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dhrugtest

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Ethereum $1,900 Retest Could Decide Next Major Move – Is ETH Preparing For New Lows?As most of the crypto market retests crucial levels, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to reclaim a major horizontal area. Some market observers have warned that cryptocurrency could fall to new lows if the price doesn’t bounce soon. Ethereum Weekly Close On Sight On Thursday, Ethereum dropped 1.4% to retest a key area for the second consecutive day. After hitting a 10-month low of $1,747, the King of Altcoins bounced more than 15% to trade between $2,000 and $2,150 over the past few days. However, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap failed to hold the crucial $2,000 horizontal barrier on Wednesday and tested the $1,900 mark for the first time in a week. As most of the crypto market retests crucial levels, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to reclaim a major horizontal area. Some market observers have warned that cryptocurrency could fall to new lows if the price doesn’t bounce soon. After attempting to reclaim the key psychological level in the early hours of Thursday, Ethereum was rejected toward the recent lows, briefly falling below it. Analyst Ted Pillows highlighted the importance of ETH’s current zone, as it has previously triggered major moves. To him, if the altcoin fails to reclaim the $2,000 area in the coming days, a full retrace toward the recent lows should be expected soon. Similarly, market observer Crypto Busy noted that the cryptocurrency is currently trading above a major long-term support. According to the post, the recent correction has sent Ethereum toward a three-year rising support line, which “will decide the next big move.” The analyst warned that “If the trendline breaks with strong weekly closes below $1,900, the structure weakens.” Therefore, ETH must hold its current levels in the coming days to avoid a weekly close below this level. Otherwise, its price could drop “into the next liquidity pockets around $1,600 and possibly $1,300, where the next historical support zones exist.” Is ETH’s ‘Real’ Bull Market Two Years Away? A trader shared a potential macro-outlook for Ethereum that suggests the cryptocurrency could still see another major shakeout. My thesis is that the major bullish move that began around 2019–2020 has transitioned into a large and prolonged macro correction, and that Ethereum has been consolidating within this broader corrective structure ever since. He outlined four phases for the macro structure: the pump, the correction, the shakeout, and the moon. The initial phase, which occurred between 2019 and 2021, marked “the true impulsive bullish move,” with strong trend expansion and increasing momentum. According to the market observer, the strong rally that followed the 2022 bear market appears to be a “counter-trend move within a broader corrective range” rather than a renewed bull market and the start of a new long-term cycle. As he explained, ETH’s range-bound behavior signals distribution and consolidation instead of continuation. “From this perspective, the apparent bull market that developed within the correction can be interpreted as a dead cat bounce, a technically strong bounce occurring inside a larger corrective structure,” he affirmed. Therefore, the current macro structure would suggest that a final shakeout phase could “still be required to fully reset sentiment and liquidity before Ethereum can transition into a new impulsive bullish cycle. Based on this, the trader anticipated a final liquidity-driven move to the downside in the coming months, followed by “the moon” phase, potentially next year, when “the structure suggests the conditions for a true long-term bullish continuation, with price discovery and expansion well beyond previous highs.” #CPIWatch

Ethereum $1,900 Retest Could Decide Next Major Move – Is ETH Preparing For New Lows?

As most of the crypto market retests crucial levels, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to reclaim a major horizontal area. Some market observers have warned that cryptocurrency could fall to new lows if the price doesn’t bounce soon.

Ethereum Weekly Close On Sight
On Thursday, Ethereum dropped 1.4% to retest a key area for the second consecutive day. After hitting a 10-month low of $1,747, the King of Altcoins bounced more than 15% to trade between $2,000 and $2,150 over the past few days.
However, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap failed to hold the crucial $2,000 horizontal barrier on Wednesday and tested the $1,900 mark for the first time in a week.
As most of the crypto market retests crucial levels, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to reclaim a major horizontal area. Some market observers have warned that cryptocurrency could fall to new lows if the price doesn’t bounce soon.
After attempting to reclaim the key psychological level in the early hours of Thursday, Ethereum was rejected toward the recent lows, briefly falling below it. Analyst Ted Pillows highlighted the importance of ETH’s current zone, as it has previously triggered major moves.

