ALISHBA SOZAR
Building knowledge in crypto & blockchain | Research-driven insights | Web3 • DeFi • Digital assets | X:TG @Alishbasozar
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Trump wants to paint the White House.. He calls for quotations......
Chinese guy quoted 3 million.
European guy quoted 7 million..
Pakistani 🇵🇰 guy quoted 10 million..
Trump asked Chinese guy.."..how did you quote 3 million..?" Chinese guy replied .. "1 million for paint, 1 million for labour, 1 million profit..
Trump asked European guy.. He replied-".. 3 million for paint, 2 million for labour, 2 million profit.."
Trump asked Pakistani 🇵🇰 guy.. He replied.. .."..4 million for you.. 3 million for me.. .. .. and we will give 3 million to the Chinese guy and ask him to paint..!!" 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Another successful Pakistani Trader 🇵🇰
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
Chinese guy quoted 3 million.
European guy quoted 7 million..
Pakistani 🇵🇰 guy quoted 10 million..
Trump asked Chinese guy.."..how did you quote 3 million..?" Chinese guy replied .. "1 million for paint, 1 million for labour, 1 million profit..
Trump asked European guy.. He replied-".. 3 million for paint, 2 million for labour, 2 million profit.."
Trump asked Pakistani 🇵🇰 guy.. He replied.. .."..4 million for you.. 3 million for me.. .. .. and we will give 3 million to the Chinese guy and ask him to paint..!!" 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Another successful Pakistani Trader 🇵🇰
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
Never fight your nature.
If you were the type of kid who stayed up til 3am playing video games, allow yourself to build your online business into the late hours of the night without guilt or pressure from performance-optimizer types.
If you were always the student who finished the presentation 30 minutes before class, allow yourself to hit a buzzer-beater when making a presentation for work.
If you grew up loving being outside all day, every day, engineer your work and lifestyle so that you can do the same as an adult.
The truth is, you and you alone know the way to unlock your optimal performance.
You'll find the way back to your natural expression by uncovering what you were doing naturally in childhood...
#Alishba_Sozar
$SNX
If you were the type of kid who stayed up til 3am playing video games, allow yourself to build your online business into the late hours of the night without guilt or pressure from performance-optimizer types.
If you were always the student who finished the presentation 30 minutes before class, allow yourself to hit a buzzer-beater when making a presentation for work.
If you grew up loving being outside all day, every day, engineer your work and lifestyle so that you can do the same as an adult.
The truth is, you and you alone know the way to unlock your optimal performance.
You'll find the way back to your natural expression by uncovering what you were doing naturally in childhood...
#Alishba_Sozar
$SNX
2026 Bull Run Schedule:
February: Bear Trap
March: Bitcoin Rally
April: Altseason
May: Bitcoin ATH ($215K)
June: Bull Trap
July: Forced Liquidations
August: Bear Market
Bookmark this and compare in 6 months 🔖
#Alishba_Sozar
$SOL $INIT $DCR
February: Bear Trap
March: Bitcoin Rally
April: Altseason
May: Bitcoin ATH ($215K)
June: Bull Trap
July: Forced Liquidations
August: Bear Market
Bookmark this and compare in 6 months 🔖
#Alishba_Sozar
$SOL $INIT $DCR
🚨 BREAKING: U.S. Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s tariffs.
This is NOT small.
The same tariffs that caused weeks of volatility across:
• Crypto
• Gold
• Silver
• Equities
Just got removed.
Here’s what this changes
Short term:
Dollar strength possible.
Inflation pressure cools.
Knee-jerk moves incoming.
But remember ,the first reaction is usually liquidity.
Real positioning starts AFTER the headline.
Most traders react.
Prepared traders wait.
If you trade crypto or metals, the next 48 hours matter a lot!
#Alishba_Sozar
$XRP $XAG $XAU
This is NOT small.
The same tariffs that caused weeks of volatility across:
• Crypto
• Gold
• Silver
• Equities
Just got removed.
Here’s what this changes
Short term:
Dollar strength possible.
Inflation pressure cools.
