Yesterday's data tested the market a bit, and it wasn't too weak. Everyone has been waiting for a long time, let's make a move. We've hit rock bottom, so we have to fight. #币安人生 has returned to the 0.1 we previously boarded. Let's do it again. Fortune is overflowing, and wealth is flowing, let's go!
#btc The monthly line has been falling for five months. If we can hold on tonight, we should be able to celebrate the New Year with a smile. We have already reached the bottom, and any direction we go from here is upward👆
This week marks the third consecutive release of data. Yesterday's retail data fell short of expectations, and tomorrow #cpi will impact the final interest rate determination. The market predicts an increase of 70,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.4. This time, there will also be a significant revision of historical data up to March 2025, with an estimated downward adjustment of 900,000, indicating that the job market is not as strong as initially shown. The core logic of the market's reaction lies in how this data affects the timing and pace of interest rate cuts. Scenario 1: Overall weak data (e.g., new jobs < 70,000 or rising unemployment rate) · US stocks: May rise in the short term. Weak data will reinforce the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates earlier, thus boosting stock market valuations. · #btc : Likely to rise in sync. Scenario 2: Overall strong data (e.g., significant new jobs > 70,000, wage growth exceeding expectations) · US stocks: May experience a pullback or volatility. · 🫓: May face downward pressure. Under the "tightening trade" logic, market risk appetite may cool. Scenario 3: Data meets expectations, but historical downward revisions are substantial (e.g., close to or exceeding 900,000) · Market: May interpret this as bearish. Even if the current month's data meets expectations, a large historical downward revision will change the market's perception of the overall strength of the labor market, which may similarly boost expectations for interest rate cuts. The impact is similar to Scenario 1.
After dealing with the big whales, the market feels a bit more comfortable. For now, I shouldn't think about squeezing anyone else. #btc has reached 72,000, and #eth has hit 2,100. It seems that many guys' worries about going to 30,000 or 40,000 should be gone now. Now we just wait for two or three more clones to surge, doubling their value, and then these dogs can start making money too. I really want to catch the biggest one. Each guy comes with a few number 5s to squeeze before the decline, thinking it's very solid; you really want to buy or have already bought, and everyone is ready to take over.
Come on, #eth 2250, let's get on with the spot goods. This position is really great right now. I was originally waiting for a meeting to check the testing situation last night, but instead, I ended up waiting for a fight that destroyed the drone 💣. So this position is still good, let's get started.
Market Avenue is simple, and the fluctuations of gold and silver are also our common way of deleveraging. Any one-sided market cannot withstand the burden of leverage. Especially with recent trends frequently trending, many friends say to run at the 5500 mark, because many have rushed in temporarily, and the profit margin is not large. In mid-January, CME changed the margin from a fixed dollar amount to a value related to the market, which means if it rises, you have to add money. The accelerating trigger is CME adjusting the margin from 5% to 6%, which directly reduces the leverage from twenty-something to sixteen or seventeen, cutting the leverage space by a quarter. This has led to the recent chain of liquidations. One data point indicates that over eighty percent of liquidations are from positions entered the day before, all suffering retail investors. #贵金属巨震 #Tether买黄金净赚50亿美元 #渔夫板块
#eth The current price is 2700, let's go for a low buy again, and the stop loss is still set at 2620. It's hard to operate in any market, so it's quite good to have a place that offers some opportunities.
On the second day of precious metals decline, gold fell a few points, and silver dropped by as much as 35 points. #btc did not fall and slightly rebounded. This is a good sign. Everyone remember to take another look at the indicators sent yesterday, use them in conjunction, and continue to share to spark discussion. No one can predict the rise and fall, but the resonance of some long-term indicators can provide insights.
No time to think, woke up to see it drop like this. #ETH Now near 2730, take a low position with stop loss below and come back again, auntie, put a stop loss a little higher. Below is the 2620 from November. The first and second are down for too long, now they have dropped more than some knockoffs, truly disappointing.
