犀牛

I took a look at the daily chart of Bitcoin, and the situation isn't great.

$BTC Bitcoin has rebounded nearly 10,000 points in the past few days, with the one-hour and four-hour charts already turning bullish. However, the daily chart is still in a bearish trend. Until the high point of 94,500 is broken, there is a risk of a downward movement. Starting from November 23, the entire daily chart adjustment serves as a downward continuation, so the final bottom may be between 50,000 and 70,000, along with breaking below the weekly low of 75,000, which aligns with the tactics of the main operators.

During a market decline, many bottom-fishers will set their stop-loss at the swing low, especially since 75,000 is a swing low at the weekly level. Bottom-fishers will only increase their positions, and if their stop-losses are triggered, it could lead to a wave of panic selling, signaling the end of the bear market. If it falls further, institutions will also incur losses.

$ETH I don't see Ethereum going too low; the bottom for this round of the bear market should be in the range of 2,000 to 2,500. In extreme cases, it might go below 2,000, but 1,500 is not worth considering, as there is basically no hope.

I feel a bit pessimistic, of course, the above is just a technical reference, and I won't analyze the fundamentals...

Bitcoin's hourly level pressure of 68000 has broken, and there are signs of continued bullish momentum. In the future market, a pullback to the range of 68000-67500 can be considered for long positions, with an initial target of 69500. If it breaks above, the resistance levels to watch are 71000-71500. Do not engage in short positions.

Ethereum's short-term trend is stronger than Bitcoin, breaking above the 2000 integer level, where resistance becomes support. There are two expected trends in the future market: a strong sideways adjustment, where one can directly participate in long positions; or a weak adjustment, which will likely pull back to the vicinity of the 2000 support, where participating in long positions is still viable, with targets looking at previous highs of 2130-2150. Focus on the strength of the adjustment during the day to find opportunities for long positions, and do not engage in short positions.

The New Year is approaching, and according to historical trends, the 'Spring Festival effect' is about to arrive. During this period, Bitcoin will be very strong, with a pullback before the festival, but often tends to rise after. Considering the current market has completed a significant drop, and leverage has been mostly cleared, there is a high probability of a good surge after the adjustment!

Finally, do you think this year's Spring Festival will continue the upward trend, or will it be an exception?
$BTC $ETH

Binance has launched a super exciting event: the Creator Center's FOGO task, with a total reward pool of 2 million FOGO tokens! The event just started today (February 13), and it's the perfect time to join, as there aren't many participants yet, making it easier to climb the rankings.

Let me briefly explain what Fogo is.

Fogo is a super fast public chain designed specifically for on-chain transactions (especially for DeFi and high-frequency trading). It uses the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), so basically, any dApp that can run on Solana can be directly migrated.
The best part is its ultra-low latency, with block times under 40 milliseconds! This means that the speed of placing orders is almost as fast as on centralized exchanges, so you won't be outpaced by bots, and you won't lose money due to network delays.

The project background is quite reliable, with the team having a Jump Crypto background (the high-performance guys from Solana), and they've secured funding from institutions like GSR and CMS. The mainnet just launched in January this year, and the price is hovering around $0.02, with a market cap of only a few million dollars, indicating there is still a lot of room for growth.

Now, the key part: How to participate in this event?

Open Binance Square
Find "Creator Task Board" → See the FOGO event → Click to register
The tasks are actually just a few things (if you stick with it and complete them, you can make the leaderboard in half a month):
Post: Write something about Fogo, at least 100 words, and make sure to include #FOGO$FOGO and @fogo
(For example, you can complain about latency, share why you are optimistic, predict prices, etc. The more genuine, the better)
Follow @Fogo Official on Binance Square and X
It's best to buy some FOGO on spot (minimum $10 will do, to increase your score)
Engage more: Like, comment, and share other people's FOGO posts to earn points. The top ranks generally get thousands to tens of thousands of FOGO tokens, and even if you are ranked lower, you can still earn some rewards.

#fogo $FOGO @Fogo Official

The price of Bitcoin and Ethereum has once again hit new lows today, but many altcoins have already stopped making new lows.

