance, but below HTF value
Demand / Support Zones
1.50 – 1.47PDL, weak low, vulnerable to liquidity sweep1.45 – 1.43Strong HTF demandHigher probability reaction zone
3. Volume & Volume Profile
Volume Behavior
Sell-offs are accompanied by increasing volume.Pullbacks and bounces show declining volume, indicating weak demand.No bullish displacement candles with strong volume confirmation.
Volume Profile
POC located around 1.52 – 1.53Price is currently accepted below POC, which is bearish.Below POC:Thin volume → higher probability of fast downside expansionAbove 1.55:Low-volume area → suitable for sell premium, not accumulation
➡️ Volume confirms distribution, not accumulation.
4. Open Interest & Funding Rate
Open Interest (OI)
OI has been steadily decreasing.During recent pullbacks: No meaningful OI expansion
➡️ Indicates:
No strong new longs enteringMostly short covering + lack of real demand
Funding Rate
Funding remains slightly positive (~0.01%)Longs are still paying shortsMarket is not short-crowded
➡️ No short squeeze conditions present.
5. Trade Scenarios
🔴 Scenario 1: SHORT (Primary Bias)
Rationale
HTF bearish structureWeak pullbacksVolume + OI + Funding all align with downside continuation
Invalidation
Strong acceptance and close above 1.56
Entry Zone: 1.529 – 1.561
Execution:
Limit sell at supplyOr market entry after bearish rejection / 15m displacement
Stop Loss: 1.567
Targets
TP1: 1.503TP2: 1.473TP3: 1.433 (HTF demand)
🟡 Scenario 2: No Trade / Wait
If price ranges tightly around 1.51 – 1.52Low volume, declining OI
➡️ High probability of traps on both sides
❌ Scenario 3: LONG (Low Probability)
Only consider longs if:
Price breaks and holds above 1.61Followed by:Strong bullish displacementRising OIFunding cooling toward neutral or negative
➡️ Currently no confirmation for this scenario.
Final Takeaway
NEARUSDT remains in a bearish continuation phase.The current price action is corrective and distributive, not accumulation.
Bias stays short-on-rallies until market structure and derivatives data change.
#trading #TradingSignal #futures
✍️ Written by @CryptoTradeSmart Crypto Insights | Trading Perspectives
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
NOT financial advice. Perpetuals trading is high risk - you can lose your entire capital. This is my personal setup for educational purposes only. Always DYOR, use strict risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Trade safe! 🎯

#Near $NEAR

🔴 Scenario 1: Short (Primary Bias)
Conditions:
Price retraces into 1.55 – 1.58Bearish confirmation appears:Lower-timeframe CHOCH (5m/15m)Or Rejection wick candles / Bearish EngulfingOI remains flat or decreases during the retracement
Invalidation:
1H candle closes above 1.58 with rising volume and OI
Targets:
TP1: 1.522 (POC)TP2: 1.503TP3: 1.447 (if bearish continuation confirms)