Knee-jerk moves incoming.
But remember ,the first reaction is usually liquidity.
Real positioning starts AFTER the headline.
Most traders react.
Prepared traders wait.
If you trade crypto or metals, the next 48 hours matter a lot!
#Alishba_Sozar
$XRP $XAG $XAU
Market Wizard Linda Raschke’s 12 Technical Trading Rules:
1. Buy the first pullback after a new high. Sell the first rally after a new low.
2. Afternoon strength or weakness should have follow through the next day.
3. The best trading reversals occur in the morning, not the afternoon.
4. The larger the market gaps, the greater the odds of continuation and a trend.
5. The way the market trades around the previous day’s high or low is a good indicator of the market’s technical strength or weakness.
6. The previous day’s high and low are two very important “pivot” points, for this was the definitive point where buyers or sellers came in the day before. Look for the market to either test and reverse off these points, or push through and show signs of continuation.
7. The last hour often tells the truth about how strong a trend truly is. “Smart” money shows their hand in the last hour, continuing to mark positions in their favor. As long as a market is having consecutive strong closes, look for up-trend to continue. The up trend is most likely to end when there is a morning rally first, followed by a weak close.
8. High volume on the close implies continuity the next morning in the direction of the last half-hour. In a strongly trending market, look for resumption of the trend in the last hour.
9. The first hour’s range establishes the framework for the rest of the trading day.
10. A greater percentage of the day’s range occurs in the first hour then was the case in the past, and thus it has become increasingly important to trade aggressively if there are early signs of a strong trend for the day.
11. There are four basic principles of price behavior which have held up over time. Confidence that a type of price action is a true principle is what allows a trader to develop a systematic approach...
#Alishba_Sozar
$XRP $BNB $SOL
1. Buy the first pullback after a new high. Sell the first rally after a new low.
2. Afternoon strength or weakness should have follow through the next day.
3. The best trading reversals occur in the morning, not the afternoon.
4. The larger the market gaps, the greater the odds of continuation and a trend.
5. The way the market trades around the previous day’s high or low is a good indicator of the market’s technical strength or weakness.
6. The previous day’s high and low are two very important “pivot” points, for this was the definitive point where buyers or sellers came in the day before. Look for the market to either test and reverse off these points, or push through and show signs of continuation.
7. The last hour often tells the truth about how strong a trend truly is. “Smart” money shows their hand in the last hour, continuing to mark positions in their favor. As long as a market is having consecutive strong closes, look for up-trend to continue. The up trend is most likely to end when there is a morning rally first, followed by a weak close.
8. High volume on the close implies continuity the next morning in the direction of the last half-hour. In a strongly trending market, look for resumption of the trend in the last hour.
9. The first hour’s range establishes the framework for the rest of the trading day.
10. A greater percentage of the day’s range occurs in the first hour then was the case in the past, and thus it has become increasingly important to trade aggressively if there are early signs of a strong trend for the day.
11. There are four basic principles of price behavior which have held up over time. Confidence that a type of price action is a true principle is what allows a trader to develop a systematic approach...
#Alishba_Sozar
$XRP $BNB $SOL
The longer I trade, the more I understand why risk-management is the key to success.
- Risking 0.25% of your capital to make 25% is awesome.
- Small losses can easily be wiped out by big gains. Just ones big winner is enough!!
- Tiny losses have almost no impact on emotions.
- The best trades work immediately. You don't need to risk a lot on them!
- Draw downs are kept small (in my case max. 10-20%) and are easy to recover.
I work with traders since years. I teach them how to trade and how to improve. The number one mistake I can see over and over again is bad risk-management.
Very often when traders start to implement good risk-management, they start to make money and turnaround their trading..
#Alishba_Sozar
$XRP $SOL $PEPE
- Risking 0.25% of your capital to make 25% is awesome.
- Small losses can easily be wiped out by big gains. Just ones big winner is enough!!
- Tiny losses have almost no impact on emotions.
- The best trades work immediately. You don't need to risk a lot on them!
- Draw downs are kept small (in my case max. 10-20%) and are easy to recover.
