How to make steady profits without losing money in the currency circle
I have been working hard in the currency circle for almost 5 years, during which I have made profits and losses. I have done everything from ico to Dogecoin and mining, and have gone through three rounds of bulls and bears. Summarizing my countless operations, in the end, there is only one way to make money steadily. That is simple and crude: Buy in the bear market, sell in the bull market, and make sure you make a profit without losing money.
Bull markets generally last for 6 months to 1 year, and bear markets generally last for 1 to 2 years. A bull-bear cycle lasts for 3 to 4 years. Seize the opportunity and earn at least 50%+ returns in every bull market, which is enough to outperform the returns of all types of financial management, stocks, and funds. Because this 50%+ income can definitely be earned, there is no suspense.
1. Only deploy in bear markets You must be patient and try your best to buy at the bottom of a bear market (although it is impossible to buy at the bottom of a real bear market). The conditions for judging the bottom of a bear market are simply that no one pays attention to Bitcoin anymore. When the currency circle is lifeless, you can buy multiple times intermittently. , this period may last for 1 year or even longer.
2. Mainstream coins BTC and ETH will always be the kings of the currency circle, and buying in a bear market is absolutely correct. Although it cannot rise exponentially, if you buy in the bear market and hold until you sell in the bull market, an increase of more than 50% will definitely occur. The first choice for big funds. Exchange platform currency: such as BNB Relatively strong basic chains: such as SOL, AVAX Good infrastructure coins: such as MATIC Strong consensus coins: such as doge, SHIB RATS PEPE
You can only be heavily stocked in mainstream currencies, and never be heavily stocked in altcoins. The logic of altcoins is to cut leeks, and many types of altcoins will be born in every bull market. The altcoins that are soaring in this bull market may become completely silent in the next bull market. Overshadowed by the high shine of new altcoins. Without inside channels and information, it is almost impossible to bet on an altcoin and buy it before it explodes. Usually, you only learn about the existence of a certain altcoin after seeing its skyrocketing price. At this time, it is already too late to follow up. Maybe if you are lucky, the currency will continue to rise, but there is a high probability that it will fluctuate and fall. Altcoins fluctuate too much, and ordinary people cannot hold on to them regardless of whether they rise or fall. It is often a small profit and a big loss. In the end, it's all a loss.
3. Sell in the middle of the bull market and do no more operations later. In the early stages of the bull market, BTC will slowly rise, outperforming others, and drive ETH to rise.At this time, some good mainstream coins followed suit, other coins rose slowly, a few altcoins surged wildly, and most altcoins had no movement. In the middle of the bull market, BTC and ETH fluctuated and rose, mainstream currencies began to rise, and altcoins began to take off. In the late bull market, BTC fluctuated and fell, ETH may continue to rise, mainstream currencies have surged one after another, and the high-profile altcoins of the second round of bull market have surged several times, even dozens or hundreds of times. At the end of the bull market, BTC fell by thousands or even tens of thousands of points, and then recovered slightly. The first plunge recovered quickly, giving people the illusion that it was just an adjustment. After two or three such declines, the bull market is over. If you are caught at this time, please stop having any illusions and stop your losses in time. Otherwise, the principal will be dragged into the bottomless abyss.
4. Don’t bet on luck in a bull market There are many opportunities in the bull market, especially in the middle and late stages of the bull market. Altcoins are flying around, and many altcoins have skyrocketed many times, which makes people jealous. People can impatiently follow up or choose some promising altcoins that have not exploded yet, and they can confidently wait for their surge. It's best not to have this kind of mentality. It's just gambling on luck. It's no different from gambling and has nothing to do with investing. In every bull market, many altcoins are born. These altcoins have great gimmicks, their backgrounds look strong, and their rise is very strong. Please resist the temptation, you will only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out. When BTC plummets and the bear market comes, these altcoins will be cut in half, cut off, or even close to zero. If you really can't resist the temptation, you can only follow up and play with a very small amount of money. Even if you make a small profit, you must not go into heavy positions when your head is hot. Never, never, never. This is gambling, and you can't always be lucky in gambling. I am not afraid that you will make a hundred times, but I am afraid that if you lose only once, you will lose all your capital. Don't fantasize about investing heavily in an altcoin and getting rich suddenly. This is just like buying lottery tickets and fantasizing about winning the jackpot. It is a super-low probability event. It’s okay to treat a small amount of money as entertainment, but it’s totally wrong to treat it as an investment.
5. Be more patient and less impulsive. After buying in the bear market, you need to wait patiently until you sell in the bull market. Do not operate on the rise or fall during the period. You need to be patient during the waiting period. After selling in a bull market, wait patiently for the bull market to collapse into a bear market.This may take a year or two. Don't be impulsive and buy the bottom at the mountainside. Be patient and wait for the moment when you hit the bottom. After making money by selling in the bull market, don’t be tempted to play altcoins impulsively. If you really want to take a gamble, you can only use up to 10% of your funds.