1️⃣ Market Structure
On the H1 timeframe, the market remains in a bearish / distribution structure.
A prior bullish CHOCH occurred from the ~1.45 area, driving price toward ~1.60.However, the upside move failed to continue, showing weak follow-through.From the ~1.60 high:Price formed a Lower HighFollowed by a bearish BOSPrice has since rotated back into the mid-range around 1.52, without forming any new bullish CHOCH.
Structure conclusion:
H1 bias remains bearish. The current price action represents consolidation within a bearish context, not a confirmed reversal.
2️⃣ Key Price Zones
🔴 Supply / Premium Zones
1.585 – 1.616Previous HighPrevious distribution areaHigh-probability zone for short continuation or swing shorts1.548 – 1.566Minor supplyReactive zone suitable for lower-timeframe short setups
🔵 Demand / Discount Zones
1.504 – 1.485PDL + high-volume nodeActs as a short-term balance area1.446 – 1.430Strong LowMajor sell-side liquidity resting below
Current positioning:
Price is trading inside the value area, not at an extreme. Risk–reward is unfavorable for aggressive entries.
3️⃣ Volume, Open Interest & Funding Rate
📉 Volume
The impulse move down from ~1.60 showed higher relative sell volumeRecent consolidation candles show declining volumeBullish candles lack volume expansion → no real demand stepping in
📊 Volume Profile
Point of Control (POC): 1.518 – 1.527Price is continuously accepted around POC, indicating value tradingNo signs of strong initiative buying or selling
📉 Open Interest (OI)
OI has been steadily decliningIndicates:Position unwindingLack of fresh leverage entering the marketThis environment is not supportive of squeeze conditions
💰 Funding Rate
Funding remains slightly positive (~+0.0076%)Longs are paying shortsPositioning bias leans mildly long, but not at extreme levels
OI + Funding takeaway:
The market is in a weak participation phase, leaning slightly bearish, with no leverage imbalance to force a squeeze.
4️⃣ Trade Scenarios
🔴 Scenario 1: Short (Primary Bias)
Conditions:
Price retraces into 1.55 – 1.58Bearish confirmation appears:Lower-timeframe CHOCH (5m/15m)Or Rejection wick candles / Bearish EngulfingOI remains flat or decreases during the retracement
Invalidation:
1H candle closes above 1.58 with rising volume and OI
Targets:
TP1: 1.522 (POC)TP2: 1.503TP3: 1.447 (if bearish continuation confirms)
🟡 Scenario 2: Long (Conditional & Defensive)
Not recommended at current levels.
Long setups only become valid if:
Price sweeps sell-side liquidity below 1.50Followed by strong bullish displacementClear bullish CHOCH on H1 or M15OI expansion + funding remains neutral or low
🧠 Summary
Primary bias: BearishMarket state: Range-bound within distributionOI declining + mild positive funding = weak marketNo sell-side liquidity sweep yetBest strategy: Wait for price to reach premium or discount zones
This is a market for patience and precision, not prediction.

#trading #TradingSignal #futures
✍️ Written by @CryptoTradeSmartCrypto Insights | Trading Perspectives
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
NOT financial advice. Perpetuals trading is high risk - you can lose your entire capital. This is my personal setup for educational purposes only. Always DYOR, use strict risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Trade safe! 🎯

#Near $NEAR
🔻 Scenario 1: Short Pullback (Primary Setup)
Conditions
Price retraces into 1.555 – 1.566Bearish rejection / LTF CHOCH appears
Plan
Entry: 1.555 – 1.566SL: Above 1.575TP1: 1.502TP2: 1.442
➡️ Best alignment between SMC + structure + funding

1️⃣ Market Structure (SMC)
Price previously formed a bullish BOS, pushing into the 1.600–1.620 area.However, the market failed to hold higher structure.A clear bearish BOS occurred after price broke below the 1.550 HL.Current price action:Trading right at PDLLower highs & lower lows → bearish continuation bias
➡️ SMC conclusion:
Market is transitioning from distribution into markdown. No valid bullish CHOCH yet.
2️⃣ Key Price Zones
🔴 Supply / Premium Zones
1.600 – 1.620Weak High + PDH → major distribution zone1.555 – 1.566Minor supply / BOS retest → ideal pullback short zone
🔵 POC / Acceptance Zone
~1.520High Volume Node (POC)Price is being “pinned” → acceptance, not accumulation
🟢 Demand / Discount Zones
1.499 – 1.517PDL + short-term demand1.430 – 1.446Strong Low + high-volume demand → deeper downside target
➡️ Volume Profile insight:
Acceptance around POC usually precedes strong expansion once price breaks.
3️⃣ Volume – Open Interest – Funding Rate
📊 Volume
No sell climaxDecreasing volume during consolidation → bear flag behaviorNo strong buy absorption detected
📉 Open Interest
OI is gradually decliningIndicates:Long positions are being closedNOT aggressive short buildup
💸 Funding Rate
Funding ≈ –0.007%Slightly short-biased but far from extremeNo short squeeze risk at this level
➡️ Key takeaway:
Downside is not crowded. Market still has room to move lower.
4️⃣ Trade Scenarios
🔻 Scenario 1: Short Pullback (Primary Setup)
Conditions
Price retraces into 1.555 – 1.566Bearish rejection / LTF CHOCH appears
Plan
Entry: 1.555 – 1.566SL: Above 1.575TP1: 1.502TP2: 1.442
➡️ Best alignment between SMC + structure + funding
🔻 Scenario 2: Breakdown Short
Conditions
H1 close below 1.500Volume expansion, no OI spike
Plan
Short retest of 1.500Targets: 1.446 → 1.430 (Strong low)
🚫 Scenario 3: Counter-trend Long (Not Recommended)
Only valid if ALL below conditions are met:
Funding < –0.08%OI increases aggressivelyLTF bullish CHOCH above 1.50
➡️ Currently none of these are present.
🧠 Summary
Structure: Bearish (post-distribution)Volume Profile: Acceptance at POCOI: Longs unwinding, no short crowdingFunding: Mildly negative → no squeeze riskBias: Short pullbacks > short breakdowns
This is a market where shorting at the right location is safer than catching bottoms.

