Peter Smith NFT

#StockMarketCrash #Iran'sNewSupremeLeader #Trump'sCyberStrategy #MarketPullback #OilTops$100
L'esperto di Wall Street Ed Yardeni ha previsto un ulteriore crollo del 35% delle azioni statunitensi, comprese quelle legate alle criptovalute. Questo avviene in mezzo alle crescenti tensioni tra Stati Uniti e Iran mentre la guerra continua a intensificarsi.
Il veterano stratega di Wall Street ha aumentato la probabilità di un crollo del mercato azionario al 35% per il resto dell'anno. Inizialmente aveva previsto solo un calo del 20%, ma ora ha cambiato idea a causa del sentiment di mercato.
Allo stesso tempo, ha ridotto le probabilità di un rally guidato più dall'entusiasmo degli investitori che dai fondamentali sottostanti a solo il 5% dal 20%. Questo avviene mentre la guerra tra Stati Uniti e Iran continua a peggiorare con il tempo. Solo due giorni fa, il presidente Trump ha minacciato di continuare a colpire il paese del Medio Oriente in mezzo al rifiuto del paese di ritirarsi.

Bitcoin has dropped, and it is not alone. The broader crypto market has dipped alongside broader risk assets. Increased U.S. tariff uncertainty has pressured investor sentiment, pushing cryptocurrencies lower with equities. Also, JPMorgan’s CEO said artificial intelligence is a disruptive force. Analysts say Bitcoin now trades in line with overall market mood rather than internal fundamentals, intensifying downside risks.
CryptoQuant Flags Premium Weakness as Bitcoin Breaks Support
As per CryptoQuant data, Bitcoin’s recent slide aligns with weakness in the Coinbase Premium Index. The firm reported that the 30-minute simple moving average briefly crossed above zero. However, it failed to hold that level into the new week.
That rejection above zero, CryptoQuant noted, emerged as a potential trigger for the latest downward move. The firm added that the lack of sustained recovery reflected fading buying pressure. As a result, momentum shifted as sellers regained control.
As Coingape reported, Glassnode and 10x Research warned that the Bitcoin price might fall further. Meanwhile, analyst Ted pointed to a structural breakdown. He said Bitcoin lost the $65,000 support zone, exposing lower liquidity pockets. Strong bids are between $60,000 and $63,000, yet he warned that the stock market now guides direction.
Ted added that the $BTC taker buy/sell ratio has fallen below one. Sellers therefore dominate current flows. He also noted that a monthly RSI drop below 38 historically aligns with cycle bottoms.
JPMorgan CEO Warns of 2008-Style Lending Risks
While Bitcoin and the crypto market weaken, Jamie Dimon raised separate concerns about financial markets, as per Bloomberg data. The JPMorgan Chase CEO said that he sees parallels to conditions before 2008. He recalled a similar outlook in 2005 through 2007, when profits rose fast.
Dimon said competitors now take excessive lending risks to generate net interest income. He described some of those actions as “dumb things” designed to boost short-term returns. However, he stressed that JPMorgan will not follow that path.
He explained that although the credit cycle remains firm, cracks will eventually appear. Timing, he noted, remains uncertain. Additionally, Dimon flagged artificial intelligence as a disruptive force, especially across software segments.
Bitcoin Volatility Deepens as TD Cowen Lays Out $450K Scenario
At press time, $BTC price was at $64,438, down by 0.30% in 24 hours and 5.33% weekly. Price peaked near $68,500 before a sharp Feb. 23 selloff drove it toward $64,400. A brief rebound reached $66,500, yet lower highs followed.
On Feb. 24, Bitcoin dropped again toward the $62,800 to $63,000 zone. Immediate resistance is between $64,500 and $65,000, while key support is near $62,500. The short-term structure now shows a clear downtrend.
Despite current pressure, TD Cowen outlined a higher long-term Bitcoin valuation path. The firm said a 100-fold rise in tokenized assets, alongside a 90% drop in velocity, could lift Bitcoin fivefold. That scenario implies roughly $450,000 per coin over time.
