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Polygon Flips Ethereum in Daily Fees as Polymarket Oscar Betting Hits $15M
Polygon just pulled off something no one saw coming. It flipped Ethereum in daily transaction fees. For the first time ever.
On Friday alone, Polygon brought in about $407,100 in fees. Ethereum? Around $211,700. That is almost double.
Activity on Polymarket has exploded, and prediction markets are suddenly turning into serious revenue engines.
Key Takeaways
Polygon generated $407,100 in daily fees, surpassing Ethereum’s $211,700 for the first time.
Polymarket drove the surge with $15 million wagered on a single Oscars betting category.
The platform accounted for over $1 million in generated fees on the Layer 2 network in just seven days.
What Is Driving the Fee Flip?
The reason is simple, Polymarket. Oscars pulled in serious retail flow, with more than $15 million wagered on a single category over the weekend.
Source: DefiLlama
Polygon did not climb the fee charts by accident. Almost all of the recent growth came from Polymarket activity, which generated over $1 million in network fees in just a week.
Compared to Polymarket, the next biggest app on Polygon barely made a dent.
Polygon vs Ethereum: The Numbers Behind the Shift
Over the weekend, Polygon briefly pulled ahead in daily fees before the gap tightened again, with both chains trading blows within a narrow range.
Polygon just hit an all-time high in daily USDC transactions
And it's not even close.
12M+ daily USDC txs on Polygon
Every other chain? Below 3M
Base, Arbitrum, Ethereum Mainnet barely register pic.twitter.com/SVlf5ci2xm
— Leon Waidmann (@LeonWaidmann) February 17, 2026
The reason is practical. Cost. Polygon transactions average around $0.0026. On Ethereum, you are looking at roughly $1.68. If you are placing multiple small bets or making quick moves, that difference matters. A lot.
Lower fees mean more volume. More volume means more revenue. It is that simple.
At the same time, Ethereum is dealing with its own narrative pressure after large whale movements added volatility concerns. So while Ethereum remains dominant structurally, Polygon is proving that consumer driven activity can shift revenue flows quickly.
The post Polygon Flips Ethereum in Daily Fees as Polymarket Oscar Betting Hits $15M appeared first on Cryptonews.
On Friday alone, Polygon brought in about $407,100 in fees. Ethereum? Around $211,700. That is almost double.
Activity on Polymarket has exploded, and prediction markets are suddenly turning into serious revenue engines.
Key Takeaways
Polygon generated $407,100 in daily fees, surpassing Ethereum’s $211,700 for the first time.
Polymarket drove the surge with $15 million wagered on a single Oscars betting category.
The platform accounted for over $1 million in generated fees on the Layer 2 network in just seven days.
What Is Driving the Fee Flip?
The reason is simple, Polymarket. Oscars pulled in serious retail flow, with more than $15 million wagered on a single category over the weekend.
Source: DefiLlama
Polygon did not climb the fee charts by accident. Almost all of the recent growth came from Polymarket activity, which generated over $1 million in network fees in just a week.
Compared to Polymarket, the next biggest app on Polygon barely made a dent.
Polygon vs Ethereum: The Numbers Behind the Shift
Over the weekend, Polygon briefly pulled ahead in daily fees before the gap tightened again, with both chains trading blows within a narrow range.
Polygon just hit an all-time high in daily USDC transactions
And it's not even close.
12M+ daily USDC txs on Polygon
Every other chain? Below 3M
Base, Arbitrum, Ethereum Mainnet barely register pic.twitter.com/SVlf5ci2xm
— Leon Waidmann (@LeonWaidmann) February 17, 2026
The reason is practical. Cost. Polygon transactions average around $0.0026. On Ethereum, you are looking at roughly $1.68. If you are placing multiple small bets or making quick moves, that difference matters. A lot.
Lower fees mean more volume. More volume means more revenue. It is that simple.
At the same time, Ethereum is dealing with its own narrative pressure after large whale movements added volatility concerns. So while Ethereum remains dominant structurally, Polygon is proving that consumer driven activity can shift revenue flows quickly.
The post Polygon Flips Ethereum in Daily Fees as Polymarket Oscar Betting Hits $15M appeared first on Cryptonews.
Prezydent Centralnego Banku Niemiec popiera kryptowalutowe stablecoiny w ramach regulacji MiCA UE
Szef niemieckiego Bundesbanku obecnie otwarcie wspiera euro oparte na kryptowalutach stablecoin oraz nawet detaliczny CBDC. To duża zmiana.
Joachim Nagel nie przedstawia tego jako opcjonalne. Mówi, że Europa potrzebuje tych narzędzi, aby chronić się przed dominacją dolara amerykańskiego.
Ton zmienił się z ostrożnego na pilny. Z UE posuwającą się naprzód w kwestii zasad MiCA, Europa wyraźnie nie chce pozostawać w tyle za USA w kształtowaniu przyszłości cyfrowych pieniędzy.
Kluczowe wnioski
Strategiczny zwrot: Prezydent Bundesbanku Nagel wspiera prywatne stablecoiny, aby obniżyć koszty płatności transgranicznych i wzmocnić niezależność finansową UE.
Joachim Nagel nie przedstawia tego jako opcjonalne. Mówi, że Europa potrzebuje tych narzędzi, aby chronić się przed dominacją dolara amerykańskiego.
Ton zmienił się z ostrożnego na pilny. Z UE posuwającą się naprzód w kwestii zasad MiCA, Europa wyraźnie nie chce pozostawać w tyle za USA w kształtowaniu przyszłości cyfrowych pieniędzy.
Kluczowe wnioski
Strategiczny zwrot: Prezydent Bundesbanku Nagel wspiera prywatne stablecoiny, aby obniżyć koszty płatności transgranicznych i wzmocnić niezależność finansową UE.
Zobacz tłumaczenie
President Trump Says Crypto Market Structure Bill Will Pass Soon
Crypto regulation might finally be getting real structure. President Donald Trump just confirmed that a full crypto structure bill is close to passing. That is not small talk. That is a potential turning point.
For years, the CFTC and SEC have been battling over who controls what. Now it sounds like a clearer rulebook could arrive sooner than expected.
Key Takeaways
Presidential Confirmation: Trump signals imminent passage of S. 3755/H.R. 3633 framework.
Jurisdiction Split: Legislation formally divides oversight between SEC (securities) and CFTC (commodities).
Rapid Timeline: Provisional registration for exchanges expected within 180 days of enactment.
The End of the Regulatory Turf War?
The House already moved first. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act passed last July, laying out a framework that splits oversight between the CFTC and SEC. The real bottleneck has been the Senate.
In late January, the Senate Agriculture Committee narrowly advanced its own version, the Digital Commodity Intermediaries Act, in a tight 12 to 11 vote. That shows how divided the room still is.
There has been pushback too. Major industry players like Coinbase criticized earlier drafts, saying they boxed in DeFi and made stablecoin rules too restrictive.