#trading #TradingSignal #futures
✍️ Written by @CryptoTradeSmart Crypto Insights | Trading Perspectives
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
NOT financial advice. Perpetuals trading is high risk - you can lose your entire capital. This is my personal setup for educational purposes only. Always DYOR, use strict risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Trade safe! 🎯

🔴 السيناريو الأساسي – قصير (مفضل)
الاتجاه: قصير من العرض
شروط الدخول:
رفض واضح عند 1.59 – 1.61
تأكيد عبر:
15م / 5م CHoCH
إزاحة هبوطية
الأهداف:

TP1: 1.55 (PDL)
TP2: 1.52 إذا تسارع الانهيار
إبطال:
إغلاق شمعة 1H فوق 1.62 مع زيادة في الحجم و OI
NEARUSDT.P - 1H
1. هيكل السوق
NEAR لا تزال تحتفظ بهيكل صعودي على الإطار الزمني الأعلى، ولكن:
السعر يتجمع مباشرة تحت منطقة عرض رئيسية
محاولات متعددة لاختراق أعلى فشلت في إنتاج اختراق نظيف

✅ الإعداد الأساسي – سحب طويل (مفضل)
الدخول: 1.50 – 1.52
إبطال: إغلاق قوي للساعة الأولى دون 1.48

الأهداف:
TP1: 1.58
TP2: 1.62 – 1.64
➡️ أفضل نسبة مخاطر / مكافأة تتماشى مع الاتجاه
NEARUSD.P - 1H
1. هيكل السوق (SMC)
مسح السيولة تحت 1.45 (منخفض قوي) → تأكيد CHoCH صعودي
يتبع ذلك BOS صعودي فوق ~1.55
السعر يتداول الآن بالقرب من PDH & ارتفاع ضعيف
➡️ التحيز قصير المدى: صعودي، لكن السعر بالفعل في منطقة مميزة
2. مناطق الأسعار الرئيسية
توريد / سيولة جانب الشراء
1.58 – 1.64

#Near $NEAR

✅ Scenario 1 – Range Trading (Primary Scenario)
Conditions
Price holds above 1.47No volume + OI breakout
Strategy
Buy near demand, sell near supply
Example Setup
Entry: 1.47 – 1.48Stop Loss: below 1.45Take Profit:TP1: 1.54TP2: 1.56

1. Market Structure (SMC)
Overall Structure
The market is currently transitioning from a short-term downtrend into a consolidation / recovery phase.Earlier price action confirmed a bearish CHoCH, validating downside structure.Following a liquidity sweep to the downside, price printed a strong bullish impulse, forming a minor bullish CHoCH around the 1.48–1.50 zone.
Current State
Price is holding above a newly formed demand zone, but:There is no confirmed bullish BOS on the 1H timeframe.Structure remains range-bound, not a confirmed uptrend.
Structure Bias:
→ Neutral to mildly bullish, but continuation is not yet confirmed.
2. Key Price Zones
🔴 Supply / Liquidity Above: 1.56 – 1.60
Previous highStrong liquidity pool (PDH / Strong High)High probability reaction zone
→ This area favors profit-taking or short reactions, not aggressive long entries.
🟢 Demand / POI Below
Primary Demand: 1.47 – 1.50
Bullish order blockBase of the impulsive rallyCurrent price is reacting within this zone
Secondary Demand (Deeper Support): 1.42 – 1.44
Prior Daily Low (PDL)Weak low / deeper liquidity target if the upper demand fails
3. Volume & Open Interest
📊 Volume
Volume is contracting during the current consolidation.No signs of:Expansion volumeBreakout confirmation
→ Market is pausing, not aggressively accumulating or distributing.
📈 Open Interest (OI)
OI dropped sharply during the recent sell-off.The subsequent price recovery showed:OI continue to decreasePrice rising mainly due to short covering
→ Indicates lack of fresh long positioning.
💰 Funding Rate
Funding remains slightly negativeNo long or short overcrowdingNo extreme sentiment
→ Funding is neutral, offering no strong directional edge.
4. Trade Scenarios
✅ Scenario 1 – Range Trading (Primary Scenario)
Conditions
Price holds above 1.47No volume + OI breakout
Strategy
Buy near demand, sell near supply
Example Setup
Entry: 1.47 – 1.48Stop Loss: below 1.45Take Profit:TP1: 1.54TP2: 1.56
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown (Medium Probability)
Trigger
1H close below 1.47OI starts increasing as price moves lower
Expectation
Price revisits 1.42 – 1.44This zone offers a higher-quality swing long opportunity
🚀 Scenario 3 – Bullish Continuation (Lower Priority)
Requirements
Clear bullish BOS above 1.56 (PDH)Volume and OI expansion supporting the breakout
Upside Targets
1.60 and above
→ Currently not validated.
#trading #TradingSignals #futures
✍️ Written by @CryptoTradeSmart Crypto Insights | Trading Perspectives
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
NOT financial advice. Perpetuals trading is high risk - you can lose your entire capital. This is my personal setup for educational purposes only. Always DYOR, use strict risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Trade safe! 🎯