I work with traders since years. I teach them how to trade and how to improve. The number one mistake I can see over and over again is bad risk-management.
Very often when traders start to implement good risk-management, they start to make money and turnaround their trading..
#Alishba_Sozar
$XRP $SOL $PEPE
ICT Traders be like
We don’t trade Mondays, we wait for Monday range to form.
Then we skip Tuesdays as we wait for the break of Monday range High or Low
Wednesdays a red news event so no trade.
Thursday waiting for confirmation after news event, no trade.
Friday - too close to weekend no trade day.
Saturday we review the week
Sunday we plan for the Next Week..
#Alishba_Sozar
$WLFI
We don’t trade Mondays, we wait for Monday range to form.
Then we skip Tuesdays as we wait for the break of Monday range High or Low
Wednesdays a red news event so no trade.
Thursday waiting for confirmation after news event, no trade.
Friday - too close to weekend no trade day.
Saturday we review the week
Sunday we plan for the Next Week..
#Alishba_Sozar
$WLFI
HAPPY FRIDAY REMEMBER ME IN YOUR PRAYERS 🤲
Most people don’t know this, but Bitcoin has a hidden message that can never be deleted
Bitcoin block 666,666 was mined on January 18, 2021
It contains a message permanently written into the blockchain
Using Bitcoin’s OP_RETURN, the miner embedded a Bible verse directly into the block’s data
“Do not be overcome by evil, but overcome evil with good.” Romans 12:21
To make it happen, they paid over 5x the normal fee just to guarantee inclusion in that exact block
The transaction is linked to wallets named “GoD” and “BibLE”, verifiable on any public block explorer
Once it’s there, it can never be removed
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
Bitcoin block 666,666 was mined on January 18, 2021
It contains a message permanently written into the blockchain
Using Bitcoin’s OP_RETURN, the miner embedded a Bible verse directly into the block’s data
“Do not be overcome by evil, but overcome evil with good.” Romans 12:21
To make it happen, they paid over 5x the normal fee just to guarantee inclusion in that exact block
The transaction is linked to wallets named “GoD” and “BibLE”, verifiable on any public block explorer
Once it’s there, it can never be removed
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
ELON MUSK SAYS NOBODY WILL NEED TO WORK SOON
Not in 50 years, but very soon.
His reasoning: AI and robotics eventually handle everything.
Every industry, every function, humans just don’t need to do it anymore.
He compared it to growing your own food.
You don’t have to, you can go to the store. But some people still do it because they want to.
That’s what he thinks work turns into, something you do for fun.
And look, maybe he’s right about the tech. AI is moving stupid fast right now, no one’s denying that.
But “machines do all the work” and “regular people benefit from machines doing all the work” are two very different things.
We were supposed to have shorter work weeks by now. That was the promise 40 years ago.
What actually happened? People work more, and get paid about the same. All the extra value went straight to the top.
So yeah, AI will probably replace most jobs eventually.
The part nobody wants to talk about is what happens to the 8 billion people who aren’t running the companies that own the AI.
That’s the actual conversation we should be having.
#Alishba_Sozar
$XAU $BNB $ETH
Not in 50 years, but very soon.
His reasoning: AI and robotics eventually handle everything.
Every industry, every function, humans just don’t need to do it anymore.
He compared it to growing your own food.
You don’t have to, you can go to the store. But some people still do it because they want to.
That’s what he thinks work turns into, something you do for fun.
And look, maybe he’s right about the tech. AI is moving stupid fast right now, no one’s denying that.
But “machines do all the work” and “regular people benefit from machines doing all the work” are two very different things.
We were supposed to have shorter work weeks by now. That was the promise 40 years ago.
What actually happened? People work more, and get paid about the same. All the extra value went straight to the top.
So yeah, AI will probably replace most jobs eventually.
The part nobody wants to talk about is what happens to the 8 billion people who aren’t running the companies that own the AI.
That’s the actual conversation we should be having.
#Alishba_Sozar
$XAU $BNB $ETH
MEN MUST KNOW:
- Banks treat you nicely when you're rich.
