Don't know how to open a commission rebate? You're just giving away money!
Whether new or old users, you can now open a 20% commission rebate for spot and contract trading on Binance. If you haven't bound an invitation link, hurry up and ask me for the tutorial, learn immediately and open it, effective the same day. Many people have already sorted it out, and after trading for an hour, the rebate will be credited automatically, and it is permanently valid. Let's do the math: saving 100 every day amounts to thirty to forty thousand a year; you should definitely take this money!
Do you think the commission is deducted based on the principal? That's wrong! The commission is calculated based on your total position after opening leverage. For example, if you open 100U with 100x leverage, the position is 10,000U, and there will be a deduction for opening and closing positions, which means the commission is based on a volume of 20,000U. Not opening a rebate means paying an extra 20%—that's not a small amount at all.
Why must the rebate be opened? When you make a profit, the rebate is the extra profit; others only benefit from the market, while you benefit doubly.
When there’s no profit or loss, the rebate becomes your only income, at least it's not a waste of effort.
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Want to survive a little longer in the market? First, get back the money you should take. The commission rebate is not an "optional" thing, but a "must do immediately".
Welcome everyone to join 聊天室, and you can immediately activate your rebate, regardless of whether you are a new or old user!
Last night, $BTC experienced a wave of declines followed by a rebound, with prices hovering around $87,000. This is the critical point for the entire market right now.
With $28 billion in options expiring, it sounds enough to create massive waves, but the actual trend has been repeatedly pressed against high levels—going up only to be smashed down, and coming down only to be bought back up. This kind of 'door painting' movement indicates that the market lacks money and participants during the holiday, and the real battle has not yet begun. The strength has merely been postponed, not disappeared. Once the capital returns, the volatility could be fast and fierce.
In my opinion, there is no need to guess whether the market will rise or fall next. The focus should be solely on one position: $87,000. This has become the critical point for short-term bulls and bears. If it holds steady, the market will have the strength to move upward; if it breaks below, the correction may deepen. The performance at this level will directly determine whether the market continues to oscillate back and forth or moves in a unidirectional trend.
Therefore, don’t be fooled by the current narrow fluctuations. Patiently waiting for the market to provide clear signals is much more prudent than hastily placing bets. Understanding the reaction at key levels is far more useful than blindly guessing the direction.
聊天室 will usually share some cutting-edge insights and practical strategies, welcome to come and discuss views, let’s seize this big opportunity together!
$BTC The preheating is complete, and the altcoin surge script is about to unfold!\n\nI believe that the altcoin market will likely heat up next spring. Simply put, the money printed by the Federal Reserve will gradually flow into the crypto space, and altcoins have been down for too long and too deep; it's about time for them to move.\n\nWhy will the money flow into altcoins? Because if only Bitcoin rises, it won't attract too many people, nor will it make big money. For the market to really heat up, altcoins must take turns surging, creating stories of overnight wealth, which will attract outsiders and facilitate selling later on. It will probably go like this: first, pump Bitcoin to heat up the market and sentiment; when Bitcoin consolidates, funds will flow into the deeply beaten altcoins because they are light and can be pumped quickly; then, various sectors like AI and gaming will take turns rising, creating exaggerated profit effects until everyone can't resist jumping in.\n\nIf the market really comes, I think there are two directions that may start early: one is CHZ; although its current performance is weak, the World Cup will be held in the U.S. next year, and the U.S. is relatively accepting of crypto. Such major events combined with fan tokens easily create stories.\n\nThe second is UNI; as a core infrastructure in DeFi, when the market warms up, trading volume will inevitably rise, and funds likely won't bypass it.\n\nThe market has been cold for a long time, and once it starts, it could get very crazy. Bitcoin stabilizes the platform while altcoins take the stage; I've seen this script before. Keep an eye out next spring, but remember that volatility will be significant, so be prepared.\n\nPersonal opinion: the market has risks, 聊天室 welcome rational discussions for mutual progress.\n\n$ETH $BNB \n#加密市场观察 #SOL上涨潜力
$ETH is currently in a narrow range, and volatility may significantly increase. Options expire today, and the market may experience drastic changes, with a high risk of frequent loss. Especially for high-leverage operations, the win rate is extremely low. It is recommended that those without positions wait and observe temporarily, and only enter after the direction becomes clear.