⚠️ Scenario 2: HTF Supply Rejection → Range Rotation
Trigger:Price reaches 1.58 – 1.60Rising sell volume and OI without further upside (long trap)Bearish CHoCH on 5MTargets:1.50Extended move toward 1.45 (range mid–low)
This is the high-quality short setup, not shorting mid-range.

1. Market Structure (1H)
On the 1H timeframe, NEAR is still trading inside a medium-term range:Range Low: ~1.43 – 1.45Range High: ~1.58 – 1.60 (Strong High)Price recently formed a bullish CHoCH from the PDL / Weak Low area (~1.42) and pushed back above PDH (~1.52).Short-term structure is now Higher Low → Higher High, but price is still below higher-timeframe supply.
Conclusion:
The 1H structure remains range-bound, with a short-term bullish bias, not a confirmed uptrend.
2. Current Price Context
Price is trading around 1.53 – 1.55, which means:Upper half of the rangeJust below strong HTF supply (1.58 – 1.60)This is not an ideal zone to chase longs, as risk–reward is no longer attractive.At the same time, there is no confirmed bearish signal to justify early shorts.
Current zone = Decision zone, not an entry zone.
3. Liquidity & Smart Money Read
The previous downside move:Swept Weak Low + PDLCleared late longsThe strong rebound suggests a liquidity grab followed by bullish displacement.At the moment:Sell-side liquidity below 1.45 has largely been consumedBuy-side liquidity above 1.58 remains intact
Implication:
Price is still incentivized to push higher toward buy-side liquidity before any meaningful distribution.
4. Volume, Open Interest & Funding
Volume
Breakout from PDL came with strong volume expansion, confirming real demand.Subsequent candles show declining volume → absorption / consolidation, not distribution.
Open Interest
OI increased during the push up → short covering + fresh longs.OI is now stable → no signs of overcrowded longs yet.
Funding Rate
Funding is near neutral (~0.01%).No long euphoria, no short squeeze pressure.
Derivatives data does NOT support aggressive shorts at this level.
5. Key Scenarios Going Forward
✅ Scenario 1 (Preferred): Pullback → Bullish Continuation
Conditions:Price holds above PDH (~1.50)No strong 1H close below 1.49Targets:1.58 – 1.60 (HTF Strong High / Supply)
This is a range continuation move, not a trend breakout.
⚠️ Scenario 2: HTF Supply Rejection → Range Rotation
Trigger:Price reaches 1.58 – 1.60Rising sell volume and OI without further upside (long trap)Bearish CHoCH on 5MTargets:1.50Extended move toward 1.45 (range mid–low)
This is the high-quality short setup, not shorting mid-range.
✍️ Written by @CryptoTradeSmart Crypto Insights | Trading Perspectives
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
NOT financial advice. Perpetuals trading is high risk - you can lose your entire capital. This is my personal setup for educational purposes only. Always DYOR, use strict risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Trade safe! 🎯