SC02 M15 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.89%. The downtrend is in cycle 69, downside amplitude 4.16%.
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry includes POC + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.27%. The downtrend is in cycle 352, downside amplitude 4.13%.
📊 $DOGE – Liquidation Map (7 days) – Index ~0.0958
🔎 Quick read • Long-liq below: 0.0948–0.0938 → 0.0928–0.0918 → 0.0908–0.0898 (deeper: 0.0888–0.0878) • Short-liq above: 0.0976–0.0996 → 0.1016–0.1046 → 0.1046–0.1066 (further: 0.1066–0.1076) • Thin zone near price: around 0.0958–0.0966 is relatively thin, so a pivot sweep before commitment is still likely
🧭 Higher-probability path (bullish if pivot holds) • If 0.0958–0.0966 holds and price doesn’t break down through 0.0948–0.0938, the market is likely to push higher and squeeze through 0.0976–0.0996, then extend toward 0.1016–0.1046.
🔁 Alternate path (bearish if pivot fails) • If 0.0958–0.0966 breaks and rebounds remain capped below it, liquidity can pull price into 0.0948–0.0938; a clean breakdown may extend to 0.0928–0.0918 → 0.0908–0.0898 as downside draws deepen.
📌 Navigation levels • Pivot: 0.0958–0.0966 • Bull confirm: 0.0976–0.0986 (reclaim/hold) • Reaction support: 0.0948–0.0938 (losing it increases downside risk) • Near resistance: 0.0976–0.0996, then 0.1016–0.1046
⚠️ Risk notes • Prioritize break/pullback setups around the pivot with tight invalidation, since near-price liquidity is thin and two-sided sweeps are common. • If 0.1016–0.1046 is cleared, consider trailing—higher clusters into 0.1046–0.1066 and the scattered area toward 0.1076 can trigger step-like spikes and pullbacks.
SC02 H4 - pending Long order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 4.95%. The uptrend is in cycle 96, upside amplitude 28.75%.
SC02 M15 - pending Short order. Entry includes POC + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 1.71%. The downtrend is in cycle 95, downside amplitude 8.05%.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 2.57%. The downtrend is in cycle 113, downside amplitude 15.76%.
📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & FEAR & GREED INDEX (FGI) REPORT – UPDATE 2026-02-21
The statistical data shows that the correlation coefficient between FGI and Win Rate remains low (r ~ -0.21). This result continues to confirm that FGI is not a tool for predicting price direction or entry points, but it plays an important role in position risk calibration. Specifically, trading performance tends to decline clearly when market sentiment reaches extreme euphoria, making it an early risk warning signal rather than an opportunity to expand profit targets.
Below is a summary of Winrate (WR), minimum break-even R:R, and number of observed days (n) across sentiment zones for reference: 🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R=1:1.47 • n=25 🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 45.1% • R:R=1:1.22 • n=215 😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.6% • R:R=1:1.19 • n=138 😨 Fear (20–40): WR 46.8% • R:R=1:1.14 • n=175 😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 49.1% • R:R=1:1.04 • n=46
The percentage of days with performance above the overall average (45.74%) by sentiment zone: 🤑 Extreme Greed: 12.0% 🤤 Greed: 40.0% 😐 Neutral: 45.7% 😨 Fear: 56.6% 😱 Extreme Fear: 65.2%
➤ Scalping traders can use FGI as a guide to adjust expected profit targets when participating in trades: 📈 When FGI is high, profit expectations should be increased to ensure the R:R remains large enough to compensate for the risk of a lower win rate. 📉 When FGI is low, profit expectations can be reduced to improve capital turnover speed and realize profits more easily.
🔹The average win rate is 45.74% 🔹The day with the highest win rate was 2026-01-15 at 74.41%. The day with the lowest win rate was 2026-01-25 at 15.69% 🔹The weekday with the highest average win rate is Saturday at 45.94%. The weekday with the lowest average win rate is Monday at 45.49% 🔹The 7-day period with the highest average win rate ended on 2026-01-18 at 62.13%. The lowest period ended on 2025-03-12 at 36.64% 🔹The number of days with a win rate above the average is 281. The number of days with a win rate below or equal to the average is 318 🔹The number of days with a win rate above 50% is 137. The number of days with a win rate from 40%–50% is 357. The number of days with a win rate below 40% is 105
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.88%. The downtrend is in cycle 121, downside amplitude 5.01%.
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.81%. The downtrend is in cycle 212, downside amplitude 7.83%.
SC02 H4 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 8.21%. The downtrend is in cycle 141, downside amplitude 42.47%.
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.48%. The downtrend is in cycle 150, downside amplitude 3.23%.
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.48%. The downtrend is in cycle 91, downside amplitude 2.59%.
SC02 H4 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 11.69%. The downtrend is in cycle 569, downside amplitude 89.77%.
Unlock schedule for the next 50 tokens: I only focus on trading Futures when it’s a Cliff Unlock event and the unlock size is greater than 25% of the daily trading volume. If you’re investing for the long term, keep an eye on these unlocks to optimize your entry after each release.
Right now, there are 5 unlock events worth watching due to their high unlock size relative to daily trading volume:
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 1.03%. The downtrend is in cycle 135, downside amplitude 6.54%.
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + meets positive simplification with the previous Short order delivering profits, estimated stop-loss around 0.24%. The downtrend is in cycle 63, downside amplitude 1.22%.
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 1.85%. The downtrend is in cycle 137, downside amplitude 13.19%.
Global cryptocurrency market overview for the week of 16-22/02/2026 points to a fragile consolidation phase in a high-fear environment.
📉 The crypto market saw sharp volatility this week without a new major shock, with $BTC trading mostly in the 65.8k-70k USD range and closing the week near 68k USD. Total market capitalization held around 2.33-2.35 trillion USD, while Bitcoin dominance stayed near 58-58.5%, showing that capital still favored the leading asset.
😨 Market sentiment remained highly cautious as the Fear & Greed Index stayed around 14, reflecting an “Extreme Fear” backdrop. Many altcoins dropped hard early in the week and rebounded slightly toward the weekend, but the recovery was still not strong enough to confirm a broad market reversal.
💸 Short-term pressure continued to come from institutional flows as U.S. spot $BTC ETFs posted outflows for multiple consecutive weeks. Even so, the market showed signs of divergence, with some capital rotating selectively into assets or ecosystems with their own catalysts.
🏛️ The clearest bright spot this week was the SEC-related stablecoin guidance, with a more practical haircut treatment for payment stablecoins than before. This may not trigger an immediate price reaction, but it is a constructive signal for deeper stablecoin integration into institutional financial infrastructure.
🌊 Overall market liquidity remained weak due to holiday effects and defensive positioning, reflected in lower trading volume and cooler leverage activity. This setup looks more like an orderly deleveraging phase than a fresh panic sell-off, meaning the market is still resetting after the sharp decline earlier this month.
🧭 In the short term, the most reasonable scenario remains a range-bound $BTC market around 65k-70k USD until clearer signals emerge from ETF flows and U.S. macro data. Supportive factors include a more constructive stablecoin regulatory backdrop and some on-chain accumulation signals, but risks from a strong USD and weak sentiment have not disappeared.
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry includes POC + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.46%. The downtrend is in cycle 359, downside amplitude 5.30%.