Sparkleislifesense

纳指果然开始崩坏，大回调即将来临！

SEC里的人真的脑子有泡，作为黄毛的发声筒黄毛脑子也有泡。加密的魅力是去中心化，你们一副鹰派形象，老搁那宣扬美国如何如何主导加密货币，那是想让其它国家进来玩还是不进来玩？进来玩被你分尸，不进来玩你就自个儿撸自个儿吧。

有些国家的政治水平真的挺低幼，至少读读三十六计，想用好加密，就得使上欲擒故纵这一招，而不是一脸凶相搁那喊破噪子呱噪。放眼望去也没哪个国家和你们抢这个头号座椅啊。

这么个玩法，只会殃及我们这些想撸钱的池鱼。

$BTC The current trend is somewhat similar to the first wave of decline after last year's big drop to around 80600 in November, the question is whether it can still copy in the second half? Looking at the Dow Jones index daily K (Figure 2) and the Nasdaq index (Figure 3), the Dow Jones, as a basic plate, seems to be struggling to hold up, and the Nasdaq, as a barometer, is even more dangerous. In the past three months, it has been making small steps above the Bollinger Bands, clearly showing a lack of upward momentum. Therefore, the possibility of copying is not high!

It turns out that a good gym opened across from home three months ago, and it doesn't close during the Spring Festival, still open for 20 hours a day. However, the price seems not very friendly for those who train five times a week, and there isn't even an annual card? Let's not worry about that for now, this year I will continue to maintain strict self-discipline amidst the sounds of ushering out the old year.

Maybe. After the post-80s generation, those with money and leisure are more likely to frequent sports venues, while those with money but no leisure may be consumers of alcohol; these two groups generally do not overlap. On the surface, alcohol can speed up metabolism, but the problem is that alcohol is also extremely high in calories; there is no food with a higher calorie count than high-proof liquor. The metabolic rate itself decreases year by year, and the result of drinking alcohol is self-evident.

Many people find it hard to understand the difference between this time's cryptocurrency ban released by the Rabbit Nation and previous ones, thinking it is just a habitual operation that happens every few years. That couldn’t be more wrong! The root of everything goes back to the cryptocurrency circle since Trump was elected. If five years ago the key figure in the further popularization of digital currency was Musk, then in the past two years the key figure is undoubtedly Trump. But let’s not forget, the former is just a wealthy businessman, while the latter is the president, the top political leader of the United States. In other words, the cryptocurrency circle has become highly politicized while riding on his coattails. If previously it was only related to money, it is no longer that simple; it has upgraded to being related to ideology and national competition. As a result, the walls will only grow taller and denser, and the new sprouts from the eastern powers will not be able to continuously emerge (no one doubts their execution capabilities in this regard, right?), and if OTC is cut off, what other channels are left? Moreover, the state of relations between the United States and other countries will also affect the development of the cryptocurrency circle in those nations. And no one would think that Trump’s goodwill towards the cryptocurrency circle means he is truly a benefactor, right? His motives are almost written on his face, which will only make the governments of those countries suffering from geopolitical conflicts and tariff disputes increasingly wary of digital currencies. The recent attempts by Europe to promote digital currencies are for this reason.

The benefits that Bitcoin received from Trump have already been completely reversed; capital is more honest than politics, and this is the best proof.

It's all the fault of the yellow-haired harm anyway; in any case, the bad situation in the crypto world these past two years can all be attributed to him.

Optimize the issue further: How much do you need to earn before retirement to match a civil servant's salary? — Because aside from civil servants and military zones, the vast majority of market-oriented professions have a retirement 'cut-off line'. Of course, it's not the kind of true cut-off seen in American society, but the quality of life declines significantly after retirement, which is equivalent to stopping work means stopping income. This is the biggest difference between public and private sectors. You can get a rough idea of how many people from Huawei and Tencent take civil service exams each year, and there's no need for specific figures on their annual income; they are significantly ahead of the rest.

"X brother, your figure is really a hundred times better than the coach's." "That's a bit of an exaggeration, it's just that this outfit shows off my figure better." Looking back, I've been working out for over 10 years now, and even if I were a skeleton, I'd have turned into the Hulk. Most people only work out for four or five years, so it's normal that they can't compare.

Moreover, my hips and legs are even more exaggerated than my upper body, with a hip circumference of 120. For many who focus only on their upper body, this is an insurmountable hurdle.

Don't say I'm just trying to attract rich women or anything like that; I don't lack this little bit of money. In reality, as long as I want to, I don't lack women either. It's purely for showing off! Otherwise, I wouldn’t be able to justify the sweat I've shed by the bucket.

Last Friday, the Nasdaq closed with a gain of 2.18% (Figure 1), mainly benefiting from Nvidia's increase of 7.87% (Figure 2). Therefore, tonight's opening of the Nasdaq will be influenced by Nvidia, while Bitcoin is affected by the Nasdaq. Nvidia is expected to first have at least a slight drop before rising again. Thus, Bitcoin will also likely experience a decline followed by a rise.

