OGAS币浪

Can't smile anymore, folks. As long as you dare to set the pattern for short-term trading, a wave of pullback will take you away directly.

One second a floating profit of 20%, the next second a floating loss of 30%.
I can only say that near the pressure level, for short-term trading, you should leave when you need to.
$ARC

At 845, greed took over and I wouldn't leave; I'm going to be taught a lesson 😰. I said I'd just take a lick and run, what a situation, everyone.

$ESP
There are actually more opportunities with the new currency, but the corresponding risks are also high. Just now, those who entered at 0.09 are still hanging on the tree.

However, since the volume has increased, I'll still give it a try, setting the stop loss at 0.079 and taking a bite before running!

The token $0G has previously gone below the daily MA60 several times, but the risks and risk-reward ratio of shorting are less ideal than going long. Now the 0G volume is sufficient, but it is being pressured by both the 4-hour MA180 and the daily MA30, with strong selling pressure around 0.75. For those looking for stability, it is advisable to wait for it to hold above 0.75 before going long. As long as it holds above 0.75, the possibility of breaking through MA180 and going directly to 1 is quite significant.

For long positions, conservative stop-loss points are recommended at 0.69 and aggressive ones at 0.635.

Xiong Lian $BERA once again stands on the list of rising stocks. Moreover, if we had paid attention to Xiong Lian in advance, we could have deepened our understanding and experience of trading logic through the process of placing orders, as well as cultivated our trading sense.
Taking Xiong Lian as an example, looking at the 15-minute K-line chart, the trading volume during the previous consolidation was not much different, nor was there any significant breakthrough; however, in the second trading volume of this surge, it skyrocketed, driving the asset to rise, directly breaking through the MA120 position of the 4-hour line. For such tokens, in the current market with insufficient liquidity, they are relatively advantageous tokens.

However, the market often encounters situations where the 4-hour line and daily line MA overlap, leading to dual pressure. Xiong Lian has just been oscillating repeatedly between 0.62 and 0.64. Many bulls set their take-profit points at the MA moving average, while some bears place short orders here. Correspondingly, if the selling pressure is strong, it will be difficult to break through or even pull back.
Taking this type of token that fluctuates back and forth near the MA moving average as an example, if the asset can stabilize at the MA moving average on the 2nd or 3rd 15-minute line, then we can enter to chase the long (but since the entry position is not as good as those who entered right after the initial breakout, the leverage and position should be smaller). Conversely, if it cannot stabilize at the MA moving average, it is also a strategy to open a short position with a stop loss set at 3-4 percentage points and quickly enter and exit.

Another token on the rising list, $TAKE , although it seems to have continuously broken through the resistance levels on the 4-hour line, even impacting MA90, its previous trend also has high reference value. TAKE experienced a sharp drop from around 0.5 to 0.1 by the end of 2025, and then continued to decline to the present, accumulating nearly a 95% drop. Although this type of token has experienced a surge, the previous market makers drew liquidity too aggressively. If choosing to trade such altcoins, it is advisable to adopt a super short-term strategy of taking a quick profit.

Today, the non-farm payrolls brought some positive news, successfully pulling up a 15-minute bullish line for Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, as the Nasdaq opened high and then fell, ETH returned from the 2015 position to around 1950 again.
It is worth noting that from the four-hour chart, Ethereum has a small support level around 1930. So, it seems that with intense bullish and bearish competition, and an unclear trend, in terms of short-term trading logic, the bears can wait for Ethereum to clearly decline, breaking below 1930 or even 1920 before considering entering, with a stop-loss around the four-hour MA30, near 2060; while if going long, a stop-loss can also be placed near 1930 or even 1900.

Additionally, from a monthly perspective, the lowest point in May 2025 is at 1750, which is not much different from the previous low of 1736. Therefore, considering the medium to long-term, it seems that the profit margin and risk-reward ratio for shorting are not ideal.

