Bitcoin Suddenly Recovers, What’s Behind This Volatility?
In the fast-moving crypto world, volatility is not uncommon. However, every significant movement always attracts attention and triggers analysis. Recent data shows that Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a sharp short-term recovery, managing to touch levels above $76,000 on February 2, despite a previous 24-hour record still showing a decline of 3.59%. This spike, recorded by platforms like HTX, reminds us of the dynamics of the crypto market that are often full of surprises. A quick recovery after a period of correction can indicate several things: strong buying pressure at certain support levels, market response to specific sentiment or macro news, or accumulation activity by parties often dubbed 'smart money' in on-chain analysis.
IMPORTANT NOTES: •Current position is high risk. Wait for price confirmation. •Bullish invalidated if price breaks & closes > 0.00318. •Bearish invalidated if price fails to hold above 0.00296 after break. •Use small position if entry is confirmed.
CONCLUSION: Market is in conflict. Do not force trading. Wait:
1. Strong hold above 0.00296 for long setup, OR 2. Clear break below 0.00296 for short setup. $PUMP
As the Market Waits: Bitcoin at the Peak of Uncertainty
The financial world holds its breath. While gold touches a new all-time high of $5,250, Bitcoin hovers at the psychological threshold of $90,000 with tension almost palpable. This is not just a regular price movement—this is a macroeconomic theater performance where every actor, from The Fed to retail traders, plays a crucial role. As the Fed Stays Silent, the Market Wonders The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates at 3.50%–3.75% on January 28 was like throwing a stone into a calm pond—the ripples spread to every asset. What’s interesting is the reason behind this "pause": stubborn Core PCE inflation at 2.8%, along with economic data distortions due to the U.S. government shutdown. The Fed is not just waiting; they are forced to wait.
ZEC/USDT Data Speaks, Conflict Unfolds, Here is the Side That is Not Often Seen
In the Signal Labyrinth Imagine you are standing at a crossroads. The map in hand shows a straight path to the north, but the compass in your grip points south. The sky is overcast, but the breeze feels warm. This is the current technical dilemma of ZEC/USDT—a conflict of data that raises more questions than answers. Out of the eight charts presented, one striking fact: there is not a single timeframe that agrees on the direction of the next trend. On the 15-minute chart, the EMA is neatly aligned supporting the rise. Switching to the 4-hour chart, the formation reverses one hundred eighty degrees—all exponential moving averages are slumping. This is not just a difference in perspective, but a sign that the market is searching for its identity after a fantastic rally of 904% in six months.
CZ and Crypto Reflection - From Precious Metals FOMO to the Bitcoin Era
In a statement delivered via social media on January 28, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), CEO of Binance, provided deep reflections that go beyond daily price analysis. He touched on the core of the evolution of crypto assets, placing the current turmoil in a broader historical lens. Controversy and Growth: An Inevitable Process CZ emphasizes that the debates, questions, and controversies surrounding Binance and the crypto space as a whole are not a unique phenomenon. They are part of a "repeating process throughout history" that accompanies every major structural shift.
Ahead of The Fed's Hammer - Crypto Holds in Wait Zone
The crypto market is in a state of breath-holding. Ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement on January 28, major digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are showing consolidation with a thick cautious sentiment. Price Trends in the Shadow of The Fed Bitcoin is holding at $89,535** (up 1.8%), while Ethereum is moving at **$3,019 (up 3.6%). This movement reflects a consolidation phase within a narrow range, with BTC swinging between $87,000-$90,000. BTC dominance remains strong at 59.17%, indicating that market focus is still centered on this pioneering crypto asset.
📈 BIAS: Bullish Breakout, But Wait for Correction 📊 TREND: Exploding +27.09% today. Breakout confirmed above all key resistances (EMA200, 1.0000). Momentum is very strong, but RSI is extremely overbought.
📍 IMPORTANT LEVELS:
· Current Resistance: 1.0342 (High 24 hours) · Critical Support: 0.9800 - 1.0000 (Breakout & Main Support Zone) · Bullish Lifeline: 0.9300 (EMA200 - failure breakout limit level)
🎯 PLAN:
· Long (ONLY from Pullback to 0.9800 - 1.0000): Target 1.0800 → 1.1500. Tight SL at 0.9250. · Long (If Break High 1.0342 with volume): Target 1.1500. SL at 0.9950. · NO SHORT. Do not go against such a strong breakout. Wait for confirmation of failure on a higher timeframe first.
⚠️ WARNING:
· RSI 1D: 76.5 (SEVERELY OVERBOUGHT) - Deep correction is highly likely. · Funding Rate is still NEGATIVE (-0.02%) - The market is still net-short, this rally is driven by a short squeeze. · Short liquidations of 20K have already occurred. The squeeze fuel may be running out. · DO NOT FOMO. Buying above 1.0300 now = gambling, not trading.