To him, if the altcoin fails to reclaim the $2,000 area in the coming days, a full retrace toward the recent lows should be expected soon. Similarly, market observer Crypto Busy noted that the cryptocurrency is currently trading above a major long-term support.
According to the post, the recent correction has sent Ethereum toward a three-year rising support line, which “will decide the next big move.” The analyst warned that “If the trendline breaks with strong weekly closes below $1,900, the structure weakens.”
Therefore, ETH must hold its current levels in the coming days to avoid a weekly close below this level. Otherwise, its price could drop “into the next liquidity pockets around $1,600 and possibly $1,300, where the next historical support zones exist.”
Is ETH’s ‘Real’ Bull Market Two Years Away?
A trader shared a potential macro-outlook for Ethereum that suggests the cryptocurrency could still see another major shakeout.
My thesis is that the major bullish move that began around 2019–2020 has transitioned into a large and prolonged macro correction, and that Ethereum has been consolidating within this broader corrective structure ever since.
He outlined four phases for the macro structure: the pump, the correction, the shakeout, and the moon. The initial phase, which occurred between 2019 and 2021, marked “the true impulsive bullish move,” with strong trend expansion and increasing momentum.

According to the market observer, the strong rally that followed the 2022 bear market appears to be a “counter-trend move within a broader corrective range” rather than a renewed bull market and the start of a new long-term cycle.
As he explained, ETH’s range-bound behavior signals distribution and consolidation instead of continuation. “From this perspective, the apparent bull market that developed within the correction can be interpreted as a dead cat bounce, a technically strong bounce occurring inside a larger corrective structure,” he affirmed.
Therefore, the current macro structure would suggest that a final shakeout phase could “still be required to fully reset sentiment and liquidity before Ethereum can transition into a new impulsive bullish cycle.
Based on this, the trader anticipated a final liquidity-driven move to the downside in the coming months, followed by “the moon” phase, potentially next year, when “the structure suggests the conditions for a true long-term bullish continuation, with price discovery and expansion well beyond previous highs.”

#CPIWatch
BTC 2022 vs 2026 Simple Breakdown The same weekly moving average cross we saw before the 2022 crash just happened again on Bitcoin. What happened in 2022? BTC dropped below its key weekly averages Every bounce got sold The market kept thinking “this is the bottom”… but price kept falling Now in 2026: BTC is again below important weekly averages That usually means sellers are in control The chart structure looks very similar This doesn’t mean we crash tomorrow. It means: 👉 Rallies could be short-term 👉 Risk of another drop is real 👉 Bulls need BTC to reclaim those weekly levels to stay safe Until then, downside pressure is still the more likely scenario. #TrumpNewTariffs
BTC 2022 vs 2026 Simple Breakdown

The same weekly moving average cross we saw before the 2022 crash just happened again on Bitcoin.

What happened in 2022?

BTC dropped below its key weekly averages

Every bounce got sold

The market kept thinking “this is the bottom”… but price kept falling

Now in 2026:

BTC is again below important weekly averages

That usually means sellers are in control

The chart structure looks very similar

This doesn’t mean we crash tomorrow.

It means: 👉 Rallies could be short-term
👉 Risk of another drop is real
👉 Bulls need BTC to reclaim those weekly levels to stay safe

Until then, downside pressure is still the more likely scenario.
#TrumpNewTariffs
Something like this could play out for $BTC We could see a push up toward $75k–$76k first. That move wouldn’t be strength it would be temptation. Price goes up just enough to: Shake out shorts Pull people back into longs Make traders feel “safe” again Once confidence comes back, leverage follows. And that’s usually when the market flips. If too many people get long up there, the next move isn’t higher it’s down. Fast. Violent. No time to react. That’s how new lows are made: Not during fear… But after hope returns. If we do run toward $76k, stay calm. Ask one question only: > Is this real buying — or just liquidity? Bitcoin doesn’t punish bears. It punishes crowded trades. Patience > prediction. #TrumpNewTariffs #TokenizedRealEstate
Something like this could play out for $BTC

We could see a push up toward $75k–$76k first.