- People treat you nicely when you're in shape.
- Companies treat you nicely when you're skilled.
- Don't hate the game-accept it and play accordingly.
• Nice men are used.
• Shy men are ignored.
• Weak men are abused.
• Ruthless men are respected.
• Remember this and plan accordingly.
Every parent wants a strong son.
Every child wants a strong father.
Every girl wants a strong brother.
Every woman wants a strong husband.
As a man, being strong is the only option you have.
Be a man who is busy building his body,
mind and wallet.
Everything else is a distraction.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC $ETH $BNB
- Banks treat you nicely when you're rich.
- People treat you nicely when you're in shape.
- Companies treat you nicely when you're skilled.
- Don't hate the game-accept it and play accordingly.
• Nice men are used.
• Shy men are ignored.
• Weak men are abused.
• Ruthless men are respected.
• Remember this and plan accordingly.
Every parent wants a strong son.
Every child wants a strong father.
Every girl wants a strong brother.
Every woman wants a strong husband.
As a man, being strong is the only option you have.
Be a man who is busy building his body,
mind and wallet.
Everything else is a distraction.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC $ETH $BNB
I’m sorry, but Saying that Bitcoin and Crypto have already Priced in the Clarity Act is one of the lowest IQ takes I’ve seen in a long time. Price has been dropping for months as they get closer to approval. The Clarity act and manipulation that has been happening over the last couple months have been a concerted effort to scare retail away so that Institutional investors can buy cheap Crypto.
If anything they are baking in the bottom before it passes!
#Alishba_Sozar
$ETH
If anything they are baking in the bottom before it passes!
#Alishba_Sozar
$ETH
Do not, and i repeat, do not under any circumstances buy altcoins this cycle. These things do not have a bottom. If you still have some, sell. It wont get better.
It doesnt matter that Aptos or Arbitrum were once trading at 10B and it doesnt matter that they are at 1B now. And it wont matter once they reach 100M. There is no bottom. Pull up any chart. The ridiculous October 10th wicks have all been filled or soon will be.
Every organic rally is sold off. The only thing that momentarily stops the selling is the occasional short squeeze. But it doesnt break the downtrend. Selling will continue until 0.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC $ETH $BNB
It doesnt matter that Aptos or Arbitrum were once trading at 10B and it doesnt matter that they are at 1B now. And it wont matter once they reach 100M. There is no bottom. Pull up any chart. The ridiculous October 10th wicks have all been filled or soon will be.
Every organic rally is sold off. The only thing that momentarily stops the selling is the occasional short squeeze. But it doesnt break the downtrend. Selling will continue until 0.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC $ETH $BNB
🦔 A platform called RentAHuman now has over 500,000 people signed up to be hired by AI agents. The site lets autonomous bots search, book, and pay humans to carry out physical tasks. Listings include counting pigeons ($30/hour), delivering CBD gummies ($75/hour), and playing exhibition badminton ($100/hour).
One bounty saw 7,578 applicants compete to earn $10 for sending an AI agent a video of a human hand.
My Take
The founder frames this as humans being recognized as valuable assets. I'm not sure I see it that way when thousands of people are competing for $10 gigs posted by bots. There's a labor surplus here that's hard to ignore, with over half a million workers signed up and only 11,000 bounties posted.
We covered an AI agent that researched and publicly attacked an open source maintainer for rejecting its code. The same agentic systems that can hire humans for legitimate tasks can split up work in ways nobody anticipated. RethinkX's director of research pointed out that nefarious AIs could distribute a malicious project across multiple tasks for humans to unwittingly collaborate on. The capabilities are expanding faster than anyone's capacity to regulate them, and the platform's terms make clear that operators of AI agents are responsible for their actions, not RentAHuman itself. A lot of people are betting that AI will need human hands for the foreseeable future. I keep wondering what those hands will be asked to do.
#Alishba_Sozar
One bounty saw 7,578 applicants compete to earn $10 for sending an AI agent a video of a human hand.
