What I don't understand is how the market hasn't gone up?
CoinQuest
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💥 BREAKING: Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25 bps.
Before the cut, the Fed’s benchmark rate stood at 4.00%–4.25%. After today’s 25 bps reduction, it now stands at 3.75%–4.00%.
Here’s the rundown: • The Fed made this move in response to a cooling labor market and growing uncertainty in economic growth. • Inflation remains elevated making this a risk-management cut, not a sign of aggressive easing.
As I mentioned earlier, if the Fed went for a 25 bps cut, it was already priced in by the markets and that’s exactly what we’re seeing.
What this means: Lower rates tend to redirect liquidity into risk assets like crypto, equities, and growth sectors. Now, all eyes are on Jerome Powell’s speech in the next 30 minutes, which will set the tone for the next market phase. Will he signal more cuts ahead, or keep a cautious stance? Traders are watching closely.
For the crypto & trading community: This move brings short-term optimism and liquidity, but structure and confirmation still matter. The next few sessions will reveal whether this turns into a sustained rally or just another relief bounce.
Stay sharp Powell’s tone could shape the next big wave for both crypto and global markets.
Champion, don't get discouraged, I follow you because you seem humble and you help me a lot, keep it up 🔥💪
CoinQuest
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Family, I’ll be honest I’m a little disappointed today.
I’ve been giving my best every single day sharing analysis, signals, and insights to help you grow but many still haven’t cast their vote.
There’s still time to make it count. Your support means more than just numbers it’s a reflection of trust, teamwork, and belief in what we’ve built together.
💛 A big thank you to everyone who’s been part of this journey learning, trading, and winning as one strong community. 💪 Let’s not stop here. Let’s push together and finish strong.
Go to my profile, click Vote, and be part of this milestone. Your one click truly makes a difference.
We need a little hope, because until now things have been very bleak 🙈
Binance News
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Bitcoin(BTC) Surpasses 108,000 USDT with a 1.14% Increase in 24 Hours
On Oct 19, 2025, 11:01 AM(UTC). According to Binance Market Data, Bitcoin has crossed the 108,000 USDT benchmark and is now trading at 108,099.992188 USDT, with a narrowed 1.14% increase in 24 hours.
📉 The Federal Reserve (FED) keeps the market on edge: several members have hinted that they could cut interest rates before the end of the year.
💵 In September, they already lowered by 25 basis points (4.00 %- 4.25 %), but the market was expecting more stimulus. 📊 Bitcoin remains strong, with support near 107,000 USDC and resistance at 115,000 – 116,000 USDC.
📈 A new rate cut could bring more liquidity to the market and push investors toward riskier assets like BTC 🚀
Trump’s Economic Plan Cuts Deficit Without a Recession, Says Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has declared that the U.S. budget deficit is shrinking in proportion to the size of the economy, a signal, he says, that President Donald Trump’s economic strategy is working cutting national debt without triggering a slowdown. According to Bessent, the administration’s mix of targeted tax incentives, manufacturing reshoring policies, and fiscal discipline is restoring balance to federal finances while keeping the country’s growth momentum intact. “For years, people said you couldn’t reduce the deficit without risking a recession,” Bessent noted in recent remarks. “We’re proving them wrong.” A Deficit Decline Amid Expansion The U.S. deficit, which ballooned during years of pandemic-era stimulus and heavy spending, is now falling relative to GDP. While Washington continues to invest in infrastructure, defense, and energy projects, overall revenue gains from stronger growth and job creation have outpaced government expenditures. Economists in the Trump administration argue that this fiscal turnaround is being fueled by a productivity rebound across American industries. Sectors like manufacturing, energy, and technology all central to Trump’s economic agenda have seen renewed investment and higher output. Corporate profits have also risen, driving up tax receipts without the need for higher rates. A Political and Economic Win
The deficit milestone gives President Trump’s team a powerful message heading into the next fiscal cycle: you can balance responsibility with expansion. It’s a sharp contrast to prior warnings from critics who claimed that Trump’s tax and trade policies would blow up the deficit or push the U.S. into recession. Still, Bessent acknowledges that the job isn’t done. “We’re not declaring victory,” he said. “But we’ve proven that growth and fiscal discipline can go hand in hand.” As the U.S. enters the next phase of its recovery, the numbers suggest that the Trump administration’s formula growth first, discipline second may be reshaping the long-standing debate over how to manage America’s finances without sacrificing prosperity.