Currently, the key range for bulls and bears: bullish target 3100-3500, bearish target 2900-2100. 3000 is the current contested position, and if it cannot stabilize, volatility may increase, with fluctuations possibly reaching several hundred points. During the day, it may maintain a range of 2900-2980, but quick spikes may occur. If the price breaks through 3000, the fluctuating range may expand to 2850-3150 or even 2800-3200.
For long positions, watch the performance of support at 2880-2850; if it breaks below, it may further test 2800. If there is no strong support at this level, a pullback to 2500-2600 cannot be ruled out. For short positions, pay attention to whether there are signs of stagnation when rebounding to the 2950-3100 range; if there is resistance, a light position can be tried, and be sure to set stop-loss and take profit in batches.
Overall, the risk today is relatively high; strict risk control is recommended, focusing on light positions for short-term trades, avoiding heavy positions. It is advisable to wait until the market shows a clear trend before making follow-up actions.
聊天室 usually shares some cutting-edge information and practical strategies, welcome to discuss viewpoints and seize this great opportunity together!
Currently, the altcoins in the crypto space can be roughly divided into three categories:
The first category includes legitimate projects, mainly public chains and some underlying infrastructure, which tend to rise whenever the market experiences an uptrend. For example, ETH, LINK, etc.
The second category consists entirely of scams, having only a white paper; once they hit the exchanges, the price peaks, and after the insiders offload their holdings, the coin becomes inactive. Many exchanges have listed such coins.
The third category is the most numerous. While they aren't outright scams, they do have actual products operating; however, their positioning is completely misaligned. Investors believe they are investing, while the project teams treat them as users—there's no mechanism for token buybacks or burns, and you are hoping the project team will drive the price up, while they expect you to use the product more and help them inflate the data. This has become a particularly awkward aspect of Web3, akin to two people with mismatched thoughts trying to compete with each other. Project teams often think they can grow big relying on retail investors in the crypto space, but in reality, no matter how hard they work on their products, scaling is difficult; many teams haven't even made profits and are just self-deceiving. Retail investors are the same; they clearly have more stable public chains available but still choose to invest in such projects, making losses inevitable.
If the future of Web3 relies solely on the immature projects and blindly following funds currently in play, it certainly won't go far. What is truly worth looking forward to is when experienced and resourceful individuals and funds from the internet industry come in, combined with the integration of AI technology, sparking a more rational bull market. With traditional internet growth slowing down, these individuals are in need of new opportunities, and Web3 might just be the next landing point.
聊天室 will regularly share some cutting-edge news and practical strategies; feel free to join the discussion and seize this great opportunity together!
Currently, SOL has entered a historically rare deep oversold range, a situation that has only occurred during extreme emotions in the 2023 bear market and during the market panic sell-off in early 2025.
This phase is often accompanied by a lack of market confidence, the clearing of panic selling, and long-term funds quietly positioning themselves. While it does not mean an immediate rise, it usually indicates limited downside potential and an increased probability of an upward movement.
Historical patterns show that market bottoms often form amidst doubt and unease, and at this time, prices are relatively low, with investors generally hesitant, often providing opportunities for prepared investors. Therefore, the current oversold state of SOL is not market noise but a signal worth paying attention to, the significance of which may only be recognized by most after the market begins to move.
Although the overall market is slightly sluggish now, opportunities will come. Stay calm and wait for the correction, and feel free to discuss future market views in the chat room.
$BTC is currently fluctuating between 84000 and 94000 dollars, indicating that both bulls and bears are still in a struggle, and the short-term direction is not very clear. During such times, it is not suitable to bet on long positions.
However, the area around 86000 is worth paying close attention to. There has been strong support here before, and if the price returns to this position and stabilizes, there is a good chance of a rebound to around 90000 dollars. I am watching the price movement here closely.
