Bitcoin Weekly Outlook: Elliott Wave Structure Suggests a Major Multi-Month Correction Is Underway
Bitcoin’s explosive run to a new all-time high at $126,000 marked a historic moment—but from a technical perspective, it may also represent the completion of a full five-wave impulsive cycle on the higher timeframes. The monthly and weekly charts both display classic signs of exhaustion at the top of Wave 5: fading momentum, bearish divergence, and a sharp initial reversal.
If this wave count is correct, Bitcoin is now entering a multi-month corrective phase before the next major macro bull wave begins. 1. Wave (5) Likely Completed at $126,000 — Cycle Top Confirmed From the November 2022 bottom near $15,000, Bitcoin has rallied in a remarkably clean Elliott Wave impulse: Wave 3 peaked around $73k Wave 4 corrected into $56kWave 5 extended sharply into $126k, ending with a dramatic momentum slowdown The structure is textbook. The emotions at the top were classic too—euphoria, rapid inflows, and overstretched indicators. All signals lined up to indicate that Wave (5) had likely topped. 2. Wave A: Sharp Breakdown Toward the $80k Zone The violent decline from $117k → $80k unfolded in a clear five-wave impulsive structure, which is typical of: Wave A of an ABC correction This drop reset overheated indicators and shook out weak hands. Lower-timeframe divergences show buyers returning, suggesting that Wave A is completed or very close to it. 3. Wave B Relief Rally: Targeting $100k–$112k After Wave A bottoms, the market typically rallies in a corrective Wave B, which often retraces 38%–61.8% of Wave A’s decline. That places Bitcoin’s next short-term upside targets around: 🎯Likely Wave B Targets $94k – $100k$110k – $112k (Extended retracement) Wave B rallies often feel bullish and convincing—but historically, they’re traps for late buyers as they precede the deepest part of the correction. 4. Wave C: The Final Washout Toward $70k–$58k Once Wave B tops out, Bitcoin would likely begin Wave C, the final and usually most powerful leg of the correction. Using Fibonacci projections and typical Elliott Wave behavior: 📉 Expected Wave C Targets $71k (0.5 Fib retracement)$58k (0.618 Fib – major accumulation zone) This range aligns with long-term support and is the area where institutional buyers typically step back in. 5. After the ABC Correction: A New Macro Bull Wave Begins Once the ABC structure is complete, Bitcoin should begin a new higher-degree Wave 1, forming the foundation for the next bull cycle. 📈 Potential Macro Targets (2026–2027) $150,000$180,000Possible extension into $200,000+ This would align with Bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle rhythm and post-halving expansion phases. 🔍 Summary of the Elliott Wave Outlook Wave (5) likely ended at $126kWave A fell to the $80k regionWave B rebound expected toward $100k–$112kWave C likely to bottom around $70k–$58kA new macro bull cycle should begin afterward ⚠️ Remember: This is a technical, probability-based outlook. Key levels, macro factors, or unexpected volatility can adjust the wave count. Risk management is essential—especially during corrective phases. #BTCVolatility #BitcoinCorrection #elliottwaves $BTC $ETH $BNB
Sharp Drop in Price Bitcoin has plunged sharply from its October peak (around $126K) to the low $80K range.This marks a ~30% decline in a short time.The drop has erased almost all of Bitcoin’s gains for 2025.Massive Liquidations & Leverage UnwindingThere was a huge wave of long-position liquidations.On November 3 alone, more than $400 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated, impacting over 162,000 traders.Over $1.9 billion of long positions were reportedly wiped out during a very rapid sell-off.ETFs OutflowsBTC Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have seen significant outflows, removing a lot of institutional buying pressure.For example, over $1.15 billion was withdrawn in a recent week.Macro Risks — Interest Rates & Economic DataStronger-than-expected U.S. economic data (especially labor/services) has reduced confidence that the Fed will cut interest rates aggressively, making rate-sensitive assets less risky compared to crypto.Higher rates and uncertainty are pushing investors out of speculative assets.Liquidity CrunchBecause of thin liquidity, when forced selling began, algos and leveraged trades accelerated the downward spiral — creating a feedback loop. The Economic TimesIn other words: once the first wave of liquidations started, it became self-reinforcing. The Economic Time.Profit-Taking & Whale SellingLarge holders (“whales”) and long-term holders have started to take profits, which sends a psychological signal to the market. NewsBlock+2Cryptohopper+2According to some data, long-term holders moved a very large amount of BTC — indicating they may not be as confident about further near-term gains. CryptohopperTechnical BreakdownBitcoin has broken through some key technical support levels, including its 200-day moving average. Wedbush InvestorThe price has also dropped below the 2025 realized average cost basis (~$103,200), meaning many 2025 buyers are now at a loss. CoinDeskSentiment WeaknessInvestor sentiment has soured, with risk-off mood across broader markets. ReutersSome see the sell-off as not just a temporary correction but a mechanical deleveraging process. Reddit Big Picture Take This decline seems driven not just by a fundamental crash, but by a forced unwind of leveraged bets + profit-taking + ETF outflows + macro risks. The move is painful, especially for leveraged traders, but some analysts consider it a healthy correction — a “system cleanse” rather than full collapse. Key near-term risk levels to watch: $75K–$80K (if selling continues) per some commentators.
