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Phân Tích Bitcoin: Hỗ Trợ $60k so với Kháng Cự $70k – Hoảng Loạn hay Cơ Hội?
Ngày: 12 tháng 2 năm 2026
Cảm Xúc Thị Trường: Sợ Hãi Cực Đoan (Chỉ Số: 8)
Tình Trạng Hiện Tại: Tích Lũy Quan Trọng
Bitcoin (BTC) hiện đang đứng ở một ngã rẽ quyết định sẽ xác định hướng đi lớn tiếp theo của thị trường. Một bên, các nhà đầu tư bán lẻ đang bị cơn hoảng loạn nặng nề; bên kia, các cá voi tổ chức đang âm thầm tích lũy.
1. Cảm Xúc Thị Trường: Yếu Tố "8"
Chỉ Số Sợ Hãi & Tham Lam đã giảm xuống mức đáng kinh ngạc là 8 hôm nay.

Today’s market analysis reveals that the cryptocurrency market is currently gripped by "Extreme Fear," with Bitcoin struggling to maintain key support levels.
Market Sentiment: Extreme Fear
* Fear & Greed Index: The index has plummeted to 11, a level indicating "Extreme Fear" among investors.
* Context: This is the lowest level of sentiment seen since late 2022, signaling widespread retail panic.
* Contrarian Signal: Historically, such high levels of fear have often preceded market "bottoms," suggesting that while retail traders are selling, a recovery phase may be approaching.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis
* Current Price: As of February 11, 2026, Bitcoin is trading around $67,000 - $68,000, marking a decline of approximately 1.5% to 2.8% over the last 24 hours.
* Key Support & Resistance:
* Support: Immediate support levels are being tested between $64,000 and $65,000. A breach below $60,000 could lead to further downside.
* Resistance: Bitcoin has faced difficulty holding above $70,000, which now acts as a major psychological resistance level.
* Momentum: BTC is currently trading below its 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), indicating a dominant bearish bias in the short term.
Institutional vs. Retail Behavior
* Whale Accumulation: Despite the price drop, "whale" wallets (holding >1,000 BTC) have accumulated roughly 53,000 coins ($4 billion) in the past week, their most aggressive buying spree since November.
* Exchange Activity: Binance reportedly purchased $300 million worth of Bitcoin to bolster its SAFU emergency reserve during this recent dip.
* Retail Sentiment: Retail interest has hit a yearly low, as evidenced by Google search volume for "cryptocurrency" dropping significantly.
Broader Market Impact
* Altcoin Performance: Ethereum (ETH) has mirrored Bitcoin's decline, falling below $2,000 to around $1,938–$1,946. Solana has seen even steeper losses, dropping significantly more than the broader market this week.
* Market Dominance: Bitcoin’s market dominance remains firm at approximately 56.8%, indicating that investors are favoring BTC over riskier altcoins during this volatile period.
Summary Recommendation: The market is currently in a "rangebound" regime, fluctuating between $60,000 support and mid-$70,000 resistance. While sentiment is bearish, the heavy accumulation by institutional players and whales at these levels suggests a potential accumulation phase for long-term holders.
$BTC

This is a very interesting observation. When Bitcoin makes a "Higher Low" on a yearly scale, it’s usually a massive signal for long-term investors. It suggests that even during crashes, the "floor" of the market is rising.
📈 The Rising Floor: Why Bitcoin’s "Higher Low" is the Most Important Chart Right Now
Forget the "Crash"—the Big Picture reveals a massive Bullish Trend.