Of course, even though the overall liquidity in the crypto market is low, altcoins cannot be said to be completely hopeless. There is a fixed opportunity this year, the World Cup matches; correspondingly, we can pay attention to the leading coin in the sports sector, CHZ. CHZ recently increased nearly double from around 0.033, and the first batch of entrants have already profited; however, the opportunity for CHZ cannot be said to be over, as its market may continue until March or April. Right now, it is just at a double support level on the weekly and daily charts, and small funds buying spot or using low leverage to establish long positions are high-probability strategies.

In addition, DEX tokens are also worth everyone's attention; $HYPE and $ASTER have both seen a surge. The introduction of various crypto regulatory policies in regions such as the EU in 2025 certainly carries a hint of 'partial normalization', but it also means that CEX faces more constraints. The experimental behavior of new coins first listing on DEX may increase, which also means more airdrops and trading volume, making DEX a sector worth following for both medium to long-term and short-term players.

Recently, there has been a lot of news and discussion about "JD is about to launch stablecoins in Hong Kong." Discussions like "Are we going to half-wash it?" and "It should be easier to deposit and withdraw in the future" can often be seen in the square and other places.

However, the first point to clarify is the most important one: although the JD stablecoin is likely to be in the first batch of photos in March, it is JD-HKD, not RMB-based. The Hong Kong dollar is essentially highly pegged to the US dollar. Therefore, JD's stablecoin is closer to the USDC / USDT system, and it is not meant for cryptocurrency users to conduct RMB deposits and withdrawals; rather, it is intended for JD's cross-border trading partners to settle payments.

The second point is that there are claims that this is the homeland "experimenting with the opening of digital currency," and the deposit and withdrawal environment will be significantly relaxed in the future. It must be emphasized that the homeland is not unaware of the technological advantages of blockchain in payment and clearing; the centralized digital currency, digital RMB (e-CNY), has been launched for many years, but it is also not meant for cryptocurrency users to conduct deposits and withdrawals.

We must understand that the homeland places great importance on financial sovereignty, allowing private enterprises to issue stablecoins linked to the RMB that can circulate freely on the chain can essentially be seen as granting the right to issue currency. This means providing a fast track for systemic risks such as capital outflow and the conversion of real to virtual assets. In the homeland's system, this point almost lacks policy space. So, even though Hong Kong is a window for foreign exchange and a policy testing ground, in the long run, RMB stablecoins also lack a realistic foundation, as the relevant ecosystem has long been occupied by e-CNY.

Therefore, some viewpoints that think a large number of new retail investors need to enter the market, or that it will facilitate deposits and withdrawals, are still overly optimistic. The JD stablecoin is more likely just a compliant stablecoin experiment under the HKD-USD system. Even if it is listed for trading in the future, there won’t be a large influx of new players or new retail investors from the mainland. Even mainstream CEXs like Binance will likely not list this coin, making it difficult to bring substantial new liquidity to the contract market.

So, retail investors actually do not need to pay attention to news about JD stablecoins. In contrast, the factors that truly determine the medium-term liquidity and risk appetite in the crypto market are still macro variables from the US and European markets, such as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and non-farm employment, like the non-farm report to be released tonight.

At the end of January and the beginning of February this year, mainstream coins experienced a significant pullback, and large-scale liquidations in the contract market directly drained the market's short-term liquidity. It is evident that after a sharp decline in altcoins, the trading volume of most tokens in the contract market evaporated, and the participation of individual traders also decreased; one could say that these two aspects complement each other. As the market makers' motivation to push prices up diminishes, retail investors are also reluctant to enter the market, making it difficult to accurately gauge trends for both long and short positions. In other words, as most funds begin to adopt a wait-and-see approach, a de facto bear market has already begun.

However, if we extend the time frame, the current decline does not seem to simply equate to 'about to enter a deep bear market.' In the past two years, the European Union has implemented multiple regulatory frameworks for crypto assets, the types and issuers of stablecoins have been steadily increasing, and they are gradually entering mainstream CEX and DEX systems.
These changes are certainly not encouraging speculation, but rather that centralized entities, including governments, banking systems, and institutional market makers, have effectively accepted cryptocurrencies as a long-term financial infrastructure that is 'not easily destroyed or marginalized.' So, can this 'official expectation' explain the shortening of the downturn cycle for mainstream coins and the cryptocurrency market as a whole? It seems to have a certain degree of persuasive power.