TD Cowen also forecasts Bitcoin near $225,000 by the end of fiscal 2027. The firm cautioned that its model relies on assumptions, including expanded real-world asset tokenization.
#BTC☀️ #BTCDropsbelow$63K #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease #BTC☀ #BTC

Bitcoin’s price has extended its multi‑week corrective phase, sliding below key psychological and technical zones as traders assess both newer economic headwinds and internal market dynamics.
The bitcoin price moved lower through the weekend and into Monday, punctuating an increasingly cautious market tone.
Bitcoin price first violated the $65,000 support band on Sunday evening, with price action showing a rapid 5 % drop within roughly two hours of trading — a move that brought $BTC under $65,000 for the first time in several weeks.
This decline came amid low liquidity conditions and a lack of clear catalysts to sustain bullish momentum.
The drop was not driven by an obvious single event, but rather a confluence of technical exhaustion, reduced bid pressure, and broader risk‑off sentiment in global markets.
The move beneath $65,000 has now put additional emphasis on lower support clusters near the low $60,000s — levels that historically serve as both psychological and structural inflection points for intra‑day volatility.
On Monday and Tuesday, Bitcoin’s range tightened, with intraday swings narrowing as directional conviction waned. Trading volumes over this period remained subdued relative to prior months, reflecting a broader hesitancy among participants to commit capital absent fresh catalysts.
Bitcoin price faces pressure amid slow derivatives activity
Industry observers say Bitcoin’s recent volatility reflects broader global uncertainty and strained liquidity conditions.
“Bitcoin continues to be a global thermometer for world events and liquidity. Subdued liquidity and violent conflict are a recipe for a depressed bitcoin price in a market that is struggling to understand bitcoin as the most reliable asset in a chaotic world,” said Timot Lamarre, director of market research at Unchained to Bitcoin Magazine. “The ability to weightlessly carry wealth without counterparty risk is under-appreciated.”
Institutional flows and corporate treasury activity provided an interesting counterpoint to price weakness. Strategy (the corporate entity helmed by Michael Saylor) completed its 100th bitcoin acquisition, adding roughly 592 $BTC at an average price around $67,286, even as the Bitcoin price traded lower.
Still, bearish dynamics have not completely abated. Failure to reclaim levels above the mid‑$65,000s could open the door to a test of the $60,000 region — a band that, if broken decisively, may induce a deeper wave of reactive selling from short‑term traders.
Also, analysts tracking Bitcoin’s derivatives markets note that the current setup reflects a cautious and measured trading environment.
“The derivatives complex has settled into a more defensive equilibrium. Without the crowded long positioning we’ve seen in the past, the risk of cascading liquidations on the downside is significantly reduced,” Bitfinex analysts wrote to Bitcoin Magazine. “But there’s a trade-off: upside momentum can no longer rely on the fuel of short-covering alone. For a durable recovery to take hold, we need to see funding stabilise alongside a genuine resurgence in spot demand and not just mechanical squeezes playing out in a leverage-light environment.”
#BTCDropsbelow$63K #StrategyBTCPurchase #BTC☀️ #BTC☀ #BTC

L'indice premium di Bitcoin di Coinbase, molto seguito, sembrava brevemente recuperare dopo il crollo del 5 febbraio. Non lo era.
Il premium è ora stato negativo per 40 giorni consecutivi, secondo i dati di Coinglass, stabilendo la serie più lunga di letture sotto zero dal 2023. La lettura attuale è di -0,0467%, cambiata di poco rispetto a due settimane fa, quando un forte restringimento da -0,22% suggeriva che gli acquirenti statunitensi erano intervenuti vicino ai minimi.
L'indice misura il divario di prezzo tra bitcoin su Coinbase e la media del mercato globale. Coinbase è ampiamente utilizzato come proxy per i flussi istituzionali statunitensi e denominati in dollari, quindi una lettura negativa persistente significa che gli investitori americani stanno costantemente pagando meno rispetto al resto del mondo — o vendendo in modo più aggressivo o semplicemente non presentandosi.