ETH Price Forecast: Can ETH Break Past $7,500 by 2025?
Ethereum (ETH) has been one of the most closely watched cryptocurrencies in recent years, thanks to its role as the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and smart contracts. As we move toward 2025 and beyond, traders and investors are keenly watching whether ETH can sustain its momentum—or even break into new highs. Short to Medium-Term Outlook (Now to 2025) In the coming months, Ethereum’s price is expected to fluctuate within a fairly wide range. Some technical models and exchange forecasts suggest ETH could trade between $4,200 and $5,800 through late 2024 and into 2025. Bearish case: If market sentiment weakens, ETH could dip toward the $3,300–$4,000 range. Base case: Analysts see a trading band of $4,000–$5,800, assuming steady adoption and stable market conditions. Bullish case: Major institutions like Standard Chartered are more optimistic, predicting ETH could climb as high as $7,500 by the end of 2025, driven by factors like ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and growing demand for Ethereum’s network. Long-Term Outlook (2026–2030+) Looking further ahead, long-term forecasts remain highly speculative but promising: By 2026–2027, ETH could potentially reach the $8,000–$10,000+ range. By 2028 and beyond, some projections even suggest Ethereum could scale into the $15,000–$25,000 territory if adoption continues to accelerate. It’s worth noting that these bold predictions depend heavily on macroeconomic conditions, crypto market cycles, and Ethereum’s ability to maintain its dominance in the blockchain space. Key Factors That Could Shape Ethereum’s Future 1. Network Upgrades & Adoption Ethereum’s roadmap includes improvements like sharding, data availability, and stronger Layer-2 solutions. These upgrades aim to increase scalability, reduce costs, and boost utility—key drivers for long-term growth. 2. Institutional Inflows & ETFs If Ethereum-based ETFs gain traction, institutional capital could flood in, creating significant supply-demand pressure and lifting prices. 3. Macro & Regulatory Climate Global regulations, monetary policies, and broader economic sentiment could either act as tailwinds or barriers. For example, favorable U.S. regulatory clarity could boost ETH, while stricter rules might slow growth. 4. Market Sentiment & Technical Trends Short-term price swings often follow momentum indicators like RSI and MACD, as well as Bitcoin’s broader cycle. A strong Bitcoin rally, for instance, usually spills over into Ethereum. Ethereum’s price path remains uncertain, but the outlook shows both opportunities and risks. In the short to medium term, ETH could swing between $3,300 and $7,500 depending on market conditions. Long term, if adoption, upgrades, and institutional flows align, Ethereum could enter five-figure territory. For investors, the message is clear: Ethereum has the potential to grow significantly, but patience, risk management, and awareness of volatility will remain crucial. $ETH $BTC $XRP #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #HEMIBinanceTGE #BNBATH880 #CryptoRally #PowellWatch
Canada to remove retaliatory tariffs on many US products Reports Canada Will Apply Tariff Exemption On Many US Products Under USMCA - To Remove Retaliatory Tariffs On Many US Goods $BTC $ETH $SOL
Oficialii Fed ezită în privința reducerii ratei din septembrie, în timp ce piețele așteaptă discursul lui Powell
Trei oficiali ai Rezervei Federale au părut ezitanți joi în legătură cu ideea unei reduceri a ratei dobânzilor luna viitoare, pe măsură ce investitorii se pregăteau pentru discursul șefului băncii centrale din SUA, Jerome Powell, la conferința anuală de la Jackson Hole din Wyoming. „Intr în fiecare întâlnire cu o minte deschisă”, a spus președintele Fed din Cleveland, Beth Hammack, într-un interviu cu Yahoo Finance pe marginea simpozionului de trei zile, care este găzduit de Fed-ul din Kansas City. „Dar cu datele pe care le am acum și cu informațiile pe care le am, dacă întâlnirea ar fi mâine, nu aș vedea un caz pentru reducerea ratelor dobânzilor”, a spus Hammack.