Bitcoin($BTC) just reached a new all-time high (ATH) at $126,800, following a strong recovery after the recent drop to $106,000. However, traders should be cautious; historically, these rises are often followed by a correction of 10-20%. A pullback is not only possible but likely in the short term.
📌 Key price levels to watch
As the market cools, these are the critical zones to monitor for potential liquidity and price reaction:
$120,000
$115,000
$110,000
$108,000
These levels represent areas of high interest where price action may consolidate or reverse.
✴️ CME gap and heatmap information
The $BTC CME chart reveals a notable gap at $108,000, which aligns with the visible liquidity clusters on the settlement heatmap. This confluence makes $108,000 a key target for price pullback and a potential bounce.
❌ Caution for buyers
Entering the market at current levels carries high risk. Discipline and patience are key: wait for a setup and only execute when conditions align with your strategy. Chasing price action now could lead to unfavorable entries.
⛔️ Disclaimer
This does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
🙏 Follow us for more real-time market information, technical analysis, and trading signals.
Does someone think they can make one more correction before the starting shot again?
Marcus Corvinus
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Bullish
$BTC just dropped hard from $125,126 to $121,172, shaking out weak hands and testing major intraday support. I’m seeing clear signs that buyers are trying to defend this zone — it’s that kind of pressure drop that often sets up the next strong rebound.
Volume spiked heavy on the dip, and now the candles are slowing down — that’s early stability forming. The 15m chart shows a possible reversal base building if we hold above $121,200. I’m watching this closely because the next move could be explosive once confidence returns.
⚡ My Full Trade Setup
Entry Point: I’m planning to enter around $121,400 – $121,600, where the base is forming. If price confirms a bullish candle there, I’m in.
Target Point: 1️⃣ $122,800 – short-term recovery zone 2️⃣ $124,200 – mid-level resistance 3️⃣ $125,100 – full recovery target and recent top retest
Stop Loss: Below $120,800, just under the lowest wick. If it breaks that, it’s a clear signal bulls lost the level and I’ll step out.
💪 Why This Setup Works
I’m watching the 15m RSI — it’s sitting in oversold territory and starting to curl up, which often means a relief bounce is near. EMA lines are stretched wide, suggesting a short-term correction could pull price back upward. Volume confirms that large positions got filled during the dip — strong hands were buying while retail panic sold.
If $BTC reclaims $122,000+, momentum could return fast and push toward $124K–$125K again.
This setup is tight, calculated, and built on real reaction levels — exactly where smart money reloads.
🔥 My Plan
I’m waiting for a clean bullish 15m close near $121,500 before stepping in. Once I get confirmation, I’ll ride the move with a tight stop and scale out near targets. It’s all about patience and timing and this looks ready for a solid recovery push.
I believe there will be a major correction I will enter into several corrections
Marcus Corvinus
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Bullish
$BTC just dropped hard from $125,126 to $121,172, shaking out weak hands and testing major intraday support. I’m seeing clear signs that buyers are trying to defend this zone — it’s that kind of pressure drop that often sets up the next strong rebound.
Volume spiked heavy on the dip, and now the candles are slowing down — that’s early stability forming. The 15m chart shows a possible reversal base building if we hold above $121,200. I’m watching this closely because the next move could be explosive once confidence returns.
⚡ My Full Trade Setup
Entry Point: I’m planning to enter around $121,400 – $121,600, where the base is forming. If price confirms a bullish candle there, I’m in.