It is advised to remain patient and place limit orders around 86000 in advance, waiting for the price to reach the desired level on its own.
Although the market is slightly sluggish now, opportunities will still come; remain calm and wait for the correction, and feel free to discuss future market views in the chat room.
Let me be frank, I personally think the possibility is very low now. The price of 8 dollars was a unique product after the FTX collapse at the end of 2022, equivalent to the market at that time giving Solana a 'death sentence'. To return to such a price, it would require a systemic disaster of the same level, such as a complete collapse of the public chain narrative, fatal issues with Solana itself, or a devastating blow to the entire cryptocurrency market. Currently, these conditions are not present.
The Solana of today is already very different from two years ago. Its network is much more stable than before, and the various applications running on it—whether DeFi, meme coins, or other innovations—show real ecological activity. You may think it could drop, but to see it as an asset that will 'go to zero' is no longer accurate.
Therefore, in my view, instead of worrying all day about whether it will return to 8 dollars, consider more practical questions: If your holdings drop by 40% or more, can you withstand it? Is your position based on long-term judgment, or are you just trying to gamble on a short-term move? Have you prepared a backup plan for extreme market conditions?
My viewpoint is clear: deep corrections can happen even in a bull market, but that kind of panic selling at completely negated low prices is hard to reproduce. What you need to worry about is not a specific number, but whether you get washed out early due to being over-leveraged or having an unbalanced mindset when the market fluctuates significantly. Don’t let a past fear price lead you around; what’s important is to ensure that you can stay at the table regardless of ups or downs.
Although the overall market is slightly sluggish now, opportunities will come again. Just wait calmly for the correction, and feel free to discuss future market views in the chatroom.
In the past week, it is expected to continue to go down, initially looking at around 2677. The current pattern resembles an M-top; if there is a genuine desire to break upwards, it is highly likely that the long positions will need to be liquidated first, even breaking below the 2770 support level to shake out positions. If selling pressure continues to be strong, the most likely scenario is to break below 2700 to create a false breakdown, then quickly rebound back up.
I believe we have to wait until the rates drop to a low point or even turn negative for the market to have a real chance to break through. Currently, the strategy is mainly shorting during rebounds, with positions around 3130, 3080, and 3150 being suitable for gradually opening short positions.
For more insights in the crypto world, click on my profile to join the chatroom, learn more, and discover high-potential coins and daily spot strategies!
Yesterday $ETH repeatedly broke through without success, currently oscillating in the narrow range of 2950 - 3050, seemingly gathering strength. From the perspective of leveraged liquidation, yesterday's surge to 3077 handled most of the leveraged positions, but continued to consolidate, with a clear intention to attack. The current price has retreated to the short-term pullback resistance level, with a focus on 3035 and 3055. A second breakthrough failure or short-term pullback, with the price fluctuation range mainly between 2920 - 3120.
Today's day session may press down on leverage, and if the support at 2950 and 2920 holds, there is a high probability of a surge breaking through 3100 tonight. After the breakthrough, if it stabilizes at 3050 or oscillates above 3120, it is expected to rise to 3165, 3200, or even 3350. If 3300 holds, the upper track of the downtrend channel is broken, and if it pulls back and closes above 3050, it may initiate a main upward wave to break away from the dense area. Recently, both bulls and bears should not hold positions, with the risk of short positions being particularly high.
In terms of operations, focus on two ranges: small range 2950 - 3050, large range 2900 - 3100.
Going long: Buy lightly on pullbacks to 2900 - 2950, with strict stop-loss if it breaks below 2900. A breakdown indicates an imbalance between bulls and bears, and below 2900 is a vacuum area, which may lead to a rapid decline. The next support at 2830 may not hold, so do not hold positions.
Going short: When the breakout of 3050 - 3100 fails and falls back, short lightly, do not be greedy. Today, shorting is not easy due to the strong intention to attack, and prices will repeatedly spike. For existing short positions above 3050, set stop-losses in batches to protect profits and prevent profit giving back.
