People didn’t believe in me… until the numbers spoke for themselves.
In trading, trust isn’t built on promises. It’s built on consistency over time. I don’t need everyone to believe in me from day one. I just need to stay focused, stick to my system, and keep delivering. To everyone who continues to follow and support — I’m grateful.
Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker has sent a bill to President Trump demanding the return of $8.6 billion following the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs.
This move reflects a legal and political escalation after a court decision that could reopen the debate on tariffs and their impact on states and local economies.
The issue could see renewed confrontations between states and the federal government.
🔔The US Supreme Court rejected Trump's right to impose tariffs under the IEEPA. Therefore, the administration must find another legal basis to continue its tough trade policy. The measure he proposed was to invoke Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974: Imposing an additional 10% tariff on all imported goods for 150 days (and potentially extended if approved by Congress). 👉Expanded tariffs → trade and supply chain instability → greater economic risk → investors seek gold as a safe haven. Policy uncertainty could also reduce confidence in the USD and trigger capital flows into gold.
🔴The US may need to repay $175 billion in tariffs.
Breaking News
On February 20, the US Supreme Court ruled that the Trump administration's tariff policy was unreasonable. The Trump administration had not provided tax collection data since December 14. However, economists at the Wharton School of Budget Modeling at the University of Pennsylvania had previously estimated that Trump's tariffs, imposed under the International Economic Powers Act, exceeded $175 billion. With the Supreme Court ruling, this amount may have to be repaid.
Price is compressing right at key resistance. breakout loading. 🙏 Patience now could mean pips later. The move is coming… the question is: will you be ready? 🔸
Clean structure. Clear level. High-probability moment. We wait for confirmation then we execute.
In just 100 days, the crypto market has erased more than $730 billion in value. What we are witnessing is an unprecedented short-term capital flight, deepening the contraction of the crypto economy.
$730 billion—is a staggering reflection of how quickly the tide has turned. This "100-day" window essentially captures the market's transition from the record-breaking optimism of late 2025 into the "Bear Leg" of 2026.
here is a breakdown of why this contraction is feeling so "unprecedented."
The Anatomy of the $730B Wipeout While $730 billion sounds like a single event, it is actually the result of a "perfect storm" of macro and technical failures:
The "Davos" Hangover: Much of the capital flight began after the high of the Davos summit. Despite bullish political rhetoric, the market faced a reality check as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) climbed above 97.5, sucking liquidity out of risk assets.
Institutional De-risking: For the first time, we are seeing the "double-edged sword" of institutional adoption. Unlike retail "HODLers," institutions operate on strict risk-management rules. When Bitcoin broke its 365-day moving average earlier this month, it triggered systematic sell programs from hedge funds and corporate treasuries.
The Deleveraging Cycle: In early February alone, over $2.5 billion in liquidations occurred in a single weekend.
Why This Feels Different.
I mentioned "unprecedented short-term capital flight," Usually, crypto crashes are isolated. This time, crypto is crashing alongside gold and silver, which dropped significantly in late January. This suggests we aren't just seeing a "crypto crash," but a global flight to cash triggered by geopolitical tensions (like the Greenland diplomatic crisis) and a hawkish Federal Reserve.
The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that President Trump overstepped authority under the IEEPA - invalidating most 2025 “reciprocal” & fentanyl-related tariffs (~70% of total).
💰 Importers could claim $150–175B in refunds. ⚖️ Section 232 & 301 tariffs remain. 📜 Admin may use other laws to reinstate duties.
A 6–3 call from the Supreme Court of the United States changes the risk map overnight.
If ~$150B+ in refunds becomes real, that’s liquidity shifting hands fast.
But with other tools still on the table, this isn’t a clean reset. ⚖️💰.
🚨 🇺🇸 GDP SLOWS AMID COOLING SPENDING AND TRADE DEFICIT.
Expectations were 3%. Q4 GDP just came in at 1.4%
Growth is weakening; some of the slowdown is being attributed to the late-2025 government shutdown and cooling consumer spending as high borrowing costs finally bite.
The economy is losing steam faster than expected. Markets are now watching rate cuts very closely 👀
1.4% GDP print confirms the economy is losing momentum. High borrowing costs biting consumers is the big driver. Rate-cut bets rising fast. In crypto, dips from macro fear create entry chances if fundamentals are solid.
1. Don't rush the flat, let it play out. Based on my math, it may last another 1-2 weeks.
2. Although I think we will visit $78,000 - $82,000 area before a drop to $50,000, I'm not rushing into LONG positions. We will have our time.
3. The closer your purchases are to $64,000 - $65,000 support — the better. You either buy the support or the breakout. There is no point in buying the middle line.
4. I expect Altcoins to outperform Bitcoin on the next move up, so once the local up-trend is confirmed (breakout or at least compressing of $72,000) — I will focus on alt setups, not bitcoin.
5. Keep in mind that our final destination — $50,000 (not the absolute bottom, just the next target of the bearish cycle). If you want to catch every possible move, it is better to start building your SHORT in the Target Zone (low leverage only).
6. Invalidation of this setup — breakdown of the $64,000 support. If it happens, I will cut losses and switch my focus to SHORTs.
Trump orders declassification of UFO files — Polymarket reacts.
Donald Trump reportedly instructed the Pentagon to declassify documents related to UFOs and potential extraterrestrial life.
Following the announcement, betting volumes surged on Polymarket, where traders speculate on the likelihood of official confirmation of alien contact.
According to posts on Twitter, Vitalik Buterin (#ETH) allegedly placed a $148k bet that the U.S. will not confirm the existence of extraterrestrials before 2027.
The episode illustrates how political headlines can quickly translate into predictive market activity.
Peter Schiff stated that if Bitcoin breaks below $50,000, the next likely target could be $20,000.
Such a move would represent an 84% decline from its all-time high. He noted that while Bitcoin has experienced severe drawdowns before, current conditions include elevated leverage, significant institutional participation, and a much larger market capitalization.
Schiff urged investors to consider selling BTC before a deeper correction unfolds.
🏛️🇺🇸 The White House sets March 1st as a deadline.
The US administration has set March 1st as the deadline to resolve the dispute over stablecoin rewards, aiming to pave the way for progress on the cryptocurrency market regulation project known as the Clarity Act ⚖️
Resolving the stablecoin rewards issue is a crucial step before pushing the broader legislation forward in Congress.
The coming weeks could be decisive for the future of the regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies in the United States 👀📊