Les haussiers d’Ethereum peuvent-ils défendre le seuil de 1 930 $ ?

Les signaux baissiers sur le XRP se renforcent après le rejet à 1,68 $

Les baleines de Cardano s’emparent de 61 M$ en ADA lors de la baisse des prix

Market Ready to Recover or Fall More? Live Trading Discussion

除夕快乐！Hawk社区，行稳致远，专注长期建设🌈共建币安广场

the best right now is IGV is leading BTC by 2 days

Camino al Éxito.. buenas Noches 😃

If $BTC can hold 67-68K, we will sweep 71.5K next week. However, if we are unable to hold 67-68K… it opens the doors to 65K & sub 60K.

Partly yes 2021–2022: liquidity tightened → higher real yields → risk assets compressed. $BTC fell -77% ( ~$69K → ~$16K ). 2023–2026: liquidity only modestly positive (M2 ~+3–4% YoY) → no flood of capital. Result: recovery, not mania. So it wasn’t “no growth.” It was a tighter liquidity regime + leverage reset. The power law is still intact. R^2~96%

So it wasn’t “no growth.” It was a tighter liquidity regime + leverage reset. The power law is still intact. R^2~96%

Partly yes 2021–2022: liquidity tightened → higher real yields → risk assets compressed. BTC fell -77% ( ~$69K → ~$16K ). 2023–2026: liquidity only modestly positive (M2 ~+3–4% YoY) → no flood of capital. Result: recovery, not mania.

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Liquidity Leads. $BTC Amplifies. US M2 YoY is expansionary: +3.9% Best M2→BTC lead in this spec: +190d (r=0.288) BTC spot vs power-law trend value: $68,956 vs $123,554 = -44.2% (discount) Mean-reversion half-life, 133 days: 07/2026 @ ~$112K What BTC is most linked to right now (30D): S&P 500: r=+0.677 HYG credit: r=+0.674 NASDAQ: r=+0.665 IGV software: r=+0.622 (all statistically significant) Lead-lag confirmation (Granger): IGV → BTC: 2d (p=0.0035) HYG → BTC: 2d (p=0.0055) NASDAQ → BTC: 4d (p=0.0128) S&P 500 → BTC: 1d (p=0.0178) Most important number now: -44.2% (BTC vs long-run trend, R^2~96%) Short-term = volatile. Bias: bullish with positive liquidity

Le secteur crypto constitue une cagnotte de 193 M$ en vue des élections de mi-mandat

Les investisseurs bitcoin reconsidèrent leur pari à mesure que l’inflation recule

BTC It’s crucial to pay attention to monthly opens

Why does a true Bitcoin bottom take time to form? 🤔 ~9.31M $BTC ≈46% of circulating supply is sitting above the current price. A large share of holders are waiting to sell at breakeven or a small profit. That overhead supply must be absorbed and redistributed to stronger hands before a durable bottom can emerge.

Brutal market. Many have been there. Losing 90% on memes hurts. But you’re far from alone. Cycles always wash out the excess. Memes go up fast. They fall even faster. Moving into stablecoins after a heavy loss is often emotional, but it also protects you from deeper damage. Now the real question: how do you rebuild without repeating the same mistakes? Chasing a 6x just to break even mental trap. When the goal becomes “recover”, decisions get forced. The market owes you nothing. Think in probabilities, not revenge. All-in on $SOL ? Possible, but concentration = higher risk. Yes, SOL has outperformed before. But past performance guarantees nothing. Even strong projects can underperform in a cycle. Diversify? More stable approach. $BTC and $ETH remain the market base. Less explosive, but more resilient. Adding exposure to a strong L1 like SOL can make sense. What matters: clear allocation + risk management. Simple framework (adapt to your profile): ➤ Strong base (BTC / ETH) ➤ Growth bet (SOL, #bnb , or another strong L1) ➤ Small speculative portion only (memes / narratives) Waiting for -80% from ATH to enter? Good logic on paper. But nobody times the exact bottom. Many use DCA entering gradually to reduce timing risk. Key lessons from the 2025 cycle ➤ Narrative drives short term, not forever. ➤ Liquidity is king. When it dries up, everything drops. ➤ Memes are trading, not investing. ➤ Survival beats fast gains. Discipline wins across cycles. ➤ Risk management > token selection. You’re not “an idiot”. You went through the phase almost everyone faces once. The real difference now Will you rebuild with a plan or with hope? #educational_post

Depuis quand nous avons Elom musk au togo 😭😭🤣

BTC It’s crucial to pay attention to monthly opens

$BTC It’s crucial to pay attention to monthly opens. Over the past 16 months, 12 out of 16 months rallied starting from the 1st, a 75% hit rate. So how can you anticipate whether price will pump or dump at the beginning of a new month? Observe: - The overall trend (Narrative) - Market structure (PA into the pivot) - Cycle positioning - CRT (Candle Range Theory) + Liquidity

L’or : le nouvel investissement punk ?