That move wouldn’t be strength it would be temptation.

Price goes up just enough to:

Shake out shorts

Pull people back into longs

Make traders feel “safe” again

Once confidence comes back, leverage follows.

And that’s usually when the market flips.

If too many people get long up there, the next move isn’t higher it’s down.
Fast. Violent. No time to react.

That’s how new lows are made: Not during fear…
But after hope returns.

If we do run toward $76k, stay calm.
Ask one question only:

> Is this real buying — or just liquidity?

Bitcoin doesn’t punish bears.
It punishes crowded trades.

Patience > prediction.
#TrumpNewTariffs
#TokenizedRealEstate
$BTC FINAL DUMP IS STILL AHEAD... Market hit key zone faster than expected, updated plan: - BTCis testing $71k-$74k zone - Gradual decline - New bottom (~$58k) - Accumulation + growth Note this and notifs on. New update soon... #TokenizedRealEstate #TrumpNewTariffs
$BTC FINAL DUMP IS STILL AHEAD...

Market hit key zone faster than expected, updated plan:

- BTCis testing $71k-$74k zone
- Gradual decline
- New bottom (~$58k)
- Accumulation + growth

Note this and notifs on. New update soon...
#TokenizedRealEstate #TrumpNewTariffs
$BTC 4Hour - Things are looking pretty weak over here. With lack of volume, BTC lacks the strength to even keep above the EMAs and hold. Good buy side volume was seen only once since the 60k bottom, and most bids are not giving spikes so we can expect some strength in the market. Overall these are all signs of a bear market, the price is so weak it can't even go towards that one bare minimum resistance that everyone wants it to : $74k or $84k. Although the max pain in the options expiry shows $84k with $8 Billion delta, price is still unable to show any strength to go there. Along with this the Tariffs thing and the war news with Iran never helps better. I would say times like these are perfect for buying bitcoin because everyone else is too scared to do so. And this gut feeling has given 90-100% win rate. Buying such an extreme bearish sentiment... #TrumpNewTariffs
$BTC 4Hour - Things are looking pretty weak over here.
With lack of volume, BTC lacks the strength to even keep above the EMAs and hold.

Good buy side volume was seen only once since the 60k bottom, and most bids are not giving spikes so we can expect some strength in the market.

Overall these are all signs of a bear market, the price is so weak it can't even go towards that one bare minimum resistance that everyone wants it to : $74k or $84k.

Although the max pain in the options expiry shows $84k with $8 Billion delta, price is still unable to show any strength to go there.

Along with this the Tariffs thing and the war news with Iran never helps better.

I would say times like these are perfect for buying bitcoin because everyone else is too scared to do so.
And this gut feeling has given 90-100% win rate. Buying such an extreme bearish sentiment...
#TrumpNewTariffs
THEY USE THE SAME PLAYBOOK EVERY TIME EACH $BTC BEAR CYCLE REPEATS IDENTICALLY ATH → Bear Market → Triangle Consolidation → Breakout → 1064 Days Rally When this triangle breaks Fortunes will be made... #TrumpNewTariffs
THEY USE THE SAME PLAYBOOK EVERY TIME

EACH $BTC BEAR CYCLE REPEATS IDENTICALLY

ATH → Bear Market → Triangle Consolidation → Breakout → 1064 Days Rally

When this triangle breaks

Fortunes will be made...
#TrumpNewTariffs
$ETH is literally doing the same thing it’s done before every major bounce, most people just aren’t zoomed out enough. ETH is still in an uptrend, and the story is simple Every time we touch the lower trendline buyers step in and we bounce We’re doing that again right now Do you know what that means? As long as ETH keeps closing weekly candles above that lower rail, a bounce back toward the middle of the range stays on the table. The real issue will be a weekly close below the channel support. #TrumpNewTariffs
$ETH is literally doing the same thing it’s done before every major bounce, most people just aren’t zoomed out enough.

ETH is still in an uptrend, and the story is simple

Every time we touch the lower trendline buyers step in and we bounce

We’re doing that again right now

Do you know what that means?