My Take
The founder frames this as humans being recognized as valuable assets. I'm not sure I see it that way when thousands of people are competing for $10 gigs posted by bots. There's a labor surplus here that's hard to ignore, with over half a million workers signed up and only 11,000 bounties posted.
We covered an AI agent that researched and publicly attacked an open source maintainer for rejecting its code. The same agentic systems that can hire humans for legitimate tasks can split up work in ways nobody anticipated. RethinkX's director of research pointed out that nefarious AIs could distribute a malicious project across multiple tasks for humans to unwittingly collaborate on. The capabilities are expanding faster than anyone's capacity to regulate them, and the platform's terms make clear that operators of AI agents are responsible for their actions, not RentAHuman itself. A lot of people are betting that AI will need human hands for the foreseeable future. I keep wondering what those hands will be asked to do.
#Alishba_Sozar
i highly recommend everyone to have a hobby. watching films, listening to music, clicking pictures, recording videos, sports, documentaries, drawing, sketching, doodling, painting, writing, journaling, singing, swimming, knitting, reading, gardening, cooking, baking, brewing, walking, cycling, running, trekking, birdwatching, stargazing, collecting postcards, coins, stamps, records, cameras, art, prints, pens, stones or seashells, working out, playing football, cricket, chess, cards or video games, solo trips, repairing things, staring at the sky or chasing sunsets, whatever it is. no matter how big or small, how fancy or silly, if it gives you a sense of escape, something to return to when the coin flips and life feels like shit, doomscrolling wont help you. its important for you to have a hobby, a real hobby.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BIRB $XRP $PEPE
#Alishba_Sozar
$BIRB $XRP $PEPE
So this guy texted me yesterday. He said he’s been trading for over 5 years now. Got 18 courses from popular FXNG traders. In over 20 Telegram groups.
Still can't pay rent from trading.
I asked him to walk me through his normal trading day.
He said:
"I wake up, check charts immediately. If price is moving, I don't want to miss it… so I jump in."
"If it goes against me, I hold. Because it might come back."
Hope.
"If I close in loss, I feel frustrated. So I enter again to fix it."
Ego.
"If I win, I increase lot size. That's when I should capitalize, right?"
Greed.
I didn't even argue with him.
The issue wasn't strategy.
It was identity.
He's approaching the market like someone trying to escape being broke, not like someone building skill.
When you trade to survive, you force trades.
When you trade to prove something, you oversize.
When you trade from fear, you hesitate.
Rent money energy and professional trader energy are not the same.
Until you stop trading to "make money"...
you'll never make money consistently.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC $BNB $ASTER
Still can't pay rent from trading.
I asked him to walk me through his normal trading day.
He said:
"I wake up, check charts immediately. If price is moving, I don't want to miss it… so I jump in."
"If it goes against me, I hold. Because it might come back."
Hope.
"If I close in loss, I feel frustrated. So I enter again to fix it."
Ego.
"If I win, I increase lot size. That's when I should capitalize, right?"
Greed.
I didn't even argue with him.
The issue wasn't strategy.
It was identity.
He's approaching the market like someone trying to escape being broke, not like someone building skill.
When you trade to survive, you force trades.
When you trade to prove something, you oversize.
When you trade from fear, you hesitate.
Rent money energy and professional trader energy are not the same.
Until you stop trading to "make money"...
you'll never make money consistently.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC $BNB $ASTER
CLAIM GIFT 🧧
The Risk of waiting for an Extreme Bitcoin Low!
⇒ Yes, BTC could absolutely go to 50k, 40k & even 30k this year.
And if it goes there, you could potentially buy twice as much BTC as if you buy right now. Tempting...I know!
But there is also a Major risk associated with waiting. Because NOBODY knows for sure if we go lower or not, and there is a good chance that the 60k we saw a couple of weeks ago, was already the lowest point of BTC. And we might never touch that ever again.
⇒ Maybe today is the day when we start Skyrocketing to 300k...while you still wait for a 58k Price...that might never happen.
So what is the safest bet for you?
⇒ DCA! Just DCA every Week, Month or even Daily into Bitcoin.
