Usdtoso

One of the great challenges of the crypto market is understanding why liquidity does not remain in times of crisis or high uncertainty...

And the answer goes much deeper than price or volatility: it is historical, functional, and psychological.

For centuries, precious metals have been the ultimate refuge. Not because they are ideal, but because they have demonstrated something key: sustained trust over time. Capital, when afraid, does not seek innovation; it seeks survival. And in that equation, history weighs more than promise.

In crypto, the main problem is not technology; it is real daily utility. As of today, most cryptocurrencies are not used recurrently to pay for essential goods and services, nor to cover common financial responsibilities like rents, taxes, loans, or salaries. This creates a clear effect: those who receive cryptocurrencies as a means of payment tend to sell them immediately to avoid the devaluation of their income.

This causes liquidity to bounce and leave the market instead of circulating and staying.
Additionally, in scenarios of macroeconomic stress, capital seeks:

- Stability
- Universal acceptance
- Immediate low volatility

And although Bitcoin advances as a store of value, the crypto ecosystem as a whole still does not fully meet those conditions.
That is why, when uncertainty appears, money migrates first to traditional instruments. Not because they are better, but because they are functional today, not tomorrow.

This does not invalidate cryptocurrencies. On the contrary, it exposes their tipping point:

👉 real adoption will not come from price, but from everyday use.

When crypto becomes a daily tool — not just a speculative asset — liquidity will stop fleeing in difficult times and will start to stay.

Until then, the market will continue to be bright, promising… and vulnerable to fear.

I would like to imagine a more positive scenario for $BTC but there isn't one...

When the possible ruling on tariffs was announced, the market reacted to fear and uncertainty, not to the fact itself. Prices moved because something could happen.

Now, with the confirmation that there will be no immediate decision and that everything is postponed to February, that risk ceases to be 'urgent' and takes a back seat.

👉 What does the market do in such cases?
It returns to the levels where there was prior consensus, that is, to the prices at which the majority felt comfortable operating before the noise.

The key reasons why prices tend to stabilize:

1️⃣ The uncertainty is already 'assimilated'
There is no new actionable information. Without a ruling, there is no real change in flows, taxes, costs, or corporate profits. The market stops paying a premium for fear.

2️⃣ The urgency narrative is deactivated
When something is postponed, impulsive decisions disappear. Traders stop covering themselves 'just in case' and volatility decreases.

3️⃣ Previous value levels return
Major participants usually return to operate in:
High previous volume areas
Levels where there was accumulation before the news
This generates stability and well-defined ranges.

4️⃣ Capital refocuses on real macro factors
Inflation, rates, liquidity, corporate results…
Tariffs are still there, but without an immediate ruling they do not dominate the daily narrative.

In crypto, this is even more noticeable
Bitcoin and cryptos react strongly to macro noise, but when the event is frozen, the price usually:
Consolidates
Rebalances liquidity
Returns to key technical zones
Not because the problem disappears, but because there is no new catalyst to justify continuing to shift the price.

🔮 What to expect in the coming weeks?

📍 Short-term scenario
High volatility around macro figures and geopolitical news
Lateral movement or slight corrections while the market digests uncertainty

Periods of high structure and range before a clear breakout

📍 Medium-term scenario (after the ruling in February)
If the ruling is positive for the U.S. (confirming tariffs) → possible rebound of the dollar and pressure on risk assets temporarily
If the ruling forces fiscal adjustments / fund returns → could increase structural uncertainty, favoring crypto as an alternative asset

🗞️ Update on events — Trump, tariffs, and consequences for the markets

1️⃣ Trump imposes new tariffs on France
The President of the United States has announced the imposition of additional tariffs against France, citing a lack of cooperation at an international summit for peace. This measure is not isolated: it comes amid an escalation of trade and geopolitical tensions between Washington and several allied countries.

2️⃣ The ruling on the pending tariffs is postponed until February
The Supreme Court did not issue an expected verdict on the legality of previous tariffs and has postponed the decision until February. This extends fiscal and legal uncertainty, as the market does not gain clarity on whether the government will have to refund resources or adjust its trade policy.

🟡 Stay paused! The Supreme Court of the United States has postponed for the third time its decision on whether Donald Trump's tariffs are legal.

While yesterday the great invisible hands tried to manipulate by seeking liquidity at lower prices, today the market is recovering, stabilizing, and seeking a continuation of the rise that was taking place....

DO NOT LET YOURSELF BE FOOLED BY MARKET MANIPULATIONS.