BREAKING : President Trump says the #Crypto #Market Structure Bill is set to move forward soon.
Big developments ahead for the $crypto space. pic.twitter.com/1yn2giFXRL
— SmartViewAI.Com (@smartviewai) February 17, 2026
By stepping in now, Trump is trying to break that gridlock and push the bill across the finish line after earlier Senate efforts stalled.
Mechanics of the New Crypto Market Structure Bill
Under the proposal, the CFTC would take primary control over digital commodities like Bitcoin and Ethereum. That alone would clear up years of confusion.
The bill also gives brokers and exchanges a 180 day window to register and secure provisional status once it becomes law. That is a fast track compared to the current gray zone many platforms operate in.
The goal is to end the murky compliance environment that has left firms exposed to freezes and counterparty risk.
I'm excited to announce the members of the @CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee. The IAC’s broad financial sector insights will help the CFTC future-proof its markets and develop clear rules of the road for the Golden Age of American Financial Markets.https://t.co/vv0sC8Mr1v?
— Mike Selig (@ChairmanSelig) February 12, 2026
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig has suggested the bill could reach the President within months. That lines up with other moves aimed at pulling crypto deeper into traditional finance. The framework would also require joint SEC and CFTC rulemaking within 18 months to sort out complex areas like mixed transactions and margin structures.
Market Implications and Deadlines
Passage of this bill would likely trigger a repricing of “commodity” assets currently suppressed by SEC lawsuits.
However, hurdles remain. The Senate Banking Committee still needs to reconcile its version with the Ag Committee’s draft before the February 28 White House deadline for stablecoin frameworks.
Meanwhile, scrutiny hasn’t vanished. Congressional leaders continue to urge probes into Trump-linked ventures like WLFI, ensuring that while regulation arrives, political volatility isn’t going anywhere.
The post President Trump Says Crypto Market Structure Bill Will Pass Soon appeared first on Cryptonews.
For years, the CFTC and SEC have been battling over who controls what. Now it sounds like a clearer rulebook could arrive sooner than expected.
Key Takeaways
Presidential Confirmation: Trump signals imminent passage of S. 3755/H.R. 3633 framework.
Jurisdiction Split: Legislation formally divides oversight between SEC (securities) and CFTC (commodities).
Rapid Timeline: Provisional registration for exchanges expected within 180 days of enactment.
The End of the Regulatory Turf War?
The House already moved first. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act passed last July, laying out a framework that splits oversight between the CFTC and SEC. The real bottleneck has been the Senate.
In late January, the Senate Agriculture Committee narrowly advanced its own version, the Digital Commodity Intermediaries Act, in a tight 12 to 11 vote. That shows how divided the room still is.
There has been pushback too. Major industry players like Coinbase criticized earlier drafts, saying they boxed in DeFi and made stablecoin rules too restrictive.
BREAKING : President Trump says the #Crypto #Market Structure Bill is set to move forward soon.
Big developments ahead for the $crypto space. pic.twitter.com/1yn2giFXRL
— SmartViewAI.Com (@smartviewai) February 17, 2026
By stepping in now, Trump is trying to break that gridlock and push the bill across the finish line after earlier Senate efforts stalled.
Mechanics of the New Crypto Market Structure Bill
Under the proposal, the CFTC would take primary control over digital commodities like Bitcoin and Ethereum. That alone would clear up years of confusion.
The bill also gives brokers and exchanges a 180 day window to register and secure provisional status once it becomes law. That is a fast track compared to the current gray zone many platforms operate in.
The goal is to end the murky compliance environment that has left firms exposed to freezes and counterparty risk.
I'm excited to announce the members of the @CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee. The IAC’s broad financial sector insights will help the CFTC future-proof its markets and develop clear rules of the road for the Golden Age of American Financial Markets.https://t.co/vv0sC8Mr1v?
— Mike Selig (@ChairmanSelig) February 12, 2026
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig has suggested the bill could reach the President within months. That lines up with other moves aimed at pulling crypto deeper into traditional finance. The framework would also require joint SEC and CFTC rulemaking within 18 months to sort out complex areas like mixed transactions and margin structures.
Market Implications and Deadlines
Passage of this bill would likely trigger a repricing of “commodity” assets currently suppressed by SEC lawsuits.
However, hurdles remain. The Senate Banking Committee still needs to reconcile its version with the Ag Committee’s draft before the February 28 White House deadline for stablecoin frameworks.
Meanwhile, scrutiny hasn’t vanished. Congressional leaders continue to urge probes into Trump-linked ventures like WLFI, ensuring that while regulation arrives, political volatility isn’t going anywhere.
The post President Trump Says Crypto Market Structure Bill Will Pass Soon appeared first on Cryptonews.
Prognoza cen kryptowalut na dziś 16 lutego – XRP, Ethereum, Cardano
Pomimo że ceny wyraźnie kontrastują z ostatnimi szczytami, globalna adopcja kryptowalut wciąż postępuje cicho w tle.
Mieszanka sygnałów technicznych i bieżących wydarzeń sugeruje, że XRP, Ethereum i Cardano mogą osiągnąć nowe szczyty do lata.
Poniżej znajduje się analiza tego, co sygnalizują wykresy.
XRP (XRP): Challenger SWIFT Ripple’a celuje w ruch o 5 dolarów
Z kapitalizacją rynkową wynoszącą 91 miliardów dolarów, XRP ($XRP) jest największą kryptowalutą do płatności transgranicznych.
Ripple zaprojektował XRP Ledger (XRPL) jako alternatywę nowej generacji dla SWIFT, umożliwiając szybsze czasy rozliczeń i niższe koszty dla banków i instytucji finansowych.
Mieszanka sygnałów technicznych i bieżących wydarzeń sugeruje, że XRP, Ethereum i Cardano mogą osiągnąć nowe szczyty do lata.
Poniżej znajduje się analiza tego, co sygnalizują wykresy.
XRP (XRP): Challenger SWIFT Ripple’a celuje w ruch o 5 dolarów
Z kapitalizacją rynkową wynoszącą 91 miliardów dolarów, XRP ($XRP) jest największą kryptowalutą do płatności transgranicznych.
Ripple zaprojektował XRP Ledger (XRPL) jako alternatywę nowej generacji dla SWIFT, umożliwiając szybsze czasy rozliczeń i niższe koszty dla banków i instytucji finansowych.
AI Gemini Google'a prognozuje cenę XRP, Solany i Bitcoina do końca 2026 roku
Zasilanie AI Gemini Google'a starannymi wskazówkami odblokowuje eksplodujące prognozy cenowe na 2026 rok dla XRP, Solany i Bitcoina.
Biorąc pod uwagę fakt, że Gemini wykorzystuje rozległy zestaw danych Google'a, te przekonujące prognozy są oparte na solidnej analizie fundamentalnych mocnych stron projektów, ogólnym planie działania oraz bieżących makro i przemysłowych wydarzeniach.