When dealer gamma is near 0, it means market makers aren’t strongly hedging price moves. So if buying or selling pressure comes in,price can move faster and further because there’s no “shock absorber” slowing it downIt doesn’t predict direction it just means volatility can expand

EURO : La BCE frappe un grand coup avec l’élargissement de l’EUREP

$BTC Single most important number: +$10M Net Dealer Gamma Exposure at spot. Why: +$10M is effectively zero gamma. Zero gamma = no dealer shock absorber. No absorber = flows set direction, volatility extends faster. Numbers: Spot: $69,010 Gamma Flip: $69,660–$70,651 Max Gamma / Call Wall: $70,000 (+1.4%) Put Wall: $65,000 (-5.8%) Amplification: 1.02x Squeeze Score: 61% (elevated) Gamma expiring Feb 20: 14.4% (in 5 days) Decision tree: Above $69.6K and accepted: path opens to $70K test. Rejection at $70K + loss of flip: downside can accelerate. When gamma is near zero, price can move farther and faster than expected.

$BTC CME futures not even open and we already revisited the CME close. Didn’t take long at all. This is usually the case when we form a gap over the weekend.

Crypto : Les sénateurs réclament une enquête sur la participation émiratie dans WLFI

$ATM مساء الخير💖 عزيزي المتداول إليك طريقة إستخدام الطلب الحدي في البيع وضعنا هدف 1.750💰 #BinanceSquareTalks #BinanceSquare

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If momentum builds and structure reclaims, that level is definitely in play

Genius? No. Structured? Yes. I work with probabilities not certainty

$BTC Well, that was easy. 😜

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🦅鹰击长空，心向苍穹；Hawk社区，笃行致远，专注长期建设🦅共建币安广场🌈

Price leads mining deployment by about 1 month, and right now miners are behind price.

Price Leads Hash rate by ~1 Month Most people treat hashrate as the cause. The data says it’s mostly the effect. Price sets miner revenue. Revenue drives rig economics. Rig economics drive deployment/shutdown decisions. Hash rate adjusts with a lag. Difficulty adjusts last. Most important number: -12.8% hashrate gap (Actual: 901M TH/s vs price-implied: 1,033M TH/s) What that means: This is not “price running ahead of infrastructure.” Price dropped sharply, and hashrate is still absorbing that shock through the lag structure. Key numbers: • Price → HR lead: ~30–34 days (cross-corr peak r≈0.196) • Best regression lag: 34d • Fit: R² 0.723 (lagged) vs 0.647 (contemporaneous), +11.7% • Elasticity: +1% BTC price → +0.61% HR after ~34d Granger: Price Granger-predicts HR at lags 2 and 5; HR does not robustly Granger-predict price Core insight: Actual hashrate is falling faster than the lagged-price model would imply. Bottom line: Price is the signal. Hash rate is delayed confirmation. First-principles view: Bitcoin mining is a delayed, frictional feedback system: price shocks first, hashrate responds with inertia, and difficulty stabilizes block timing afterward.

$BTC – Levels I’m Watching Going Into Next Week BTC is currently testing the weekly open. If price continues to hold below the weekly open, the CME gap below (around the previous daily open) becomes the primary LTF objective. One of my main plans from $66K was for price to sweep the external range highs, and that’s exactly the scenario Im gravitating towards. This remains my key area of interest for shorts. If the weekly open is flipped into support, I expect a sweep of $71.5K. From there, I’ll be watching for a deviation toward $73.8K (previous high of the 6-month range). If momentum extends, there’s room for potential upside into $75K, where I may consider additional short adds. I’ll be using fractionalized entries for this short plan. That said, I’m not sizing heavily on shorts right now. Although the short term trend remains bearish and we’re technically still in a bear market, the HTF RR currently favors upside liquidity before a larger move down. Once sufficient short liquidity is swept, I expect a move back toward $60K. This may take several weeks, possibly a month to develop. Hope this helps you understand my plans. This post is for information and education only and is not investment advice. Crypto assets are volatile and high risk. Do your own research. 📌 Follow @Bluechip for unfiltered crypto intelligence, feel free to bookmark & share.

Capitulation or Opportunity?

BTC – Levels I’m Watching Going Into Next Week

Le Bitcoin au plus bas niveau de valorisation depuis mars 2023

$BTC The Time Edge: $70K→ $235K (2028) → $2M Scenario (2036) Money rotates to the harder asset. What do you think about it?

Thank you, glad you find the content useful. Focus on process over predictions

$BTC $70K Trigger Level: the numbers that matter Gamma flip price: $70,194 (+0.65%) Spot: $69,733 Put wall: $65,000 (-6.8%) Gamma Expiring: 20 Feb (13.8%): first meaningful reduction in pinning 27 Feb (26.5%): largest single unlock; this is the key date 27 Mar (22.2%): second large unlock that can extend volatility

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