Longnü_龙女

Thanks for responding and taking part in the poll. If your strategy isn't perfect yet and you clearly understand exactly what's wrong, you're a champ! You spotted your weak spot on your own, and you're already ahead of the people who can't even figure that out. Keep learning, growing, and following my guides. You'll make it for sure. Don't quit!

Now here are answers to the five most popular questions from my DMs. I'll answer them publicly.

• How do you properly calculate position size and maximum portfolio drawdown?

✍️ For example, I pull historical data across three full market cycles, figure out the deepest drop for that asset, and only then decide on the size. The formula is: position size equals your allowed portfolio drawdown divided by the asset's maximum drawdown.

If you're okay losing a maximum of 12 percent of your capital, and the asset could drop 70 percent, your position shouldn't go over 17 percent of the portfolio. Personally I never risk more than 1.5 to 2 percent on any single trade. Most people break this rule and then wonder why the market "broke" them.

• Should I get into altcoins right now or stay in BTC and stables?

🔽 Right now I'm holding 68 percent in $BTC , 25 percent in $USDC , and only 7 percent in carefully selected altcoins. Almost 39 percent of altcoins are trading at all-time lows, and in March there's going to be 6 billion dollars worth of unlocks.

The risk of supply shock is just too high. I only get into alts when I see solid tokenomics, real revenue, and revenue multiple below 12 to 15x. Everything else carries way too much risk of extra supply coming in.

• What investment horizon do you personally use and recommend?

💯 24 to 36 months. I don't invest for weeks or months. Don't confuse this with trading. Any investment position needs to be able to survive at least two bear markets. If you're not ready to hold for a minimum of two years, the position size should be zero.

• Is DePIN the real future or just another hype cycle?

💸 It's not hype. This is real infrastructure with actual economics. 72 million dollars in revenue in 2025 and 42 million devices in the network. I see it as a dynamic system with positive feedback loops.

I only get in projects that have real proof mechanisms like Proof of Coverage or Proof of Spacetime, plus burn and mint equilibrium. Everything else is pure speculation.

• How do you not break psychologically during long drawdowns like right now?

👍 I don't have any psychology when it comes to the market. I just have my model. Every day I check three numbers: position size, maximum drawdown, and time horizon. If all three are within my rules, I don't care what the market is saying. Discipline replaces emotions. The people who break their rules are the ones who crack. The ones who follow the model survive any cycle.

You're strong and I know it.

Some of you might not realize it yet, but it's true. The realization just hasn't hit you. You'll make it, and I'm right here with you.

👌 Đây chính là những thời điểm mà kết quả thực sự được sinh ra cho bất kỳ ai sẵn sàng làm việc một cách có hệ thống và từ chối hoảng loạn.

Thị trường luôn chạy những bài kiểm tra này để phân tách những người giao dịch dựa trên hy vọng và cảm xúc ra khỏi những người tuân thủ một mô hình nghiêm ngặt và quản lý sai lầm của họ một cách đúng đắn.

Tôi đã trải qua những cuộc khủng hoảng tương tự: vào năm 2018 khi thị trường giảm liên tục sáu tháng, vào năm 2022 với bốn tháng liên tiếp trong vùng đỏ, và vào năm 2025 trong đợt điều chỉnh mạnh đó. Mỗi lần như vậy, tin tức đều rất tiêu cực, các quỹ lớn đã ngừng thanh khoản, và hầu hết các nhà đầu tư trên thị trường đã bỏ cuộc và bán tháo, mất đi những khoản vốn lớn. Tôi đã kể những câu chuyện đó trước đây, vì vậy tôi sẽ không lặp lại. Điểm mấu chốt là một điều khác.