Poniżej wyjaśniamy, dlaczego Gemini jest optymistyczne wobec tych konkretnych monet.
XRP ($XRP): Gemini sugeruje, że rozwiązanie płatnicze Ripple'a może doprowadzić XRP do 10 USD
W ostatniej aktualizacji Ripple powtórzyło, że XRP ($XRP) pozostaje kluczowe dla jego planu działania, mającego na celu ustanowienie XRP Ledger jako globalnej, gotowej do użycia warstwy płatniczej.
Biorąc pod uwagę fakt, że Gemini wykorzystuje rozległy zestaw danych Google'a, te przekonujące prognozy są oparte na solidnej analizie fundamentalnych mocnych stron projektów, ogólnym planie działania oraz bieżących makro i przemysłowych wydarzeniach.
Poniżej wyjaśniamy, dlaczego Gemini jest optymistyczne wobec tych konkretnych monet.
XRP ($XRP): Gemini sugeruje, że rozwiązanie płatnicze Ripple'a może doprowadzić XRP do 10 USD
W ostatniej aktualizacji Ripple powtórzyło, że XRP ($XRP) pozostaje kluczowe dla jego planu działania, mającego na celu ustanowienie XRP Ledger jako globalnej, gotowej do użycia warstwy płatniczej.
Prognoza cen Bitcoinów: Krótkie pozycje BTC osiągnęły najskrajniejszy poziom od dołka w 2024 roku – Czy ma...
Stawki finansowania Bitcoinów na głównych giełdach załamały się do najniższych poziomów od sierpnia 2024 roku.
Wtedy rynek wyglądał równie przekonująco, że niższe ceny były nieuniknione. Zamiast tego, to ekstremalne zgromadzenie krótkich pozycji oznaczało ważne dno i poprzedziło wzrost o 83% w kolejnych miesiącach.
Źródło: Santiment
Obserwujemy teraz podobną strukturę. Traderzy są agresywnie ustawieni na spadek. Krótkie pozycje się kumulują.
Jednocześnie dane on-chain pokazują, że poduszki zysku są cienkie. NUPL wrócił do strefy 0.18, historycznie związanej z Nadzieją i Lękiem.
Wtedy rynek wyglądał równie przekonująco, że niższe ceny były nieuniknione. Zamiast tego, to ekstremalne zgromadzenie krótkich pozycji oznaczało ważne dno i poprzedziło wzrost o 83% w kolejnych miesiącach.
Źródło: Santiment
Obserwujemy teraz podobną strukturę. Traderzy są agresywnie ustawieni na spadek. Krótkie pozycje się kumulują.
Jednocześnie dane on-chain pokazują, że poduszki zysku są cienkie. NUPL wrócił do strefy 0.18, historycznie związanej z Nadzieją i Lękiem.
Prognoza ceny XRP: Sprzedaż 50 mln tokenów wstrząsnęła rynkiem — Czy nadchodzi więcej spadków?
Luty wywiera presję na prognozę ceny XRP.
Ponad 50 milionów XRP trafiło na rynek w mniej niż 12 godzin, a cena zareagowała natychmiast.
Silna fala sprzedaży na Upbit sprowadziła XRP poniżej kluczowych poziomów, likwidując krótkoterminowy impet.
Źródło: Traderview
Na to Sentiment się zmienił. Rynki prognozujące teraz pokazują mniej niż 6% szans na to, że XRP odzyska $2 przed marcem. To nie jest pozycjonowanie na wyjście.
Popyt rośnie. Płynność wciąż jest cienka. Nawet przy pewnej akumulacji na łańcuchu w tle, krótkoterminowa struktura pozostaje krucha.
Ponad 50 milionów XRP trafiło na rynek w mniej niż 12 godzin, a cena zareagowała natychmiast.
Silna fala sprzedaży na Upbit sprowadziła XRP poniżej kluczowych poziomów, likwidując krótkoterminowy impet.
Źródło: Traderview
Na to Sentiment się zmienił. Rynki prognozujące teraz pokazują mniej niż 6% szans na to, że XRP odzyska $2 przed marcem. To nie jest pozycjonowanie na wyjście.
Popyt rośnie. Płynność wciąż jest cienka. Nawet przy pewnej akumulacji na łańcuchu w tle, krótkoterminowa struktura pozostaje krucha.
Ten czołowy analityk ostrzega, że cena Bitcoina może spaść do $10,000, gdy rynek niedźwiedzi się pogłębia
Bitcoin właśnie otrzymał jedno z najbardziej ekstremalnych ostrzeżeń. Znany strateg nazywa to pękającą bańką, z potencjalnym spadkiem w kierunku punktu cenowego $10,000.
To oznaczałoby około 85% spadku z obecnych poziomów. Scenariusz, który brzmi nie do pomyślenia dla wielu, ale niemożliwe do zignorowania, gdy pochodzi od doświadczonych głosów rynkowych.
24h7d30d1yWszystkie czasy
Czy bańka w końcu pęka?
Mike McGlone, starszy strateg towarowy w Bloomberg Intelligence, nie nazywa tego zdrowym korektą. Mówi, że historia kryptowalut potrzebuje sprawdzenia rzeczywistości.
To oznaczałoby około 85% spadku z obecnych poziomów. Scenariusz, który brzmi nie do pomyślenia dla wielu, ale niemożliwe do zignorowania, gdy pochodzi od doświadczonych głosów rynkowych.
24h7d30d1yWszystkie czasy
Czy bańka w końcu pęka?
Mike McGlone, starszy strateg towarowy w Bloomberg Intelligence, nie nazywa tego zdrowym korektą. Mówi, że historia kryptowalut potrzebuje sprawdzenia rzeczywistości.
Zobacz tłumaczenie
BlockFills Freezes Withdrawals as Bitcoin Slides, Raising Counterparty Risk Concerns
Chicago-based institutional trading firm BlockFills has halted client withdrawals and deposits, locking traders out of their funds just as market volatility begins to spike.
In light of recent market and financial conditions, and to further the protection of clients and the firm, BlockFills took the action last week of temporarily suspending client deposits and withdrawals. Clients have been able to continue trading with BlockFills for the purpose of…
— BlockFills (@blockfills) February 11, 2026
The freeze, reported by community members and active traders, comes amid a broader liquidity crunch that is punishing leveraged positions across the board.
Halting operations during a downturn isn’t just an inconvenience; it is a massive red flag for counterparty risk.
When an execution venue goes dark while red candles are printing, it usually signals that the plumbing behind the scenes is clogging up.
Key Takeaways
BlockFills has reportedly frozen client withdrawals and deposits without immediate explanation.
The firm was averaging over $100 million in daily trading volume as of mid-2025.
Founders include veterans from Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse, highlighting risks even in “institutional-grade” platforms.
BlockFill’s Institutional Pedigree is Under Pressure
This isn’t some anonymous offshore exchange run by code hobbyists. BlockFills was purpose-built by heavyweights from the traditional finance (“TradFi”) world to bring adult supervision to crypto.
