ShujA-ET-K

1️⃣ Yesterday’s Breakout & Fake Move

Yesterday I clearly explained why BTC needed to break 69,500. I also mentioned that this level was critical — but unfortunately, what we saw were fake breakouts.

That fake move was one of the main reasons BTC dropped again.

I also explained the importance of USDT.D and how it helps predict Bitcoin’s direction.
Exactly what we expected happened — dominance gave the early warning.

Suggested Image:
BTC chart showing the fake breakout above 69,500 and rejection.

2️⃣ Current Bitcoin Path

Overall structure is still bearish.

Reasons:

Weak market liquidity

US market pressure

Negative economic environment

Bitcoin touched the support zone around 68,400 but failed to hold above it strongly. Yes, we saw multiple attempts and small bounces, but the recovery was weak and only visible on the 4H candle.

That weakness caused gradual downside continuation.

With the US market opening soon, volatility is expected. Two possible short-term scenarios:

Bounce from 66,500–67,500 → retest 69,500

Failure to hold → continuation toward lower levels

As long as there is no strong breakout with real liquidity and volatility expansion, the structure remains bearish.

Suggested Image:
BTC chart highlighting 68,400 support and 66,500–67,500 reaction zone.

3️⃣ Higher Timeframe Analysis

Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish (red candle dominance)

At the moment, there is no strong signal suggesting a confirmed green weekly close. Selling pressure has not ended yet.

On lower timeframes (15m), we may see temporary rebounds before US session open. But this can be either:

Sideways consolidation

Gradual continuation down

Current key level: Break and hold above 68,400 → short-term stabilization
Failure → pressure remains active

Suggested Image:
Multi-timeframe screenshot (Weekly + Daily bearish structure).

4️⃣ USDT Dominance (USDT.D)

USDT.D is currently slightly negative, which is short-term positive for BTC.

However, dominance is still around 7.990 — meaning we are not fully safe yet.

With US market opening, dominance can spike quickly. If USDT.D rises, Bitcoin will likely face pressure again.

Suggested Image:
USDT.D chart showing 7.990 zone.

5️⃣ RSI Indicator

RSI 4H showed a bounce from below 39.40
It reacted strongly from 37.08 after breakdown.

This is technically positive — but incomplete.

Bitcoin still needs to break 45.13 on RSI for confirmation. Current reading around 44.77 → very close, but still unconfirmed.

Market open will likely decide whether this turns into bullish continuation or another rejection.

Suggested Image:
RSI chart highlighting 37.08 bounce and 45.13 resistance.

6️⃣ So Why Am I Not Giving a Clear Buy or Sell Direction?

Because the current structure is sideways volatility.

Bitcoin right now is moving in a range. Upward moves are corrective. Downward moves are pressured.

Until we see:

Strong liquidity inflow

Clear breakout structure

Volatility expansion

Any move up or down is considered range behavior.

That’s why the next real decision zone remains: 70,000 breakout → strength
Failure → possible path toward 60,000

In this market, patience is more important than prediction.

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(BNBUSDT)

Gold prices have surged to an unprecedented all-time high this Monday, December 22, 2025, breaking the psychological $4,400 per ounce barrier. As we head into a holiday-shortened week, the "yellow metal" continues to dominate the headlines as the ultimate safe-haven asset.
🚀 Why the Massive Surge?
The rally is being fueled by a "perfect storm" of geopolitical and macroeconomic factors:
* Escalating Geopolitical Tensions: Fresh concerns over intensified oil blockades in Venezuela and drone strikes on shipping in the Mediterranean have sent investors rushing toward safety.
* Fed Policy Pivot: Softening U.S. inflation data (now down to 2.7%) and a cooling jobs market have traders betting on multiple interest rate cuts throughout 2026.
* Weakening Dollar: A softer Greenback has made gold cheaper for international buyers, further stoking global demand.
* Central Bank Buying: Aggressive reserve diversification by central banks in China, India, and Turkey continues to provide a solid floor for prices.
📊 At a Glance: Market Performance
| Metal | Current Price (Approx.) | YTD Performance |
|---|---|---|
| Gold | $4,404.12 /oz | +67% |
| Silver | $69.44 /oz | +138% |
🔍 What to Watch This Week
With a light economic calendar on Monday, the market is purely "risk-off." However, investors should keep an eye on:
* Holiday Liquidity: Trading volumes typically thin out during the last week of the year, which can lead to increased volatility and sharp "flash" moves.
* Profit Taking: After such a historic run, some analysts warn of potential pullbacks as institutional investors lock in gains before year-end.
* Upcoming Data: Keep a close watch on the U.S. Core PCE and Q3 GDP estimates later this week for final clues on the Fed's next moves.
> Investor Note: Gold has now breached both the $3,000 and $4,000 milestones in 2025 alone, marking its strongest annual performance since 1979.
#BTCVSGOLD #XUAUSD
$PAXG
{spot}(PAXGUSDT)

Several reports say that Blockfills, a Susquehanna-backed crypto trading and lending firm, has temporarily suspended client deposits and withdrawals as bitcoin hovered near $66,500 after tapping an intraday low of $65,719 earlier in the session. The Chicago-based firm reportedly informed clients last week that it would pause deposits and withdrawals to safeguard assets during heightened […]

The gold market (XAU/USD) is making headlines as prices continue to push into uncharted territory, setting new all-time highs and signaling that bullion could extend its bull run even further into 2026.
Spot gold surged past the $4,500 per ounce mark for the first time this week, driven by dovish U.S. monetary expectations, geopolitical uncertainty, and safe-haven demand — a combination that has kept buyers firmly in control.
Why Gold Is Rallying.
Several key forces are supporting the bullish gold narrative:
🔹 Weakening US Dollar & Rate Expectations: Markets increasingly price in potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, pushing the USD lower and increasing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
🔹 Geopolitical Risk Premium: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East and broader geopolitical uncertainty continue to drive flows into safe-haven assets such as gold.
🔹 Strong Structural Momentum: Technical indicators reflect sustained bullish trends, with breakout moves above key resistance levels reinforcing investor confidence.
Current Price Action.
After touching fresh record highs near $4,520+ per ounce, XAU/USD has shown short-term pullbacks as traders book profits — typical behavior amid overbought conditions and light holiday liquidity.
Despite the correction, the broader uptrend remains intact, supported by dovish macro expectations and persistent demand from both retail and institutional investors.
Technical and Sentiment Outlook.
📈 Bullish Signals Continue:
Breakouts above the previous all-time high signal strong buyer conviction.
Moving averages are positioned well below current levels, indicating trend support.
⚠️ Short-Term Caution:
Overbought momentum indicators suggest profit-taking and consolidation could continue before the next leg up.
What’s Next for XAU/USD?
Analyst forecasts and models point to continued upside potential over the medium to long term:
💡 Potential Targets:
Short-term models project further gains toward extensions above $4,550+ as momentum persists.
Broader forecasts for 2026 suggest levels above $4,700–$5,000 if macro and geopolitical drivers remain supportive.
📊 Market Sentiment:
Bullish sentiment is currently dominant, with technical and fundamental forces aligning to support higher prices. Still, volatility around key data releases (like U.S. economic stats and Fed statements) could spur short-term swings.
How Traders Can Respond.
For Binance traders and gold bulls:
Trend Continuation: Stay aligned with the bullish macro trend — pullbacks could offer entry opportunities for long positions.
Risk Management: Be wary of overbought conditions and schedule stops around major support zones.
Event Monitoring: Keep an eye on U.S. economic data, inflation cues, and central bank commentary which could serve as catalysts for gold price moves.