6. Principal is always the most important If you accidentally get caught by random operations, the most important thing is to protect your principal as much as possible. When the currency market collapses, you are willing to cut your losses and stop losses in time to save most of your principal and the basic market. There is still hope for a comeback. Wait patiently for the currency market to fall into the abyss, and use the remaining principal to buy the bottom. Don't be trapped and die with the collapse of the currency circle. Many times you buy the trapped currency and sell it before the currency circle collapses, losing up to 50% of your principal. If you ignore it, let it fall, and hold on to the end. When the currency falls to the bottom along with the currency circle, there is almost no possibility of starting over with the remaining principal.
I am a freshman and have 6000RMB in my hand. I want to join the cryptocurrency industry. Do you have any suggestions?
The pie is almost 60,000 US dollars again
From the time I entered the market to now, there have been at least tens of thousands of encrypted digital currencies. Especially in 2018-19, new projects came out every day. Basically, they broke the market immediately, and the primary market suffered losses, let alone the secondary market. Projects Fang basically ran away in a few months. The people who were originally called the next Bitcoin have long since disappeared. Instead, Bitcoin and Ethereum have been leading the younger brother forward.
The retail investors who really make money in the currency circle still rely on cycles to make money. Let’s not talk about discovering contract loopholes and quantitative arbitrage. They are too far away from ordinary people and the operating threshold is too high. For us small retail investors, the safest thing is to wait for Bitcoin and When Ethereum fell by more than 70%, they started to place fixed investments to earn the next wave of dividends. Other stud dogs and those who played with them were just giving away money to most retail investors.
Wealth = new story + new gameplay + new concept
As mentioned in May last year, we focused on the Bitcoin ecosystem.
Bitcoin second layer + Bitcoin NFT + brc-20 + halving cycle = Bitcoin’s new narrative. Regardless of whether brc-20 has use value and investment value, this will add a new narrative to the pie, regardless of the future of this story. Whether it can really be done, but it will actually introduce a lot of new traffic to the pie
Those who participated in the last round of brc20 started with at least 10 times the head count. The projects include: Ordi, Sats, Trac, Pipe, Ethi, Big Goose, BRC420 Blue Box, Bitmap and several others.
It’s all about the Bitcoin ecosystem.
The copycats have plummeted recently, and $ordi $sats has been trading strongly sideways. The next wave of gains may still be led by the big pie ecology. Next:
①The largest Web3 wallet in the world supports the implementation of the big pie ecosystem; ② Product delivery and beneficial implementation of BRC20 and improved protocols ③Layer 2 of Big Pie has been launched; the main narrative of Big Pie’s ecology has shifted from asset issuance to the explosion of second-tier applications.
BRC420 ecology explodes, tokenization begins in February, and the market value of the bull market is likely to exceed 5 billion
Pay attention to the coins that will make you rich a hundred times this year
ETH rebounds above $2100, market's phase bottom still difficult to confirm, derivatives sentiment remains bearish
With the rebound of Bitcoin and US stocks, ETH price has risen above $2100.
Previously, ETH experienced a sharp drop of 43% in 9 days, reaching a low of $1750, followed by a technical rebound of about 22%. However, multiple data indicate that the market remains cautious about ETH's short-term trend.
In the derivatives market, the annualized premium for ETH two-month futures is only about 3%, below the neutral level of 5%, showing that traders' risk appetite is insufficient and shorts are still dominant. Even with the price rebound, derivatives sentiment has not significantly improved in the past month.
From an on-chain and fundamental perspective, ETH has underperformed the overall crypto market by about 9% since 2026, raising doubts about capital flows. However, in terms of TVL and fee income, Ethereum still maintains an absolute lead: its mainnet accounts for 58% of the industry's TVL, and when including Base, Arbitrum, and Optimism, the share exceeds 65%.
But the problems are also prominent. Due to the slowdown in on-chain activity, Ethereum has failed to maintain deflation, with the annualized supply growth rate of ETH rising to 0.8% in the past 30 days, significantly higher than the nearly 0% level a year ago. Meanwhile, issues surrounding Layer 2 subsidies and security continue to brew. Vitalik Buterin recently stated that there should be a renewed emphasis on mainnet expansion and acknowledged that some current L2 solutions still fall short in decentralization and security.
Against the backdrop of rising uncertainty in the US job market and doubts about the sustainability of AI infrastructure investments, overall risk appetite remains weak.
The sluggishness of the derivatives market reflects investors' lack of confidence in the sustainable reversal of ETH in the short term, and whether the phase bottom is confirmed still requires more time and data to verify.
A virtual currency "money laundering" case was sentenced in Guangdong, China, involving fraudulent funds exceeding 2 million yuan, with 19 people sentenced.