The leadership team includes former executives from Deutsche Bank and Citadel, who pivoted to crypto to bridge the gap between centralized TradFi structures and fragmented crypto liquidity. They pitched themselves as the safe, compliant option for proprietary trading firms.
But pedigree doesn’t immunize you from market mechanics. The halt coincides with a brutal rejection in price action.
As Bitcoin slides following reports on US labor market revisions, liquidity providers are facing severe stress tests.
Traders rely on these platforms for 24/7 access to credit and collateral management. When that access cuts off suddenly, it implies the firm is trying to stop a run on assets or manage a credit blow-up internally.
Is the Fallen Price of Bitcoin Causing a Liquidity Crunch at BlockFill?
Why now? The market structure is thinning out. We are seeing significant capital flight, with Bitcoin ETF outflows hitting $410M as BTC slips below $66k.
When institutions pull back, ECNs (Electronic Communication Networks) like BlockFills often face imbalances. If their liquidity providers pull quotes (i.e. stop offering buy or sell prices), or margin calls start cascading, the safest move for the venue is often to freeze the pipes. That protects the house, but it leaves clients exposed to the elements.
This follows a rough quarter for trading venues globally. Even giants are feeling the pinch, with Coinbase reporting a $667M loss amid the market downturn. However, there is a massive difference between reporting a loss and freezing client assets.
Discover:
The best new crypto to buy now.
The best meme coins on the market today.
What Happens Next?
Silence is expensive in this industry. Traders are already drawing parallels to the 2022 credit contagion, where “temporary” halts often turned into permanent restructuring.
BlockFill users are now keeping vigil for an official statement regarding solvency. Is this a technical glitch, or a liquidity crisis? If the latter, it challenges the narrative that institutional infrastructure has solved crypto’s counterparty risk problem.
Analysts are watching support levels closely. While CryptoQuant suggests the ultimate Bitcoin bear market bottom could be $55,000, blocked funds can’t buy the dip.
Ultimately though, for BlockFills clients, the price of Bitcoin matters less right now than the status of their withdrawal button.
The post BlockFills Freezes Withdrawals as Bitcoin Slides, Raising Counterparty Risk Concerns appeared first on Cryptonews.
In light of recent market and financial conditions, and to further the protection of clients and the firm, BlockFills took the action last week of temporarily suspending client deposits and withdrawals. Clients have been able to continue trading with BlockFills for the purpose of…
— BlockFills (@blockfills) February 11, 2026
The freeze, reported by community members and active traders, comes amid a broader liquidity crunch that is punishing leveraged positions across the board.
Halting operations during a downturn isn’t just an inconvenience; it is a massive red flag for counterparty risk.
When an execution venue goes dark while red candles are printing, it usually signals that the plumbing behind the scenes is clogging up.
Key Takeaways
BlockFills has reportedly frozen client withdrawals and deposits without immediate explanation.
The firm was averaging over $100 million in daily trading volume as of mid-2025.
Founders include veterans from Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse, highlighting risks even in “institutional-grade” platforms.
BlockFill’s Institutional Pedigree is Under Pressure
This isn’t some anonymous offshore exchange run by code hobbyists. BlockFills was purpose-built by heavyweights from the traditional finance (“TradFi”) world to bring adult supervision to crypto.
The leadership team includes former executives from Deutsche Bank and Citadel, who pivoted to crypto to bridge the gap between centralized TradFi structures and fragmented crypto liquidity. They pitched themselves as the safe, compliant option for proprietary trading firms.
But pedigree doesn’t immunize you from market mechanics. The halt coincides with a brutal rejection in price action.
As Bitcoin slides following reports on US labor market revisions, liquidity providers are facing severe stress tests.
Traders rely on these platforms for 24/7 access to credit and collateral management. When that access cuts off suddenly, it implies the firm is trying to stop a run on assets or manage a credit blow-up internally.
Is the Fallen Price of Bitcoin Causing a Liquidity Crunch at BlockFill?
Why now? The market structure is thinning out. We are seeing significant capital flight, with Bitcoin ETF outflows hitting $410M as BTC slips below $66k.
When institutions pull back, ECNs (Electronic Communication Networks) like BlockFills often face imbalances. If their liquidity providers pull quotes (i.e. stop offering buy or sell prices), or margin calls start cascading, the safest move for the venue is often to freeze the pipes. That protects the house, but it leaves clients exposed to the elements.
This follows a rough quarter for trading venues globally. Even giants are feeling the pinch, with Coinbase reporting a $667M loss amid the market downturn. However, there is a massive difference between reporting a loss and freezing client assets.
Discover:
The best new crypto to buy now.
The best meme coins on the market today.
What Happens Next?
Silence is expensive in this industry. Traders are already drawing parallels to the 2022 credit contagion, where “temporary” halts often turned into permanent restructuring.
BlockFill users are now keeping vigil for an official statement regarding solvency. Is this a technical glitch, or a liquidity crisis? If the latter, it challenges the narrative that institutional infrastructure has solved crypto’s counterparty risk problem.
Analysts are watching support levels closely. While CryptoQuant suggests the ultimate Bitcoin bear market bottom could be $55,000, blocked funds can’t buy the dip.
Ultimately though, for BlockFills clients, the price of Bitcoin matters less right now than the status of their withdrawal button.
The post BlockFills Freezes Withdrawals as Bitcoin Slides, Raising Counterparty Risk Concerns appeared first on Cryptonews.
Zobacz tłumaczenie
Strategy Plans to Equitize Convertible Debt Over 3–6 Years: What It Means for BTC
The world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder, Strategy, is playing the long game with its balance sheet in a bid to keep investors bullish after Bitcoin’s recent downturn.
Founder Michael Saylor revealed Sunday that the firm plans to “equitize” its massive $6 billion convertible debt load over the next three to six years, a move designed to wipe liability off the books by turning bondholders into shareholders.
Key Takeaways
Strategy aims to convert $6 billion in bond debt into equity shares over a 3–6 year timeline to clean up its balance sheet.
The firm claims it can withstand a severe Bitcoin crash to $8,000 while maintaining sufficient assets to cover obligations.
Converting debt avoids cash repayment pressure but introduces significant dilution risks for existing MSTR shareholders.
Strategy and the Mathematics of Debt Survival
This isn’t just accounting wizardry; it is a survival mechanism for the aggressive treasury strategy initiated in 2020.
With Bitcoin currently trading around $68,750 against an average purchase price of $76,000, the firm is currently underwater on its investment.
However, Saylor insists the company is robust. According to recent posts and interviews, he maintains that Strategy can survive an 88% crash in BTC prices down to $8,000 and still cover its debts.
First time I’ve seen Saylor look nervous speaking publicly.
He can’t say anything else, but deep down he knows extreme downside scenarios aren’t impossible.$BTC pic.twitter.com/PS3NDZhYao
— Alejandro₿TC (@Alejandro_XBT) February 11, 2026
This resiliency claim is crucial because, as some analysts note, Bitcoin is acting like a growth stock, bringing high volatility that demands a steel-stomach balance sheet.