Follow me for spot strategy layout in a bull market, do not be a runner in a bull market, only be a victor in a bull market! $BTC $ETH #比特币流动性 #加密市场观察
Novices get trapped in chasing highs, while veterans lose by trying to catch bottoms! Have you fallen for this wave of market 'scalping'?
The market sentiment is completely off! BTC has long sounded the alarm, yet altcoins seem oblivious to this signal—it's too dangerous!
Novices love to chase highs, rushing in as soon as they see a rise; veterans always want to catch the bottom, thinking that a big drop is an opportunity. What happens? Every time novices buy, they get trapped, and every time veterans try to catch the bottom, it drops further. This wave of market 'scythes' specifically targets these two types of people!
Everyone knows about the interest rate cut in September, right? Now that it has risen to a strong resistance level on the daily chart, it’s likely just 'baiting' you to enter, only to immediately crash and unload! What’s even more heartbreaking is when good news suddenly appears at the peak? This tactic is well-known by seasoned players, and it's just to trick you into buying in!
BTC, as the 'leader,' has already started giving warnings, yet altcoins seem to be dropping as if they haven't received the signal. What does this indicate? Funds have quietly retreated, just waiting for you to be the 'bag holder'!
In this market wave, can retail investors make money? First, avoid the pitfalls of chasing highs and catching bottoms, and keep a close eye on BTC signals. If it really drops, altcoins will only fall harder. Remember: good news at the peak is a trap, strong resistance levels are bait, don’t be the last 'smart person'!
I will continue to lay out my strategic orders! Instead of fumbling around yourself and failing to capture the best entry and exit points leading to losses, it's better to follow me directly if you agree with my approach.
Bitcoin's guillotine-style decline! Ethereum's lifeline has been breached, today's sniper points exposed!
Current market sentiment is dominated by bears, with Bitcoin's 4-hour chart showing a step-like decline, completely breaking the previous upward channel. The MACD death cross continues to move downward, and bearish strength is still accumulating, making it difficult to change the weak pattern in the short term; after Ethereum broke the critical level of 4160, the EMA24 crossed below EMA52 forming a death cross, with clear bearish signals for the medium to long term. Although the MACD green bars have not significantly enlarged and the KDJ's J value is extremely oversold, there may be a short-term rebound, but overall it is still under bearish pressure.
In terms of operations, for Bitcoin, pay attention to the high short positions in the 114600-114300 area, with a stop-loss at 115300, targeting a downward move to 112900-112600; for Ethereum, keep an eye on high short positions near 4200-4230, with a stop-loss at 4280, initially targeting 4100-4130, extending to 4060-4000 after breaking below. If the critical level holds, then consider going short again. The market's bearish trend is clear, but caution should be exercised for potential rebounds in the oversold area; operations must strictly adhere to stop-losses and be flexible in response.
Not sure how to operate in this market? Follow me, I’ll provide the strategy, execution is up to you! There are only so many positions, be quick or miss out!
$SOL Cards, the 180 Life and Death Line! Stalemate, don't make moves on either side
SOL is now stuck around $179, as stagnant as a "zombie market"! There is strong resistance at $183 and $190 above, with weak support at $175 below, making it hard for the market to breathe.
News front is stagnant: The CPI has just been digested, and interest rate cut expectations have already been fully absorbed by the market. There are no new positive news or black swans; even Musk selling Bitcoin can't change the rhythm.
Technical front is flat: The channel is narrowing, with volatility so low that market makers are reluctant to act. RSI/MACD are all "dozing off," and even golden crosses and death crosses can't emerge.
Longs and shorts are cutting each other: Whales are bottom fishing near $175 and dumping near $183, repeatedly cutting retail investors. On-chain data shows the price is locked in a consolidation range.
What happens if you jump in? Face-slapping from both sides: Going long at $180? The selling pressure wall at $183 will teach you a lesson in seconds. Bottom fishing at $175? If it breaks, you’ll be directly catching falling knives. The volatility space is small, and transaction fees are higher than profits, essentially working for the exchange.
