Apresentador do Cozinha OnChain, onde cripto e gastronomia se encontram.
Entrevistas com grandes nomes do mercado enquanto preparamos pratos de verdade.
When they declare the death of Bitcoin, it reappears and silences the room. Every asset goes through cycles: euphoria, decline, crisis, doubt. It is precisely in these moments that many give up.
Now respond calmly: what other asset has delivered more appreciation than the $BTC in the last 10 years?
Ethereum is not signaling exhaustion. It is in the accumulation phase.
Between $1,500 and $2,200, the price of $ETH found consistent demand, forming a structural base. In this process, excess liquidity was removed and weak positions were eliminated.
This type of consolidation usually precedes directional movements.
Now, the decisive level is clear: 👉 $4,000
Above this level, the market confirms buying strength and the trend becomes undeniably bullish.
This chart shows the macro growth channel of Bitcoin over the cycles. It is not short term. It is long-term structure.
🧠 How to read: • The colored bands represent statistical price zones over time • The closer to the bottom of the channel, the greater the history of accumulation • The closer to the top, the greater the risk / euphoria
📉 The current movement: • The price has not lost the trend • It has only returned to a historically healthy zone • Typical region for DCA and institutional absorption
📈 What is NOT happening: ❌ Macro structure break ❌ End of cycle ❌ Failure of $BTC
🔥 Now the point that generates discussion: If these zones have always been where smart money buys… why does fear only appear exactly in them?
The chart is the same. What changes is who has discipline and who has emotion.
Through ups and downs, there are always opportunities. The difference is simple: while some complain, others use what they know how to do and move forward.
As we projected in the early morning, Bitcoin came to seek our target in the support region that converges with the EMA 50 on the monthly chart.
This is an extremely decisive zone. If this support is lost with a close below, the next technical target becomes the region of US$ 56.900, where we have strong historical support.
On the other hand, it is important to emphasize: this same region can act as a defense point, with the price respecting the average of 50 periods and resuming the upward movement.
The scenario, however, remains delicate. As long as we are in an environment of strong macroeconomic uncertainty with geopolitical tensions, risk of conflicts, and the weakening of global strategic agreements, there is no solid basis for operating aggressively.
In this context, capital management and risk control are not optional; they are mandatory. Preserving capital now is as important as seeking opportunity.
BlackRock has just deposited 3,900 $BTC and 27,197 $ETH into Coinbase Prime.
📌 Cold reading of the data: Deposits in Prime Broker ≠ hodl. This flow increases the probability of selling, rebalancing, or hedging, especially in volatile zones.
🧠 The pattern matters more than the isolated value: – Several fractional deposits – Short time span – Coincides with a sensitive technical region of BTC
📉 Conclusion: It is not capitulation, but it is also not bullish. It is potential supply pressure entering the market.
⚠️ The market likes to punish those who ignore institutional flow.
Bitcoin is in a corrective movement and may seek a new test of support in an extremely relevant area of the monthly chart.
🔹 The price may retreat to the range of $65,480, where there is strong technical confluence: • Monthly EMA 50 • Old historical resistance, now acting as possible support • Natural market defense zone after strong expansion
This movement would represent an additional drop of approximately 7% from current levels ($70,764)
⚠️ Point of attention: This region needs to show a clear reaction from buyers. If $BTC loses strength and closes below this level, the scenario opens up space for a deeper correction, targeting the region of $58,100, close to previous structural supports.
📌 Scenario summary: • $65,480 → key support (market decision) • Held = structural continuation of uptrend • Lost = risk of extension of correction to $58,100
If Bitcoin were really 'risky', it would have been the first to break.
But the opposite happened. Let's look at the facts: 1️⃣ The same stress hit all markets It wasn't an 'anti-silver' or 'pro-Bitcoin' event. It was global liquidity stress. 2️⃣ Why did SILVER drop so much? Highly leveraged market
Traders operating with margin Automatic stops + margin calls 👉 Result: cascading liquidation This is not 'opinion', it's market structure. 3️⃣ Why didn't BITCOIN crash like that? Greater proportion of spot buying Large base of long-term holders
The price is entering the long-term liquidation cluster between 66K and 73K. The region has already started to be tested, but the complete sweep has not yet occurred.
👉 Historically, zones like this attract extreme volatility. It is not a confirmed bottom. It is a risk territory.
Many people confuse technical support with liquidation zone and that changes everything.
In the liquidation heatmap of $BTC , the region between 66K and 73K concentrates an abnormal amount of leveraged longs.
The market tends to move towards the greatest concentration of liquidity, because that is where: • Stops are triggered • Positions are liquidated • Big players can enter efficiently
This is not a prediction nor a wish for a decline. It is market microstructure.
Price follows liquidity. Opinion does not change that.
❌ Liquidated 100% of the position ❌ Burned US$ 250 MILLION ❌ Exited with US$ 53 in Hyperliquid
On-chain data shows that the entity HyperUnit-BTC-Whale closed 100% of its exposure at $ETH , realizing an estimated loss of US$ 250M. The movement was manual, not liquidation, leaving the Hyperliquid account nearly zeroed out. Relevant event of institutional capitulation.
Whales have started accumulating Bitcoin again while the market is distracted by fear; historically, this is how major cycles begin. #btc #Whale.Alert #crypto