Dilution vs. Default: Strategy’s Double-Edged Sword
Equitizing convertible debt means Strategy avoids repaying the principal in cash.
Instead, bondholders get stock. While this preserves cash flow, it implies diluting current investors by expanding the share count.
Currently, 100% of Strategy’s convertible debt is “out-of-the-money,” meaning the stock price hasn’t hit the conversion trigger. This forces a choice: pay cash, refinance, or wait for the stock to pump.
Saylor remains unfazed. On X (formerly Twitter), the firm posted: “Strategy can withstand a drawdown in BTC price to $8,000 and still have sufficient assets to fully cover our debt.”
Strategy can withstand a drawdown in $BTC price to $8K and still have sufficient assets to fully cover our debt. pic.twitter.com/vrw4z4Ex9q
— Strategy (@Strategy) February 15, 2026
While recent market movements have been shaky, with Bitcoin ETF outflows of $410 million dragging prices down to the $66k range, Strategy continues to buy.
Analysts highlighted on MEXC that the $8,000 figure is a theoretical “stress floor.” If BTC drops that low, the company’s Bitcoin stash would roughly equal its debt load.
Meanwhile, institutional interest continues to grow. Just as the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, increases stakes in crypto miners, Strategy is also playing the long game with crypto.
Saylor is hoping that a few years is enough time for the asset class to mature effectively, allowing Strategy to bail out the convertible notes naturally through price appreciation.
Discover:
These cryptocurrencies are likely to explode!
The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with.
The hottest pre-launch token sales right now.
Can They Hold the Line?
Saylor signaled yet another purchase recently, marking 12 consecutive weeks of accumulation.
This conviction is testing the nerves of traders who know that if Bitcoin drops below $8,000, insolvency becomes a mathematical probability, according to Strategy CEO Phong Le in a recent earnings call.
If you are watching the macro picture, cooling inflation is testing investor conviction across the board. Strategy is betting the house that time is on their side.
If they are right, the equity dilution will be a small price to pay for solvency. If they are wrong, the liquidation cascade could be historic.
The post Strategy Plans to Equitize Convertible Debt Over 3–6 Years: What It Means for BTC appeared first on Cryptonews.
Founder Michael Saylor revealed Sunday that the firm plans to “equitize” its massive $6 billion convertible debt load over the next three to six years, a move designed to wipe liability off the books by turning bondholders into shareholders.
Key Takeaways
Strategy aims to convert $6 billion in bond debt into equity shares over a 3–6 year timeline to clean up its balance sheet.
The firm claims it can withstand a severe Bitcoin crash to $8,000 while maintaining sufficient assets to cover obligations.
Converting debt avoids cash repayment pressure but introduces significant dilution risks for existing MSTR shareholders.
Strategy and the Mathematics of Debt Survival
This isn’t just accounting wizardry; it is a survival mechanism for the aggressive treasury strategy initiated in 2020.
With Bitcoin currently trading around $68,750 against an average purchase price of $76,000, the firm is currently underwater on its investment.
However, Saylor insists the company is robust. According to recent posts and interviews, he maintains that Strategy can survive an 88% crash in BTC prices down to $8,000 and still cover its debts.
First time I’ve seen Saylor look nervous speaking publicly.
He can’t say anything else, but deep down he knows extreme downside scenarios aren’t impossible.$BTC pic.twitter.com/PS3NDZhYao
— Alejandro₿TC (@Alejandro_XBT) February 11, 2026
This resiliency claim is crucial because, as some analysts note, Bitcoin is acting like a growth stock, bringing high volatility that demands a steel-stomach balance sheet.
Dilution vs. Default: Strategy’s Double-Edged Sword
Equitizing convertible debt means Strategy avoids repaying the principal in cash.
Instead, bondholders get stock. While this preserves cash flow, it implies diluting current investors by expanding the share count.
Currently, 100% of Strategy’s convertible debt is “out-of-the-money,” meaning the stock price hasn’t hit the conversion trigger. This forces a choice: pay cash, refinance, or wait for the stock to pump.
Saylor remains unfazed. On X (formerly Twitter), the firm posted: “Strategy can withstand a drawdown in BTC price to $8,000 and still have sufficient assets to fully cover our debt.”
Strategy can withstand a drawdown in $BTC price to $8K and still have sufficient assets to fully cover our debt. pic.twitter.com/vrw4z4Ex9q
— Strategy (@Strategy) February 15, 2026
While recent market movements have been shaky, with Bitcoin ETF outflows of $410 million dragging prices down to the $66k range, Strategy continues to buy.
Analysts highlighted on MEXC that the $8,000 figure is a theoretical “stress floor.” If BTC drops that low, the company’s Bitcoin stash would roughly equal its debt load.
Meanwhile, institutional interest continues to grow. Just as the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, increases stakes in crypto miners, Strategy is also playing the long game with crypto.
Saylor is hoping that a few years is enough time for the asset class to mature effectively, allowing Strategy to bail out the convertible notes naturally through price appreciation.
Discover:
These cryptocurrencies are likely to explode!
The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with.
The hottest pre-launch token sales right now.
Can They Hold the Line?
Saylor signaled yet another purchase recently, marking 12 consecutive weeks of accumulation.
This conviction is testing the nerves of traders who know that if Bitcoin drops below $8,000, insolvency becomes a mathematical probability, according to Strategy CEO Phong Le in a recent earnings call.
If you are watching the macro picture, cooling inflation is testing investor conviction across the board. Strategy is betting the house that time is on their side.
If they are right, the equity dilution will be a small price to pay for solvency. If they are wrong, the liquidation cascade could be historic.
The post Strategy Plans to Equitize Convertible Debt Over 3–6 Years: What It Means for BTC appeared first on Cryptonews.
Zobacz tłumaczenie
Solana Price Prediction: Standard Chartered Cuts 2026 Target, Sees $2,000 by 2030
Standard Chartered just dropped a fear signal on Solana. They cut their 2026 target to $250. But then they doubled down on a bold $2,000 call by 2030.
That is a sharp contrast. Near term pressure. Long term conviction.
The bank sees Solana shifting away from pure speculation toward real utility. That kind of transition is rarely smooth. It can mean volatility now and growth later.
Target Adjustment: 2026 prediction cut from $310 to $250, citing transitional risks.
Long-Term Bull: 2030 target set at $2,000, driven by dominance in micropayments.
Market Signal: Analysts see the shift from memecoins to stablecoins as a key utility driver.
What Standard Chartered’s Revised Targets Mean for Solana
Standard Chartered sees Solana at a turning point. Geoffrey Kendrick, who leads digital asset research at the bank, says SOL is shifting away from its memecoin casino image and moving toward something more serious. More infrastructure. More real finance.
Source: Geoffrey Kendrick
That shift is not frictionless. The revised $250 target for 2026 reflects that transition. Growth is still there, but it may not look like the explosive runs from past cycles.