What are institutions waiting for? Coinbase has launched 5x leverage perpetual contracts, but smart money isn't following; on-chain staking volumes are at an all-time high, yet the price is stagnant—large funds only dare to layout long-term, with the short-term being all about waiting.
Breakthrough at $183: If it stabilizes above $183 with volume, the bulls are getting serious, looking short-term at $190, closing eyes to chase longs has a high win rate. Breaking below $175: If it breaks down with volume at $175, run quickly! The next key accumulation zone is at $171, and it could even drop to $160. The longer the consolidation lasts, the more violent the breakout: this stagnant water oscillation could either be the calm before the storm or a "long-term constipation," but either way, it's better than making blind trades. Remember: when there’s no direction, not trading is the best trade!
Still unsure how to operate in this market? Follow me, I’ll give you strategies, and execution is up to you! There are only so many positions; the quick will have, and the slow will miss!
The big one is coming! Bitcoin is no longer "lying flat". How will $SOLV awaken the sleeping giant?
The approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs is like opening a direct door to the crypto world for traditional capital. But once the door is open, a more challenging question arises: when trillions of dollars flood into Bitcoin, what can these "digital gold" do besides sitting in wallets?
Look at neighboring Ethereum: staking and re-staking are thriving, maximizing capital efficiency. But what about Bitcoin? With outdated technology and a singular function, it resembles an old landlord guarding a treasury but only collecting rent. Over the past few years, the DeFi circle has tried various methods to make it "come alive"—cross-chain bridges are too risky, liquidity mining feels like a shot of adrenaline, but none can withstand the heavy pressure of institutional-level funds.
It wasn't until Solv Protocol launched its flagship product BTC+ that the situation truly changed. This is not just an ordinary DeFi protocol, but a precisely designed financial engine:
Let Bitcoin "make money for itself": The BTC+ treasury automatically allocates idle BTC into low-risk strategies, such as protocol staking, basis arbitrage, or even linking to BlackRock's tokenized funds, earning a passive annual yield of 4.5%-5.5%.
Dismantle the trust bomb: Using Chainlink for on-chain verification, the entire process of asset entry and exit is transparent, with custody and execution thoroughly separated—what institutions fear most, the "black box operation," is made completely clear.
Unify fragmented liquidity: Through a staking abstraction layer, BTC liquidity scattered across chains like Merlin and Stacks is packaged into "yield-bearing assets" SolvBTC, allowing users to participate in staking with one click, without the hassle of cross-chain.
Even more impressively, top-tier capital such as Nomura Securities and Binance Labs backs Solv, with TVL surpassing $2.3 billion. They are not playing around; they have hit the most painful point in the Bitcoin ecosystem: safe yield + institutional-level risk control.
As Bitcoin transforms from a "hoarding toy" into an "institutional strategic asset," Solv's ambition extends far beyond DeFi—it is building a financial language that traditional capital can understand and trust. BTC+ is just the beginning; in the future, if stablecoin collateral and derivatives markets are connected, the capital efficiency of the trillion-dollar Bitcoin will experience a nuclear-level leap. When we look back on today, perhaps it will be Solv that pulled the trigger.
$LISTA is going crazy! USD1 locked up over 100 million is just an appetizer, a 20% token burn is the real bomb!
USD1 locked up skyrocketed to 100 million USD? This number is indeed eye-catching in the BNB chain stablecoin sector, but what’s even more terrifying is its annualized yield directly hitting 40% — bank fixed deposits are only 2%, how can DeFi speculators not go crazy? Sun Yuchen just issued an additional 1 billion USDT on the TRON chain, and new funds are eagerly waiting; USD1 has taken advantage of this wave of hot money. Even more ruthless is that it is bound to slisBNB staking assets, directly filling the liquidity gap of BNB chain stablecoins. After WLFI officially announced the partnership, USD1's trading volume surged 200% in a single day, clearly aiming to become the settlement hub of the BNB chain!