Target Point: 1️⃣ $122,800 – short-term recovery zone 2️⃣ $124,200 – mid-level resistance 3️⃣ $125,100 – full recovery target and recent top retest
Stop Loss: Below $120,800, just under the lowest wick. If it breaks that, it’s a clear signal bulls lost the level and I’ll step out.
💪 Why This Setup Works
I’m watching the 15m RSI — it’s sitting in oversold territory and starting to curl up, which often means a relief bounce is near. EMA lines are stretched wide, suggesting a short-term correction could pull price back upward. Volume confirms that large positions got filled during the dip — strong hands were buying while retail panic sold.
If $BTC reclaims $122,000+, momentum could return fast and push toward $124K–$125K again.
This setup is tight, calculated, and built on real reaction levels — exactly where smart money reloads.
🔥 My Plan
I’m waiting for a clean bullish 15m close near $121,500 before stepping in. Once I get confirmation, I’ll ride the move with a tight stop and scale out near targets. It’s all about patience and timing and this looks ready for a solid recovery push.
🚀 Bitcoin at its peak + institutional pressure BTC surpassed its previous ceiling and attracted massive flows towards crypto funds, a sign that big players are entering strongly.
⚠️ Beware of supports A slight correction is already in action. If BTC falls below ~USD 123,000, bulls might lose part of their advantage.
🌐 Macro & markets The bond market and monetary policies continue to influence strongly. If the dollar weakens further, BTC may continue to take advantage of that tailwind.
Guys, a correction is coming, prepare your strategies well 💸
CoinQuest
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Important Week Ahead for Crypto 🚨
This week brings key events that could affect the market:
7 Oct: 5 Fed officials will speak, and NY Fed will release inflation data. 8 Oct: FOMC meeting minutes will be shared. 9 Oct: Jerome Powell will give a speech. 10 Oct: Consumer sentiment data will come out.
Powell’s speech and the FOMC minutes are the main ones to watch they’ll show how the Fed sees the economy during the ongoing U.S. shutdown.
🔮 Crypto Market Forecast – Week of October 6 to 12
The crypto market starts the week with a slight correction and consolidation after the recent highs of Bitcoin (BTC) 💥. 👉 BTC remains between 119 k – 124 k USD, with a possible attempt to break towards 130 k USD if new volume enters 📈. 👉 Ethereum (ETH) continues strong and could climb towards the zone of 4,800 – 5,000 USD if the market supports it 🚀.
🔍 Key factors: • Strong technical resistance near 124,500 USD. • Investors attentive to macroeconomic data and the upcoming FED decision 🏦. • Possible sideways week with a bullish bias, although with intraday corrections 💫.
🏛️ The FED prepares the ground for a possible rate cut in October 💵
📅 Washington, October 5, 2025 — The Federal Reserve (FED) returns to the center of attention 🔥 after approving a reduction of the capital margin required from Morgan Stanley, from 5.1% to 4.3%.
👉 This decision is interpreted as a sign of flexibility in the face of the cooling economy 🇺🇸 and the growing pressure from the labor market.
📉 Additionally, Bank of America brought forward its forecast: it expects the FED to cut interest rates as early as October, and not in December as previously thought.
💹 Impact on the crypto market
🔥 More appetite for risk: traders could return to assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
⚠️ High volatility: the lack of labor data due to the government shutdown generates uncertainty.
💲 Weaker dollar: a rate cut could boost crypto prices.
💬 Conclusion:
The FED signals that the cycle of cuts is near 🕒.
This could be an opportunity for the crypto market, but also a period of intense volatility.
🚀 Attention traders, October may bring strong movement in Bitcoin and altcoins.$ETH $BNB $BTC
I hope so, but before a setback comes to continue buying, friend 😏
CoinQuest
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Bitcoin Set for Q4 Surge? JPMorgan and Citi Share Bold Targets
Many major banks anticipate that Bitcoin will rise to as high as $200,000 by year-end, driven by record ETF inflows and capital rotation from gold markets. Key takeaways: Wall Street’s year-end Bitcoin forecasts range from $133,000 to as high as $200,000.Most agree that persistent Bitcoin ETF inflows and gold correlation may shoot BTC to new record highs. Bitcoin $121,704 has bounced by over 13% in the past seven days and is inching toward its record high of $124,500.