$BCH $ZEC Yesterday, while the overall market was still falling, they began to rebound. This situation indicates that there are major funds buying at the bottom; retail investors alone cannot drive the price up. Additionally, BCH almost formed a V-shaped reversal on the hourly chart yesterday, and after a slight adjustment today, there is a higher probability of continuing to rise in the future. As for ZEC, it has already reached a peak on the hourly chart this morning, and during the day, we will see if it can stabilize at the support level of 290. If it can stabilize, there is a high probability that it can reach another peak on the hourly chart.

By the way, let's take a look at $UNI and $AVAX. The hourly trends of these two coins are very similar, and they also did not make new lows today. The bulls are not particularly strong, but they are worth keeping an eye on. In the future, there is a high probability that they will move in a sideways manner to build a base or have a slight rebound. To buy at the bottom, one can only refer to the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for short-term trades. For the 4-hour major reversal, UNI needs to break through 4.4, and AVAX needs to break through 11. In the short term, this is very difficult; at least a week of adjustment at the bottom is needed before a breakout is possible.

The altcoin market is sluggish, let me briefly share my personal views.

This round of the bull market has not gone as smoothly as everyone imagined. Many people have been waiting for the altcoin season, which has yet to arrive, and instead, we have seen a few waves of "small altcoin seasons" + selective rotation.

The reasons are actually quite simple.
Smart money and large funds only love $BTC + blue chips, while retail investors' funds are depleted.
Macro uncertainties, the Federal Reserve's indecisiveness + geopolitical conflicts.
The proliferation of air coins has severely diluted existing funds, and new investors lack motivation to enter the market.

In the future, there may never be a carnival season for altcoins like in 2017/2021; it will likely be selective rotation, with $ETH /$SOL ecosystems, RWA/AI narrative coins, and market cap gatherings that remain relatively robust. The MEME sector comes quickly and goes quickly as well. For a major breakout, it is estimated that there will be opportunities only in the second half of 2026 or in 2027, provided that BTC rises, ETH hits new highs, and altcoins can experience a comprehensive and significant increase.

Currently, many people are panicking and cutting losses. In fact, this wave of decline is nearing its end, and sentiment has reached a low point, making it a golden window for laying out quality projects. One can select some mainstream projects and popular MEMEs for gradual low buys. There’s no need to bet on whether February will explode; surviving, holding your positions, and enduring the sluggish period will make you the next round's winner.

Gold $XAU Silver $XAG The black swan plummeted, and safe-haven assets fell so much in one day, which is a historical first. Heaven and hell are just a day apart; many people may not have reacted before they got liquidated, after all, who could have expected such a large fluctuation in safe-haven assets in a single day.

Structurally, both 1H and 4H have turned bearish, and yesterday the daily line closed with a large bearish candle on high volume. The weekly increase is not even enough to cover one day's drop... If the bearish market continues, gold at 5300 and silver at 110, those who bought above these prices are likely to be stuck for years, and it will be hard to see a short-term rise.

The Chinese narrative sector $我踏马来了 has risen against the trend, but mainstream MEME and most Chinese concept coins have followed the market downtrend. This wave can only be considered a small-scale outbreak, and the performance in the same sector $币安人生 is just average. The differentiation between the two levels is very obvious, with the profit effect being average, and it has not yet reached the level of resonance across the entire sector.

MEME has no practical application value; its core driver is emotion, and it is also the most sensitive to market sentiment. Historical patterns often show that after a significant drop, the first to rebound violently is the MEME sector. FOMO sentiment is the easiest to ignite, and capital inflow results in a large bullish line, and only then does the mainstream start to catch up.

In the past two days, we have just experienced a wave of significant drops, representing a low point in sentiment. We can continuously pay attention to projects that have structure, have communities, and where capital is continuously entering, especially in the Chinese sector, where there are a few projects with stable control and continuous narratives, such as $哈基米 the vulgar penguin. Once the market stops falling and stabilizes, and market sentiment warms up, it can easily lead to an upward surge in the market.