While the headlines are screaming about "Extreme Fear" and short-term price drops, smart investors are looking at a much more powerful metric: The Yearly Higher Low. Despite the recent volatility, Bitcoin has maintained a price floor significantly higher than last year’s lowest point. Here is why this matters more than the daily "red" candles.
1. What is a "Higher Low"?
In simple terms, a Higher Low occurs when the lowest price of a current period (this year) is higher than the lowest price of the previous period (last year).
* The Signal: It proves that buyers are stepping in much earlier than before. The "cheap" price of 2025 is no longer available in 2026.
2. Breaking Down the Numbers
* 2025 Low: [Approx $38,000 - $42,000 range]
* 2026 Low (Current): Even with the recent dip to $64,000, Bitcoin is trading nearly 50% higher than its lowest point of last year.
* The Conclusion: The "floor" has moved up. This is the classic definition of a Macro Bull Market.
3. Institutional Absorption
Why isn't Bitcoin falling back to $30k or $40k?
* The "ETF" Effect: Spot Bitcoin ETFs and institutional players are now acting as a massive cushion.
* Diamond Hands: Long-term holders are refusing to sell at these levels, creating a supply shock every time the price dips.
Why "Extreme Fear" + "Higher Low" = Opportunity
Currently, the market is in Extreme Fear (Index: 5). Historically, when you combine extreme fear with a structural "Higher Low" on the chart, it creates a coiled spring effect. The darr (fear) is temporary; the structure is permanent.
The Bottom Line
Market corrections are designed to shake out "weak hands." If you zoom out and look at the yearly chart, the trend is clear: Bitcoin is climbing a staircase. Each drop is just a step to build a higher base for the next leg up.
Strategy: Instead of watching the 1-minute chart and panicking, look at the Yearly Support. As long as Bitcoin maintains this "Higher Low" structure, the path of least resistance remains UP.
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #HODL #BullMarket
$BTC

Market Outlook: Bitcoin Analysis – Panic Selling or Accumulation Opportunity?
Date: February 5, 2026
Asset: BTC/USD (Bitcoin)
Sentiment: Extreme Fear (Index: 11)
Executive Summary
Bitcoin's price action has recently undergone a significant correction, driving market sentiment into the 'Extreme Fear' zone. Chart analysis indicates that following the rejection from $90,000+ levels, sellers have gained complete control over the market. Below is a detailed technical and psychological breakdown.
1. Technical Analysis: Momentum and Support Levels
According to the 4-hour chart (BTC/USD), Bitcoin is currently locked in a strong bearish trend.
* Bearish Momentum: The price is currently trading well below its key Moving Averages (MA). The widening gap between the trend lines suggests that selling pressure has not yet exhausted.
* Immediate Support: The next major support zone is visible around $65,000 - $66,000. If the price fails to hold this level, we could witness a sharp decline toward $60,000.
* Resistance Zones: In the event of a pullback, $70,568 and $76,000 will act as major overhead resistance. A sustained move above $76,000 is required to confirm a trend reversal.
2. Psychological Indicator: Fear & Greed Index
The Fear & Greed Index sitting at 11 represents a state of "Maximum Pessimism" in the market.
* Historical Context: Historically, when this index hits the 10-15 range, the market often finds a bottom and initiates a "U-turn" or recovery.
* Investor Behavior: While retail traders are currently exiting positions due to panic, institutional buyers (Whales) typically view these levels as an "Accumulation" opportunity to buy at a discount.
3. Probability Projection: Forward Outlook
| Scenario | Probability | Target Levels | Market Condition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term Bounce | 60% | $70,000 - $72,500 | High probability of a technical bounce-back due to "Oversold" conditions. |
| Extended Correction | 30% | $60,000 - $62,000 | Panic selling may intensify if the $65k support level is breached. |
| Sideways Consolidation | 10% | $66,000 - $69,000 | The market may move laterally while searching for a definitive direction. |
Professional Strategy & Risk Management
In the current volatile environment, an "Aggressive Entry" is not recommended.
* Wait for Confirmation: The trend remains bearish until a 4-hour candle closes decisively above $70,500.
* Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA): For long-term investors, periods of "Extreme Fear" can serve as an ideal window for incremental buying.
* Risk Mitigation: Strict utilization of Stop-Loss orders is essential, as volatility remains exceptionally high.
Disclaimer: This report is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets involve high risk; please consult with a financial advisor before investing.
$BTC
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🏆 The Wall of Fame: Feb 3 Winners
* @Holaitsak47: For the sharp analysis on BTC and the SAFU Fund.
* @Tai Smilee: For providing valuable trading education on candlestick patterns.
* @K L A I: For a deep-dive look at Solana’s "Moment of Truth" at the 100 level.
* @Yellow Panther: For keeping the community updated on the latest market mania and crashes.
* @Giannis Andreou: For identifying top investment opportunities for the upcoming cycle.
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Are traditional assets finally finding their permanent home on the blockchain? Join us for an exclusive live panel as we dive deep into the integration of TradFi into the heart of crypto market infrastructure.
From institutional adoption to the technical hurdles of on-chain derivatives, our expert panel will break down the future of finance.
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Thế giới crypto di chuyển nhanh chóng. Một ngày bạn nghe về một dự án, và ngày tiếp theo, nó trở thành kẻ chiến thắng lớn nhất trên mọi sàn giao dịch. Nếu bạn đã bỏ lỡ những ngày đầu của Solana hoặc Axie Infinity, hãy chú ý thật kỹ. Hệ sinh thái XPLA ($XPL ) hiện đang mở cửa, và họ đang trao chìa khóa cho vương quốc thông qua chiến dịch Airdrop khổng lồ của họ.
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Trước khi chúng ta nói về "Tiền Miễn Phí," hãy nói về "Giá Trị." XPLA là một blockchain Layer-1 mạnh mẽ được xây dựng đặc biệt cho ngành công nghiệp truyền thông kỹ thuật số và game. Trong một thế giới mà "Chơi để Kiếm" cảm thấy như một công việc, XPLA giới thiệu "Chơi để Sở Hữu." Đây là một hệ sinh thái nơi những thành tích trong game của bạn, thời gian của bạn và tài sản kỹ thuật số của bạn thực sự thuộc về bạn. Được hỗ trợ bởi các gã khổng lồ công nghệ toàn cầu và có một thư viện các trò chơi chất lượng cao, XPLA đang thu hẹp khoảng cách giữa các game thủ truyền thống và tương lai phi tập trung.