200M tokens burned? This is a public scheme controlled by the big players. Burning 20% of the total supply of LISTA (200 million tokens) at once; it’s more of a declaration of the main force's locked positions than deflation. Look at the Binance Megadrop phase 2 data: total token supply is 1 billion, and airdrops account for 10%, while the team and investors still hold 22.5%. Now directly destroying 20% makes the circulating supply even scarcer, combined with BNB breaking the historical high of 845 USD, it’s clear that the intention is to pump and harvest the short sellers! On-chain monitoring detected that a certain whale hoarded 300,000 BNB last week; as LISTA is Binance's favored child, this move is a market-making play.
TVL exceeds 6.5 billion USD? Three moves to break through the DeFi ceiling. 1. Dual asset vampire model: slisBNB staking captures BNB's rise and fall profits, while lisUSD lending reaps 22% annualized returns, users' principal is squeezed out in two ways.
2. Deep binding to BNB chain: 620,000 BNB staked, the highest in the entire chain, Binance Launchpool's new project returns are directly channeled to slisBNB holders, CEX + DEX dual vampirism.
3. Liquidation alarms hide deadly traps: BNB's collateralization rate red line is set at 66%; once the coin price plummets, a series of liquidations will explode through leveraged accounts like a domino effect!
Now rushing into Lista? First, recognize the three lifelines. The opportunity lies in the USD1 ecosystem: The annualized 41% in the USD1 lending pool isn’t given for free, but you must keep a close eye on the collateralization rate; if BNB falls below 400 USD, you must run.
The trap lies in token unlocking: 19% of investors' tokens will start releasing next year; now the higher you pull it, the harder it will drop later.
The ultimate game is in BNB: If Binance is really approved for listing in the US, BNB reaching 1000 USD will boost Lista; if there’s a policy black swan, a TVL of 6.5 billion would be a meat grinder.
Can Dogecoin reach 1 dollar? Key support, retail selling pressure, and ETF expectations all revealed! These truths you must know!
Can Dogecoin reach 1 dollar? Recently, this topic has been heatedly discussed, but you may not have thought through the underlying details! Let me start with a painful conclusion: don't let the 'get-rich-quick dream' cloud your judgment, look at these points clearly before taking action.
First, 0.21 dollars is a key position. If this position cannot be held, there is a high probability it will drop to around 0.18 dollars in the short term, which is the last 'psychological defense line' for bulls, and breaking it is a signal for a new round of downward exploration.
Next, let's talk about the retail investor mentality. Retail investors currently dominate the market, with many waiting to break even around the 0.3 dollar mark, and the pressure is heavy as a rock. Last year's rebound to 0.4 dollars could not hold, indicating that the bulls simply lack the strength to push higher, let alone expect a direct surge to 1 dollar.
Recently, the market has been supported entirely by the expectation of 'ETF approval', which is indeed the 'catalyst' for institutional funds to enter, but don’t treat it as a panacea. The approval of the ETF could bring a wave of traffic, but for Dogecoin to rise long-term, expectations alone are not enough; real capital must be continuously poured in.
More importantly, Dogecoin is essentially a 'celebrity coin', surviving on community sentiment and speculative trading, without technical support or real application scenarios, its price is entirely dependent on market sentiment. Want to reach 1 dollar? Unless there is large-scale capital entering the market and the ecosystem truly takes shape, otherwise, it’s just a castle in the air.
So, ordinary investors should not rush to go 'All in'. Short-term trading is fine, but keep an eye on the support level of 0.21 dollars; if it breaks, run quickly; if it holds steady, then consider pushing higher. Remember, 1 dollar is not shouted into existence; it is built up by capital. It is too early to talk about 'inevitability' now. Be rational, don’t let emotions lead you, and steady profits are the way to go.
Still unsure how to operate in this market? Follow me, I’ll provide the strategy, execution is up to you! There are only so many positions; those who act fast will benefit, those who are slow will miss out!
Ethereum Faces Strong Pressure, Short Opportunities Are Here!
Ethereum is currently being pressed at the key level of $4370-$4420, and it has already broken down on the daily chart, so we are temporarily looking for a pullback.