Hey crypto fam, Ethereum's hovering around $4,200 right now, and it's got everyone on edge. Is this the launchpad for a fresh rally, or the edge of a cliff? Let's dive into the drama without the jargon overload. Why $4,200 Is the Hot Zone Everyone's Obsessed With This $4,150–$4,200 range has been like a safety net lately, catching dips and sparking rebounds. Hold here, and we could see $ETH flex its muscles upward. But if it cracks below $4,150? Oof—expect a slide to $4,000 or even $3,950. No panic buys just yet; this is decision time. The Tech Scoop: What's the Chart Saying? Overall Trend: Still upward in the big picture, but the short-term vibe? Kinda meh after failing to stick above $4,500. RSI Alert: Dropping from "overheated" levels—buyers are catching their breath. MACD Vibes: Bullish for now, but the energy's fading fast. Volume Check: Bounces aren't packing much punch, meaning buyers aren't all-in. Hot Scenarios to Watch Bull Bounce: Stays above $4,200 and pushes past $4,300? Hello, rally to $4,450–$4,500! Bear Trap: Slips under $4,150? Buckle up for a drop to $4,000, then $3,950. Choppy Waters: Stuck in $4,150–$4,300 limbo? Expect boring sideways action. Red Flags Popping Up - ETF sellers are cashing out after those recent peaks. - Whales are shuffling ETH to exchanges—classic "sell incoming" signal. - Futures markets? Bullish bets are dialing back.
When Will Solana Hit $1,000? (A Serious-but-Not-Too-Serious Look)
Imagine this: you’re sitting on a sunny beach, sipping a drink with a little umbrella in it. Suddenly, your phone pings: $SOL hits $1,000. Do you dance? Do you faint? Or do you order a truckload of pineapples just because you can? Let’s explore this fantasy with some math, a pinch of logic, and a dash of humor. Where We’re Starting Right now, Solana $SOL trades at about $180–$182 with a market cap near $98 billion. That’s based on roughly 538 million SOL coins in circulation. The Cold Math At $1,000 per $SOL , with today’s supply, the market cap would be about $538.7 billion. That’s not chump change — it’s in the same league as mega tech companies and would be around 20–25% of Bitcoin’s current $2.3–$2.4 trillion market cap. So yes, mathematically possible — but it would take a massive leap in Solana’s share of the crypto pie. How It Could Happen 1. The Institutional + Macro Route (slow burn) Crypto ETFs, massive institutional adoption, and a booming global economy could gradually push SOL toward $1,000. Think of this as the “steady climb” scenario — no hype, just years of building. 2. The “Internet’s Money” Route (tech dream) If Solana becomes the go-to chain for payments, gaming, and DeFi — with billions in total value locked and real daily users — demand could surge. But it would need top-tier reliability (no more outages, please). 3. The Meme + Momentum Route (chaotic rocket) Retail FOMO, viral memes, and a speculative mania could send SOL flying to $1,000 overnight. The problem? It could crash just as fast. Great for short-term thrill seekers, dangerous for long-term planners. 4. The Ridiculous Route (pure fiction) Elon Musk tweets “SOL to the moon” and announces he’s marrying Bitcoin. Markets explode. Reality takes a coffee break. What Needs to Change in Reality Market Cap Growth: From ~$98B to ~$539B (a 5–6× jump). Sustained Adoption: Real apps, real users, and actual demand for SOL as a utility token. Favorable Macro Conditions: Institutions like stability — regulatory clarity is key. Why It Might Not Happen Competition from other blockchains. Token inflation or big unlocks could dilute the price. Global recessions or harsh regulations could freeze momentum. Could Solana hit $1,000? Yes — on paper, it’s possible. But it would require huge adoption, years of growth, and a multi-hundred-billion-dollar valuation boost. It’s an ambitious target — maybe audacious — but also a fun dream for SOL holders. So, by all means, keep that $1,000 price target in your heart… but keep your financial plans anchored in reality. And maybe… just maybe… start researching pineapple futures. 🥥📈
Bowman de la Fed: Cele mai recente date despre locuri de muncă întăresc suportul pentru trei reduceri de rată în 2025
Vicepreședintele Fed-ului pentru supraveghere, Michelle Bowman, a spus sâmbătă că datele recente slabe despre locuri de muncă subliniază îngrijorările sale privind fragilitatea pieței muncii și îi întăresc încrederea în prognoza sa că trei reduceri ale ratei dobânzii vor fi probabil adecvate în acest an. Bowman a fost unul dintre cei doi guvernatori ai Fed-ului care au votat împotriva deciziei băncii centrale a SUA de a menține costurile de împrumut pe termen scurt în intervalul 4.25%-4.50%, unde au fost din decembrie. Cei mai mulți oficiali ai Fed-ului au fost mai prudenți în legătură cu ratele mai mici, având în vedere potențialul pe care îl văd că impozitele administrației Trump ar putea perturba progresul în reducerea inflației la obiectivul de 2% al Fed-ului. În ultimele zile, însă, mai mulți politicieni ai Fed-ului par să se fi apropiat de susținerea reducerilor.
