KeyJoy 老虎

Build my fear of what's out there
Cannot breathe the open air
Whisper things into my brain
Assuring me that I'm insane
Fear of living on...
Metallica - Welcome Home (Sanitarium)
The market is in full... I won't swear, everything is on the edge: Fear & Greed Index fell to 5–8 (Extreme Fear, lowest since the COVID crash). After the hype of 2025, everyone is in a panic, the headlines scream "end of the cycle", and I open the terminal and smile.

Yes, there are two paths you can go by, but in the long run, there's still time to change the road you're on.
Led Zeppelin -"Stairway to Heaven"
ETH broke below $2,000 and is currently consolidating around $1,980–$1,990. While everyone is crying about the 'death of Ethereum', on-chain shows the largest movements in six months. Capitulation or a clever plan by whales?
📊 Inflows vs Outflows: where is the money flowing?

Я пам'ятаю час, коли лиш починався світ
Хто міг, той підіймався та йшов
Ішов собі високо в гори, взявши у похід
Свою надію сильну, як любов
Що все буде добре...
Океан Ельзи - Все буде добре
While everyone was waiting for the "to the moon" moment after the inauguration and all the loud slogans, the market taught us a harsh lesson: politics is noise, liquidity is king.
Many are blaming the current Bitcoin pullback to around $60k on "external factors," but let's call it like it is: the Trump administration made several strategic missteps that overheated expectations and then smashed them against reality.
Populism over regulation
Promises of a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" were rocket fuel for the pre-election and post-inauguration pump — Bitcoin soared from post-election levels to an all-time high near $126k in October 2025 on pure hype. But turning that into law? It's bureaucratic hell. The market quickly realized quick wins weren't coming, and smart money started taking profits.
Protectionism vs. Bitcoin's DNA
Trump's push for tariffs (especially on China and beyond) and a stronger dollar directly clashes with Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat debasement. A muscular dollar always weighs on risk assets like crypto. When trade war fears flared up again, global markets got spooked, and leveraged crypto positions got wrecked.
Cabinet chaos and Fed uncertainty
Erratic appointments and late-night Truth Social posts about the Fed (including the Kevin Warsh pick signaling tighter policy vibes) created the kind of volatility institutions hate. Investors flee to predictability — not to 3 a.m. rants.
The result? Bitcoin erased the entire "Trump pump," dipping briefly below $61k in early February 2026 before clawing back to trade around $70–71k as of mid-February. The crash wiped out billions, triggered mass liquidations, and reminded everyone: hype fades when macro reality bites.
My forecast: When will BTC rebound?
I'm staying cautiously optimistic. We're in a classic "weak hands shakeout" phase right now.
But history shows Bitcoin survives winters — and thrives after them.
A real bounce likely needs the political noise to die down and clearer signals from the Fed on rates. Look toward the end of Q1 or into Q2 for meaningful recovery, especially if liquidity returns and adoption keeps grinding higher quietly.
Bitcoin doesn't need a savior in a red tie. It needs transparent math, time, and fundamentals that don't change overnight. Still, cycles turn. Liquidity will eventually flow back, adoption keeps growing quietly, and Bitcoin has survived far worse. The fundamentals haven't changed: scarce asset, institutional interest, and a world still printing fiat. This dip might just be the shakeout before the next leg up.
And to guys like Trump and his administration, I usually ask one simple question: "Does your back hurt?" They always look surprised — because their back is perfectly fine. Bullshitting ain't like hauling sacks( Пиздіти - не мішки таскати).Ok, my dearests, thanks for reading this to the end. Wishing y'all happiness, solid health, and the $BTC course you truly deserve. Hugging everyone tightly, lifting you up lightly, and kissing you tenderly. Forever yours, 老虎 🐯🫡
#Bitcoin #Write2Earn #WhenWilIBTCRebound #TrumpCrypto #MarketCycles

It's the eye of the tiger, it's the thrill of the fight
Risin' up to the challenge of our rival
And the last known survivor stalks his prey in the night
Survivor - Eye of the Tiger

Any self-respecting hunter knows: when there's a ruckus in the forest, someone is trying to scare off big game. OKX CEO Star Xu has decided to go on the warpath, blaming Binance and specifically Changpeng Zhao (CZ). But let's take a closer look at the trail.
In our business, it's important to distinguish a real threat from a distraction.
Driven Hunt: When a competitor attacks publicly, they're not seeking justice. They're trying to divert the flow of "prey" (users) into their own trap.
Binance is the biggest beast in this forest. It's been hunted by regulators, competitors, and haters. If the beast still leads the pack, it's stronger than it appears, and in this we're similar.🐅
While others waste bullets on loud statements on social media, the leaders simply continue to silently expand their territory, as the latest report demonstrated: In the last 24 hours alone, despite active FUD and rumors about withdrawals, net inflows amounted to about $700 million.
I'm not used to turning around at every snap of a twig. I look at liquidity and volumes—these are the only real indicators of who's the predator and who's just an imitator.
As for Star Xu, I understand his strategy of snatching what's left in the jungle. But I don't respect him as a person. After all, right now he's like a foolish hare who saw a tiger slightly ill and decided he could win. But we all know that even a sick tiger is much stronger than a foolish hare. But the hare usually finds out about this...already in the tiger's stomach🐯
#cz_binance — Tiger is alive!
#star_xu_okx — keep dreaming hare 😏
#Binance #FUD #bnb