History doesnât change in Bitcoin. The numbers just get bigger. In 2017, Bitcoin peaked near $21,000 and then fell more than 80%. In 2021, it topped around $69,000 and dropped roughly 77%. In the most recent cycle, after reaching around $126,000, price has already corrected more than 70%. Each time feels different. Each time the narrative is new. Each time people say, âThis cycle is not like the others.â And yet, when you zoom out, the structure looks painfully familiar. Parabolic rise. Euphoria. Overconfidence. Then a brutal reset. The percentages remain consistent. The emotional pain remains consistent. Only the dollar amounts expand. This is not coincidence. It is structural behavior. Bitcoin is a fixed-supply asset trading in a liquidity-driven global system. When liquidity expands and optimism spreads, capital flows in aggressively. Demand accelerates faster than supply can respond. Price overshoots. But when liquidity tightens, leverage unwinds, and sentiment shifts, the same reflexive loop works in reverse. Forced selling replaces FOMO. Risk appetite contracts. And the decline feels endless. Understanding this pattern is the first educational step. Volatility is not a flaw in Bitcoin. It is a feature of an emerging, scarce, high-beta asset. But education begins where emotion ends. Most people do not lose money because Bitcoin crashes. They lose money because they behave incorrectly inside the crash. Letâs talk about what you should learn from every major drawdown. First, drawdowns of 70â80% are historically normal for Bitcoin. That doesnât make them easy. It makes them expected. If you enter a volatile asset without preparing mentally and financially for extreme corrections, you are not investing you are gambling on a straight line. Second, peaks are built on emotion. At cycle tops, narratives dominate logic. Price targets stretch infinitely higher. Risk management disappears. People borrow against unrealized gains. Leverage increases. Exposure concentrates. Thatâs when vulnerability quietly builds.
Current price is showing active movement with a +2.71% change in the last 24 hours. After a sharp drop from 0.03359 down to 0.03166, price is attempting a short-term bounce. On the 1H structure, weâre seeing small recovery candles forming near local support, hinting at a possible relief move if buyers step in.
Trade Setup
âą Entry Zone: 0.03160 â 0.03190
âą Target 1 : 0.03280
âą Target 2 : 0.03360
âą Target 3 : 0.03480
âą Stop Loss: 0.03090
If bulls defend the 0.03160 base and volume expands on the upside, a quick squeeze toward previous highs is possible. Momentum shift confirmation above 0.03360 could open the door for a stronger continuation.
Bitcoin has recently fallen from highs (~$125k) to strong volatility around $60kâ$70k region. Big swings are happening due to broader sell-off and institutional repositioning.
đ 2. Broader Crypto Weakness
ETH also saw 30%+ drops in some timeframes, indicating wider market stress.
đ 3. Macro + Technical
Markets have been influenced by sell-offs, regulatory scrutiny and capital rotations â not just cryptocurrency-specific sentiment.
đ BTC â Daily Chart
Pattern: Mixed Doji / Long-wick candles around support
Interpretation:
đ Indecision â bulls and bears fighting for control. Long wicks show buyers stepping in near lower price levels but sellers still reject higher closes.
Watch for:
Break above recent high of range â continuation?
Break under support around $63kâ$60k â deeper correction.
đ ETH â 4H Chart
Pattern: Small bodies + decreasing range
Interpretation:
đ Consolidating â the market might be preparing for a breakout. Neither buyers nor sellers are dominant.
Sometimes we see that someone just bought a huge amount of $BTC , $ETH , or another coin, and we think , "Yes! The price will go up for sure!" But then we check... and the price keeps dropping. Confusing right? đ€§
Here's why it happens đ:
đ„Market Size vs Individual Buying Even if someone buys $50 million in BTC, the market is massive. For example, BTC's daily trading volume can be over $20 billion, so a single buy might barely move the price.
đ„Selling Pressure From Others Big buys can be immediately offset if other whales are selling. Last year, we saw a whale buy ETH, but soon after, another large holder sold, keeping the price almost unchanged.
đ„Macro Events Global news affects crypto too. For instance, if the US announces higher interest rate, investors may sell crypto for safer assets, even if whales are buying.
đ„Exchange and Liquidity Factors Sometime a huge buy doesn't push the price because there aren't enough sell orders at higher prices. Think of it like trying to fill a swimming pool with a garden hose, you need more supply or demand to see movement.
đ„Market Sentiment and Fear Even with big purchase, fear can dominate. For example, during crypto dipafter FTX news, whales were buying, but the market stayed in panic mode, keeping prices down.