As long as ETH keeps closing weekly candles above that lower rail, a bounce back toward the middle of the range stays on the table.

The real issue will be a weekly close below the channel support.
#TrumpNewTariffs
$BTC Think that ultimately, yesterday's ruling was pretty decent all together. It might give some more uncertainty with Trump complaining or announcing "new" tariffs but all together from what I've seen, the result should be less impactful than it was. BTC itself still rangebound and it is a weekend but would not be surprised if this were to hunt some local shorts here with all these equal highs... #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease
$BTC Think that ultimately, yesterday's ruling was pretty decent all together.

It might give some more uncertainty with Trump complaining or announcing "new" tariffs but all together from what I've seen, the result should be less impactful than it was.

BTC itself still rangebound and it is a weekend but would not be surprised if this were to hunt some local shorts here with all these equal highs...
#BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease
The most interesting part of the $BTC and $ETH decline is that sentiment is not negative People understand it’s an opportunity But are waiting to add incase it dips further I think you need to be aware that a DCA strategy here makes sense Because when the reversal is confirmed, it will move quickly and you’ll end up chasing Manage your average now #TrumpNewTariffs
The most interesting part of the $BTC and $ETH decline is that sentiment is not negative

People understand it’s an opportunity

But are waiting to add incase it dips further

I think you need to be aware that a DCA strategy here makes sense

Because when the reversal is confirmed, it will move quickly and you’ll end up chasing

Manage your average now
#TrumpNewTariffs
BITCOIN ISN’T ASKING FOR PERMISSION IT’S TARGETING $300,000. 🚀 THIS ISN’T HYPE. THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN GLOBAL LIQUIDITY RETURNS, INSTITUTIONS ACCUMULATE, AND SUPPLY STAYS FIXED. THE NEXT MOVE WON’T BE SMALL.. #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
BITCOIN ISN’T ASKING FOR PERMISSION IT’S TARGETING $300,000. 🚀

THIS ISN’T HYPE. THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN GLOBAL LIQUIDITY RETURNS, INSTITUTIONS ACCUMULATE, AND SUPPLY STAYS FIXED.

THE NEXT MOVE WON’T BE SMALL..
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass
$BTC 1M Bulls have 8 days to close above 74k or else 50-52k is next. Simple Breakdown & Continuation if we remain like this.. #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
$BTC 1M
Bulls have 8 days to close above 74k or else 50-52k is next.
Simple Breakdown & Continuation if we remain like this..
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass
Ethereum is holding strong between $1.9k–$1.8k. That area is acting like a solid support zone where buyers keep stepping in. As long as ETH stays above this range, the chances of a move toward $2.1k or higher increase in the coming days. But it’s important to stay realistic: If $1.8k holds → bullish bias remains. If $1.8k breaks clearly → momentum could turn bearish. Right now, ETH isn’t exploding up it’s stabilizing. And strong moves often start from periods like this. The key level to watch is $1.8k. #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking
Ethereum is holding strong between $1.9k–$1.8k. That area is acting like a solid support zone where buyers keep stepping in.

As long as ETH stays above this range, the chances of a move toward $2.1k or higher increase in the coming days.

But it’s important to stay realistic:

If $1.8k holds → bullish bias remains.

If $1.8k breaks clearly → momentum could turn bearish.

Right now, ETH isn’t exploding up it’s stabilizing. And strong moves often start from periods like this.

The key level to watch is $1.8k.
#PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking
Still wild to look back at the October 10th liquidation wipeout — the sheer size of it was unreal. And that’s just $BTC which honestly held up better than most expected. On alts, though? That liquidation cascade was on another level entirely. A true once-in-a-generation event. Hard to imagine we’ll ever see forced unwinds of that magnitude again... #StrategyBTCPurchase
Still wild to look back at the October 10th liquidation wipeout — the sheer size of it was unreal.

And that’s just $BTC which honestly held up better than most expected.