Il $XRP Ledger ha ora iniziato a registrare una media di 2,5 milioni di pagamenti giornalieri riusciti, rappresentando un netto aumento rispetto ai precedenti 1,5 milioni dell'ultimo trimestre.
$XRP ha avuto un'andamento dei prezzi sfavorevole per l'investitore medio dal quarto trimestre del 2025. Dopo aver aperto ottobre 2025 a $2,84, XRP è crollato fino al prezzo attuale di $1,39, rappresentando una diminuzione del 51% dal Q4 2025.
Tuttavia, i dati mostrano che mentre XRP ha avuto una performance deludente nell'andamento dei prezzi durante un calo più ampio del mercato, l'attività on-chain è aumentata. In particolare, i pagamenti giornalieri riusciti sul $XRP Ledger erano di 1,5 milioni nel Q4 2025, ma ora sono aumentati a circa 2,5 milioni in questo trimestre.

French utility giant Engie is exploring the installation of battery storage systems or bitcoin mining data centers at its newly launched Assu Sol solar plant in Brazil, as it looks to offset mounting curtailment losses and improve project economics, according to Reuters reporting.
Speaking to reporters, Eduardo Sattamini, Engie’s country manager in Brazil, said the company is evaluating potential “offtakers” that could absorb excess generation from the 895-megawatt-peak facility — the largest solar project in Engie’s global portfolio.
According to Engie, the company is 23.64% owned and 33.20% controlled by the French government, and it typically focuses on low-carbon energy transition.
Located in Brazil’s northeast, Assu Sol entered full commercial operation this month but has already been impacted by grid-imposed curtailments. The restrictions, designed to stabilize Brazil’s power system, force renewable plants to scale back output when supply exceeds demand.
Curtailment has become a growing challenge for solar and wind operators in Brazil since 2023, as a wave of new renewable capacity collides with sluggish demand growth, transmission bottlenecks and rapid expansion in distributed generation, particularly rooftop solar. The result has been billions of reais in lost revenue across the sector.
To mitigate the issue, Engie is considering on-site battery storage or hosting energy-intensive data centers dedicated to bitcoin mining — a strategy that would effectively convert otherwise stranded power into a monetizable asset. Sattamini cautioned, however, that any such initiative would take years to materialize.
“That’s not coming next month,” he said. “It will take a couple of years for us to implement.”
Bitcoin miners are pivoting to AI
All this is happening as a growing number of bitcoin miners are pivoting to AI. As margins tighten and block subsidies trend toward zero, these bitcoin miners are repurposing their infrastructure to tap into the artificial intelligence boom.
Data centers originally built for ASIC-powered SHA-256 hashing are being retrofitted to host high-performance GPUs optimized for AI training and inference workloads.
Large operators are leading the charge. Bitfarms has publicly outlined plans to wind down its Bitcoin mining operations through 2026–27 and convert its Washington State facility into an AI-ready GPU-as-a-Service hub, complete with liquid-cooled Nvidia GB300 hardware backed by a $128 million upgrade deal.
Other mining firms like IREN have locked in multibillion-dollar GPU cloud agreements with major tech partners like Microsoft, signaling that traditional mining power capacity can be redeployed into stable, contracted AI compute revenue.
Also, Bitdeer Technologies has fully liquidated its corporate bitcoin treasury, reporting zero $BTC held as of Feb. 20 after an eight-week drawdown from roughly 2,000 $BTC at year-end 2025, including the sale of 189.8 $BTC produced during the latest week and its remaining 943.1 $BTC in reserves.
The company said they are moving into AI infrastructure, rolling out NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 systems in Malaysia and switching several of their sites from crypto mining to AI data centers.
