Ethereum $1,900 Retest Could Decide Next Major Move – Is ETH Preparing For New Lows?
As most of the crypto market retests crucial levels, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to reclaim a major horizontal area. Some market observers have warned that cryptocurrency could fall to new lows if the price doesn’t bounce soon.
Ethereum Weekly Close On Sight On Thursday, Ethereum dropped 1.4% to retest a key area for the second consecutive day. After hitting a 10-month low of $1,747, the King of Altcoins bounced more than 15% to trade between $2,000 and $2,150 over the past few days. However, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap failed to hold the crucial $2,000 horizontal barrier on Wednesday and tested the $1,900 mark for the first time in a week. As most of the crypto market retests crucial levels, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to reclaim a major horizontal area. Some market observers have warned that cryptocurrency could fall to new lows if the price doesn’t bounce soon. After attempting to reclaim the key psychological level in the early hours of Thursday, Ethereum was rejected toward the recent lows, briefly falling below it. Analyst Ted Pillows highlighted the importance of ETH’s current zone, as it has previously triggered major moves.
To him, if the altcoin fails to reclaim the $2,000 area in the coming days, a full retrace toward the recent lows should be expected soon. Similarly, market observer Crypto Busy noted that the cryptocurrency is currently trading above a major long-term support. According to the post, the recent correction has sent Ethereum toward a three-year rising support line, which “will decide the next big move.” The analyst warned that “If the trendline breaks with strong weekly closes below $1,900, the structure weakens.” Therefore, ETH must hold its current levels in the coming days to avoid a weekly close below this level. Otherwise, its price could drop “into the next liquidity pockets around $1,600 and possibly $1,300, where the next historical support zones exist.” Is ETH’s ‘Real’ Bull Market Two Years Away? A trader shared a potential macro-outlook for Ethereum that suggests the cryptocurrency could still see another major shakeout. My thesis is that the major bullish move that began around 2019–2020 has transitioned into a large and prolonged macro correction, and that Ethereum has been consolidating within this broader corrective structure ever since. He outlined four phases for the macro structure: the pump, the correction, the shakeout, and the moon. The initial phase, which occurred between 2019 and 2021, marked “the true impulsive bullish move,” with strong trend expansion and increasing momentum.
According to the market observer, the strong rally that followed the 2022 bear market appears to be a “counter-trend move within a broader corrective range” rather than a renewed bull market and the start of a new long-term cycle. As he explained, ETH’s range-bound behavior signals distribution and consolidation instead of continuation. “From this perspective, the apparent bull market that developed within the correction can be interpreted as a dead cat bounce, a technically strong bounce occurring inside a larger corrective structure,” he affirmed. Therefore, the current macro structure would suggest that a final shakeout phase could “still be required to fully reset sentiment and liquidity before Ethereum can transition into a new impulsive bullish cycle. Based on this, the trader anticipated a final liquidity-driven move to the downside in the coming months, followed by “the moon” phase, potentially next year, when “the structure suggests the conditions for a true long-term bullish continuation, with price discovery and expansion well beyond previous highs.”
$BTC 4Hour - Things are looking pretty weak over here. With lack of volume, BTC lacks the strength to even keep above the EMAs and hold.
Good buy side volume was seen only once since the 60k bottom, and most bids are not giving spikes so we can expect some strength in the market.
Overall these are all signs of a bear market, the price is so weak it can't even go towards that one bare minimum resistance that everyone wants it to : $74k or $84k.
Although the max pain in the options expiry shows $84k with $8 Billion delta, price is still unable to show any strength to go there.
Along with this the Tariffs thing and the war news with Iran never helps better.
I would say times like these are perfect for buying bitcoin because everyone else is too scared to do so. And this gut feeling has given 90-100% win rate. Buying such an extreme bearish sentiment... #TrumpNewTariffs
$BTC Think that ultimately, yesterday's ruling was pretty decent all together.
It might give some more uncertainty with Trump complaining or announcing "new" tariffs but all together from what I've seen, the result should be less impactful than it was.
BTC itself still rangebound and it is a weekend but would not be surprised if this were to hunt some local shorts here with all these equal highs... #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease
Still wild to look back at the October 10th liquidation wipeout — the sheer size of it was unreal.
And that’s just $BTC which honestly held up better than most expected.
On alts, though? That liquidation cascade was on another level entirely. A true once-in-a-generation event. Hard to imagine we’ll ever see forced unwinds of that magnitude again... #StrategyBTCPurchase
There has been a lot of selling. Every small bounce gets pushed back down. Funding has been negative and many traders have already been liquidated. That usually means most of the weak sellers are already out.
This doesn’t mean the bottom is 100% in.
It just means the strong selling pressure is slowing down.
When a market gets this stretched, it doesn’t need big good news to bounce. It just needs the selling to calm down.
A relief rally can happen simply because the market is tired.
Then, $BTC instantly pumped back above $67,000 casually liquidating $70M more.
Now, below us at $64,000 - $66,000 we still have a sizable amount of liquidity.
However, $68,000 - $71,000 has around 3x more liquidations built up ready to be taken, making this a higher probability zone to visit in the next days.
$ETH liquidity is sitting in a rare equilibrium right now and that’s usually when the market gets most dangerous.
On-chain and derivatives data show balanced liquidity clusters above and below price. That tells us one thing clearly: both longs and shorts are crowded and overconfident. When positioning looks this symmetrical, the market’s job is no longer direction it’s extraction.
Here’s how this typically plays out:
Phase 1 – Volatility Catalyst Macro tension (like the escalating situation between the United States and Iran) increases headline risk. Risk assets don’t wait for confirmation they react first. That’s where longs become vulnerable. Even a modest downside move can trigger cascading liquidations because leverage is already elevated.
Phase 2 – False Confidence After longs are flushed, price often stabilizes just enough to invite late shorts. This is where most traders get trapped. The market creates the illusion that “the move is obvious now.”
Phase 3 – Second Wipe Once short positioning becomes crowded, liquidity shifts again. A sharp rebound not necessarily a trend reversal is enough to force shorts to cover, completing the two-sided wipeout.
The key insight: When liquidity is balanced, direction matters less than timing. Markets in this state are designed to punish conviction, not reward it.