On alts, though? That liquidation cascade was on another level entirely. A true once-in-a-generation event. Hard to imagine we’ll ever see forced unwinds of that magnitude again...
#StrategyBTCPurchase
$BTC It's us versus the world once more. Not to say I will be right, Since my X-istence, I have been wrong about 10% of the times (see receipts on my timeline). But the fact they all want 50k, or just a lower low in Q4, is clear. That is just my beyond obvious observation. #StrategyBTCPurchase
$BTC

It's us versus the world once more.

Not to say I will be right,

Since my X-istence, I have been wrong about 10% of the times (see receipts on my timeline).

But the fact they all want 50k, or just a lower low in Q4, is clear.

That is just my beyond obvious observation.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
$ETH looks very oversold right now. There has been a lot of selling. Every small bounce gets pushed back down. Funding has been negative and many traders have already been liquidated. That usually means most of the weak sellers are already out. This doesn’t mean the bottom is 100% in. It just means the strong selling pressure is slowing down. When a market gets this stretched, it doesn’t need big good news to bounce. It just needs the selling to calm down. A relief rally can happen simply because the market is tired. And right now, ETH looks tired. #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
$ETH looks very oversold right now.

There has been a lot of selling. Every small bounce gets pushed back down. Funding has been negative and many traders have already been liquidated. That usually means most of the weak sellers are already out.

This doesn’t mean the bottom is 100% in.

It just means the strong selling pressure is slowing down.

When a market gets this stretched, it doesn’t need big good news to bounce. It just needs the selling to calm down.

A relief rally can happen simply because the market is tired.

And right now, ETH looks tired.
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass
Important $BTC update. $BTC dumped below $66,000 yesterday liquidating $174M longs. Then, $BTC instantly pumped back above $67,000 casually liquidating $70M more. Now, below us at $64,000 - $66,000 we still have a sizable amount of liquidity. However, $68,000 - $71,000 has around 3x more liquidations built up ready to be taken, making this a higher probability zone to visit in the next days. Bulls really need to respond soon. #StrategyBTCPurchase
Important $BTC update.

$BTC dumped below $66,000 yesterday liquidating $174M longs.

Then, $BTC instantly pumped back above $67,000 casually liquidating $70M more.

Now, below us at $64,000 - $66,000 we still have a sizable amount of liquidity.

However, $68,000 - $71,000 has around 3x more liquidations built up ready to be taken, making this a higher probability zone to visit in the next days.

Bulls really need to respond soon.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
Some people think $60k was the bottom No, it was not. I can guarantee you that $BTC will go lower this year I don't trade sentiment, I trade patterns. BTC CYCLE PATTERN REMAINS THE SAME: 2015–2017 $bull: 1064 days 2017–2018 bear: 364 days 2018–2021 bull: 1064 days 2021–2022 $bear: 364 days 2022–2025 bull: 1064 days WE ARE GOING LOWER #Altseason will happen but only after bitcoin drops below $50k Let it be known that I warned you before it happened. Soon, I’m sharing exactly what to buy to for exponential gains. #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
Some people think $60k was the bottom

No, it was not.

I can guarantee you that $BTC will go lower this year

I don't trade sentiment, I trade patterns.

BTC CYCLE PATTERN REMAINS THE SAME:

2015–2017 $bull: 1064 days
2017–2018 bear: 364 days

2018–2021 bull: 1064 days
2021–2022 $bear: 364 days

2022–2025 bull: 1064 days

WE ARE GOING LOWER

#Altseason will happen but only after bitcoin drops below $50k

Let it be known that I warned you before it happened.

Soon, I’m sharing exactly what to buy to for exponential gains.
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass
$BTC Update & MMT Heatmap After several days of compression around the 69k region, price is still trading inside a heavy liquidity cluster. With liquidity stacked overhead in the 72–75k pocket, bids are still building below into the mid 60s. That keeps the range intact for now. From here, two things matter: If price reclaims 70k with acceptance, the path into the upper liquidity bands opens quickly. If we lose the current base and start accepting lower, there’s room for another liquidity sweep before any meaningful bounce. #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
$BTC Update & MMT Heatmap

After several days of compression around the 69k region, price is still trading inside a heavy liquidity cluster.