On the other hand, the significant declines of Bitcoin and Ethereum during the recent downturn have already reached depths comparable to early March 2025, and the potential for further declines is hard to assess.

Meanwhile, under the backdrop of escalating geopolitical conflicts and the structural decoupling between China and the United States, gold and silver have seen relatively rapid increases, reflecting the inherent nature of capital's aversion to risk. However, when traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver become overheated and experience significant pullbacks, will capital continue to seek new hedging targets? In this case, BTC and ETH at least have the potential to be included in the alternative list.

Additionally, ETH currently possesses the most extensive application ecosystem, with a substantial number of staking networks queued to enter the sequence, indicating that a large number of market makers and institutions still hold considerable consensus and confidence in its long-term safety and yield structure. If the ETH ecosystem can maintain its dominant position at the application layer while its staking and fee mechanisms regain more value recognition, then in the long run, ETH's increase may surpass that of BTC.

$ASTER hype has risen, can the aster that so many people are promoting still run? DEX has been hot recently at

this point directly in, stop loss set at 673, take profit first see if it can stabilize at 0.7, if it stabilizes at 0.7 the next resistance level is at 0.77. Take profit depends on you guys, as long as you all make money.

$FOGO Although it is Solana's coin, the daily chart has already shown a downward trend. Recently, several 15-minute charts have exhibited significant volume and an upward trend, which aligns with the logic of going long.

If you enter the market now, the push stop-loss is at 0.04; just take a quick profit, or adjust the strategy as you wish.

$HYPE The heat is still there, and there are still whales continuing to increase their long positions. The upward trend is also present, but the problem is that there are multiple resistance levels structurally from 33 to 37.

Yesterday, the recommended position was around 25. Those who haven't exited yet can consider taking half off the table for safety. Entering the market now isn't out of the question, and I recommend setting a stop loss at 30.7 or 30, with a take profit target in the 35-40 range, or choose freely.

$BCH pulled a needle directly to 600, and now the MA30 of the 4-hour line has become a support level. If you enter directly at this price, you can set the stop loss at 585.

After all, the main force has entered, and the trading volume has suddenly soared. Why not take a gamble, brothers?

Short-term players can take profits at 603-607, looking at higher positions in the pattern.

$HYPE Recently, there has been a lot of positive news about DEX, and the hype's own K-line trend also aligns with the upward trend. The 4-hour line and daily line have both broken through MA30, which makes it a good opportunity to go long.
Consider setting a stop-loss around 24 and a take-profit range between 26.3 and 30, or even higher. Be adaptable.

Good afternoon brothers, sending a red envelope 🧧 let's go eat

$RESOLV
Tokens that break the daily MA180 will be very strong. Now, the next resistance level to look at is around 0.15, and it has been increasing in volume.
It’s also possible to enter now, but the stop loss should be set a bit higher, at 0.11. The take profit can be a small gain before exiting, or directly targeting around 0.15.
However, Bitcoin and Ethereum are too weak, so when trading altcoins, it’s better to use a small position with leverage. Although apart from the gainers list, there’s not much else to play with, one must be cautious with tokens that rise sharply.

$ETH
The yellow-haired army is gathering in the Persian Gulf. Do you brothers still remember the days last year when the U.S. bombed Iran and the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum fell?
Recently, due to the tax threats and military preparations from the yellow-haired old man, the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum have been seriously affected. Whether going long or short, caution is necessary; at the same time, the decline in Bitcoin and Ethereum has also led to a weakening of the overall liquidity of altcoins.

However, silver and gold almost always benefit from geopolitical conflicts, so it's appropriate to hold a bit of $XAU $XAG or look into the leading sports token CHZ.

After all, the U.S.-Iran conflict is uncertain, but the World Cup presents a certain opportunity.