chain郭

Is it troublesome? Brothers who see this post, how are you?
The market is in extreme fear, and in the past week, the number of people liquidated in the market has exceeded one million. The question is, who is selling off? The ones selling off the hardest are those who previously made crazy leverage bets to go long. To avoid being liquidated, they have to reduce their positions, resulting in a death spiral where the more it falls, the more they sell, and the more they sell, the more it falls. Can you catch the bottom? The market always has paradoxes: it's easy to catch the bottom when it's not the bottom and hard to catch the bottom when it is VS when others are fearful, I am greedy, depending on where your faith lies. For instance, if Bitcoin rises to $300,000, the difference between buying at $64,000 and $70,000 is not significant, provided you don't become someone else's bloody chip. The current price is already the bloody chips of millions of people, including whales, dolphins, and shrimps, all thinking they got a good price when they bought in. So what is a good price? Is the $120,000 long for Bitcoin and the $70,000 short for Bitcoin from the same group of people? History keeps repeating itself, yet no one learns from it. Ultimately, whether you can reach the top depends on your fate and luck. Of course, this is the outcome. The insights from the process in between are also a valuable asset. Stay alive! Best wishes! $BTC $ETH The present people do not see the moon of ancient times; the present moon once illuminated the ancient people.

Trend Research leader, founder of Good Capital Yi Lihua, holds 580,000 Ethereum, ranked third globally. It is said that he is the top hunter of this cycle, but clearly, he is now on the brink of collapse. His net assets of 760 million USD have now dwindled to less than 200 million USD, and most of the money belongs to investors. Investors cannot and do not allow their positions to be liquidated, so Yi Lihua has no choice but to sell off Ethereum in large quantities, marking the beginning of self-liquidation. When large institutions cut losses in the secondary market to maintain their health, it indicates that he has no bullets left to average down! History always repeats itself, but no one can learn from it. Looking back at 2022, Three Arrows Capital had 15 billion USD, similarly leveraging Ethereum at 3,000 USD, and within less than a year it plummeted to 1,400 USD, liquidating this once-mighty giant. Therefore, no one can fight against cycles, and there is no eternal bull market! #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #三箭资本 $ETH

Predicting the high point of the A-shares market near 4170 a few months in advance, what good is it to accurately calculate the gold high point of 1200? The most painful part of trading is seeing the right point but missing out on the entire market trend. Therefore, the market is not about betting on the right point, but about winning in execution; seeing correctly ≠ earning correctly! I want to take this order for 340,000 USD #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC

Almost never trades Ethereum, except for the time two days ago when a giant whale crashed and picked up bloody chips!
And now trading Ethereum, one is the downward acceleration at the end of the market, and the other is that high-position whales need to do T to dilute costs, like the ladder theory of the old chief in the TV series Money Game! So currently, just follow the ladder with the high volatility! #以太坊 #ETH

Is the signal for the Bitcoin super bull market in 2026 already present?
1. The Stochastic RSI (Random Relative Strength Index) indicators of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) and the China 10-Year Government Bond Yield (CN10Y) have shown a bullish crossover (Figure 1).
2. The breaking point for the US Dollar Index is below 96.
3. Gold typically leads Bitcoin by 4-7 months.
4. Continuous inflow into ETFs.
5. The top ten institutions' outlook report for 2026, a16z, Standard Chartered Bank, Coinbase, BlackRock, Grayscale, Galaxy Digital, Fidelity, Messari, Bitwise. Summary: The current coin price is still at the foot of the mountain, on the eve of a structural super bull market.
Conclusion: How much can Bitcoin rise in 2026? Comprehensive institutional forecast: $150,000 - $250,000. My prediction: $340,000 - $420,000! (Even with a floating loss of $130 million, I'm not worried; I wouldn't be worried about a floating loss of $13 either, Figure 2)

This is your only chance to compete and fight with top-tier capital!
Many geniuses attempt to prove themselves here!
#BTC #交易

The expected upward surge was correct, the predicted retracement range after the rise was correct, and the difference between the predicted high and low points is about 40 US dollars. Why is this the case?
Consider several questions: Is the market predictable? Is the market noisy? The precision of market makers' stop-losses? The sole driving force of the counterparty? Liquidity shocks? The conversion relationship between being trapped and being freed? Simple, really simple! #行情推演 #ETH

3266 not a minute off? Unfortunately, I don't do Ethereum! #ETH

Never complain about earning too little, you only have the chance to compound if you don't leave the table. Never go all in, because when a good opportunity arises, 1 dollar can be used as 100 dollars, instead of having no bullets! #BTC #比特币2026年价格预测 # no less than 340,000 US dollars

ETH: Yesterday, the trading volume of Ethereum expanded a bit, and the price has once again stood above the MA60 medium-term moving average after three months. Is the market going north? It's highly likely, as mentioned in the previous post. The recent market is very likely to challenge 3266 and pull back to 3117, making small adjustments in a hovering pattern within this range. In the last post, I mentioned flying a kite; it seems we are no longer letting out the line but rather pulling it in. Summary: Stay long, do not short, and only take trades in the same direction! #ETH走势分析 $ETH

Three types of hypotheses $ETH
1. Head and shoulders bottom structure, breaking the neck line established, looking up to 3660.
2. Bottom triangle structure, breaking the downward trend line established, similarly looking up to 3660.
(No matter how we define head and shoulders bottom or bottom triangle, an upward breakout is needed)
3. In fact, there is also a bit of a kite shape, but it cannot break below 2806!
Conclusion: Whether it is a shape or structure, in any case, 2800 is the dividing line between bulls and bears. If it breaks down, look down to 2487-2367!
Prediction: If we assume that the bull run will continue, the best way is to rise to 3660, and then move in a wide range in the area of 3660-3336, making a moving average repair zone, only then will there be a chance to create a historical new high! #Strategy增持比特币 #ETH走势分析

The trend of BTC after past interest rate hikes in Japan
This time it will not head south but north, with both technical and fundamental aspects being different! #日本加息 BTC short-term volatility first interval position 98,000!

If there is no market, read some articles and take notes on the insights of others over decades!
"Their judgments are still based on the two fundamental dimensions of facts and data, while the game they participate in unfolds in the third dimension of emotions and the fourth dimension of dreams."
Not analyzing or commenting on the market, predicting right or wrong has no meaning; this game ultimately relies on playing the good cards in hand well and minimizing the bad cards! #熵减交易心得

Many brothers believe that the bear market has arrived. If you believe it, then you've fallen into a trap. This is not the end of the bull market; rather, it is the most bloody and thorough purge before a surge. Do not be swayed by what Trump has said, or even by the basis points of interest rate cuts. Any news is merely an excuse, a tool casually used by market leaders, with the true purpose being to eliminate leverage and force you out. What are the real big institutions and whales doing? Silently and crazily buying in with actual money, re-pricing the entire market. Most retail investors have rushed into high-risk contract leverage. The bottom of the spot market has been bought by institutions, while the life of the contracts has been taken by the market. The current crash is not taking down the market; it is taking down your leverage and panic. The upcoming market will experience wide fluctuations, which is very torturous. This is precisely the power that will fuel the next market movement, pushing prices towards a higher market index and creating a bigger bubble and trend #本轮比特币高点不低于三十三万四千美金 $BTC