There are fundamentally two types of people who understand white papers: one is egalitarians, and the other is investors and speculators, or a combination of both, often with the former encompassing the latter, while the latter cannot encompass the former; after all, a larger market will attract more speculators (no derogatory meaning intended).

My judgment of egalitarians is also classified; simply put, there is pseudo-egalitarianism and true egalitarianism (also without derogatory meaning). In fact, there is no absolute egalitarianism in the world, just as there is no absolute fairness or absolute good and evil (from a non-legal perspective).

Every era has its own issues, progress must come with sacrifices, and everyone has their inherent flaws (it is essentially just a socialized judgment based on evolutionary theory, such as material desires and carnal desires), so neutralizing the people and matters encountered is a kind of realm.

Absolute egalitarianism is a violent fantasy, a regression akin to the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom. This is also the reason I have not reached a level of faith in Bitcoin; utopia is worth striving to approach but can never be reached. This relates to the differences in recognition, thought, and information levels among individuals, but respecting individuals and fair distribution is a necessary foundation. The value of decentralization should focus on promoting this foundation rather than replacing the centralized hub, at least in the short term.

From individuals to collective images, deep philosophical reflection allows me to increase the ideological content of the square.

Some VPN companies are not registered in the country, right?

Basically, $BTC will have a good rebound in the coming week, as shown in Figure 1. The Nasdaq index made a strong engulfing bullish candle last Friday, and the RSI indicator has already rebounded from the bottom. The RSI indicator for the Nasdaq is quite indicative, as the pattern in the oversold zone only has a sharp angle, and the short-term reversal signal is strong. Therefore, in the coming week, the Nasdaq index will show a good upward pattern, which means what it means for $BTC goes without saying, especially since $BTC is rebounding from a short-term oversold state, and will only rise stronger than the Nasdaq. If there is still an opportunity to get in, it depends on whether Bitcoin has a significant correction in the four-hour KDJ oversold zone.

In a bear market, we don't speak of a bottom, but I still want to guess it. Last night, I guessed the position of 68000, but unfortunately, the Nasdaq index dropped all the way down, bringing Bitcoin down with it. This morning, after being busy, I looked and saw a low of 59800, then it rebounded by over 5000 points.

What can I say? The daily K-line of the Nasdaq is collapsing, and tonight is likely to be bloody (I almost forgot that today is already Friday
……), but Bitcoin has shown signs of a rebound from being oversold, and the strength of the rebound has started to show during the market's closure. The market will be closed for the next two days, and Bitcoin may get a short-term recovery opportunity?

However, the overall market expectation is pessimistic, and this kind of recovery has not led to a reversal because the market index is still far from the bottom.

Most people in the square are basically discussing the big pancake itself, and only a very small number can relate to the Nasdaq index. Also, those who were once very good at trading waves have disappeared quite a few, and the lesson learned is that understanding the macro structure is the best umbrella of protection. If it involves carrying positions, it goes without saying that lacking this structural understanding basically means earning a few profits from waves before jumping into the fire pit.

Figure 1 and Figure 2 show the 15-minute candlestick charts of $BTC and the Nasdaq Composite Index, respectively. The orange part indicates a slight drop on February 4, followed by a minor recovery. The Nasdaq is closed while Bitcoin is in a sideways movement, waiting for the Nasdaq to open for direction. Further to the right, we can see that after the market opens, Bitcoin also enters a closed state, unable to maintain its sideways movement, with a more obvious downward trend and increasingly shorter lower shadows, indicating that the support force is weakening.

In other words, Bitcoin is about to erase the gains of the past year, with the 6xxx range likely to appear soon, potentially in the form of a spike, but the oscillation within the 6xxx range seems almost certain; it's just a matter of whether it happens before or after the Spring Festival.

Those who enter the spot market and hold in 2024 are about to enter the loss zone.

Additionally, looking at the volume bars of the Nasdaq's 15-minute chart, the market-making traces are obvious. How long can this be maintained at a high level? Apart from a few tech giants, what else is left in the U.S.? I'm not trying to sing the blues; America's international relations are entering a period of decline, showing no signs of a major power's steadiness, resembling a street thug without bottom lines. Whether Huang Mao is the biggest black swan in the crypto world and whether he will lead the mainstreaming of the crypto space is a question of disaster or fortune, and the answer is beginning to surface.

The military is about to be exposed again... Last night's script is being replayed tonight, just with different price points. Looking at the Nasdaq monthly chart, a significant pullback is basically a done deal, while these past two weeks have only seen minor fluctuations. The cryptocurrency world has become like this.

From recent observations, it feels like the cryptocurrency world is just begging for alms; even when the ADP employment numbers are below expectations, it can be seen as good news. Everyone is eagerly waiting for the government to release a lot of liquidity, while the road to reality is long and difficult, depending on others like this.

The simplest thought is that since the weekly closing can't return to the 120 line and is still so far away, the logic of a double bottom is unlikely to form. Preparing to go to the lower opening of the Bollinger Bands at 70000.

Is this the power of the bear? 😂 Also, it's a 10-minute ride on the electric donkey to the gym...