On the lower side for BNB, there is no real market interest, there are no relevant liquidity pools that justify an aggressive drop, while above the last high is concentrated the largest amount of liquidations, which makes that area a natural magnet for the price; in this context, the most likely scenario is not to look for shorts 'because it has already gone up', but to understand that the market tends to move towards where the money is, and right now liquidity is up, not down.

I have been shopping for over a week and I sense that it has not yet made the movement for which it has been accumulating.

From the U.S., Europe primarily receives energy, especially liquefied natural gas (LNG), which has become even more relevant following the reduction of Russian energy dependence. An increase in tariffs here would raise energy costs for Europe, putting pressure on industry and the final consumer.

Another fundamental pillar is the technology and industrial sector. Europe imports software, hardware, semiconductors, specialized machinery, medical equipment, and aerospace technology. European companies rely on U.S. components and licenses to maintain their competitiveness, so any trade friction slows production and increases costs.

The aerospace sector is also critical: parts, engines, and technology related to both commercial and military aviation. A trade conflict would affect both manufacturers and airlines, with a direct impact on operational costs.

In the agro-industrial field, Europe imports from the U.S. soybeans, corn, cereals, livestock products, and raw materials for animal feed. Tariffs here would put pressure on agricultural prices and food inflation.

Lastly, there is the financial and services sector, where the U.S. exports high-value technology, financial, and consulting services. Although less visible, a trade war can also limit this flow.

Trump's insistence on imposing tariffs on countries that do not align with his strategy —and the recent focus on Greenland— reopens a scenario that markets already know well: a trade war based on pressure and retaliation. When the U.S. imposes tariffs, the affected countries usually respond in kind, increasing the prices of key products and directly affecting global supply chains.

In this game enter powers like Germany and France, which not only politically support Denmark but are also strategic suppliers to the U.S.. Germany exports industrial machinery, automobiles, technological components, chemicals, and medical equipment. France, for its part, is key in sectors such as aerospace, luxury, pharmaceuticals, agribusiness, and energy technology. When these products receive tariffs, the impact is not only borne by Europe: it is also paid by the U.S. consumer and industry, with higher costs and lower competitiveness.

This type of tension usually generates three clear effects in the markets: increased uncertainty, pressure on traditional stock exchanges, and a search for alternative assets. In that context, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies often gain prominence, not as a perfect refuge, but as decentralized assets that do not depend on political decisions or trade borders.

Leverage in futures often scares people because many associate it with liquidations, but in reality, it is a very common tool in real life, even outside of trading.
Let's consider a simple example:

A businessman wants to start a business that costs $100,000. If he only has $20,000, he can wait years to gather the capital... or he can take out a loan, open the business early, and generate more income, as long as he has a plan to pay back that debt. That's leverage.

In trading, it works exactly the same way.

When you use leverage on Binance Futures, you are not creating money from nothing; you are using borrowed capital to amplify a movement. If you trade with 20 USDT and use x5, you are controlling a position of 100 USDT. The price movement is the same; what changes is the impact on your account.
Here comes the key part that many do not understand:

👉 Leverage does not increase risk by itself; poor management does.

- Using x10 without a stop is like taking out a huge loan without knowing how to pay it back.
- Using x3 or x5 with a clear entry and controlled risk is like a well-planned credit.

Consistent traders do not use leverage to "win fast"; they use it to:

- Optimize capital
- Risk less of their own money
- Maintain technical stops without compromising the account

That is why many professionals prefer low leverage, even though they could use x50 or x100. Because they understand that the goal is not to win a trade, but to stay in the market.

In Binance, leverage is just a tool.
The market does not liquidate you; the lack of a plan does.
When used well, it accelerates results.

When used poorly, it accelerates mistakes.

URGENT ‼️

🚨 $525 MILLION of long positions in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies were liquidated in the last 60 minutes as tariff fears grow ⚠️

$ONDO could present a high volatility with this new unlocking.

A golden rule of finance is that money aims for the highest possible return.

Remember this before making decisions...

BREAKING NEWS:‼️

🇺🇸President Trump threatens to impose tariffs on countries that oppose his plan for the United States to acquire Greenland.👀💥

Will the market react to Trump's threats?

CURIOUS DATA ‼️

🚨Someone just transferred 10 BTC from a wallet believed to be linked to Satoshi Nakamoto, and it arrived at an unknown address.🤯

WITHOUT EXPLANATION. WITHOUT CONTEXT. JUST A CLEAN TRANSFER.

If this is real… it is one of the most significant "awakening" moments in the history of Bitcoin. 👀🔥