#TokenizedRealEstate #StrategyBTCPurchase #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease #WhenWillCLARITYActPass $BTC

The Supreme Court of the United States on Friday struck down President Donald Trump’s sweeping global tariff regime, ruling 6-3 that he exceeded his authority by imposing broad import duties under a national emergency law.
The decision invalidates tariffs Trump levied in early 2025 under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, a statute enacted in 1977 and historically used to sanction foreign adversaries during crises. Trump cited persistent trade deficits and national security concerns, including fentanyl trafficking, to justify duties ranging from 10% to 50% on imports from nearly every major trading partner.
Writing for the majority, Chief Justice John Roberts said the Constitution leaves little ambiguity about who controls the taxing power.
“The Framers did not vest any part of the taxing power in the Executive Branch,” Roberts wrote, adding that no previous president had used the statute to impose tariffs “of this magnitude and scope.”
The ruling marks the first major test of Trump’s second-term economic agenda before the high court, which includes three justices he appointed during his first term. Lower courts had already found that the administration overstepped, emphasizing that Article I of the Constitution assigns tariff authority to Congress.
President Trump said he has a backup plan to pursue tariffs following the court ruling, according to various sources.
***Bitcoin jumps on the news***
In financial markets, the reaction was swift and unsettled. Bitcoin rose about 2% within minutes of the decision, briefly climbing above $68,000 before retreating toward $67,500. The move reflected a familiar pattern in digital asset markets, where headline-driven rallies have struggled to hold.
The mixed response underscored the ambiguity surrounding the ruling’s economic impact. For some investors, the invalidation of tariffs removes a source of policy uncertainty that has weighed on global trade.
For others, it introduces new questions about fiscal gaps, refund obligations and next steps from the White House.
Reuters has reported that more than $133 billion in tariff revenue collected under the emergency authority could be subject to refunds. Trump has said his broader tariff program generated roughly $600 billion, though that figure has been disputed. If significant sums must be repaid, Treasury financing needs could shift at a delicate moment for bond markets.
Earlier Friday, economic data painted a complicated picture. The Commerce Department reported that the U.S. economy grew at a 1.4% annualized rate in the final quarter of 2025.
Core personal consumption expenditures, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, rose 3% year over year, above expectations.
Annual growth for 2025 slowed to 2.2%, the weakest pace since 2020.
Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth, described the data as sending a “messy message” of firmer inflation alongside cooling growth, according to CoinDesk. That backdrop has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will proceed with caution on rate cuts.
***Is this ruling good for bitcoin?***
For Bitcoin traders, the tariff case has been less about trade flows than about liquidity and risk appetite. During prior episodes of trade escalation, digital assets tended to move in tandem with equities as investors reassessed growth and inflation risks.
A court decision that removes tariffs could ease cost pressures over time, yet the near-term effect hinges on how Washington fills any fiscal hole.
Stephen Coltman, head of macro at 21Shares, said before the ruling that a negative outcome for the administration could pressure the dollar and Treasuries while favoring stocks and bitcoin.
Others, including VanEck’s Matthew Sigel, have argued that reduced tariff revenue could widen deficits, increasing the appeal of assets like bitcoin viewed as hedges against currency debasement.
Online prediction markets had assigned high odds to the court striking down the tariffs, suggesting traders were prepared for the headline.
For now, the court’s decision narrows presidential authority over tariffs and returns leverage to Congress. Whether lawmakers move to codify elements of Trump’s trade agenda or chart a different course remains unclear.
#TokenizedRealEstate #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease #USJobsData #TrumpNewTariffs #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
$ETH
$XRP
$BTC

$XRP has remained under pressure amid a broader crypto market pullback. The token continues to trade below a persistent downtrend line that began at the start of the year. Multiple breakout attempts have failed, reinforcing bearish control in the short term.
Despite the ongoing decline, historical patterns suggest this phase may precede a recovery rally. Similar technical setups have marked turning points in the past. Notably, July 2024.