$HYPE Find opportunities to go long, the 4-hour EMA60 moving average is trending up, and the MACD is above the zero axis with bearish energy bars continuously shrinking, indicating that the adjustment is about to end. The major cryptocurrency has plummeted but is following an independent trend, which shows that there are major players providing support. In the future, as the major cryptocurrency warms up, there will be new highs, with the initial target around 35.

$1000RATS Go long, this coin is also following an independent trend. After last night's sharp drop, it quickly reversed, the bullish structure is good, and the buying pressure is very sufficient. In the future, we can only continue to look bullish and cannot participate in short positions. Look for opportunities to go long, with targets around 0.069-0.07.

So tragic! Bitcoin at 81000, Ethereum at 2500...
The black swan has been continuously crashing, liquidations happening one after another, and I've seen many predecessors fall. Retail investors are left in a mess.

The New Year is coming soon, everyone should be more rational, at least we can't let the crypto world ruin our real lives. The market never lacks opportunities; if we endure this phase, the next opportunity is still ahead!

$BTC $ETH

$币安人生 can take a small short position, grab a pullback. Early morning sharp rise, no pullback on the hourly chart, now showing signs of weakening in the uptrend, can try a small short position, take profit and exit promptly.

$BCH short, current hourly bearish structure is solid, price faces resistance in the 615-620 range, bulls attempt a rebound but with weak strength, repeatedly touching previous resistance before quickly retreating, lacking sustained buying pressure, likely to continue as a consolidation, target 600 breakdown.

$LTC can be a catch-up play, with the overall market rapidly rising, mainstream altcoins also surging, funds will flow from leaders to other mid-cap coins. LTC, as a veteran mainstream altcoin, has solid fundamentals but has been stagnant, and with the current market sentiment, the probability of a catch-up rally is high, making it suitable for long positions, patiently waiting for the market to rise.

#Strategy增持比特币 #美国民主党BlueVault

$BTC and $ETH surged dramatically, the hourly chart has fully turned bullish. Any intraday pullback is a buying opportunity. For Bitcoin, the hourly support can be referenced at 94000-94500; for Ethereum, refer to around 3300. When a pullback occurs, buying support appears directly, and you can participate in long positions. Short-term, avoid shorting.

$SOL has a strong bullish structure, with the horizontal resistance at 143.5 already broken through. A pullback and stabilization will lead to a second rise. Focus on whether support holds intraday; if it holds, the target is above 150.

$PUMP going long, the hourly chart shows a solid bullish structure. Even if Bitcoin drops, it is rising against the trend. It is now testing the 0.0026 resistance for the third time. If the hourly candle closes above the resistance, you can directly participate in going long, as a breakout could trigger a rapid acceleration.

$XRP short, the downtrend remains unchanged. Today, it has been ranging around 2.05, with weak bullish rebounds, mainly a dead cat bounce. It's a good opportunity to enter short positions. The 2 whole number level nearby requires close attention, as there may be a false breakdown with a V-shaped reversal risk.

Shorting $PIPPIN , hourly chart showing a downtrend with consolidation, key resistance near 0.36. As long as this level is not broken, the overall trend remains bearish. Lack of volume in bullish rebounds allows for short positions to be taken in line with the trend.
#Strategy增持比特币

$DOGE go long, multiple bottoms on the hourly chart, now the neckline resistance near 0.14 is very critical, the line between long and short is right here. Focus on whether it can break through during the day, chase long if it breaks through, if the bulls are strong, it may directly go above 0.15

$RIVER short, resistance at previous high, price回落, short pressure appears, you can take a short position on the left side, if you prefer a more conservative approach, wait for the top to form or enter after a weak bullish rebound.

$IP can try Xiao Kong, take a pullback, this wave has risen 50% in two days, and hasn't adjusted much yet, the hourly chart has already hit the daily limit, it's time to start adjusting.

$ASTER short selling, the hourly bearish structure is obvious, currently rebounding to test the key resistance at 0.7-0.705. Above is a consolidation zone, with a large number of previous bottom-fishing positions trapped, it's unlikely to surge directly upward. Even if a reversal occurs, it will likely retest the previous low first, forming a double bottom pattern.