With liquidity stacked overhead in the 72–75k pocket, bids are still building below into the mid 60s.
That keeps the range intact for now.

From here, two things matter:

If price reclaims 70k with acceptance, the path into the upper liquidity bands opens quickly.

If we lose the current base and start accepting lower, there’s room for another liquidity sweep before any meaningful bounce.
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass
BTC almost took out the ~$66,621 weekly low. When we lose this weekly low, it'll be a bearish sign for the rest of the week. Why? As you can see, the current P1 is the ~$70,112 weekly high, and the ~$66,621 weekly low is the P2. Based on last 18 months of data, 88.4% of P1s is formed on a Monday or Tuesday. This means that if we lose the weekly low (P2) today, the ~$70,112 weekly high has a 88.4% chance of holding for the rest of the week. So looking for shorts after the losing the weekly low seems reasonable. You can't predict price of course, but statistics like these are a strong confirmation for a bearish thesis when we lose the ~$66,621 low. Let's see if the Bitcoin bulls can protect it. #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking
BTC almost took out the ~$66,621 weekly low.

When we lose this weekly low, it'll be a bearish sign for the rest of the week. Why?

As you can see, the current P1 is the ~$70,112 weekly high, and the ~$66,621 weekly low is the P2.

Based on last 18 months of data, 88.4% of P1s is formed on a Monday or Tuesday.

This means that if we lose the weekly low (P2) today, the ~$70,112 weekly high has a 88.4% chance of holding for the rest of the week.

So looking for shorts after the losing the weekly low seems reasonable.

You can't predict price of course, but statistics like these are a strong confirmation for a bearish thesis when we lose the ~$66,621 low.

Let's see if the Bitcoin bulls can protect it.
#PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking
$ETH liquidity is sitting in a rare equilibrium right now and that’s usually when the market gets most dangerous. On-chain and derivatives data show balanced liquidity clusters above and below price. That tells us one thing clearly: both longs and shorts are crowded and overconfident. When positioning looks this symmetrical, the market’s job is no longer direction it’s extraction. Here’s how this typically plays out: Phase 1 – Volatility Catalyst Macro tension (like the escalating situation between the United States and Iran) increases headline risk. Risk assets don’t wait for confirmation they react first. That’s where longs become vulnerable. Even a modest downside move can trigger cascading liquidations because leverage is already elevated. Phase 2 – False Confidence After longs are flushed, price often stabilizes just enough to invite late shorts. This is where most traders get trapped. The market creates the illusion that “the move is obvious now.” Phase 3 – Second Wipe Once short positioning becomes crowded, liquidity shifts again. A sharp rebound not necessarily a trend reversal is enough to force shorts to cover, completing the two-sided wipeout. The key insight: When liquidity is balanced, direction matters less than timing. Markets in this state are designed to punish conviction, not reward it. In environments like this, patience beats prediction. #StrategyBTCPurchase
$ETH liquidity is sitting in a rare equilibrium right now and that’s usually when the market gets most dangerous.

On-chain and derivatives data show balanced liquidity clusters above and below price. That tells us one thing clearly: both longs and shorts are crowded and overconfident. When positioning looks this symmetrical, the market’s job is no longer direction it’s extraction.

Here’s how this typically plays out:

Phase 1 – Volatility Catalyst
Macro tension (like the escalating situation between the United States and Iran) increases headline risk. Risk assets don’t wait for confirmation they react first. That’s where longs become vulnerable. Even a modest downside move can trigger cascading liquidations because leverage is already elevated.

Phase 2 – False Confidence
After longs are flushed, price often stabilizes just enough to invite late shorts. This is where most traders get trapped. The market creates the illusion that “the move is obvious now.”

Phase 3 – Second Wipe
Once short positioning becomes crowded, liquidity shifts again. A sharp rebound not necessarily a trend reversal is enough to force shorts to cover, completing the two-sided wipeout.

The key insight:
When liquidity is balanced, direction matters less than timing. Markets in this state are designed to punish conviction, not reward it.

In environments like this, patience beats prediction.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
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