👉 In summary: BREAKOUT CONFIRMED, BUT DO NOT RUSH. Discipline to wait for a pullback to 0.9800-1.0000 for a safe long entry. If it doesn't drop, just skip. The probability of success buying now <30%. $FRAX
Credit Card Amendment Withdrawn, US Crypto Bill Path Widens
Important political steps took place in the US Senate that opened the way wider for the passage of the first cryptocurrency legislation in the country. Republican Senator Roger Marshall agreed to withdraw the proposed credit card swipe fee amendment, which could have previously triggered a confrontation between the financial industry and large retailers—and threatened the smooth discussion of the CLARITY Act. What Really Happened? The credit card swipe fee amendment was seen as a "stumbling block" in the journey of the cryptocurrency bill because it could spark fierce debate between two powerful interest groups: the banking sector and large retailers. With the withdrawal of this amendment, attention can return to the main substance—regulating the cryptocurrency market in the United States.
DCA Strategy by Crypto "Whale": Bought 5,000 ETH While Losing $15.8 Million, What Can We Learn?
Recently, a striking movement occurred in the Ethereum blockchain. A large investor—often referred to as a "whale"—who previously bought ETH at the highest price 4 months ago, actually added another 5,000 ETH to their portfolio through a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy. Interestingly, their position is still showing a paper loss of $15.82 million. What is this "Smart Money" Address Doing? According to on-chain analysis by Ai Auntie (@ai_9684xtpa), the address deposited 5,000 ETH from Binance to lower their average purchase price. Four months earlier, they had purchased 10,870 ETH at an average price of $4,388.93**. With this addition, the average price per ETH has now dropped to **$3,930.27.
📉 BIAS: Consolidation with Correction Risk 📊 TREND: Up +1.70% today, but still in a 90-day correction (-23.66%). Daily trend is flat below key resistance.
🎯 PLAN: · Long (if breakout confirmation above 88.834): Target 91.000 – 93.500. SL at 87.600.
· Short (if rejected at 88.000 – 88.834 with 4H RSI >55): Target 86.000 → 84.400. SL at 89.200.
· Long from Support (if strong bounce at 86.000 – 86.500): Target 88.000 – 88.800. SL at 85.800.
⚠️ WARNING: · EMA(20) and EMA(50) are close to golden cross on 15-minute TF, but MACD 4H/1D is still negatively skewed. · Long/Short Ratio (3.67) is very long-overbought – high long squeeze risk. · High volatility, adhere to strict risk management.
👉 In summary: Wait for confirmation at level 88.834 (breakout) or 86.021 (breakdown). Avoid trading in the middle range of 87.000–88.500 without clear signals. $BTC
📉 BIAS: Extreme Rally, High Risk of Correction 📊 TREND: Up +79% in 24 hours (short squeeze). All TF trends strongly bullish, but overbought (extreme overbought).
🎯 PLAN: · Long (if strong breakout above 0.1260 with volume): Target 0.1300 – 0.1313. SL at 0.1220. · Short (if rejected at 0.1240 – 0.1260 with RSI >80 on 1-hour TF): Target 0.1120 – 0.1029. SL at 0.1280. · Long from Support (if strong bounce at 0.1029 – 0.1120): Target 0.1200 – 0.1260. SL at 0.1000.
⚠️ WARNING: · RSI 4 hours & 1 day above 85 (extreme overbought), technical correction very likely. · Volatility very high, adhere to strict risk management.
👉 In essence: Wait for confirmation at 0.1260 (continued breakout) or 0.1029 (key support). Avoid FOMO in the middle of a rally without confirmation of a healthy pullback. $BTR
📉 BIAS: Consolidation with Potential for Further Upside 📊 TREND: Up +10.5% today, strong rebound from 1.879. Weekly trend bullish (+37% 7 days), but still in annual correction (-60% 1 year).
🎯 PLAN: · Long (if breakout confirmation above 2.547): Target 2.65 - 2.75. SL at 2.40. · Short (if rejected at 2.50 - 2.547 with RSI >65 & volume down): Target 2.20 - 2.00. SL at 2.60. · Long from Support (if strong bounce at 2.00 - 2.10): Target 2.35 - 2.50. SL at 1.95.
⚠️ WARNING: · EMA(20) and EMA(50) have not consistently shown a golden cross across all timeframes. · High volume today, but it could deplete quickly → momentum vulnerable to exhaustion.