After a short-term rebound to the resistance zone, it started to fall again. If you short now, aim for around $4240-$4150, which is the last 'bottom line' for the bulls. If it breaks below this, it may continue to drop to $4010-$3800.
However, if the price can hold above $4420, the bulls may counterattack, so don't short at that time, be careful as the market may surge again.
Still unsure how to operate in this market? Follow me, I'll provide you with strategies, and execution is up to you! There are only so many positions available, the quick will benefit, and the slow will miss out!
Recently, $SOL has been stuck around 180 dollars, with neither bulls nor bears gaining the upper hand.
After quickly dropping from a peak above 210 dollars, the 180 dollar position is now a "turnover period"—some are selling, some are buying, but no trend has formed.
Key levels: The support below is at 178-176 dollars; a break below could lead to 172-170 dollars. The pressure above is heavy at 185-188 dollars, and it has failed to break through after several attempts. At this point, the strategy can be to "sell high and buy low": buy around 178-176 dollars, aiming for 183-185 dollars; when it reaches 185-188 dollars, sell, or try a small short position.
However, be cautious, as sideways markets are prone to "false breakouts"—you might get caught in just as you chase in, so don’t be greedy; take some profit and leave. Keep your position light; don’t go all in.
Still unsure how to operate in this market? Follow my strategy, but the execution depends on you! There are only so many positions; those who act quickly will benefit, while those who hesitate will lose out!
After BTC recently fell below 117,000 USD, a technical M-top structure has formed from the 3-day line to the weekly level, and the short-term trend has directly turned bearish. Now everyone is most concerned about: how far will this pullback go? Currently, there are mainly two opinions: one is looking at 98,000 USD, based on the starting point of 98,500 USD on June 20, and a 1:1 pullback from the high of 124,500 USD; the other is more aggressive, directly looking at a drop to 60,000-40,000 USD, reasoning that the previous bull market dropped 50% near 64,000 USD, so this round is also calculated at 50%, making a 50% drop from 124,550 USD around 62,300 USD—this view directly suggests that the bull market has ended.
But I think both views are too extreme! We can't just look at 60,000 or 40,000 when it drops, and 140,000 or 150,000 when it rises; it's too emotional. If it's spot trading, you can completely hold on without moving, because there will definitely be another wave of topping from October to November. It’s fine to be bearish in the short term, but the MACD indicator on the daily line hasn’t returned to zero, indicating that the weekly level adjustment hasn’t been fully confirmed yet, and we need to observe step by step.
At key points, if the weekly adjustment is established, it first needs to break below the support level of 112,000 USD, then we need to see if 106,000 USD can hold. There is important news this Thursday; if it’s positive and 112,000 USD holds, then the rebound will continue; if there's no good news, institutions may give up on the resistance at 112,000-110,000 USD, and the 110,000 USD level may fail, entering deeper consolidation; if 106,000 USD also breaks, then the bull market is basically over. Overall, the extreme low point may be around 106,000 USD.
Want to get rich quick? Want to recover losses? Want to enjoy profits? Follow me, and I will guide you to position yourself in the main rising wave of the bull market!
Is the ALPINE rebound a "trap to lure in buyers"? These signals must be heeded!
The recent rebound of ALPINE looks lively but is actually quite hollow. After spiking to 2.57, it was immediately hammered down, and in the subsequent rebounds, it couldn't even touch the previous high, getting weaker with each attempt—this kind of "lower highs" trend clearly indicates that the main force is trapping people at high levels. More critically, there was heavy selling volume during the decline, yet the rebounds are weak with low volume, indicating that market confidence has already been nearly exhausted, making it incredibly difficult to push prices back up.
Currently, the price is stuck around 2.18, appearing "stable" on the surface, but in reality, risks are brewing underneath. The pressure near 2.57 above feels like a heavy stone, pressing down hard; if it breaks below the key level of 2.1, it is very likely to explore further down. At this point, don't be fooled by the "sideways movement," as it feels more like a "half-time break" on the way down, and the main force may be preparing a big move.