Acțiunile lui Trump sunt puțin probabil să afecteze independența Fed
Multe dintre acțiunile recente ale președintelui Trump fac titluri, dar a existat de asemenea un flux constant de povești despre ceva ce nu a făcut: Îndepărtarea lui Jerome Powell din funcția de președinte al Rezervei Federale.
Cei doi foști președinți ai Fed, Ben Bernanke și Janet Yellen, au avertizat că o astfel de mișcare ar deranja piețele financiare și ar afecta economia prin subminarea politicii monetare în favoarea capriciilor politice. Între timp, susținătorii lui Trump îl îndeamnă să continue.
Ethereum (ETH) s-a menținut puternic peste marca de 4.000 de dolari recent,$$$ iar analiștii de la principalele burse și instituții de cercetare își dau cu părerea despre ce ar putea urma. Iată o analiză a direcției în care $ETH ar putea fi îndreptată pe termen scurt, mediu și lung — într-un limbaj simplu. Perspectiva pe termen scurt (Astăzi până la câteva săptămâni) În acest moment, $ETH se tranzacționează între 4.000 și 4.200 de dolari. Binance se așteaptă la o mică creștere de aproximativ 5%, ceea ce ar putea trimite prețul spre 4.201 de dolari în următoarea lună. Bitget spune că atâta timp cât ETH rămâne peste 4.000 de dolari — un nivel psihologic cheie — ar putea urca în intervalul 4.150 - 4.250 de dolari. FXStreet notează că $ETH testează rezistența la 4.100 de dolari; dacă trece peste, s-ar putea să vedem 4.500 de dolari. Totuși, dacă scade sub 3.470 de dolari, prețul ar putea cădea mai aproape de 3.000 de dolari. CoinDCX este puțin mai precaut, văzând 3.800 - 3.900 de dolari ca un interval probabil pe termen scurt, cu o posibilă revenire la 4.000 de dolari.
În timp ce majoritatea pieței cripto a fost în creștere, $XRP continuă să întâmpine dificultăți — iar motivul este mai simplu decât mulți își dau seama. Ripple deține încă aproximativ 40 de miliarde de token-uri $XRP în escrow, care sunt eliberate treptat în circulație. Acest proces de deblocare este așteptat să continue pentru încă 6 până la 10 ani, adăugând constant la ofertă. Economia de bază ne spune că atunci când oferta continuă să crească fără o cerere la fel de puternică, prețurile sunt supuse unei presiuni descendente. Cu toate acestea, Ripple Labs cheltuiește masiv pe marketing și parteneriate pentru a menține comunitatea implicată și optimistă. Mulți investitori se agață de visele ca $XRP să ajungă la 10 dolari sau mai mult în viitorul apropiat, dar aceste așteptări ignoră impactul eliberărilor continue de token-uri.
Privind graficul zilnic BTC/USD pe care l-ai împărtășit, prețul se află în prezent în jurul valorii de 116,518, consolidându-se ușor deasupra mediei mobile pe 50 de zile (linia violet) după o recentă revenire de la suportul aproape de 113,000. Lumânările arată corpuri mai mici aproape de nivelul actual, sugerând indecizie. Tendința ascendentă anterioară s-a oprit sub 117,000–118,000, care este o zonă de rezistență ce a fost testată de mai multe ori fără o străpungere.
Mediile mobile oferă semnale mixte — MA pe termen scurt se curbează în sus, sugerând o recuperare, dar tendința pe termen lung este încă relativ plată. Secvența de maxime mai joase înainte de revenirea recentă înseamnă că BTC nu a confirmat încă o nouă structură bullish.
Pentru ca BTC să facă un nou maxim mai ridicat, trebuie să rupă și să închidă decisiv deasupra 118,900–120,000 cu volum puternic. Eșecul de a face acest lucru ar putea duce la o respingere și la un retest al zonei de suport 113,000–111,000.
Având în vedere configurația actuală a graficului, BTC se află într-o fază neutră spre ușor bullish, dar încă vulnerabilă la o mișcare de scădere dacă rezistența se menține. Pe scurt, fără o împingere puternică deasupra 120K, probabilitatea se îndreaptă spre un alt recul mai degrabă decât spre un maxim imediat mai ridicat.
Pot marca, de asemenea, zonele posibile de cumpărare/vânzare pe acest grafic pentru claritate, dacă dorești.