👉 The Bottom Line: Wait for confirmation at 2.547 (continued breakout) or 2.00 (strong support retest). Avoid FOMO in the range of 2.30 - 2.50 without confirmation of continued volume. Monitor RSI (60-70) and liquidate shorts for momentum confirmation. $AXS
📉 BIAS: Correction/Decline 📊TREND: Strong rise in 24 hours (+29%), but in short-term correction (from 0.1394). The weekly trend is still sharply upward (>70% in 30 days), daily momentum is starting to weaken.
· Long (Confirmation Breakout >0.1394): Target 0.145 - 0.150. SL at 0.134. · Short (Rejection at 0.135 - 0.139 with RSI >70 & bearish candle confirmation): Target 0.118 - 0.110. SL at 0.142. · Long from Support (Strong bounce at 0.110 - 0.118): Target 0.130 - 0.135. SL at 0.098.
⚠️ WARNING:
· RSI approaching overbought in higher time frame, correction at risk. · Extreme volatility (24-hour range >40%), strictly adhere to risk management.
👉 In essence: The market is very hot and risky. Avoid FOMO. Wait for confirmation: breakdown from support 0.126 (continue correction) or strong breakout >0.139 (continue rally). Trading in the current range is highly risky. $RESOLV
📊 TREND: Weak sideways (-0.67% today), still in a medium-term downtrend (-17.7% 7 days). 4H trend is horizontal after correction.
📍 IMPORTANT LEVELS: · Key Resistance: 9.33 (EMA 200 & local high 4H) · Critical Support: 8.905 (24-hour low) · Boundary Line: 9.15 (EMA 20, maintain very short-term momentum)
🎯 PLAN: · Long (if breakout confirmation above 9.33): Target 9.46 → 9.98. SL at 9.15.
· Short (if rejected at 9.18–9.33 with RSI >55): Target 8.90 → 8.67. SL at 9.35.
· Long from Support (if strong bounce at 8.90–8.67): Target 9.18 → 9.33. SL at 8.60.
⚠️ WARNING: · EMA(20) is still below EMA(50) on most TFs, but the gap is narrowing (approaching potential golden cross).
👉 In summary: Wait for confirmation at level 9.33 (bullish breakout) or 8.90 (bearish breakdown). Avoid trading in the middle range 9.00–9.20 without clear volume signals & divergence. $ZEN
👉 In summary: Wait for confirmation at level 62.58 (bullish breakout) or 57.80 (bearish breakdown). Avoid trading in the zone 59.00 – 61.50 without clear signals from RSI/MACD. $DASH
📉 BIAS: Consolidation with Risk of Correction 📊TREND: Up 4% today, but still in monthly correction (-30% over 30 days). Daily trend is starting to flatten.
· Short (if rejected at 77.000-77.250): Target 66.100. SL at 79.000.
· Long (only if support at 68.126 - 66.100 is strong): Target 77.000. SL at 65.000.
⚠️ WARNING:
· Extreme negative funding rate (-1.87%), beware of reversal. · High volatility, use small positions and tight SL.
👉 In essence: Wait for reaction at key levels. Don't FOMO. $RIVER
Imbik Traders
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RIVER Explodes 1.765%, But This Data Reveals a "Pump and Dump" Scenario?
The RIVERUSDT chart today is like a tale of two sides of a coin. On one side, this coin shows monster performance with a rise of 1.765% in 30 days. On the other side, on-chain data and multi-time frame analysis signal that a sharp correction may be just around the corner. Spectacular Rally with Fragile Roots RIVER is in a parabolic momentum. On the 1-Day (1D) chart, the price (74.9) is still holding above the EMA 200 (68.1), confirming a strong medium-term bullish trend. However, a closer look reveals fragility:
RIVER Explodes 1.765%, But This Data Reveals a "Pump and Dump" Scenario?
The RIVERUSDT chart today is like a tale of two sides of a coin. On one side, this coin shows monster performance with a rise of 1.765% in 30 days. On the other side, on-chain data and multi-time frame analysis signal that a sharp correction may be just around the corner. Spectacular Rally with Fragile Roots RIVER is in a parabolic momentum. On the 1-Day (1D) chart, the price (74.9) is still holding above the EMA 200 (68.1), confirming a strong medium-term bullish trend. However, a closer look reveals fragility:
XRP Soars 4%, Reversal Signal or Just a 'Bull Trap'? This Data Reveals the Answer
Technical analysis for XRPUSDT on January 26, 2026, shows price action that attracts traders' attention. This asset recorded a surge of over 4% within 24 hours, nearing the daily high level at 1.9454. However, behind this sharp increase, there is a set of data that actually signals caution. Short-Term Trend: Bullish Momentum with Signs of Exhaustion On the intraday chart (H1 and 15 minutes), XRP is moving above the EMA 20 (1.8919), indicating strong short-term upward momentum. However, the RSI on the 15-minute chart is already approaching 70, an area considered overbought. This is an early signal that the rise could be running out of steam and may potentially correct.