Clear out all the noise, set up a DCA and focus on providing more value to society (Which will give you more Income to distribute to BTC)
That's why it just doesn't make any sense for you to trade, wait or panic. Just DCA & HODL.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
The Risk of waiting for an Extreme Bitcoin Low!
⇒ Yes, BTC could absolutely go to 50k, 40k & even 30k this year.
And if it goes there, you could potentially buy twice as much BTC as if you buy right now. Tempting...I know!
But there is also a Major risk associated with waiting. Because NOBODY knows for sure if we go lower or not, and there is a good chance that the 60k we saw a couple of weeks ago, was already the lowest point of BTC. And we might never touch that ever again.
⇒ Maybe today is the day when we start Skyrocketing to 300k...while you still wait for a 58k Price...that might never happen.
So what is the safest bet for you?
⇒ DCA! Just DCA every Week, Month or even Daily into Bitcoin.
Clear out all the noise, set up a DCA and focus on providing more value to society (Which will give you more Income to distribute to BTC)
That's why it just doesn't make any sense for you to trade, wait or panic. Just DCA & HODL.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
$223 million in crypto positions got liquidated in 24 hours last week.
87,303 traders wiped out.
Bitcoin dropped from $67,700 to $65,900 in minutes.
But this wasn't a Black Swan event.
It was math doing what math does when leverage gets stupid.
The numbers tell the story:
$137 million in long liquidations.
$85.76 million in shorts.
Longs made up 61% of the wipeout.
That's not a crash.
That's a forced deleveraging of people who bet too big with borrowed money.
Here's the breakdown by asset:
Bitcoin: $63.41M in longs liquidated, $27.18M in shorts
Ethereum: $30.47M in longs liquidated, $23.09M in shorts
The largest single liquidation was an $11.22 million BTC position on Hyperliquid.
One trade. $11.22 million. Gone.
But let's zoom out to see what actually led to this.
Bitcoin hit $120,000+ in 2025.
Everyone thought crypto had finally "made it."
Institutional adoption. ETFs. Mainstream acceptance.
Then reality hit.
Early 2026: $3.1 billion in net outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs.
BlackRock-linked products saw $3.6 billion leave in one week alone.
$3.39 billion in BTC. $239 million in ETH.
Assets under management for spot BTC ETFs dropped to $89 billion.
That's not retail panic selling.
That's institutions derisking.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index hit 9 out of 100.
Last time it was that low? The FTX collapse in 2022.
Social channels flooded with crash charts.
Warnings about over-leverage.
Talk of "capitulation."
Bitcoin had dropped nearly 50% from its 2025 peak above $120K.
And here's the critical part everyone's missing:
This $223 million liquidation day wasn't even the biggest one.
February 1, 2026 saw $2.2 billion in liquidations.
They called it "Black Sunday II."
Longs accounted for 80-85% of that wipeout.
The $223M event was just an aftershock.
A cleanup of traders who still hadn't learned the lesson.
Total crypto market cap during this phase: $2.34 trillion.
But the liquidations kept coming because funding rates and open interest remained elevated.
Everyone was leveraged long expecting the bull run to continue.
The market had a different plan.
So what was driving all of this?
Three macro forces colliding at once:
1. Fed Policy Uncertainty
Markets couldn't figure out when or if the Fed would cut rates.
Hotter inflation data kept pushing that timeline back.
Higher yields = risk assets sell off.
Crypto sold off hardest.
2. Geopolitical Tensions
Trade wars. Tariff risks. International flashpoints.
Broad risk-off sentiment across all markets.
When institutions derisk, they dump the most volatile assets first.
3. Structural Fragility
After the 2025 euphoria, everyone was overleveraged.
Funding rates were elevated. Open interest was maxed out.
The market was a powder keg waiting for a spark.
All it took was BTC cracking key support levels.
Then the cascade started.
Analysts described it as a "weak hands flush."
Thin weekend liquidity. Deeply oversold RSI.
Forced long closures at obvious support zones.
Classic deleveraging mechanics.