From July to September 2024, a group organized by individuals named Situ A and Situ B lured people with the bait of "providing a bank card for cash withdrawal with a 4% commission and additional rewards for referrals," recruiting 14 "cardholders" to assist in transferring funds obtained from telecom network fraud and other crimes. The funds were transferred upstream through cash withdrawals and exchanges for virtual currency, with a total amount involved exceeding 2 million yuan.
The court found that the 19 defendants knowingly transferred the funds, which were obtained from criminal activities, constituting the crime of concealing and disguising criminal proceeds. They were sentenced to imprisonment ranging from 8 months to 3 years and 6 months, and were fined.
Hong Kong Victory Securities has suspended cryptocurrency trading functions for users with Mainland China identities
Hong Kong Victory Securities will officially close all virtual currency trading functions for users with Mainland China identities starting from 2:00 PM on February 9, 2026, retaining only withdrawal permissions and no longer supporting deposits and new trades.
The platform's gradual tightening of services for Mainland users, including the previous prohibition on purchases and suspension of new address verification, aims to comply with the regulatory requirements of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission and relevant Mainland policies.
Currently, non-Mainland tax resident users can still normally use cryptocurrency trading services, and affected users can continue to withdraw their assets.
The sixth phase of Binance Wallet Pre-TGE will launch Espresso (ESP)
, the sixth phase of Binance Wallet Pre-TGE Prime Sale will launch Espresso (ESP), scheduled for February 10, 2026, from 20:00 to 22:00. Users need to hold Binance Alpha points to participate, and the specific rules and entry page for the Pre-TGE will be announced soon.
The buying sentiment in the U.S. market has warmed up, and the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is currently reported at -0.08%
The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is used to measure the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a mainstream trading platform in the U.S.) and the global market average price. This index is an important indicator for observing the flow of funds in the U.S. market, the enthusiasm of institutional investors, and changes in market sentiment.
A positive premium indicates that the Coinbase price is higher than the global average, which usually means: strong buying in the U.S. market, active participation of institutions or compliant funds, ample dollar liquidity, and an optimistic investment sentiment.
A negative premium indicates that the Coinbase price is lower than the global average, which usually reflects: significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, decreased risk appetite among investors, a rise in market risk-averse sentiment, or capital outflows.
SBF's biggest regret, FTX in another timeline might not have collapsed
The bear market of 2022 received its final blow in November, with FTX collapsing and declaring bankruptcy. SBF was subsequently arrested and ultimately sentenced to 25 years in prison.
Fast forward to 2024, the FTX bankruptcy management team received court approval to sell shares of Anthropic to pay creditors. They first sold two-thirds of their holdings to buyers such as the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund, cashing out approximately $884 million. After the final liquidation, FTX recovered about $1.3 to $1.4 billion from its investment in Anthropic.
However, the AI frenzy has arrived, and Anthropic has seen its valuation soar as giants like Amazon and Google ramp up their investments. Currently, Anthropic is negotiating a new round of financing, with a pre-financing valuation of $350 billion, potentially finalized as early as this week; if the financing is completed, the post-investment valuation will be even higher.
Ironically, FTX's valuation at the time of bankruptcy was around $32 billion. Had they retained that approximately 8% stake, it could be worth around $28 billion or even more now.
If FTX hadn't collapsed, SBF could have become one of the new billionaires of the AI era thanks to this Anthropic investment.
Unfortunately, there are no ifs. After FTX's bankruptcy liquidation, this stake has become one of the most valuable parts of the bankrupt assets, helping to repay many victims, but SBF himself missed out on the massive appreciation while in prison.
Yi Lihua may have become the most well-known "veteran" in the Chinese cryptocurrency market targeted in this round of sharp decline.
In the first four days of February, he sold about 190,000 Ethereum and paused selling on February 5, holding 460,000 Ethereum at that time. On February 4, Yi Lihua stated, "I am optimistic about this round of bull market, now is the best time to buy spot."
Just three days later, Yi Lihua no longer insisted on his views and began to accelerate the sale of Ethereum held by his fund Trend Research.
On February 6, Yi Lihua may have decided to give up resistance, selling off the remaining 440,000 Ethereum in one go, during which nearly 60,000 Ethereum were sold between 9 PM and 12 AM that night.
It is reported that Yi Lihua appeared near Causeway Bay in Hong Kong on the afternoon of the 6th and stayed until around 10 PM before leaving. Yi Lihua on site did not show any unusual behavior. However, at the same time, his team was executing a rapid liquidation action.
In addition, sources revealed that a fund in Hong Kong began to enter the market for bottom fishing on February 6, with specific scale still unknown. Most users no longer deny the arrival of a new round of winter in the cryptocurrency market,
but a more optimistic community view believes that this round of winter may end faster than before.
