币圈布吉道

【The 4 Underlying Logics of Stable and Profitable Trading】: Winners Never Do Technical Analysis, 90% of the Time Waiting

Traders who can truly make stable profits spend 90% of their time not studying technology but doing four "simple yet deadly" things:

Wait: Like a sniper, lying in wait, only pulling the trigger on 20% of trending markets, avoiding the ineffective consumption of 80% of sideways periods; retail investors, on the other hand, are addicted to high-frequency trading, exhausting their resources in garbage time.

Review: Three things done without fail every day—statistic win rate/profit-loss ratio/drawdown, identify all mistakes (even if losing 1 dollar), rehearse the next day's strategy. No exceptions, that’s what makes it professional.

Control Emotions: Take profit decisively, and never hesitate on stop-loss; leave no “I think” loopholes in discipline, and do not let candlestick patterns lead emotions.

Manage Funds: Even with a 99% win rate, do not heavily invest in one go—one unexpected event can wipe out all gains; it’s more important to be alive than to make quick money.

The essence of trading is not about who has the better indicators, but about who can better control their hands, calm their mind, and respect the market. If you can master these four steps, you’ll be among the few winners.

$ETH $BTC $BNB

The Blood and Tears Lessons of Cryptocurrency Traders: The More You Research Indicators, the More You Lose? Because You Got the Focus Wrong

Have you been trading for two years and still research indicators, patterns, and parameters every day? Thinking you're improving your skills, but in reality, you're just seeking 'security'—trying to combat an uncertain market with a 'certain answer.' But the money you've lost isn't due to a lack of technical knowledge; it's because you didn't exit when you should have, didn't stop when you needed to, over-leveraged, and hesitated—it's all about mindset and execution holding you back.

The market has no 'sure win signals'; the same tools yield vastly different results in different hands. Real mature traders become increasingly 'lazy': they are not in a rush to prove themselves right, they don't dwell on 'if only I had held longer,' they only care about 'can this trade be executed comfortably.' Compared to entering trades, they want to understand 'when to not participate'—when their state isn't right, or their emotions are unstable, no matter how good the opportunity, it will still be a drain.

The difference has never been technique; it's whether you can remain clear-headed amid chaos: accepting uncertainty, tolerating imperfection, and following rules even when you don't feel it. Remember: the market doesn't lack methods; it lacks people who can use methods long-term. Stop fantasizing about 'one big turnaround'; respecting every ordinary choice is the first step to grasping trading.

The final heart-wrenching truth: does this paragraph make you uncomfortable? It indicates you're the person who needs to be awakened. True experts have long stopped wasting energy on 'finding methods.'

The Trading Psychology Class is here~ "Cryptocurrency Mirror: Your Greed and Fear are all Written in the Candlestick Chart | What is the Ultimate Practice of Trading?"

The cryptocurrency world is like a "mirror"—chasing highs is an unrestrained greed, panic selling is fear out of control, being fully invested is the thrill of gambling, and stubbornly holding onto losing positions is avoiding mistakes. Every transaction reveals your character flaws, and profits and losses are a straightforward feedback on your cognitive level, with no hiding.

True experts have long abandoned impatience: no longer chasing highs or panic selling, learning to be calm like waiting for a bus—only seizing opportunities that they can understand and are confident in, even if they miss out on N seemingly profitable temptations, they only wait for the right cognitive alignment to act. The cryptocurrency world is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is the "inner cultivation" to understand oneself and correct weaknesses. From discovering greed and fear to accepting and correcting them, this is the most meaningful "cryptocurrency trading class."

Don't rush; if you miss this wave, there will be another one. Stay calm, and only then can you overcome your inner demons and see the truth.

「Gold trading is halted but XAU is skyrocketing! Monday opens up 5000+, key levels + non-farm data operation guide」

Currently, XAU is surging to 4980, expected to open high on Monday (or rise by 30-50 USD), heading straight for 5000 USD. $XAU

Current gold trend and key levels​

Fluctuation range: 4600-5100 USD, currently at 4961, has broken through the upper edge of the small cycle triangle, but has not broken the large box;

Key resistance levels: 5100 (upper edge of the box), 5135 (Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level, if it stabilizes at the 4-hour close then go long on the right side);

False breakout risk: After breaking 5100, there may be a spike down, need to confirm if it stabilizes at 5135.

Core influencing factors for next week​

Data aspect: Next Wednesday's non-farm + CPI (originally scheduled for the first week, delayed due to government shutdown), if “weak employment + strong inflation” → interest rate cut expectations rise → gold surges;

Geopolitical aspect: Progress in US-Iran negotiations (reconciliation would be bearish, friction would be bullish).

Operation strategy​

High opening to chase long: If it stabilizes at the middle track of the Bollinger Bands on Monday's pullback, go long to the upper edge of the range;

Resistance level for shorting: 5100/5135 if persistently unbroken + V-shaped reversal, lightly short;

Follow-up after events: Wednesday's data/negotiation results, wait for direction to clarify before entering;

Tracking breakout: If it breaks down below 5000, returning to box fluctuation, can follow short.

Trend outlook​

Short-term: Driven by data + geopolitical factors, may surge (need to break 5135) or continue to fluctuate (4600-5100);

Long-term: A major bull market requires extreme events to drive (such as serious geopolitical conflicts), otherwise may continue to fluctuate and adjust.
#美国伊朗对峙 #XAU

【Why I Don't Short Gold, Silver, and Other Precious Metals?】Only if these four points are met will I short them. #黄金 #美国伊朗对峙 #白银

In-depth analysis of last night's BTC crash, reasons for the decline in gold and US stocks, and analysis of future market trends. $BTC $XAU $TSLA

Global Hotspot Overview: [US-Iran Standoff + Musk's XAI Recruiting Blockchain Talent + Waller Nominated as Federal Reserve Chair + Trump Supports Cryptocurrency] Come and share your thoughts in the comments~

【Gold surged and then corrected, can we still get in now? 😂 Key price levels + full analysis of the rise and fall logic!】
$XAU
Current situation: After a peak of $5600 this year, it is currently oscillating between $4700 and $4900, which is a technical adjustment. The short-term bearish factor is the hawkish stance of the new Federal Reserve Chairman Waller, raising concerns about interest rate hikes; the long-term bullish factor is the central bank's gold buying spree (1200 tons bought in January, with China increasing for 14 consecutive months), and short-term fluctuations do not change the long-term bullish foundation.

Key price levels:

Support level: First line of defense $4695-$4750 (technical bottom for correction), ultimate line of defense $4400-$4500 (last year's high point, national team bottom buying zone);

Resistance level: First barrier $4852 (bearish defense zone), decisive level $5000 (after breaking through, heading straight for $5200), stabilizing above $5000 opens up the upward channel.

Future scenarios:

Consolidation and accumulation (60% probability): The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance fuels concerns, oscillating between $4400 and $5000, with swing trading (buy on large dips, sell on large rises);

Breakout charge (30% probability): Geopolitical conflicts/USD plummeting, breaking $5000 to reach $5200-$5500, decisively increasing positions;

Black swan plunge (10% probability): Strong U.S. economic data, breaking $4400 to test $4200, watch for a stop loss if $4400 breaks.

Positioning guide:

Short-term: Focus on breaking $4852 to go long, with a rebound setup at $4700;

Medium-term: Build positions in batches between $4000 and $4500, add more if breaking $5000;

Long-term: Regular investment in gold, core logic “global de-dollarization + risk aversion = long-term appreciation.”

Summary: $5000 is the dividing line for bulls and bears, and short-term fluctuations do not change the long-term bullish trend; just follow the trend and stick to the key levels. $XAU