đ„Delayed Reaction Markets don't always react instantly. A whale buy might influence price slowly over hours or days as others notice and follow.
So, seeing someone buy a lot doesn't guarantee a pump. Crypto is unpredictable, and the market reacts to many factors at once. Always DYOR! We can analyze and guess, but surprises happen.
đAfter heavy dump from 0.05+ to 0.018 zone, price formed a base and now reclaiming 0.026 resistance. đ4H showing strong recovery candles with momentum building.
đ±If 0.030 breaks with volume, upside expansion can be fast. Momentum scalp / short-term swing manage risk tightly. Follow @GOAT_NO1_Trader for more profits #USNFPBlowout
Leaning into the underside of a narrow band, price keeps tapping it and slipping back only shallow, no real give. Pushes up are getting shorter, a few upper wicks stacking, but the pullbacks canât travel either â it just sits there, compressed. Volume flickers on the tests and then goes quiet, like effort with nothing to show. Still holding full exposure, watching how this base behaves rather than forcing adds. If it slips cleanly through the floor and doesnât snap back, Iâm out. Until then⊠waiting, pressure unresolved.
Leaning into the underside of a narrow band, price keeps tapping it and slipping back only shallow, no real give. Pushes up are getting shorter, a few upper wicks stacking, but the pullbacks canât travel either â it just sits there, compressed. Volume flickers on the tests and then goes quiet, like effort with nothing to show. Still holding full exposure, watching how this base behaves rather than forcing adds. If it slips cleanly through the floor and doesnât snap back, Iâm out. Until then⊠waiting, pressure unresolved.
Leaning into the underside of a narrow band, price keeps tapping it and slipping back only shallow, no real give. Pushes up are getting shorter, a few upper wicks stacking, but the pullbacks canât travel either â it just sits there, compressed. Volume flickers on the tests and then goes quiet, like effort with nothing to show. Still holding full exposure, watching how this base behaves rather than forcing adds. If it slips cleanly through the floor and doesnât snap back, Iâm out. Until then⊠waiting, pressure unresolved.
đĄđïž #GOLD ($XAU ) â READ THIS CAREFULLY Zoom out. Think long term â not days, not weeks⊠years. 2009 â $1,096 2010 â $1,420 2011 â $1,564 2012 â $1,675 Then came the silence. 2013 â $1,205 2014 â $1,184 2015 â $1,061 2016 â $1,152 2017 â $1,302 2018 â $1,282 đ Nearly a decade of sideways movement. No hype. No headlines. No retail excitement. While most lost interest, smart money was quietly accumulating. Then momentum returned. 2019 â $1,517 2020 â $1,898 2021 â $1,829 2022 â $1,823 đ Pressure was building beneath the surface. No noise â just steady positioning. And then, the breakout. 2023 â $2,062 2024 â $2,624 2025 â $4,336 đ Nearly 3x in three years. Moves of this scale donât happen randomly. This isnât retail FOMO. This isnât short-term speculation. â ïž This is macro. Whatâs driving it? đŠ Central banks increasing gold reserves đ Governments managing record debt levels đž Ongoing currency debasement đ Eroding confidence in fiat systems When gold trends like this, it reflects structural stress in the global system. They doubted: âą $2,000 gold âą $3,000 gold âą $4,000 gold Each level seemed unrealistic â until it wasnât. Now the conversation is shifting. đ $10,000 gold by 2026? It no longer sounds extreme. It sounds like repricing over time. đĄ Gold isnât becoming expensive. đ” Purchasing power is declining. Every cycle gives two choices: đ Position early with discipline đ± Or react late with emotion History rewards preparation. #writetoearn #XAU #PAXG $PAXG
â ïžEntry Market price Targets 1) 5293 2) 5390 3) 5490 Stop Loss 4880 or 3% of portfolioâ ïž
đ€We are entering a long position on Gold (XAU) at current market levels. The stop loss is placed at 4880 to protect capital, while we target a continuation of the trend towards new highs.
The U.S. dollar faces its biggest shakeup in decades: â ïž China has ordered state banks to sell $500B+ in Treasuries â 14-year low holdings â ïž 18 months of gold accumulation â debt-paper out, hard assets in â ïž Fed now forced to choose: collapse the system or print money â hyperinflation risk The East is no longer subsidizing the American lifestyle. Dollar dominance challenged. Markets entering uncharted territory.â€ïžâđ„
đžCapitals are shifting to sovereign-debt-proof assets. Are you ready?đž {future}(PIPPINUSDT) {future}(POWERUSDT) {future}(FHEUSDT)
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