Primary Scenario — Short Setup
Bias: Bearish continuation
Entry (ET): 0.02220 – 0.02235
Stop Loss (SL): 0.02295
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.02150
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.02080
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 0.02010
Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5 to 1:3
Thesis:
Bullish momentum fading
Breakdown below EMA cluster
Increasing downside pressure
Lower highs forming on intraday structure
As long as price remains below 0.02270, short bias remains intact.
📈 Alternative Scenario — Long Scalp (Reclaim Play)
Condition: 1H candle close above 0.02270 (EMA50 reclaim)
Long Entry (ET): 0.02275
Stop Loss (SL): 0.02210
Take Profit (TP): 0.02330 – 0.02360
Thesis:
EMA reclaim signals short-term momentum shift
Potential squeeze on late shorts
Scalping structure, not trend reversal
🎯 Summary
Market losing bullish momentum
Breakdown confirmed below EMA cluster
Bearish pressure building
0.02270 = key invalidation / reclaim level
Below 0.02270 → short bias dominates
Above 0.02270 (1H close) → scalp long opportunity
Trade the level, not the bias.