For retail investors, it is a trade off. The near term upside could be more measured. But the long term foundation looks stronger if real utility keeps building.
Solana Price Prediction: Breaking Down the New SOL Valuations
The roadmap is detailed. Standard Chartered trimmed the 2026 target to $250 from $310, expecting a period of consolidation as activity shifts.
But after that, the projections accelerates. $400 by 2027. $700 in 2028. $1,200 in 2029. And $2,000 by the end of 2030.
The thesis centers on network velocity. Stablecoin turnover on Solana is reportedly 2 to 3 times higher than on Ethereum, which makes it well suited for fast, low value transactions. That kind of throughput is what long term valuation models are leaning on.
Source: Glassnode
Solana coins have continued to leave exchanges. Historically, that kind of outflow points to accumulation. So even with a short-term downgrade, some players appear to be positioning for the bigger picture.
The post Solana Price Prediction: Standard Chartered Cuts 2026 Target, Sees $2,000 by 2030 appeared first on Cryptonews.
That is a sharp contrast. Near term pressure. Long term conviction.
The bank sees Solana shifting away from pure speculation toward real utility. That kind of transition is rarely smooth. It can mean volatility now and growth later.
Target Adjustment: 2026 prediction cut from $310 to $250, citing transitional risks.
Long-Term Bull: 2030 target set at $2,000, driven by dominance in micropayments.
Market Signal: Analysts see the shift from memecoins to stablecoins as a key utility driver.
What Standard Chartered’s Revised Targets Mean for Solana
Standard Chartered sees Solana at a turning point. Geoffrey Kendrick, who leads digital asset research at the bank, says SOL is shifting away from its memecoin casino image and moving toward something more serious. More infrastructure. More real finance.
Source: Geoffrey Kendrick
That shift is not frictionless. The revised $250 target for 2026 reflects that transition. Growth is still there, but it may not look like the explosive runs from past cycles.
For retail investors, it is a trade off. The near term upside could be more measured. But the long term foundation looks stronger if real utility keeps building.
Solana Price Prediction: Breaking Down the New SOL Valuations
The roadmap is detailed. Standard Chartered trimmed the 2026 target to $250 from $310, expecting a period of consolidation as activity shifts.
But after that, the projections accelerates. $400 by 2027. $700 in 2028. $1,200 in 2029. And $2,000 by the end of 2030.
The thesis centers on network velocity. Stablecoin turnover on Solana is reportedly 2 to 3 times higher than on Ethereum, which makes it well suited for fast, low value transactions. That kind of throughput is what long term valuation models are leaning on.
Source: Glassnode
Solana coins have continued to leave exchanges. Historically, that kind of outflow points to accumulation. So even with a short-term downgrade, some players appear to be positioning for the bigger picture.
The post Solana Price Prediction: Standard Chartered Cuts 2026 Target, Sees $2,000 by 2030 appeared first on Cryptonews.
Cena XRP wyprzedza Bitcoin i Ether, gdy rotacja po krachu sprzyja tokenowi Ripple
Cena XRP rośnie. Od dołka 6 lutego token zyskał około 38% do 1,55 $. Tymczasem Bitcoin i Ether zyskują zbliżone do 15%.
Tego rodzaju luka nie zdarza się przypadkowo.
Po niedawnej fali likwidacji, która wstrząsnęła rynkiem, handlowcy wydają się inwestować w XRP jako w grę o wyższym beta. Gdy momentum wraca, kapitał zazwyczaj podąża za monetami, które poruszają się najszybciej. W tej chwili tą monetą jest XRP.
Kluczowe Wnioski
XRP wzrósł o 38% do 1,55 $ od początku lutego, przewyższając BTC i ETH (15%).
Tego rodzaju luka nie zdarza się przypadkowo.
Po niedawnej fali likwidacji, która wstrząsnęła rynkiem, handlowcy wydają się inwestować w XRP jako w grę o wyższym beta. Gdy momentum wraca, kapitał zazwyczaj podąża za monetami, które poruszają się najszybciej. W tej chwili tą monetą jest XRP.
Kluczowe Wnioski
XRP wzrósł o 38% do 1,55 $ od początku lutego, przewyższając BTC i ETH (15%).
Cena Ethereum staje w obliczu ryzyka załamania o 40% po tym, jak legendarny wieloryb sprzedaje ETH za 543 miliony USD – Co się stanie następnie?
Ethereum właśnie miało jeden z tych momentów, które sprawiają, że sprawdzasz wykres. Weteran wieloryb przeniósł około 543 milionów USD w ETH na Binance.
Analitycy już ostrzegają, że jeśli kluczowe poziomy wsparcia pękną, ETH może patrzeć na potencjalny spadek o 40%.
Kluczowe wnioski
Portfel wieloryba “Garrett Jin” wpłacił 261,024 ETH na Binance w szybkim transzach.
Wskaźniki techniczne pokazują formację flagi niedźwiedzia, celując w spadek do 1,200 USD.
Niedźwiedzie potrzebują potwierdzonego przełamania poniżej 1,950 USD, aby wyzwolić 40% ruch w dół.
Czy zaczyna się masowa wyprzedaż?
Analitycy już ostrzegają, że jeśli kluczowe poziomy wsparcia pękną, ETH może patrzeć na potencjalny spadek o 40%.
Kluczowe wnioski
Portfel wieloryba “Garrett Jin” wpłacił 261,024 ETH na Binance w szybkim transzach.
Wskaźniki techniczne pokazują formację flagi niedźwiedzia, celując w spadek do 1,200 USD.
Niedźwiedzie potrzebują potwierdzonego przełamania poniżej 1,950 USD, aby wyzwolić 40% ruch w dół.
Czy zaczyna się masowa wyprzedaż?
Senatorowie wzywają do dochodzenia CFIUS w sprawie 500 milionów dolarów udziału ZEA w powiązanym z Trumpem WLFI
Waszyngton właśnie dostał nowy ból głowy związany z kryptowalutami. Dwóch senatorów USA naciska na sekretarza skarbu Scotta Bessenta, aby otworzył pilny przegląd bezpieczeństwa narodowego w związku z inwestycją zagraniczną w wysokości 500 milionów dolarów w World Liberty Financial.
Tutaj robi się napięcie. Pieniądze pochodzą z funduszu inwestycyjnego wspieranego przez ZEA i podobno dają zagranicznym graczom 49% udziału w przedsięwzięciu kryptowalutowym powiązanym z Trumpem. To duża część.
Czas sprawia, że to wszystko jest jeszcze bardziej wybuchowe. Wszystko to wypłynęło zaledwie kilka dni po inauguracji, budząc obawy, kto może uzyskać dostęp do wrażliwych danych finansowych lub użytkowników.
Tutaj robi się napięcie. Pieniądze pochodzą z funduszu inwestycyjnego wspieranego przez ZEA i podobno dają zagranicznym graczom 49% udziału w przedsięwzięciu kryptowalutowym powiązanym z Trumpem. To duża część.
