I don't want to impress you with the amount. I'm showing the positions only as proof that I'm not just writing here, but proof that my analysis is working.
It appears that the recent noise around COMEX — particularly the dramatic narrative about “vanishing supply” and unstoppable physical demand — was carefully packaged for public consumption.
For those unfamiliar: COMEX inventories are split into eligible and registered categories. “Eligible” metal simply means it meets exchange standards and is stored in approved vaults — it doesn’t mean it’s for sale. “Registered” metal is what’s actually available for delivery against futures contracts. When headlines scream about falling inventories, they often blur this distinction, creating the impression of an imminent shortage.
And right on cue, today a friend of mine — someone with absolutely no interest in trading — passionately explained to me that silver must be bought immediately because “there’s almost none left” and prices are about to explode.
You can imagine how deeply impressed I was by such elegant, airtight logic.
Retail excitement built on simplified supply stories rarely ends with quiet, orderly price action.
So yes — I’ve closed my long positions in gold and silver. #Silver
Crypto AnalyZen
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Silver Has Become Incredibly Popular Over the Last Three Months - Annual and Monthly Analysis
$XAG Silver has become incredibly popular over the last three months — pay special attention to these three months 😉
I haven’t traded silver for a long time, but at the request of friends, I decided to analyze what’s really going on with it. 👉 So before I start adding any markings to the chart, please focus on the Annual Silver Chart.
📊 Annual Chart The accumulation zone from 1984–2005 is very noteworthy.
That period coincided with the appearance of the first computers, cordless phones, flat screens, and the replacement of electronic circuits with chips — and this is when demand for silver first began to increase. The second accumulation zone (2015-2019) formed just before the advent of artificial intelligence 😉
At that time, forecasts appeared about a future increase in silver’s value due to the development of new technologies. Now look at the decline in silver’s price in 2020:
AI became a hot topic, chip demand exploded — but the general public was still asleep. As a result, the price was easily pushed down to the 2009 opening level, where large-scale silver buying originally began. At the beginning, the trend developed as it always does: ➡️ A new high → a sharp pullback ➡️ A new high → a sharp pullback 2025 was a key year for silver.
I especially want to draw attention to the 2025 candlestick for those who rushed to buy silver recently out of FOMO 😉 📌 In 2025, the price rose from 28 → 83 📌 In January 2026, the rally continued due to strong public FOMO, and a new all-time high at 121.559 was formed.
📈 Monthly Chart The impulsive upward move began in June 2025.
In other words: quiet accumulation during the first five months of the year → a sharp rise → a gentle pullback in December → then another push up with a sharper pullback in January 2026. The January 2026 candle closed almost exactly at the old 2025 all-time high, at the 23% Fibonacci level of the entire monthly range, and left a long upper wick — which is more typical of a potential reversal. In the first days of February, about 25% of that upper wick was already tested, followed by a strong pullback to the January opening level. All of this points to a high probability of price moving down into the 2025 gap zone, marked below. 📌 The middle of that gap aligns with the old 2011 all-time high: 49.78 If price enters the gap zone, don’t rush into buying until the old 2011 ATH is tested. ✔️ Ideally, wait for a decline to at least 75% of the gap → 39.87 At the same time, if a new ATH forms (even temporarily), we may first see a test of the upper-wick levels of the January candle, either before or after the drop into the gap zone (as shown on the last chart).
After my last call to action, I was simply observing the developments.
The condition remains in effect: to continue holding longs, I want to see this week's close at or above last week's opening level
Report on open longs $BTC , $LINK , and $LTC are showing the best results. #ETH is lagging far behind, but I think there's a hidden loading of positions and longs, which will be resolved by a sharp surge. #BTC☀
$BTC The price hasn't reached last week's low (65,089) If a rejection pattern is forming, the weekly candlestick's close should be at or above last week's opening (70,288)
The decline from 126k follows three waves 1st wave 126k-101k = 25 2nd wave 116k-80k = 36 3rd wave 97.9k-59.8k = 38
The price has fallen below the old all-time high
Open Interest is increasing as the price declines
All indications point to a high probability of an upward rebound
A new long has been opened Target - we'll likely see levels above the start of the third leg I expect the upward movement won't be as rapid as we saw last year
I'll scale profits, increase and decrease the position, and move the stop depending on conditions #StrategyBTCPurchase #bitcoin
ETH 2026: Structure suggests rotation, not collapse.
$ETH — Annual Chart The coin has been trading within a wide range, with an ATH in 2018 at 81.79 and an ATH in 2025 at 4,956.78. Last year, an attempt was made to break out of the range by forming a new ATH slightly above the previous 2021 ATH (4,868.00). If we ignore the tails of the annual candles, the price appears to be holding within the boundaries of the 2021 range, suggesting that the upward move may still be incomplete. I would particularly like to draw attention to the 2025 annual candle, which has almost equal upper and lower wicks.
At the beginning of 2026, the price dropped into the lower wick zone. Measuring that lower wick, the price tested the 75% level (1,781.73). Considering the sharp decline from the 2026 opening level (2,971.64) at the start of the year, there is a high probability of an upward rebound — potentially testing not only the 2026 opening level but also previous yearly opening levels, as well as the Fibonacci levels derived from the upper wick of the 2025 annual candle. In this scenario, the following levels should be monitored: 2,281.87 — 2024 open 2,971.65 — 2026 open 3,337.78 — 2025 open 3,402.89 — 2026 high 3,676.22 — 2022 open and 25% (3,742.53) of the 2025 upper wick 4,104.80 — 2024 high and 50% (4,147.28) of the 2025 upper wick 4,552.03 — 75% of the 2025 upper wick Weekly Chart On the weekly chart, I have marked the entire 2025 range using Fibonacci retracements.
Currently (week 3 of 2026), the price has dropped below the 78% Fibonacci retracement level and below the gap zone, briefly entering the April 2025 order block zone — the month in which a reversal formation developed, followed by a strong upward move and the formation of a new ATH. I suspect that a rejection structure may now be forming on the weekly chart. For confirmation, the current weekly candle should close at or above the open of the previous weekly candle (2,089.73). Conclusion All current conditions indicate a high probability of an upward move and favorable conditions for positioning in the spot market, as well as for opening long positions in the futures market. P.S. This entire analysis is human-generated, without any use of artificial intelligence.
$BTC Monthly chart - high probability of price decline to 62% Fibonacci level (57.728)
The 2023 opening level (47k) is marked below
I'd like to see a strong increase in open interest as the price declines. . . otherwise, we'll fall further ;)
P. S. My previous long position with adding and closing in parts, pulled the entry point to 66200. Suggesting a continued decline. I simply closed the long and now I'm waiting for a "golden" condition ;) simultaneously, a reversal in gold - in the upper zone, and a new low or reversal in Bitcoin
$XAG - Silver risk of a decline to 69 (78% fibo) I have a small position open and a stop below the previous low If there is a decline to 69, the position will be increased Target - gap zone above 94-104 #Silver #XAG