The total assets of the Bitcoin spot ETF have fallen below $100 billion, with a cumulative net inflow of 689,180 BTC since its launch.
The total assets of the Bitcoin spot ETF have fallen below $100 billion, currently at $99.16 billion,
a decrease of about 40% from last October's peak of $165.15 billion.
Since the official launch of the Bitcoin spot ETF in January 2024, there has been a cumulative net inflow of 689,180 BTC, valued at $55.01 billion.
In terms of holdings, BlackRock's IBIT holds 765,200 BTC in first place, followed by Fidelity's FBTC with 198,400 BTC and Grayscale's GBTC with 159,600 BTC.
Spot silver surged 5.00% during the day, and Guotou Silver LOF rebounded from a limit down to rise by 6.26%
Currently reported at 81.72 USD/ounce.
A-share commodity futures fund Guotou Silver LOF resumed trading today, touching the limit down before turning to rise, with an increase of 6.26%, reported at 3.293 yuan.
Yesterday, the BTC and ETH spot minute charts experienced abnormal fluctuations, causing a certain market-making robot to face a liquidation.
Wintermute founder Evgeny Gaevoy analyzed the abnormal fluctuations in Bitcoin and ETH spot 1-minute charts in the early hours of February 8.
He stated that it is likely due to a certain market-making robot facing liquidation, with losses potentially reaching tens of millions of dollars. The abnormal fluctuations were caused by the robot's losses, rather than being maliciously intended by the market maker, and Wintermute was clearly not involved.
Evgeny Gaevoy further expressed skepticism towards rumors of "large institutions facing liquidation" in the market, and even if it were true, it would not cause medium to long-term impacts. In contrast to the previous collapses of Three Arrows Capital and FTX, during which liquidation news spread quickly and clear signs showed the liquidations were real, such as institutions seeking rescue.
However, current market rumors mostly come from anonymous accounts and have not been confirmed by reliable sources. The leverage in this cycle mainly comes from perpetual contracts, and trading platforms no longer risk user assets to invest in low liquidity assets or issue special credit as they did in the past. The credit tightening has led to institutional credit size being less than $2 billion, which has limited impact and makes it difficult to trigger a chain liquidation like in 2022.
This week's unlocking data overview: APT, AVAX, STRK, and others will see a one-time large token unlock.
ME will unlock approximately 1.48 million tokens on February 9, valued at approximately 1.48 million USD, accounting for 2.32% of the circulation; MOVE will unlock 164 million tokens on February 9, valued at approximately 3.8 million USD, accounting for 5.46% of the circulation; APT will unlock 11.31 million tokens on February 10, valued at approximately 12.3 million USD, accounting for 0.69% of the circulation; LINEA will unlock approximately 4.38 million tokens on February 10, valued at approximately 4.38 million USD, accounting for 5.96% of the circulation; AVAX will unlock 1.67 million tokens on February 11, valued at approximately 15.2 million USD, accounting for 0.32% of the circulation; STRK will unlock 12.7 million tokens on February 15, valued at approximately 6.3 million USD, accounting for 4.61% of the circulation; SEI will unlock 55.56 million tokens on February 15, valued at approximately 4.2 million USD, accounting for 1.03% of the circulation.
"Maji" liquidates HYPE long positions and increases ETH long positions to 9.46 million USD
"Maji Brother" Huang Licheng liquidates HYPE long positions and increases ETH long positions to 4,600 coins, approximately 9.46 million USD. Average opening price 2,068.6 USD, liquidation price 2,023.5 USD.
BTC has the highest liquidation in the last 4 hours across the network, with a certain whale on Hyperliquid facing a liquidation of $11.6 million.
Due to the impact of BTC's brief surge to $72,300 this morning, the total liquidation scale across the network in the last 4 hours is approximately $93.14 million, ranking first in the liquidation list among various assets, with 81.4% being short positions. 60% of the liquidations across the network occurred on the Hyperliquid platform.
On Hyperliquid, a whale holding BTC short positions starting with 0x5dc faced a liquidation of 201 BTC, amounting to approximately $14.49 million. Among these, the largest single liquidation reached $11.63 million and has been fully liquidated. During the same period, another large liquidation over $18 million occurred on the platform.
ai.com announces that its beta version is now online. After users successfully reserve a username, an AI assistant will be created for them. Each assistant is equipped with a fully functional 'virtual computer', so it can not only chat but also accomplish various tasks. From simple tasks, such as managing emails, scheduling meetings, to making phone calls to book or cancel unwanted subscriptions.
ai.com is the world's first user-friendly and secure implementation of OpenClaw, an open-source smart agent framework that became popular two weeks ago.
Crypto.com co-founder and CEO Kris Marszalek spent 70 million dollars to acquire the ai.com domain.