$BTC
$DUSK

Breakdown:

📊 Technical Snapshot
Current Price: Approximately $96,000 – $98,000, hitting its highest level in two months.
Key Resistance: The psychological $100,000 barrier is the primary target. Above that, analysts are eyeing $107,000.
Key Support: Immediate support has moved up to $94,500. If that fails, major support sits at $92,000 and $90,000.
Indicators: * RSI: Currently above 50 (and climbing), signaling a new uptrend.
MACD: Showing classic reversal signals with an expanding bullish histogram.
Moving Averages: BTC has reclaimed its 50-period SMA, which historically acts as a launchpad for further gains.
🚀 Why the Pump?
Several "high-octane" factors are driving this move:
Regulatory Clarity: Markets are reacting positively to the proposed Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in the US, which aims to provide a clear federal framework for digital commodities.
Institutional Buy-in: MicroStrategy remains a massive catalyst; they recently disclosed a purchase of 13,627 BTC (approx. $1.25 billion), bringing their total to over 687,000 BTC.
Mining Capacity: Public miners like NIP Group are reaching record hash rates (9.66 EH/s), signaling long-term network security and institutional commitment to the infrastructure.
Macro Tailwinds: Cooling US inflation is fueling expectations of better liquidity, which typically favors high-risk assets like Bitcoin.
⚠️ What to Watch For
While the trend is up, keep an eye on:
The $100K Reject: Psychological levels often trigger "sell-the-news" events or heavy profit-taking.
Legislative Delays: The US Senate recently postponed discussions on the crypto bill after opposition from industry leaders like Coinbase (Brian Armstrong). Any negative regulatory friction could cause a short-term dip.
$BTC #BTC100kNext?

1. Trường hợp bò ($100K trở lên)

Bạn đã nói về việc $100K vỡ tan nhanh chóng, và dữ liệu hỗ trợ xu hướng đó.
Sự bứt phá: Bitcoin đã vượt qua vùng kháng cự $94.700 một cách quyết đoán vào ngày hôm qua (13/1) sau một giai đoạn tích lũy dài.
Lực đẩy từ tổ chức: Các quỹ ETF Bitcoin giao ngay vừa chứng kiến đợt tăng mạnh, với gần 750 triệu đô la dòng tiền vào mỗi ngày gần đây. Điều này không chỉ là sự hào hứng từ nhà đầu tư cá nhân; đó chính là "làn sóng tổ chức" mà bạn đã đề cập.
Sự nén ép: Chúng ta vừa chứng kiến khoảng 700 triệu đô la tiền short bị thanh lý. Tốc độ bạn từng giao dịch trước đây? Nó đang xảy ra ngay lúc này khi các nhà short bị ép phải rút lui.

Good morning for Best wishes 🙏

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