Bitcoin is poised to reach new record levels by the end of 2025, according to top Wall Street and UK financial institutions. Citigroup sees BTC reaching $133,000 Citigroup expects Bitcoin to end 2025 at around $133,000, setting a new record high. That implies a relatively modest 8.75% upside from current price levels at around $122,350.
The banking giant’s base case projects steady growth supported by robust inflows from spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and digital asset treasury allocations, which it sees as the key structural drivers of Bitcoin’s next leg higher. As of Saturday, all US-based Bitcoin ETFs were managing over $163.50 billion in BTC. Citi estimates that fresh ETF inflows will be about $7.5 billion by year-end, helping to sustain demand.
However, Citi’s bear case puts Bitcoin as low as $83,000 if recessionary pressures intensify and risk sentiment fades. JPMorgan analysts: Bitcoin to $165,000 in 2025 Bitcoin remains undervalued relative to gold when adjusted for volatility, according to a team of JPMorgan Chase strategists led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. The Bitcoin-to-gold volatility ratio has dropped below 2.0, meaning Bitcoin now absorbs about 1.85 times more risk capital than gold, they wrote in the latest report published on Wednesday.
Based on this ratio, Bitcoin’s current $2.3 trillion market capitalization would need to climb by roughly 42%, implying a theoretical BTC price of around $165,000, to match the estimated $6 trillion in private gold holdings across ETFs, bars, and coins. Gold, often viewed as Bitcoin’s traditional macro counterpart, is up roughly 48% year-to-date, putting it on track for its best annual performance since 1979.
However, the yearly relative strength index (RSI) for the XAU/USD pair has climbed to nearly 89, its most overbought reading since 2012. This is a level that historically preceded deep, multiyear corrections of 40–60%. Therefore, gold’s uptrend may lose steam in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, BTC has shown an 8-week lagging correlation with gold in recent years, further reinforcing JPMorgan’s outlook for a year-end Bitcoin rally if capital rotates from the precious metal.
JPMorgan’s bullish outlook also assumes a steady stream of spot ETF inflows as the Federal Reserve continues its rate-cutting cycle in the coming months. Standard Chartered leads with a bold $200,000 call Standard Chartered remains the most optimistic among major banks, predicting Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by December. Like Citigroup and JPMorgan, the bank’s analysts cite sustained ETF inflows—averaging over $500 million per week—as a key driver that could lift Bitcoin’s total market capitalization closer to $4 trillion.
Growing institutional adoption, alongside a weakening US dollar and improving global liquidity conditions, could set the stage for another parabolic move similar to Bitcoin’s 2020–2021 bull run, the analysts explain.
Standard Chartered’s analysts frame the $200,000 scenario as a “structural uptrend” rather than a short-term speculative rally. VanEck sees Bitcoin climbing to $180,000 in 2025 Asset manager VanEck projects that Bitcoin could reach around $180,000 by 2025, citing post-halving cycle dynamics. The firm argues that the April 2024 halving has set the stage for a supply squeeze, with ETF demand and digital asset treasuries providing the structural fuel for the next leg of the upward trend. Bitcoin’s performance since the halving is once again mirroring previous four-year cycles, as shown in the chart below.
Historically, Bitcoin has reached its cycle peaks between 365 and 550 days after a halving. As of Saturday, it has been 533 days since the halving, placing it firmly within the historical window for big rallies. Saad Ahmed, Gemini’s head of APAC, told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin’s cycle could extend beyond that range, noting that its four-year rhythm is “driven more by human emotion than pure math” and will “very likely continue in some form” into 2026. This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. #Bitcoin #Markets #Predictions #Citi #InterestRate