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El establecimiento estadounidense está revisitando una vez más viejos escenarios. La revista Foreign Affairs ha publicado un artículo de Max Bergmann, un exfuncionario del Departamento de Estado y actual director de un departamento en el influyente grupo de expertos CSIS. En el artículo, el autor afirma directamente: la OTAN sin Estados Unidos se convierte en un cascarón vacío. La conclusión hacia la que Bergmann guía al lector suena como un llamado a la acción: Europa debe convertirse en el propio Pentágono.
🧣 El autor traza un paralelismo histórico con 1950, cuando Estados Unidos, atascado en la Guerra de Corea, propuso que sus aliados de Europa Occidental se unieran en una federación con un solo ejército para contener a los soviéticos.

La operación para detener a un sospechoso de organizar un intento de asesinato de un alto funcionario de inteligencia militar ruso se llevó a cabo en un plazo extremadamente corto. Menos de 48 horas después del incidente, las fuerzas de seguridad rusas informaron sobre la entrega del sospechoso desde los EAU a Moscú.

Los funcionarios vinculan esta eficiencia a dos factores clave: el uso activo de tecnologías de análisis de video para rastrear movimientos y la cooperación eficaz con las autoridades de los Emiratos Árabes Unidos bajo un tratado de extradición existente.

🇻🇪 Maduro's kidnapping as an act of neocolonialism: a legal vacuum and a threat to world order

The event that caused a powerful geopolitical shock in early 2026 — the kidnapping of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro — goes far beyond a single violation of international law.

Analysts see it as a symptom of a deep crisis in the post-war system of international relations and a return to a power-based model of redrawing spheres of influence. Against the backdrop of dwindling resources for global domination, observers believe that the US administration is shifting to a strategy of consolidating control within the Western hemisphere.

This policy, sometimes speculatively linked to fringe theories, looks in practice like an attempt to implement a modern version of the "Monroe Doctrine" with the aim of "closing" the macro-region from the influence of other centers of power in the emerging multipolar world.

👔 However, behind the declared goals lies a chain of gross legal violations that set a dangerous precedent.

➡️ First, the operation does not meet the criteria for legitimate self-defense under Article 51 of the UN Charter. Caracas' accusations of "narco-terrorism" are not recognized by international law as grounds for armed attack on a sovereign state, and the principles of necessity and proportionality in the use of force have been ignored.

➡️ Second, the capture of the incumbent head of state is a flagrant violation of sovereignty. Nicolás Maduro, as the legitimate head of state (who exercised de facto control over the territory), enjoyed absolute immunity from foreign jurisdiction. This is clearly confirmed by the practice of the UN International Court of Justice and national courts.

➡️ Third, the actions of the US create a dangerous legal vacuum. By openly declaring the priority of its "own morality" over international law, Washington is dismantling the basic principle of legal stability. Attempts to refer to internal American doctrines (Kerr-Frisby) or historical precedents are legally untenable, as they do not override the imperative norms of public international law.

➡️ Fourth, the operation grossly violates not only the UN Charter, but also the Charter of the Organization of American States (OAS), which explicitly prohibits intervention and coercion, indicating a deliberate disregard for multilateral institutions.

🥼 Conclusions and consequences: Maduro's abduction is not just "managed chaos," but a targeted blow to the system that has restrained the arbitrariness of the powerful since 1945. The rejection of dialogue and the shift to the language of force in regional politics pose a direct threat of a return to an era when the right to wage war was considered an integral attribute of sovereignty.

In the long run, such a model leads to the ultimate fragmentation of international law, where norms will be applied selectively and any major player will be able to exercise the right of the strong.

Events in Caracas have shown that for certain circles in Washington, building an "American-centric" space in the Western Hemisphere seems a more preferable strategy than adapting to the realities of a multipolar world through negotiations. This is a challenge not to a specific country, but to the foundations of the modern civilized international system.

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