But here's what matters for anyone actually investing in crypto:
87,303 traders got liquidated in one day.
Most of them weren't investing.
They were gambling with leverage they couldn't afford to lose.
There's a massive difference between:
Buying Bitcoin with cash and holding it.
And trading 10x leveraged perpetual futures on a Saturday morning.
One is a calculated risk.
The other is just hoping the math doesn't catch up to you.
The math always catches up.
This is why systematic approaches matter even in crypto.
Position sizing. Risk management. No leverage.
Boring? Yes.
Effective when $223M in positions get wiped in 24 hours? Also yes.
Bitcoin bounced back to the mid-$60Ks after the flush.
Key support levels held.
Analysts called it "necessary cleanup" rather than a macro breakdown.
But 87,303 traders didn't get to participate in that bounce.
Because they were already liquidated.
The market doesn't care about your conviction.
It doesn't care about your thesis.
It cares about your leverage and your liquidation price.
And when those numbers don't work, you're out.
$223 million in 24 hours proves that over and over again.
$BTC $ETH
Bitcoin dropped from $67,700 to $65,900 in minutes.
But this wasn't a Black Swan event.
It was math doing what math does when leverage gets stupid.
The numbers tell the story:
$137 million in long liquidations.
$85.76 million in shorts.
Longs made up 61% of the wipeout.
That's not a crash.
That's a forced deleveraging of people who bet too big with borrowed money.
Here's the breakdown by asset:
Bitcoin: $63.41M in longs liquidated, $27.18M in shorts
Ethereum: $30.47M in longs liquidated, $23.09M in shorts
The largest single liquidation was an $11.22 million BTC position on Hyperliquid.
One trade. $11.22 million. Gone.
But let's zoom out to see what actually led to this.
Bitcoin hit $120,000+ in 2025.
Everyone thought crypto had finally "made it."
Institutional adoption. ETFs. Mainstream acceptance.
Then reality hit.
Early 2026: $3.1 billion in net outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs.
BlackRock-linked products saw $3.6 billion leave in one week alone.
$3.39 billion in BTC. $239 million in ETH.
Assets under management for spot BTC ETFs dropped to $89 billion.
That's not retail panic selling.
That's institutions derisking.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index hit 9 out of 100.
Last time it was that low? The FTX collapse in 2022.
Social channels flooded with crash charts.
Warnings about over-leverage.
Talk of "capitulation."
Bitcoin had dropped nearly 50% from its 2025 peak above $120K.
And here's the critical part everyone's missing:
This $223 million liquidation day wasn't even the biggest one.
February 1, 2026 saw $2.2 billion in liquidations.
They called it "Black Sunday II."
Longs accounted for 80-85% of that wipeout.
The $223M event was just an aftershock.
A cleanup of traders who still hadn't learned the lesson.
Total crypto market cap during this phase: $2.34 trillion.
But the liquidations kept coming because funding rates and open interest remained elevated.
Everyone was leveraged long expecting the bull run to continue.
The market had a different plan.
So what was driving all of this?
Three macro forces colliding at once:
1. Fed Policy Uncertainty
Markets couldn't figure out when or if the Fed would cut rates.
Hotter inflation data kept pushing that timeline back.
Higher yields = risk assets sell off.
Crypto sold off hardest.
2. Geopolitical Tensions
Trade wars. Tariff risks. International flashpoints.
Broad risk-off sentiment across all markets.
When institutions derisk, they dump the most volatile assets first.
3. Structural Fragility
After the 2025 euphoria, everyone was overleveraged.
Funding rates were elevated. Open interest was maxed out.
The market was a powder keg waiting for a spark.
All it took was BTC cracking key support levels.
Then the cascade started.
Analysts described it as a "weak hands flush."
Thin weekend liquidity. Deeply oversold RSI.
Forced long closures at obvious support zones.
Classic deleveraging mechanics.
But here's what matters for anyone actually investing in crypto:
87,303 traders got liquidated in one day.
Most of them weren't investing.
They were gambling with leverage they couldn't afford to lose.
There's a massive difference between:
Buying Bitcoin with cash and holding it.