Let's discuss the two debt-related golden pots of the US stock market #黄金 #btc and how to observe the new beginning and takeoff of Bitcoin. 1. The synergy and changes in relationships During Bitcoin's continuous decline over four months at the monthly level, the correlation between Bitcoin and gold, both safe-haven assets, seems to have disappeared. In the first half of 2025 (up to August), both increased by over 30%. However, in the second half, one rose while the other fell, with gold significantly outperforming Bitcoin. In recent years, gold's strength was particularly notable in the first half of 2020, when gold rose by 17% and Bitcoin by 27%. In the second half, Bitcoin surged directly by twofold. This means that since 2020, based on a 30-day rolling correlation, the two have had a strong relationship, which has been increasingly mentioned. 2. From stability to change in their relationship Possible reasons include intensified geopolitical relations, purchases by central banks and major institutions, and the liquidity shortage faced by digital gold. There are also regulatory policy issues to consider. 3. Seeking the sword in the boat, can we see a similar surge again? Currently, the BTC/XAU ratio is at its lowest level in 24 years, and the RSI has dropped below 30. Other extreme reference signals: After the Z-Score of BTC/XAU fell to -2 in 2022, Bitcoin rose by 1.5 times within a year. In March 2020, a similar signal saw Bitcoin's increase exceed 1170% within a year. 4. What other indicators can assist in observation? The most obvious combination is the continuous inflow of ETF funds and the increase in on-chain oil issuance. A single signal is always one-sided; we hope these signals resonate, allowing us to better feel the changes and grasp the trends! #渔夫板块
Smooth sailing and smooth waters #eth . Three thousand has already reached this low level. Even the concubines have some people who dare not buy, it's really frustrating; at least we should have a small rebound. Now it's announced that weekend outings will allow fishing against the trend to buy definitely. #turtle 0.056 nearby, get in the car immediately for a 30+ increase. After the crash, the concubines just flew last night, and today it's again the number one on the increase list; the chosen ones are just this strong. Fortune, fortune, fortune, language is energy,旺旺旺!Thinking about the rise, trying to grasp the dog dealer, but last time it was just luck. This trend has no obstruction above. Playing counterfeit, recognize the fisherman sector.
Last night was so intense, really brutal. Come on, first bring in the stop loss below and take back the previous long position at 3300 with the number #eth , then let's do it again.
Come and claim my personal outline for February to December. The counterfeit market has begun, and this is just the beginning of the wave. No matter if you only play the mainstream or go for everything, this big V's #eth , these two or three times #币安人生 are just the appetizer.
#币安人生 0.1's life of peace and stability has reached its third bloom here. This is the life of the fisherman squad. While others are confused and don't know what to buy, we've already enjoyed things beyond imagination. We've once again proven that buying when no one else is interested! Let's shout a slogan together: may our luck and fortune be boundless! #渔夫板块
#币安人生 judgment is unclear, equivalent to no judgment. Many people have already experienced life 10, if yesterday you bought more enjoyable with the group. So it's time to get to work. Binance Life, the next #aster . #4 , the next Binance Life. Let's get excited, #渔夫板块
Many people were pessimistic after yesterday's drop, but I took the opportunity to recommend #币安人生 again. From a K-line perspective, it has indeed been frustrating, repeatedly sending out false messages, misleading people, and experiencing prolonged volatility. Reason: Buy the dip due to the on-chain message. Additionally, trading on Binance has been declining significantly across the board, and I believe there's an urgent need for a benchmark to regain attention. Why not make a bold move in the channel? Also, CZ keeps mentioning it, so it might very well become the next aster. Those who bought and profited should consider holding some more to wait for further gains. #渔夫板块
Over the past few days, four thousand dollars have been slashed, and this intensity is quite powerful. Basically, it's about right. Just wait for the next data release, and once it rebounds to 93,000, we'll go all in—everyone who wants to buy has already made up their mind. What about you? Reverse gains, defend after breaking a new high, good rhythm, real luck. So just follow along, do as told, and make money—nothing else matters. During strong market conditions, a sharp rise followed by a drop doesn't even cause a stir; now, after being beaten down, caution and defense are key. #币安上线币安人生 #4
Congratulations to everyone! #币安人生 and #4 have taken off! The market trend has started, and we've already bought in. A good omen. Binance life is awesome. Just say, isn't it amazing? Haven't you gone out to shout it? Keep up with the rhythm. The market has just begun.