$XRP Could See Its History Repeated***
The Market Value to Realized Value, or MVRV, Extreme Values indicator shows $XRP has traded below the 1.0 threshold for an extended period. An MVRV ratio under 1.0 often signals that the asset is undervalued relative to its historical cost basis. This condition can reflect capitulation among short-term holders.
Green bars within the MVRV model indicate XRP is “getting low,” suggesting a potential bottom formation. Historically, such readings have occurred after MVRV remained below 1.0 for roughly 15% of trading days. These periods have often aligned with reversal stages rather than prolonged declines.
A similar setup emerged in July 2024. Shortly after comparable MVRV readings, XRP surged 51% within days. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the data suggests $XRP may be nearing a recovery phase if historical tendencies repeat.
On-chain metrics offer additional insight into shifting investor behavior. The number of addresses holding at least 10,000 XRP has begun to stabilize after a notable decline. This cohort represents mid-sized holders rather than large whales.
The recent uptick follows the largest drop in such addresses since December 2020. Historically, renewed participation from these holders comes after accumulation by larger XRP investors. Rising conviction among smaller participants often reflects a cascading improvement in confidence in price stability and potential upside from top holders.
XRP Price Aims At Ending Downtrend***
XRP is trading at $1.42 at the time of writing, holding above the critical $1.36 support level. Maintaining this base is essential for preserving near-term bullish prospects. However, the asset remains capped beneath a descending trendline that has rejected price advances three times this year.
While improving MVRV readings and addressing growth support a constructive outlook, confirmation remains pending. A decisive move above $1.57 would be required to validate a breakout. Flipping this level into support would clear the $1.50 resistance and break the established downtrend structure. Such a shift could open a path toward $1.91, marking a significant recovery extension.
If bullish momentum weakens, XRP may continue consolidating within its current range. A breakdown below $1.36 would shift the structure bearish. In that scenario, downside risk could extend toward $1.11, invalidating the recovery thesis and reinforcing selling pressure in the broader XRP price trend.
The post Is XRP Price Preparing To Breach Its 2026 Downtrend? Here’s What History Says appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633) is currently the most watched piece of legislation in the financial world. After passing the House in July 2025 with a strong bipartisan vote of 294–134, it has spent early 2026 navigating a "gauntlet of interests" in the Senate.
As of late February 2026, the bill is in a high-stakes period of renegotiation. Here is the current landscape:
**The Current Status**
The bill hit a significant roadblock on January 14, 2026, when the Senate Banking Committee unexpectedly postponed a scheduled markup. This delay was triggered by a sudden withdrawal of support from major industry participants over revised text concerning stablecoin yield and DeFi compliance.
However, momentum is shifting again. The Senate Agriculture Committee successfully advanced its version of the bill on January 29, 2026, with a narrow 12–11 vote, focusing on granting the CFTC exclusive oversight of digital commodities like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
When Will It Pass?
Most legislative analysts and prediction markets (like Polymarket, which currently shows a ~70% chance of passage in 2026) point to three likely windows:
Spring 2026 (The "Optimistic" Path): If Senate Banking leadership can reach a "stablecoin compromise" with Wall Street banks by March, a full Senate floor vote could occur by late May.
Summer 2026 (The "Realistic" Path): Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has urged passage by "this summer" to avoid the political gravity of the November midterm elections. This would involve a reconciliation between the House and Senate versions in June or July.
Post-Midterms (The "Risk" Path): If a consensus isn't reached by August, the bill risks being shelved until a "lame-duck" session in December, or failing entirely if the House flips parties in November.
What’s at Stake?
The CLARITY Act is designed to replace the SEC’s "regulation-by-enforcement" model with a clear statutory framework. It draws a bright line between SEC and CFTC jurisdictions, protects software developers from being labeled "money transmitters," and establishes federal product liability for AI-driven trading systems.
The industry remains on edge, as this bill represents the difference between the U.S. becoming a "crypto capital" or losing further innovation to offshore markets.
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass #StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #HarvardAddsETHExposure #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI