币圈懒羊羊

#美联储重启降息步伐 The latest economic forecast from the Federal Reserve shows that policymakers expect the median inflation rate to remain at 3% by the end of this year, well above the central bank's 2% target, consistent with the last forecast in June. The unemployment rate forecast also remains unchanged at 4.5%, while the economic growth forecast has been raised from 1.4% to 1.6%.

！！！The Federal Reserve's hawks and doves are divided！！！
！！！The Federal Reserve's hawks and doves are divided！！！
！！！The Federal Reserve's hawks and doves are divided！！！
Multiple institutions have made predictions about the rate cut:
1. Citibank: It is very likely that three voting members will support a 50 basis point rate cut at this meeting, namely Federal Reserve Governor Waller, Bowman, and Milan.
2. Morgan Stanley: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will decide to cut rates by 25 basis points, but the newly appointed Federal Reserve Governor Milan will hold a different opinion, advocating for a 50 basis point cut.
3. JPMorgan Chase: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will decide to cut rates by 25 basis points, but during the voting process, it is expected that 2-3 attendees will cast opposing votes and support a 50 basis point cut.
4. Rabobank: At this meeting, there is no doubt that Milan will join the dissenters from July, Bowman and Waller, to support a rate cut, and may even support a significant cut of 50 basis points.
5. ING: Waller and Bowman may vote in favor of a larger rate cut, and Trump’s newly appointed governor Milan may join this camp, but we suspect he ultimately will not vote in favor of a 50 basis point cut.
6. SPI Asset Management: Internally, the Federal Reserve will likely have 2 or 3 members supporting a 50 basis point cut, while the others support a 25 basis point cut; Cook may change his previous position and support a 25 basis point cut to counter Trump.

There may be three types of votes
1. Deutsche Bank: At this meeting, among the 'dove' camp, there may be up to three members calling for a 50 basis point cut, while the 'hawk' camp may have one or two people voting against the cut.
2. Wrightson: There may be opposing opinions at this Federal Reserve meeting; Waller, Bowman, and Milan may advocate for a 50 basis point cut, while some regional Fed presidents may support maintaining the status quo.
3. ANZ: The Federal Reserve's decision this time will not pass unanimously, with at least one official (Milan) expected to support a 50 basis point cut, while at least one other official (Schmidt) is expected to oppose the policy adjustment. #美联储降息预期升温 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

September 14, 2025 Market Insights:

• Bitcoin (BTC): The daily candlestick for Bitcoin has returned below the upper Bollinger Band at 115900, entering the channel. The four-hour candlestick has retraced to the EMA15 trend support at 115200. The MACD has ended its expansion and is starting to contract, with the DIF and DEA forming a death cross at a high level. The candlestick has reached the middle Bollinger Band support at 115000. If the main force cannot effectively break below the short-term support at 115000, investors holding short positions may consider taking profits, as there is a high probability of fluctuations at high levels on Sunday.

• Ethereum (ETH): From a daily perspective, the KDJ has shown weakness at high levels, and the MACD bullishness is contracting. The price has returned to within the BOLL band, but it is still closely adhered to the upper band, with a certain degree of pullback expected during the day. The gap between the MA5 and the price is gradually narrowing, and the MA three-day moving average is in a bullish arrangement. If the pullback can hold above the MA5 moving average, there is still potential for the price to rise further. Additionally, both the 12-hour and 4-hour levels indicate that the short-term pullback sentiment is not yet complete, with support levels referenced at the MA10 and MA30 moving averages below.

• SOL: SOL is currently facing strong resistance around $242, having consolidated from the evening of September 13 to the 14th. If the overall market performs well, SOL may break through the resistance level of $242, with an upper target of $259. #机构疯抢以太坊 #美联储降息预期升温

#加密市场反弹 #机构疯抢以太坊 2025.9.13
1. 3 Major Cryptocurrencies: The Key to Not Rising/Not Falling is Here!
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
◦ Want to continue rising? You must first break through the 1169-1170 barrier! If you get past this, the way to 1191-1193 is basically unobstructed; it's normal to 'fiddle around' in this area.
◦ Afraid of falling through? The 1155 level has been tested before and held, so it acts as a safety cushion; but do not let it fall below 1151, as breaking below that would be dangerous.
2. Ethereum (ETH)
◦ Just one step away from a new high! Only 4780 is a 'roadblock'; once you get past this, there's basically no pressure to rise further (not all highs count as resistance; only previous support levels that have held up against declines matter).
◦ For those holding coins, watch this: If you bought at 4650-4660, now adjust your 'stop-loss' to the cost price (just to break even), if it really falls through, don't hold on stubbornly, quickly switch to something else, it's better than being stuck!
◦ Support has also risen: previously relied on 4650 for support, now it's up to 4694, making it safer.
3. SOL
◦ Currently 'swaying in place': Let's see if it finally rises to 252, or if it stops at 245-246.
◦ Don't be afraid if it falls: 238 has held before, it's a strong support; if there are many buyers, the integer level of 240 can also hold.
3. Reminder for Altcoins: Pay attention to these places!
• ENA, ADA: Started rising from 0.9, now already at a high position, don't chase randomly, it’s easy to get stuck.
• DOGE: Looking at the weekly chart, it can reach a maximum of 0.29-0.31, now it's almost 0.28, getting close to the target, don’t be greedy.
• PEPE: Keep a close eye on 121! If it can rise past that, then we can look at 130; if it can’t get past it, run quickly.
• WIF: Around 1 is considered a high position! Although there's a chance it could surge to 1.3-1.5, it must first stabilize at 1, and it needs time; currently, it looks like there's a high probability it won’t make it in time.
Finally, let me say a harsh truth:
It's not that these coins won't rise again, but it's unnecessary to risk everything! When hitting the weekly target (like DOGE's 0.29-0.31), once you reach it, sell 1/5 first, then adjust your stop-loss up. Even if you miss selling at the peak, don’t regret it—no one can sell at the highest point precisely; what you have earned is what truly counts!

Last night, the market was quite active, but in the end, there was neither a significant drop nor a significant rise, maintaining a lukewarm state, which belongs to the third scenario.

Previously, everyone was saying that Iran was going to make a big move, but it turned out to be just a feint. If you think about it carefully, if you were the leader of Iran, how could you possibly announce to the whole world a day in advance, 'Tonight I'm going to launch a nuclear bomb'? Wouldn't that just give the financial circles a chance to clear their positions and profit from shorting?!

Now, let's talk about the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. He always speaks in this style. One moment he says that interest rates might be cut soon, and the next he says it might not happen, similar to those street fortune tellers who keep saying the market could soar or plummet, essentially saying nothing.

Let's take a look at Ethereum's performance. Last night, both bulls and bears were fiercely competing, but Ethereum tested the support level of 2460 three times and surged at the resistance level of 2540 four times, ultimately getting stuck in this price range without breaking through.

Currently, the market's fluctuations are too small, and the room for operation is limited. If you really want to trade, at most you can buy or sell a small amount near the support and resistance levels, taking advantage of the fluctuations to earn a few dozen points in the price difference. Just don't meddle unnecessarily; be patient and wait for the market to show a clear direction and present a good opportunity before taking action. Don't get anxious and mess around.

【Explosive Interpretation】The "mouthpiece" of the Federal Reserve speaks harshly: Is a rate cut in June off the table? Will the workers' jobs be affected by the central bank?

Latest intelligence: Wall Street's recognized "human megaphone" of the Federal Reserve, Nick Timiraos, has just revealed! The KPI (employment data) for workers in the U.S. in April is too strong, directly crushing the possibility of a rate cut in June! Although there are still two episodes of "Empresses in the Palace" before June, the key data only has one last monthly test left!

Now the big shots at the Federal Reserve can continue to act aloof in their meeting next week, without even needing to write notes to hint at the market. In plain language: The more the workers hustle, the less likely a rate cut will happen! I suggest all the retail investors temporarily put away their heart-shaped rate cut support signs and first observe how the American people protect the dollar hegemony with a 996 work culture.

🔥【Hong Kong sees a series of investment scams! 90 million taken in a week, 84-year-old man's life savings drained】🔥

Recently, Hong Kong has seen a real-life version of "The Big Call": in just 7 days, nearly a hundred people fell into an investment trap, and even an 84-year-old businessman wasn't spared! After reading about the tricks behind this, you will definitely feel a chill down your spine——

A shocking scam unfolds in four steps
1️⃣ Precisely targeting the prey: Scammers focus on middle-aged and elderly people over 50 with savings, proactively adding friends on WeChat/WhatsApp, and pretending to be caring "cloud filial sons"
2️⃣ Oscar-worthy role-playing: The "Blockchain CEO" in a suit and the gentle and knowledgeable "financial advisor sister" take turns appearing, with their social media full of luxury cars and watches
3️⃣ Boiling the frog in warm water strategy: First, they let you try earning small amounts of money, and when you stake your retirement fund, they immediately say "system maintenance"
4️⃣ The golden cicada shedding its shell operation: The funds are transformed into "hot pot base ingredients" after 14 transfers (mixing the coins makes it untraceable)

👴 Real-life heartbreaking case
The victim, an elderly man, was cared for with daily greetings from a "female assistant" for three months, ultimately transferring 10 million HKD to a fraudulent trading platform, only to find the scammer had vanished when he wanted to withdraw!

🚨 Essential anti-scam survival guide🚨
✅ Do not click on strange links ✅ Promises of capital protection are traps ✅ Check regulatory licenses before investing
❌ Do not trust "insider information" ❌ Refuse FaceTime stock recommendations ❌ Be wary of overseas bank accounts

📢 Urgent spread across Hong Kong: Quickly check your parents' phones! Is there an inexplicable addition of "international financial groups"? Are there suddenly appearing "god-daughters" or "friends across generations"? Forwarding this once could save a family!

（End of article code: Remember! Real investment tycoons are busy making money, they don't have time to chat and talk about feelings every day!）#特朗普暂停新关税 $BTC

Brothers, good afternoon! Today is Monday
BTC: Pay attention to the 87500 resistance and 86000-85000 support. If it falls below 85000, exit long positions.

ETH breaks 2070 to look for 2150, and if it retraces to 2000 without breaking, continue to look long.

SOL: Buy on retracement to 130-125, with resistance above at 140, 145, 150.

BNB: Pay attention to the situation at 622 breaking, and if it stabilizes, look for 632, 642.

Brothers, the market changes rapidly, remember to set your stop-losses, don't be greedy!💰$BTC $ETH $🚀

$BTC #BTC走势分析 《Bitcoin is stuck at the 84,000 mark! What's next, a rocket launch or free fall?》

The market manipulators have set up a triple liquidation trap at the 84,000 position, making my ashtray almost full of cigarette butts while I watch the market! In the range of 84,000 to 85,000, the market has repeatedly attempted to break through but has failed, forming a short-term 'supply zone'; simply put, selling pressure is relatively strong here.

From the weekly and daily charts, the weekly rebound is weak, and the daily chart has not been able to stabilize at the midpoint, indicating that there is still significant pressure above. However, due to favorable data this week, U.S. stocks have temporarily halted their decline, providing the market with some breathing space.

There are also many uncertainties in the market:
- 'Insider Brother's' short position has been closed; it's unclear whether he is temporarily stepping back or has switched wallets. Personally, I lean towards him temporarily stepping back, as with his scale, switching wallets would quickly be detected by the market.

In the short term, I lean towards a fluctuating market between 82,000 and 85,000. The data we can see is:
- Above 85,000, there are 230,000 BTC in futures short positions, worth about 20 billion USD.
- Between 82,000 and 84,000, there are 150,000 BTC in spot accumulation.
- Large buy orders are concentrated between 80,000 and 82,000, while large sell orders are concentrated between 84,000 and 87,000.

Therefore, the intraday trading strategy is clear: operate between 82,000 and 85,000, trying to avoid the midpoint, and prioritize stability!

Some may ask: what if it goes up or breaks down?
- If it breaks above 85,000, you can go long, set a stop loss at 84,000, and target 88,000, or even 91,000 (last year's Wall Street cost zone).
- If it breaks below 80,000, target 76,000, with a second target of 73,000.

As for whether one can short the market without institutional participation?
- If Binance's long positions exceed 65%, market manipulators are likely to crash the market.
- When breaking levels, trading volume must increase significantly, at least three times the usual volume.

To summarize, the views of all analysts are quite similar: it may rise, it may fall, and horizontal trading cannot be ruled out! The key is to have your own trading logic.

In the past two years, the path of trading has become longer, and my time spent watching the market has also increased. As someone in my thirties, I've started to lose hair, and I just hope to go a bit further down the path I enjoy!

Alright, if you want to keep up with my real-time operations, give me a follow!

#ETH走势分析 1. Current Price and Trends
- Today's Ethereum price fluctuated between $2143.91 and $2232.96. The price briefly rose to $2232.96 in the morning, with an increase of 1.11%, but then fell back to $2143.91, resulting in a daily decrease of 1.01%.
- Market trading volume indicates that when prices rise, trading volume declines, suggesting weakening upward momentum and a risk of pullback.

2. Market Sentiment and Trading Volume
- Current market sentiment is relatively lukewarm, with decreased trading volume, and both price and trading volume falling simultaneously, indicating low market activity.
- The Williams Indicator shows the market is in an oversold state, indicating increased selling pressure, with investors generally taking a wait-and-see approach.

3. Technical Analysis and Short-term Outlook
- According to candlestick chart analysis, Ethereum is currently in a downtrend, and although there was a morning rebound, it lacks trading volume support, making it difficult for the price increase to sustain.
- The market is oversold, and selling pressure is increasing; it is advisable for investors to be cautious and wait for an improvement in market sentiment before making decisions.

4. Long-term Outlook and Influencing Factors
- In the long term, Ethereum is influenced by technological improvements, market adoption rates, and regulatory environments. Despite recent price volatility, Ethereum's significant role in the DeFi and NFT markets continues to provide it with long-term support.
- However, institutions like Matrixport believe that achieving a substantial price increase for Ethereum by 2025 may face significant resistance, mainly due to low ecosystem activity and strong competition.
#Trump Signs Executive Order $ETH

Breaking news! A mysterious 'whale' accumulated 48,800 ETH (worth about 80 million USD) at an average price of 1651 USD in September 2022, and has just suddenly moved 37,000 ETH to Binance at an average price of 2430 USD! This move directly earned **38.06 million USD**! The remaining 11,800 ETH has also been transferred to Binance in batches. The precision of this big player’s operations is truly enviable! 🚀💰 What do you think will happen to ETH next? Let's chat in the comments! #美国加密战略储备 #美国加征关税 $ETH

Large pancake option delivery!!
Then I will eat the wave meat first!!
#加密ETF申请热潮涌现 #GMT热度飙升
If you are blindly guessing the trend in the market by yourself, but always get it wrong!
If you lack support from technical and news aspects, and only look at the decline list and popularity list to trade! Then it will not last long!
You can follow my profile and the pinned post on my homepage to discuss and analyze the current market together, to walk further and longer in this market!
$PHA $GMT $USDC

Add my public account

This order is really fast!
It was over in one hour!
I got 70 points!
It's comfortable!
#2025加密趋势预测 #加密市场调整
"If you are a person who blindly guesses the trend in the market, it will always backfire!
If you lack technical and news support, and only look at the decline list and the popularity list to make orders!
Then it will not last long!
You can pay attention to my profile and homepage and pin it to the top. Come early, I will discuss and analyze the current market with everyone, and go further and longer in this market"
$SOL $SUI $XRP

There are always people asking me what coins are favored in the altcoin ambush?
Here are some of my personal understandings!

Spot Orders: Cow coin is placed at 1.079 and 1.04, the reason being that Trump's rise to power is favorable for value coins.

Coin Selection Strategy: The altcoin season has arrived, and when selecting altcoins, try to choose those related to American investment institutions. The trend of the US stock market is clear, and following American institutions is likely to yield gains.
Key Coins:
- AVAX: Invested by Morgan and Grayscale.
- Link: Related to Trump, Grayscale, and Fidelity.
- Sui: Invested by A16z and Coinbase.
- AAVE: Involved with Framework, ParaFi Capital, and has ties to Trump.
- ENA: Participated by BlackRock, Trump, and Dragonfly.
- Pengu: Invested by 1KX and Shima Capital.
- ONDO: Involved with BlackRock, Trump, and Morgan.
- CRV: Includes Multicoin Capital and BlackRock.
- ZRO: Invested by A16z, Multicoin Capital, and CB.
- PUFFER: Involved with Fidelity and Electric Capital.
#2025加密趋势预测 #币安Alpha公布第6批项目
"If you are blindly guessing trends in the market alone, you will always be counterproductive!
If you lack support from technical analysis and news, and only look at the decline rankings and popularity rankings to make trades!
Then it will not last long!
You can follow my profile and pinned post for early insights; we can discuss and analyze the current market situation together, and go further and last longer in this market!"
$DOGE $USUAL $XRP

Spot players must pay attention to position allocation!
How to reasonably allocate positions to achieve the maximum profit!
I suggest that the ambush of large positions should not be too complicated!
Replace some currencies with low promotion rates and not too strong!
#币安Alpha公布第6批项目 #“圣诞老人行情”再现
If you are a person who blindly guesses the trend in the market, it will always backfire!
If you lack technical and news support, only look at the decline list and the popularity list to make orders!
Then it will not last long!
You can pay attention to my profile and homepage and pin it to the top early. I will discuss and analyze the current market with everyone, and go further and longer in this market!
$SOL $HBAR $XRP

Double kill!! Hit Q!!
It's so comfortable!!
#币安Alpha第6批项目上線 #灰度提交Horizen信托文件
If you are a person who blindly guesses the trend in the market, it will always backfire!
If you lack technical and news support, and only look at the decline list and the popularity list to make orders! Then it will not last long!
You can pay attention to my profile and homepage and pin it to the top. Come early, I will discuss and analyze the current market with everyone, and go further and longer in this market!
$DOGE $PEPE $SOL

Can altcoins bottom out now?

Yesterday, there was a rebound driven by the rise of pnut, which led to a wave of increases in meme coins, such as neiro, pepe, and act, all of which also rebounded. I must say, this round of altcoins has indeed been quite difficult to endure, but we are about to enter January soon, and persistence will lead to victory.

For those experienced old hands who have gone through the previous 312 and 94, this round of adjustment shouldn't cause too much panic, because everyone knows that even if it doesn't rally now, there will definitely be a rally in the first quarter of next year. Moreover, Trump will officially take office in January next year, and there will be a significant wave of speculation before that.

Many newcomers are worried that this round of adjustments is too much, and whether this bull market can only break even or might not break even at all. In fact, we can refer to the rise from the beginning of this year to March and the surge last month. Therefore, as long as the market starts to rally, it will be quick. Earlier this year, it was basically tenfold in a week. Recently, even the large-cap XRP has already risen fourfold from the bottom. For smaller market caps, once the market starts, achieving a tenfold increase is not a problem, so there’s no need to worry about not making a profit. In a scenario where the market is continuously declining, the big players also cannot offload their positions due to lack of trading volume and depth. So everyone can rest assured; the winter solstice has passed, how far can spring be?

Finally, after the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, I personally believe that the market should not see any major negative news in the near future. The market is already preparing for no interest rate cuts in January and March next year. As long as no new negative news appears, the space for Bitcoin's decline will be quite limited.

In times of insufficient market liquidity, it all depends on market sentiment. As long as someone sells, the price may continue to fall; hence, no one can predict where the bottom is. We can't buy at the lowest point; we can only lower our average holding price through phased buying. This operational method can allow us to buy at a relatively low price.

"Get more real-time market analysis and strategies by clicking on my avatar to view my profile. I analyze the profit secrets for free every day."
#币安Alpha公布第5批项目 #币安LaunchpoolBIO #比特币市场波动观察 $FXS $SUI $PEPE