And trading 10x leveraged perpetual futures on a Saturday morning.
One is a calculated risk.
The other is just hoping the math doesn't catch up to you.
The math always catches up.
This is why systematic approaches matter even in crypto.
Position sizing. Risk management. No leverage.
Boring? Yes.
Effective when $223M in positions get wiped in 24 hours? Also yes.
Bitcoin bounced back to the mid-$60Ks after the flush.
Key support levels held.
Analysts called it "necessary cleanup" rather than a macro breakdown.
But 87,303 traders didn't get to participate in that bounce.
Because they were already liquidated.
The market doesn't care about your conviction.
It doesn't care about your thesis.
It cares about your leverage and your liquidation price.
And when those numbers don't work, you're out.
$223 million in 24 hours proves that over and over again.
$BTC $ETH
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i don’t think most people are fully grasping what changed with $BTC
yes, the 21M supply hasn’t changed.
that part is still true. the protocol still caps it. nothing new is being printed.
but the market around bitcoin is completely different now, and that’s what people are missing.
back in the early days, if you wanted exposure to bitcoin, you had to actually buy bitcoin.
simple. supply was supply.
but now? wall street built layers on top of it.
futures, options, ETFs, swaps. and all of these allow multiple players to take exposure to the same coin at the same time.
so imagine one real bitcoin sitting in custody somewhere. on top of that one coin, there are multiple financial claims.
multiple leveraged bets. longs, shorts, basis trades, ETF shares all referencing the same underlying asset.
no new bitcoin is being mined. but financially, exposure keeps expanding.
that’s the key difference.
on-chain scarcity is fixed. financial exposure is not.
and that changes how price behaves in the short term.
because now price isn’t just moving based on someone buying spot and holding.
it’s moving based on open interest, funding rates, liquidations, leverage getting added and removed.
you’re seeing long wicks because positions are getting forced out, not because the 21m cap changed.
paper exposure expands during euphoria. then it collapses during liquidations. that expansion and contraction makes it feel like supply is flexible.
but here’s the important part.. it’s only flexible in the trading layer.
long term, derivatives don’t create new coins. they create temporary claims. when leverage gets wiped, those claims disappear. the underlying bitcoin is still sitting there.
so yes, short term, paper bitcoin distorts price discovery. it amplifies volatility. it delays clean supply shocks. it creates fake breakouts and fake breakdowns.
but long term? scarcity is still scarcity.
$USDC
i don’t think most people are fully grasping what changed with $BTC
yes, the 21M supply hasn’t changed.
that part is still true. the protocol still caps it. nothing new is being printed.
but the market around bitcoin is completely different now, and that’s what people are missing.
back in the early days, if you wanted exposure to bitcoin, you had to actually buy bitcoin.
simple. supply was supply.
but now? wall street built layers on top of it.
futures, options, ETFs, swaps. and all of these allow multiple players to take exposure to the same coin at the same time.
so imagine one real bitcoin sitting in custody somewhere. on top of that one coin, there are multiple financial claims.
multiple leveraged bets. longs, shorts, basis trades, ETF shares all referencing the same underlying asset.
no new bitcoin is being mined. but financially, exposure keeps expanding.
that’s the key difference.
on-chain scarcity is fixed. financial exposure is not.
and that changes how price behaves in the short term.
because now price isn’t just moving based on someone buying spot and holding.
it’s moving based on open interest, funding rates, liquidations, leverage getting added and removed.
you’re seeing long wicks because positions are getting forced out, not because the 21m cap changed.
paper exposure expands during euphoria. then it collapses during liquidations. that expansion and contraction makes it feel like supply is flexible.
but here’s the important part.. it’s only flexible in the trading layer.
long term, derivatives don’t create new coins. they create temporary claims. when leverage gets wiped, those claims disappear. the underlying bitcoin is still sitting there.
so yes, short term, paper bitcoin distorts price discovery. it amplifies volatility. it delays clean supply shocks. it creates fake breakouts and fake breakdowns.
but long term? scarcity is still scarcity.
$USDC
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