Any IP is a high-risk asset. Currently, BTC is in line with the trend of the times. Compared with ancient gold, BTC is more favored by the younger generation. Winning young people means winning the future. When the millennial generation gradually takes the center stage of the times, BTC will also usher in its moment of glory.
• $RAIN: 11.0% of market cap ≈ 393.018 million USD
• $RCADE: 9.48% of market cap ≈ 494.1 thousand USD
• $XWGT: 5.65% of market cap ≈ 2.64K USD
• $LINEA: 5.30% of market cap ≈ 3.23 million USD
• $MOVE (Move): 4.84% of market cap ≈ 3.6 million USD
• $PLENA: 4.17% of market cap ≈ 200.9 USD
• $HOME (DeFi Application): 4.00% of MCAP ≈ 3.83 million USD
• $SLING: 3.41% of market cap ≈ 446.4 USD
• $GX (Grind Factory): 3.37% of MCAP ≈ 17.6 USD
• $BLUEMOVE: 3.16% of market cap ≈ 1.26K USD
Today is an important unlock day.
👉 Tokens worth approximately 440 million USD are flooding into the market in a single transaction. 👉 High market cap unlock ratio = short-term selling pressure risk. 👉 Prices can only stay stable when demand absorbs supply; otherwise, volatility will surge.
Unlocking does not mean prices will plummet immediately, but it will indeed change market dynamics.
#加密 After ten years in the circle, I am grateful for the cognitive enhancement and wealth code brought by the crypto world. In 2016, I became interested in Bitcoin and blockchain technology during the internet wave and was captivated by this technical solution, leading me to study it intensively! I caught the tail end of the 2017-2018 ICO boom and have been conducting investment research in the primary market until DeFi emerged, which made me start paying attention to secondary market trading and put my accumulated coins on exchanges for trading. I mainly focus on mid to long-term investments. Overall, I have had more losses than gains. Watching my friends trade contracts on weekends made me eager to try it out, but after a few attempts, I decisively gave up and only traded spot, no longer touching contracts. Long-term spot means buying Bitcoin (BTC) and doing daily dollar-cost averaging; even 100 is fine. Mid-term involves mainstream L1s: ETH, SOL, TON, SUI, etc. Others: DOGE, UNI... Choice is greater than effort, but one cannot completely lay flat; the more, the better. Contentment brings happiness; let’s encourage each other.
#香港2026共识大会 A gathering of old OGs in the crypto circle 🎈 Yili Hua was present and was not affected by the recent ETH liquidation event, feeling very good 👍 Former ANKR CMO Ryan$ANKR is also doing quite well In 2018, they collaborated on projects The crypto circle is just fun, everything is building.
This is the analysis price given by Tom Lee's analysts to internal clients when the December market is at its peak, and a further drop of 10 - 20% would reach. $BTC $ETH $SOL
ETH has repeatedly tested the psychological and technical threshold of $2200 as a strong resistance/support in the past 5 years:
- Multiple rebounds after surging to $2200 in the early/mid 2021 bull market - Repeated fluctuations at high levels and the early of the bear market from 2021 to 2022 - Multiple touches during the bear market bottom rebound phase from 2023 to 2024 - Once again returning in 2025 and now in early 2026
A total of 11 times (including this time in February 2026), it has indeed formed a strong "scale memory." Market participants (especially medium to long-term holders and quant/institutional investors) have regarded $2200 as an important anchor price.
Will this time be different?
In the short term (over the next few weeks to months), it is likely to be "the same," meaning: $2200 currently resembles a strong resistance for a short-term rebound (rather than a bottom) - The current price has fallen below $2200 and is fluctuating below, with market sentiment leaning bearish (RSI is oversold but there are no clear reversal signals, a large number of futures liquidations, overall crypto risk appetite is declining) - Many analyses mention that if the 2100-2150 range cannot be held, the next clear support is $2000, or even $1900-1800
Therefore, the next likely scenario is to continue to test the bottom or explore lower prices, rather than a direct V-shaped reversal stabilizing above $2200.
However, from a medium to long-term perspective, it may be "finally different"
There are several reasons that differ from previous cycles:
1. Institutional & ETF factors: By 2024-2025, ETH spot ETFs have already been launched and have seen a certain scale of inflow, which was not the case in 2021. Institutions' memory of $2200 may not be as "deeply etched" as retail investors'; they place more importance on staking yields, L2 ecosystems, RWA, and other fundamentals. 2. Macroeconomic environment: The $2200 in 2021/2022 was largely driven down by the Federal Reserve's rate hikes and liquidity tightening; the macro context of 2026 (inflation, interest rate path, and U.S. stock performance) is very different from those years. 3. On-chain maturity: Staking volume, L2 TVL, and developer activity are far higher than in 2021-2023, the "productivity" of ETH is improving, and the long-term valuation center is likely to move upward. 4. The historical high has reached $4955 (in 2025), indicating that the market has seen higher prices, and the psychological ceiling is higher than before. $ETH