Czas sprawia, że to wszystko jest jeszcze bardziej wybuchowe. Wszystko to wypłynęło zaledwie kilka dni po inauguracji, budząc obawy, kto może uzyskać dostęp do wrażliwych danych finansowych lub użytkowników.
Rezerwy XRP Binance spadają do najniższych poziomów 2024 roku w miarę jak traderzy obserwują sygnał akumulacji
Rezerwy Binance spadły do poziomów niewidzianych od początku 2024 roku, a timing jest interesujący. W momencie, gdy płynność się zmniejsza, cena wzrosła o 4,5% w kierunku 1,50 USD. To nie jest przypadek, którego rynek może zignorować.
Dane na łańcuchu pokazują, że Binance posiada teraz tylko około 2,5 miliarda XRP. To zauważalne napięcie po stronie sprzedaży. Mniej podaży na giełdach zazwyczaj oznacza mniejsze natychmiastowe ciśnienie sprzedażowe.
A gdy nastroje powoli znów stają się bycze, taki rodzaj odpływu płynności może szybko dodać paliwa. Gdy podaż się kurczy, a popyt budzi się w tym samym czasie, rzeczy mogą poruszać się szybciej, niż większość się spodziewa.
Dane na łańcuchu pokazują, że Binance posiada teraz tylko około 2,5 miliarda XRP. To zauważalne napięcie po stronie sprzedaży. Mniej podaży na giełdach zazwyczaj oznacza mniejsze natychmiastowe ciśnienie sprzedażowe.
A gdy nastroje powoli znów stają się bycze, taki rodzaj odpływu płynności może szybko dodać paliwa. Gdy podaż się kurczy, a popyt budzi się w tym samym czasie, rzeczy mogą poruszać się szybciej, niż większość się spodziewa.
Cena XRP wzrasta, gdy CEO Ripple obejmuje rolę wpływającą na regulacje kryptowalut
Cena XRP właśnie otrzymała poważną ofertę. Token skoczył o ponad 8% w ciągu 24 godzin po tym, jak pojawiły się wiadomości, że CEO Ripple, Brad Garlinghouse, zdobył miejsce w CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee.
Handlowcy wyraźnie obstawiają, że bliskość Ripple do regulatorów może zmienić narrację wokół XRP.
Kluczowe wnioski
XRP wzrósł o 8,09%, handlując w pobliżu 1,53 USD po wiadomości o federalnym powołaniu CEO Ripple.
CFTC zaangażowało Garlinghouse'a i innych liderów kryptowalut do doradzania w sprawie ram dotyczących aktywów cyfrowych.
Napływy instytucjonalne rosną, a Goldman Sachs ujawnia pozycję ETF kryptowalut o wartości 152 milionów dolarów.
Handlowcy wyraźnie obstawiają, że bliskość Ripple do regulatorów może zmienić narrację wokół XRP.
Kluczowe wnioski
XRP wzrósł o 8,09%, handlując w pobliżu 1,53 USD po wiadomości o federalnym powołaniu CEO Ripple.
CFTC zaangażowało Garlinghouse'a i innych liderów kryptowalut do doradzania w sprawie ram dotyczących aktywów cyfrowych.
Napływy instytucjonalne rosną, a Goldman Sachs ujawnia pozycję ETF kryptowalut o wartości 152 milionów dolarów.
Powiązany z Trumpem Truth Social składa wnioski o ETF-y stakujące Bitcoin, Ethereum i CRO
Grupa Trump Media i Technologii rozszerza swoje działania w zakresie aktywów cyfrowych, składając wnioski o dwa nowe fundusze ETF związane z kryptowalutami, powiązane z Bitcoinem, Etherem i ekosystemem Cronos.
Kluczowe wnioski:
Trump Media złożył wnioski o dwa fundusze ETF kryptowalutowe śledzące Bitcoina, Ethear i token Cronos.
Fundusz Cronos obejmowałby nagrody za stakowanie, a Crypto.com zapewniłoby przechowywanie i usługi.
Ten ruch pogłębia więzi między amerykańską polityką a rosnącym sektorem inwestycji w kryptowaluty.
Fundusze Truth Social, oddział ETF firmy stojącej za platformą Truth Social, złożyły wnioski w piątek o „Truth Social Bitcoin i Ether ETF” oraz „Truth Social Cronos Yield Maximizer ETF.”
Kluczowe wnioski:
Trump Media złożył wnioski o dwa fundusze ETF kryptowalutowe śledzące Bitcoina, Ethear i token Cronos.
Fundusz Cronos obejmowałby nagrody za stakowanie, a Crypto.com zapewniłoby przechowywanie i usługi.
Ten ruch pogłębia więzi między amerykańską polityką a rosnącym sektorem inwestycji w kryptowaluty.
Fundusze Truth Social, oddział ETF firmy stojącej za platformą Truth Social, złożyły wnioski w piątek o „Truth Social Bitcoin i Ether ETF” oraz „Truth Social Cronos Yield Maximizer ETF.”
Zobacz tłumaczenie
Vitalik Buterin Warns Prediction Markets Are Becoming Overly Speculative
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin is voicing concern about the current direction of prediction markets, arguing that the sector is drifting away from useful economic tools and toward short-term betting.
Key Takeaways:
Vitalik Buterin warns prediction markets are drifting toward short-term speculation and betting.
He proposes using onchain markets and AI to hedge everyday expenses and inflation risk.
Supporters say platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi can also serve as decentralized market intelligence.
In a recent post on X, Buterin said many platforms are “over-converging” into products centered on rapid price wagers and speculative trading rather than practical applications.
He warned that the trend risks turning prediction markets into little more than gambling venues instead of systems that support real-world economic planning.
Buterin Says Prediction Markets Should Shift From Betting To Hedging
Rather than focusing on event betting or short-term financial outcomes, Buterin suggested prediction markets should evolve into hedging mechanisms designed to protect consumers and businesses from price volatility.
He outlined a model in which onchain prediction markets work alongside large language models (LLMs).
The system would track price indices across categories of goods and services, such as food, housing or transportation, separated by region.
A user’s personal AI assistant would analyze spending patterns and construct a tailored portfolio of prediction-market positions representing expected future expenses.
The idea is to help households and companies offset rising costs. Individuals could hold traditional investments for growth while maintaining a basket of prediction-market shares tied to living expenses, creating a buffer against inflation in fiat currencies.
Supporters of prediction markets say the technology already has broader value beyond speculation.
These platforms crowdsource expectations about events, financial trends and economic conditions, producing signals some researchers argue can rival polling data.
Recently I have been starting to worry about the state of prediction markets, in their current form. They have achieved a certain level of success: market volume is high enough to make meaningful bets and have a full-time job as a trader, and they often prove useful as a…
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) February 14, 2026
Markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi have gained traction by offering alternative views on political and economic developments.
Advocates say they provide a decentralized source of intelligence that is harder to shape by centralized narratives.
State Opposition to Prediction Markets Builds Over Consumer Concerns
State opposition to prediction markets has been building for months.
In 2025, the SWC urged the CFTC to prohibit sports event contracts, arguing that such products bypass state safeguards such as age verification, responsible gaming rules and anti-money laundering requirements.
As reported, a new legislation to limit the interactions between government officials and the prediction markets is being supported by more than 30 Democrats in the US House of Representatives, including former Speaker Nancy Pelosi.
The lure behind new restrictions is a controversial Polymarket bet, which started as a bet of $32,000 but eventually became more than $400,000 shortly before the unexpected detention of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
The bill proposed by the New York Representative Ritchie Torres is the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026.
Last month, Kalshi opened a new office in Washington, D.C., as it ramps up efforts to shape federal and state policy amid growing scrutiny of its products across the United States.
The company also hired veteran political strategist John Bivona as its first head of federal government relations.
The post Vitalik Buterin Warns Prediction Markets Are Becoming Overly Speculative appeared first on Cryptonews.
Key Takeaways:
Vitalik Buterin warns prediction markets are drifting toward short-term speculation and betting.
He proposes using onchain markets and AI to hedge everyday expenses and inflation risk.
Supporters say platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi can also serve as decentralized market intelligence.
In a recent post on X, Buterin said many platforms are “over-converging” into products centered on rapid price wagers and speculative trading rather than practical applications.
He warned that the trend risks turning prediction markets into little more than gambling venues instead of systems that support real-world economic planning.
Buterin Says Prediction Markets Should Shift From Betting To Hedging
Rather than focusing on event betting or short-term financial outcomes, Buterin suggested prediction markets should evolve into hedging mechanisms designed to protect consumers and businesses from price volatility.
He outlined a model in which onchain prediction markets work alongside large language models (LLMs).
The system would track price indices across categories of goods and services, such as food, housing or transportation, separated by region.
A user’s personal AI assistant would analyze spending patterns and construct a tailored portfolio of prediction-market positions representing expected future expenses.
The idea is to help households and companies offset rising costs. Individuals could hold traditional investments for growth while maintaining a basket of prediction-market shares tied to living expenses, creating a buffer against inflation in fiat currencies.
Supporters of prediction markets say the technology already has broader value beyond speculation.
These platforms crowdsource expectations about events, financial trends and economic conditions, producing signals some researchers argue can rival polling data.
Recently I have been starting to worry about the state of prediction markets, in their current form. They have achieved a certain level of success: market volume is high enough to make meaningful bets and have a full-time job as a trader, and they often prove useful as a…
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) February 14, 2026
Markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi have gained traction by offering alternative views on political and economic developments.
Advocates say they provide a decentralized source of intelligence that is harder to shape by centralized narratives.
State Opposition to Prediction Markets Builds Over Consumer Concerns
State opposition to prediction markets has been building for months.
In 2025, the SWC urged the CFTC to prohibit sports event contracts, arguing that such products bypass state safeguards such as age verification, responsible gaming rules and anti-money laundering requirements.
As reported, a new legislation to limit the interactions between government officials and the prediction markets is being supported by more than 30 Democrats in the US House of Representatives, including former Speaker Nancy Pelosi.
The lure behind new restrictions is a controversial Polymarket bet, which started as a bet of $32,000 but eventually became more than $400,000 shortly before the unexpected detention of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
The bill proposed by the New York Representative Ritchie Torres is the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026.
Last month, Kalshi opened a new office in Washington, D.C., as it ramps up efforts to shape federal and state policy amid growing scrutiny of its products across the United States.
The company also hired veteran political strategist John Bivona as its first head of federal government relations.
The post Vitalik Buterin Warns Prediction Markets Are Becoming Overly Speculative appeared first on Cryptonews.
X Elona Muska uruchomi inteligentne Cashtag, umożliwiające handel akcjami i kryptowalutami w aplikacji
Platforma mediów społecznościowych X Elona Muska przygotowuje się do wprowadzenia funkcji, która może przekształcić aplikację z forum dyskusyjnego w miejsce handlu.
Kluczowe wnioski:
X planuje uruchomić inteligentne Cashtag, umożliwiając użytkownikom handel akcjami i kryptowalutami bezpośrednio w postach.
Funkcja ta wspiera wizję Muska, aby przekształcić X w kompleksową platformę finansową i społeczną.
Będzie wprowadzona obok X Money, systemu płatności peer-to-peer, który obecnie jest w fazie testów beta.
Nikita Bier, szef produktu X, powiedział, że firma planuje wprowadzenie „inteligentnych Cashtagów”, narzędzia, które pozwoli użytkownikom kupować i sprzedawać akcje oraz kryptowaluty bezpośrednio z ich osi czasu.
Kluczowe wnioski:
X planuje uruchomić inteligentne Cashtag, umożliwiając użytkownikom handel akcjami i kryptowalutami bezpośrednio w postach.
Funkcja ta wspiera wizję Muska, aby przekształcić X w kompleksową platformę finansową i społeczną.
Będzie wprowadzona obok X Money, systemu płatności peer-to-peer, który obecnie jest w fazie testów beta.
Nikita Bier, szef produktu X, powiedział, że firma planuje wprowadzenie „inteligentnych Cashtagów”, narzędzia, które pozwoli użytkownikom kupować i sprzedawać akcje oraz kryptowaluty bezpośrednio z ich osi czasu.
Analiza wskazuje, że cena Bitcoina 'ostateczne' dno rynku niedźwiedzia bliskie 55 000 $
Bitcoin może jeszcze nie osiągnąć prawdziwej kapitulacji. Firma analityczna CryptoQuant ostrzega, że prawdziwe dno rynku niedźwiedzia może być bliżej 55 000 $. To jest niższe niż wielu byków chciałoby przyznać.
Jeśli ich dane są poprawne, rynek wciąż ma kilka bóli do przeprocesowania, zanim powstanie odpowiednia strukturalna baza. Słabe ręce mogą nie być w pełni wypłukane. A dopóki nie nastąpi ostateczne zresetowanie, nazywanie tego ostatecznym dnem może być nieco przedwczesne.
Kluczowe Wnioski
Dane CryptoQuant sugerują, że „ostateczne” dno rynku niedźwiedzia jest bliskie 55 000 $ na podstawie modeli cen zrealizowanych.
Jeśli ich dane są poprawne, rynek wciąż ma kilka bóli do przeprocesowania, zanim powstanie odpowiednia strukturalna baza. Słabe ręce mogą nie być w pełni wypłukane. A dopóki nie nastąpi ostateczne zresetowanie, nazywanie tego ostatecznym dnem może być nieco przedwczesne.
Kluczowe Wnioski
Dane CryptoQuant sugerują, że „ostateczne” dno rynku niedźwiedzia jest bliskie 55 000 $ na podstawie modeli cen zrealizowanych.
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